The export of Ukrainian grain is following factors...The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain...

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The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain is underpinned by the following factors — » The Ukrainian Hryvnia remaining devalued. The Hryvnia devalued 60% against the US dollar in 2014/5, compared to the Australian dollar devaluation of 25% in the same period. » Many Ukrainian grain growers are yet to fully embrace modern farming methods that will further reduce their costs of production and improve yield stability (Table 1). » Ukraine’s logistics and infrastructure challenges are being addressed by investment supported by major European banks and via multi-national grain companies’ investments (Figure 1). » Ukraine has a large and growing source of demand for grains on its doorstep in several Middle East and north African countries. Table 1 Costs of wheat production in Ukraine and Australia* (AUD/ha) Cost component ($/t) Ukraine Australia Wheat yield (t/ha) 3.35 1 . 82 Seed 42 27 Fertiliser 181 90 Chemicals 74 110 Diesel 54 15 Labour 25 11 Variable operating costs 376 253 Direct salary and tax 10 43 Land 60 80 Total costs ($/ha) 446 376 Total costs ($/t) 133 207 * Estimates based on weighted averages across regions and production systems Source: AEGIC 2016

Transcript of The export of Ukrainian grain is following factors...The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain...

Page 1: The export of Ukrainian grain is following factors...The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain is underpinned by the following factors — » The Ukrainian Hryvnia remaining devalued.

The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain is underpinned by the following factors —

» The Ukrainian Hryvnia remaining devalued. The Hryvnia devalued 60% against the US dollar in 2014/5, compared to the Australian dollar devaluation of 25% in the same period.

» Many Ukrainian grain growers are yet to fully embrace modern farming methods that will further reduce their costs of production and improve yield stability (Table 1).

» Ukraine’s logistics and infrastructure challenges are being addressed by investment supported by major European banks and via multi-national grain companies’ investments (Figure 1).

» Ukraine has a large and growing source of demand for grains on its doorstep in several Middle East and north African countries.

Table 1 Costs of wheat production in Ukraine and Australia* (AUD/ha)

Cost component ($/t) Ukraine Australia

Wheat yield (t/ha) 3.35 1.82

Seed 42 27

Fertiliser 181 90

Chemicals 74 110

Diesel 54 15

Labour 25 11

Variable operating costs 376 253

Direct salary and tax 10 43

Land 60 80

Total costs ($/ha) 446 376Total costs ($/t) 133 207* Estimates based on weighted averages across regions and production systems

Source: AEGIC 2016

Page 2: The export of Ukrainian grain is following factors...The export competitiveness of Ukrainian grain is underpinned by the following factors — » The Ukrainian Hryvnia remaining devalued.

For these actions to be successful, they need to form part of a broadly-supported, cohesive response by the Australian wheat industry to the threats and opportunities the industry faces. Failure to adopt a well-coordinated approach, which minimises fragmentation and duplication, will weaken Australia’s response to these challenges.

Download the full report here www.aegic.org.au

AEGIC is an initiative of the Western Australian State Government and Australia’s Grains Research and Development Corporation

Department ofAgriculture and Food

22,000 grain growers producing 44mmt

Capacity to store 15mmt — 20–80% of an

average harvest

20–30km average distance, usual truck

capacity 44t

550 receival sites with a total storage capacity of 55mmt

8 rail companies operating regionally, 3 rail gauges, 5400km grain only track,

commonly 60 wagon trains carrying 4500mt

20 bulk terminals at 18 ports

1100+ ocean vessels and 28mmt grain and

oilseed exported (18mmt wheat)

40,000 grain and oilseed growers

producing 71mmt

Capacity to store 14mmt — 15–20% of an

average harvest

30–60km average distance. Most inland recieval sites can only accept 30t trucks and less than 10m long

>800 receival sites with a total storage capacity of 41mmt. This includes

790 registered sites with a storage capacity

of 33mmt

1 state-owned rail company owns 84% of rail wagons, 1 rail gauge. Trains up to 54 wagons carrying

3200t. Over-limit truck loads common

24 bulk terminals at 14 ports

38mmt grain and oilseed exported (8mmt wheat)

Australia

20–30kmRoad transport

ReceivalsiteProducing 44mmt

Harvest 28mmtexportedPort

terminalOn-farmstorage

38mmtexported

100–400km

50%rail transport

Ship

50%road transport

Ukraine

30–60kmRoad transport

ReceivalsiteProducing 71mmt

Harvest Portterminal

On-farmstorage

91%ship

9%rail or road100–700km

61%rail transport

35%road transport

4%river barge

22,000 grain growers producing 44mmt

Capacity to store 15mmt — 20–80% of an

average harvest

20–30km average distance, usual truck

capacity 44t

550 receival sites with a total storage capacity

of 55mmt

8 rail companies operating regionally, 3 rail gauges, 5400km grain only track,

commonly 60 wagon trains carrying 4500mt

20 bulk terminals at 18 ports

1100+ ocean vessels and 28mmt grain and

oilseed exported (18mmt wheat)

40,000 grain and oilseed growers

producing 71mmt

Capacity to store 14mmt — 15–20% of an

average harvest

30–60km average distance. Most inland recieval sites can only accept 30t trucks and less than 10m long

>800 receival sites with a total storage capacity of 41mmt. This includes

790 registered sites with a storage capacity

of 33mmt

1 state-owned rail company owns 84% of rail wagons, 1 rail gauge. Trains up to 54 wagons carrying

3200t. Over-limit truck loads common

24 bulk terminals at 14 ports

38mmt grain and oilseed exported (8mmt wheat)

Australia

20–30kmRoad transport

ReceivalsiteProducing 44mmt

Harvest 28mmtexportedPort

terminalOn-farmstorage

38mmtexported

100–400km

50%rail transport

Ship

50%road transport

Ukraine

30–60kmRoad transport

ReceivalsiteProducing 71mmt

Harvest Portterminal

On-farmstorage

91%ship

9%rail or road100–700km

61%rail transport

35%road transport

4%river barge

22,000 grain growers producing 44mmt

Capacity to store 15mmt — 20–80% of an

average harvest

20–30km average distance, usual truck

capacity 44t

550 receival sites with a total storage capacity

of 55mmt

8 rail companies operating regionally, 3 rail gauges, 5400km grain only track,

commonly 60 wagon trains carrying 4500mt

20 bulk terminals at 18 ports

1100+ ocean vessels and 28mmt grain and

oilseed exported (18mmt wheat)

40,000 grain and oilseed growers

producing 71mmt

Capacity to store 14mmt — 15–20% of an

average harvest

30–60km average distance. Most inland recieval sites can only accept 30t trucks and less than 10m long

>800 receival sites with a total storage capacity of 41mmt. This includes

790 registered sites with a storage capacity

of 33mmt

1 state-owned rail company owns 84% of rail wagons, 1 rail gauge. Trains up to 54 wagons carrying

3200t. Over-limit truck loads common

24 bulk terminals at 14 ports

38mmt grain and oilseed exported (8mmt wheat)