the fashion channel
Transcript of the fashion channel
ABOUT THE CASEBACKGROUND• TFC was a successful cable television network• It was dedicated solely to fashion• It had experienced constant revenue and profit
growth in the industry average• Niche network- 80 million households- Avid viewers between 35-54years (women)• In 2006 it faced competition from other networks-Thomas quoted “ It’s time for us to build a modern brand strategy and secure TFC’s position as a market leader.”
Dana Wheeler
• Vice president of marketing in TFC• As per her , they key to success would be- targeting the right viewer- Offering advertisers the right mix of viewers
TFC’S Revenue Model
• Advertising Revenue ( $230.6 million in 2006)• Cable Affiliate Fees ($70 million in 2006)
TFC’S Advertising Revenue Model
• Primary source of revenue• Almost $20 million was spent in buying spots• Networks were evaluated on their ability to deliver
specific target groups• Ad units prices were based on several factors• Premium would be paid on CPM if the network
targets certain groups• CPM would increase from 25% to 75% on
attracting highly valued viewers
Cable Affiliate Fees
• TFC was a part of the basic line up amongst channels
• It received a fee of $1 per subscriber per year• Fee was on basis of carriage• Full penetration of available cable households was
done
Competition• CNN and Lifetime took away ad buys• Alpha research study on consumer satisfaction with
cable networks showed ratings of- 3.8 TFC- CNN 4.3- Lifetime 4.5
• 1. How would you interpret consumer and market data from Dana Wheeler’s point?
Average household
All T.V Viewers;
110
The Fashion Channel; 1.1
Lifetime ; 3.3
CNN; 4.4
Viewers demographics
All T.V Viewers The Fashion Channel
Lifetime CNN0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Based on gender
Axi
s Ti
tle
Viewers Demographics – Age Wise
All TV
View
ers TFC
Lifetim
e Fash
ion To
day
CNN Fashi
on To
night
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
18-3435-5454-74>74
Competitors threat
TFC CNN Lifetime Category 40
1
2
3
4
5
6
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Viewers demographics
All T.V Viewers The Fashion Channel
Lifetime CNN14%
16%
18%
20%
Based on Income
Axi
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tle
Market research findings
Market research finding helps TFC in :
to identify and target audience To create and show content based on audience preference To take on competition by effectively targeting audience based on their taste and preference
Clusters (100%)
BEHAVIOURALISTIC segmentation
Demographic segmentation
PSYCHOGRAPHIC-BENEFIT SOUGHT segmentation
Benefit sought
Fashionistas (15%)
Highly engaged in fashion
Female- 61%
Anticipate trends, stay up to date, enjoy shopping
Physical goods, Social benefit.Psychological benefit
Planners and shoppers (35%)
Participant is fashion on regular basis
Female- 53%18-34 – 25%
Fashion is practical, interested in value
Physical goods, Psychological benefit
Situationist (30%)
Participate in fashion for specific needs
Female – 50%Children in HH – 45% 18-34- 30%
Shopping for specific needs, fashion is for specific situation
Physical goods,Psychological benefit
Basics (20%)
Disengaged Female – 45%Male – 55%
Do not enjoy shopping, interested in value
Physical goods
Total Revenue Ad Sales Net Income$0.00
$50,000,000.00
$100,000,000.00
$150,000,000.00
$200,000,000.00
$250,000,000.00
$300,000,000.00
$350,000,000.00
2006
FEASABILITY FORECAST (2007)DOWNWARD TREND IN ALL VARIABLESSHARP DECREASE BY NEARLY 50% IN
THE NET INCOMEDECLINE OF AD SALES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
YEAR 2006 2007 BASEAVERAGE RATINGS 1% 1%AVERAGE CPM $2.0 $0.8%PROFIT MARGIN 30% 19%
SOME OTHER SIGNIFICANT VARIABLES
DECRESASE OF PROFIT MARGIN DROPS 11%
DECREASE IN REVENUE CPM DROPS 10%
Scenario 1Fashionistas, Planner &
Shoppers and Situationalists
• Cross-Segment: Fashionistas, Planner & Shoppers, and Situationalists
• All segments include women aged between 18-34
Scenario 2:Single segment approach: Fashionistas
• Focus on single target segment: Fashionistas
• This represent 15% from total households
Scenario 3Fashionistas and Planner & Shoppers
• Dual targeting segment: Fashionistas and Planner & Shoppers
• Rating will increase to 1.2
Scenario ComparisonScenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Rating Increase 20% (1.0 to 1.2)
Decrease 20%(1.0 to 0.8)
Increase 20% (1.0 to 1.2)
CPM Decrease 10%($2 to $1.8)
Increase 75% ($2 to $3.5)
Increase 25% ($2 to $2.5)
Programming Cost No Cost $15,000,000 $20,000,000
Ad Revenue CalculatorCurrent 2007 Base Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
TV HH 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000
Avg. Rating 1.00% 1.00% 1.20% 0.80% 1.20%
Avg. Viewers 1,100,000 1,100,000 1,320,000 880,000 1,320,000
Avg. CPM $2.00 $1.80 $1.80 $3.50 $2.50
Avg. RevenueAd Minute
$2,200.00 $1,980.00 $2,376.00 $3,080.00 $3,300.00
Ad. Minutes/Week
2,016 2,016 2,016 2,016 2,016
Weeks/Year 52 52 52 52 52Ad
Revenue/Year
$230,630,400
$207,567,360
$249,080,832
$322,882,560
$345,945,600
Incremental Programming
Expense$ - $ - $ - $15,000,000 $20,000,000
Estimated Financials (Figures are in Millions)
Current 2007 Base Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Revenue
Ad. Sales $230.63 $207.57 $249.08 $322.88 $345.95
Affiliate Fees $80.00 $81.60 $81.60 $81.60 $81.60
Total Revenue $310.63 $289.17 $330.68 $404.48 $427.55
Expenses
Cost of Operations $70.00 $ 72.10 $72.10 $72.10 $72.10Cost of
Programming $55.00 $55.00 $55.00 $70.00 $75.00Ad Sales
Commissions $6.92 $6.23 $7.47 $9.69 $10.38Marketing and
Advertising $45.00 $60.00 $60.00 $60.00 $60.00
SGA $40.00 $41.20 $41.20 $41.20 $41.20
Total Expenses $216.92 $234.53 $235.77 $252.99 $258.68
Net Income $93.71 $54.64 $94.91 $ 151.50 $168.87
Margin 30% 19% 29% 37% 39%
Scenario 1 - Fashionistas, Shoppers, Situationalists
PROS CONS
Awareness & viewing would go up Drop in CPM by 10%
Average Rating – 20% TFC price ability will erode
No additional cost of programming Net income is less
80% of households Not targeting a specific cluster of segments
Scenario 2 – Only FashionistasPROS CONS
Strong in high valued 18-34 female demographics
15% of Households
CPM - $3.50 Drop in average rating – 0.8
High degree of interest in fashion Loss of cable affiliated fees
Risk that the cable operators might drop the channel
Income > $100K Not attracting other segments
Additional cost of programming - $15M
Scenario 3 – Fashionistas & Shoppers
PROS CONS
Increase in average ratings – 1.2 Additional programming cost - $20M
Increase in CPM - $2.50
Covers 50% of the household
Net income - $168M
Profit Margin – 39%
Recommendations• Implement scenario 3 which is targeting two segments in the market
(Fashionistas and Planner & Shopper)
• Net income is the most as compared to other 2 scenarios with a profit margin of 39%
• Average rating is 1.2, an increase in viewers leads to increase in CPM ($ 2.50)
• Advertisers were ready to pay a premium CPM to reach certain demographics
• Although cable affiliated fees could not be raised, at least there would be no loss (like scenario 2)
• Consumer interest, awareness & perceived value improved because of proper segmentation
• Scenario 3 includes fashionistas who have income greater than $100k, because of which it will be able to fetch premium ads.