SOER 2015 Implementation Plan Presented at the 18 th EIONET Air Quality Meeting
THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENT STATE AND OUTLOOK 2015 25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki.
-
Upload
alexina-cox -
Category
Documents
-
view
217 -
download
1
Transcript of THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENT STATE AND OUTLOOK 2015 25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
The European Environment Agency
The EEA is an EU agency that operates at the interface of science and policy.
With a network of more than 300 institutions in 39 European countries, the EEA provides timely, reliable and relevant information to support sustainable development.
EEA work is targeted at EU institutions, EEA member countries, civil society and the general public.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
The European environment – state and outlook 2015 (SOER 2015)
A comprehensive assessment of past trends and future outlooks.
SOER 2015 informs policy implementation and reflects on opportunities to recalibrate policies, knowledge, investments and innovations in line with the 2050 vision of the 7th EAP.
SOER 2015 Synthesis report
SOER 2015 Assessment of global megatrends
11 briefings
Globalmegatrends
25 briefings
Europeanbriefings
9 briefings
Cross-countrycomparisons
39+3 briefings
Countries and regions
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
The policy context
Source: EEA Multiannual Work Programme 2014–2018
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Vision of the 7th Environment Action Programme
‘In 2050, we live well, within the planet's ecological
limits.
Our prosperity and healthy environment stem from an
innovative, circular economy where nothing is wasted and
where natural resources are managed sustainably, and
biodiversity is protected, valued and restored in ways that
enhance our society's resilience. Our low-carbon growth
has long been decoupled from resource use, setting the
pace for a global safe and sustainable society.’
Source: 7th EU Environment Action Programme
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Key messages from SOER 2015
• Policies have delivered substantial benefits for the environment, economy and people’s well-being; major challenges remain
• Europe faces persistent and emerging challenges linked to production and consumption systems, and the rapidly changing global context
• Achieving the 2050 vision requires system transitions, driven by more ambitious actions on policy, knowledge, investments and innovation
• Doing so presents major opportunities to boost Europe’s economy and employment and put Europe at the frontier of science and innovation
© D
anie
l D
anko
, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Assessing past trends and future outlooks
The Synthesis report addresses the three thematic priority objectives of the 7th EAP:
1. Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital
2. Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy
3. Safeguarding from environmental risks to health
Two overall patterns emerge:
• Resource efficiency improvements have been notable but have not translated into increased ecosystem and social resilience
• The long-term outlook is often less positive than recent trends
© A
na S
kob
e, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Thematic priority objective 1:Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital
Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.
Past (5–10 year) trends
Progress to policy targets
Terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity
Land use and soil functions No target
Ecological status of freshwater bodies
Water quality and nutrient loading
Air pollution and its ecosystem impacts
Marine and coastal biodiversity
Climate change impacts on ecosystems No target
Improving trends dominate
Trends show mixed picture
Deteriorating trends dominate
Largely on track
Partially on track
Largely not on track
20+ years outlook
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Thematic priority objective 2:Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy
Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.
Past (5–10 year) trends
Progress to policy targets
Material resource efficiency and material use No target
Waste management Greenhouse gas emissions and climate change mitigation
/
Energy consumption and fossil fuel use Transport demand and related environmental impacts
Industrial pollution to air, soil and water
Water use and water quantity stress Improving trends dominate
Trends show mixed picture
Deteriorating trends dominate
Largely on track
Partially on track
Largely not on track
20+ years outlook
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Thematic priority objective 3:Safeguarding from environmental risks to health
Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.
Past (5–10 year) trends
Progress to policy targets
Water pollution and related environmental health risks /
Air pollution and related environmental health risks
Noise pollution (especially in urban areas)
Urban systems and grey infrastructure No target
Climate change and related environmental health risks
No target
Chemicals and related environmental health risks
/
Improving trends dominate
Trends show mixed picture
Deteriorating trends dominate
Largely on track
Partially on track
Largely not on track
20+ years outlook
/
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
The overall picture: Efficiency improvements have not secured long-term resilience
Protecting, conservingand enhancing natural
capital
Resource efficiencyand the low-carbon
economy
Safeguarding fromenvironmental risks
to health
Past (5–10) year trends
Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.
Improving trends dominate
Trends show mixed picture
Deteriorating trends dominate
20+ years outlook
/
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Understanding past trends and future outlooks
Two major factors explain the uneven progress and prospects:
The changing global context
• Competition for resources
• Pressures from outside Europe
• Planetary boundaries
Systemic characteristics of environmental challenges
• Complexity
• Uncertainty
• Environmental, social and economic interdependencies
© A
na S
kob
e, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Understanding past trends and future outlooks:Natural capital
• Long time-lags between reduced pressures and positive changes
• Pressures on ecosystems remain considerable
• External trends can counteract the positive effects of local efforts
© A
lex D
um
itre
scu, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Source: EEA, SOER 2015 Synthesis.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Understanding past trends and future outlooks: Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy• Production-consumption systems support livelihoods, creating
lock-ins
• Globalisation of production and consumption constrains EU influence
• More efficient production lowers costs, incentivising more consumption
© K
eit
h A
rkin
s, E
nvir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Source: EEA, SOER 2015 Synthesis.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Understanding past trends and future outlooks: Safeguarding from environmental risks to health• Impacts resulting from climate change are expected to
worsen
• Changing exposures, urbanisation and ageing increase vulnerability
• Good urban design delivers benefits to health and well-being
© A
lexand
er
Gora
nov, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Sources: Eurostat, Gisco - Urban Audit 2012; EEA, AirBase and Indicator CSI004.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
The global population is expected to grow 43% by 2050, with Africa’s population increasing especially fast
Source: UN World population prospects: The 2012 revision.
World Population projection trends, 19502100
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
World resource use is expected to at least double in the next three decades
© A
na S
kob
e, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
1980 1990 2000 2008 2010* 2020* 2030* 2040* 2050*0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
MetalsFossil fuelsMineralsBiomass
Souce: SERI (2013): SERI Global Material Flows Database. 2013 Edition. Available at: www.materialflows.net
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Projections of climate change impacts are increasingly worrying
© A
na S
kob
e, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Global temperature increases of 4⁰C or more by 2100 would create significant risks to global food security
Projected change in global aggregate crop yields due to climate change, 2010–2109
Source: IPCC, 2014.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Looking ahead: Systemic challenges require systemic solutions
Not just incremental efficiency gains
but fundamental transitions in food, energy, mobility, urban, finance and fiscal systems
through profound changes in dominant practices, policies and thinking.
Source: Tesla
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Energy efficiency has increased, but we are far from a low-carbon economy
Source: EEA (CSI 028)
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Homes are now more energy efficient, but also much larger, increasing pressures on land, water and materials
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Cars are more efficient but overall fuel consumption and emissions have increased
Source: Tesla
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Achieving the 2050 vision depends on action today: Fostering innovation
• Technological, economic and social innovations can support long-term transitions to a green economy
• Creating a green economy requires upscaling niche innovations
• Publicly funded research has fostered many of the most important and commercially successful innovations
• Europe should not be afraid of leading the world on environmental standards: investments and innovation can boost prosperity today
© V
icto
r Tr
oyanov, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Eco-industries have prospered despite the recession in Europe
© D
anie
l D
anko
, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201290
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
Eco-industry value addedEco-industry employment
Total EU GDP
Total EU employment
Source: Eurostat, 2014.
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Environmental policy is a driver of innovation, not a deterrent
© D
anie
l D
anko
, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
Waste
Renewables
Greeninnovation
Töpfer law (waste)
20-20-20Targets
Renewables Directive
Kyoto Protocol
Source: OECD
Patent applications with European coverage (1978=100, 3-yr moving average)
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Europe’s environmental leadership can set standards globally
© D
anie
l D
anko
, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Adoption of the EU's Euro emissions standards for cars and vans in Asian countries, 1995–2025
Source: Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities, 2011
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Innovation in urban systems: green infrastructure
© V
icto
r Tr
oyanov, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Air trees, Madrid Urban forest, Milan
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Innovative financing tool: green bonds
Green bonds – a hybrid investment tool for financing transitions by combining public and private contributions
© V
icto
r Tr
oyanov, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
COUNTRY COMPARISONS
GLOBALMEGATRENDS
EUROPEANBRIEFINGS
COUNTRIES & REGIONS
SYNTHESISREPORT
Looking ahead: Living well within the limits of the planet by 2050
Achieving the 2050 vision is possible but it depends on our actions and investments today.
Systemic change must deliver decent employment, prosperity and equity, as well as respecting environmental limits.
SOER 2015 illustrates the success of European policy. We should be confident in entering a new stage of environmental governance.
The EEA’s growing knowledge base and partnerships can provide valuable inputs to EPSC work
© V
icto
r Tr
oyanov, Envir
onm
ent
& M
e /
EEA
Stay informed about SOER 2015 and receive our products sign up at:
http://eea-subscriptions.eu/subscribe
Thank you!
BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS