The epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh ... · kala-azar case is the strongest...

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Indian J Med Res 123, March 2006, pp 275-288 The epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh: prospects for improved control Caryn Bern & Rajib Chowdhury* Division of Parasitic Diseases, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention Atlanta GA, USA *Mohakhali, Dhaka, Bangladesh Received June 2, 2005 The parasitic disease kala-azar (visceral leishmaniasis, VL) was first described in 1824 in Jessore district, Bengal (now Bangladesh). Epidemic peaks were recorded in Bengal in the 1820s, 1860s, 1920s, and 1940s. After achieving good control of the disease during the intensive vector control efforts for malaria in the 1950s-1960s, Bangladesh experienced a VL resurgence that has lasted to the present. Surveillance data show an increasing trend in incidence since 1995. Research in recent years has demonstrated the utility of non-invasive diagnostic modalities such as the direct agglutination test and rapid tests based on the immune response to the rK39 antigen. In common with its neighbours India and Nepal, VL in Bangladesh is anthroponotic. Living in proximity to a kala-azar case is the strongest risk factor for disease, while consistent use of bed nets in the summer months and the presence of cattle are protective. Shortages of first-line antileishmanial drugs and insecticide for indoor spraying programmes have hindered VL treatment and vector control efforts. Effective control of VL will require activities to improve availability and access to diagnostic testing and antileishmanial drugs, enhanced surveillance for kala-azar, post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis and VL treatment failures, and increased coverage and efficacy of vector control programmes. Key words Epidemiology - PKDL - vector control - visceral leishmaniasis 275 Historical perspective The parasitic disease kala-azar (visceral leishmaniasis) was first described in 1824, in Jessore district, Bengal in what is now Bangladesh 1,2 . Historical records describe the classical picture of kala-azar - prolonged irregular fever, progressive emaciation, and enlargement of the liver and spleen 1 . The disease spread west to other parts of Bengal (1830s-1850s), Dhaka district (1862), Rangpur in northern Bengal (1872), northeast into the Garo Hills of Assam (1872), and west into Bihar (1872) 1 . Kala-azar appeared to have spread along the courses of the Ganges and Brahmaputra rivers, the major transport routes 2 . In these early outbreaks, the case-fatality rate was reported to be >95 per cent, with community-wide mortality rates of >25 per cent. The epidemic that occurred in Jessore from 1824 to 1827 reportedly killed 75,000 people. The first affected village in Dhaka district is said to have disappeared from the map 1 . Review Article

Transcript of The epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh ... · kala-azar case is the strongest...

Indian J Med Res 123, March 2006, pp 275-288

The epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh:prospects for improved control

Caryn Bern & Rajib Chowdhury*

Division of Parasitic Diseases, Centers for Disease Control & PreventionAtlanta GA, USA *Mohakhali, Dhaka, Bangladesh

Received June 2, 2005

The parasitic disease kala-azar (visceral leishmaniasis, VL) was first described in 1824 in Jessoredistrict, Bengal (now Bangladesh). Epidemic peaks were recorded in Bengal in the 1820s, 1860s,1920s, and 1940s. After achieving good control of the disease during the intensive vector controlefforts for malaria in the 1950s-1960s, Bangladesh experienced a VL resurgence that has lasted tothe present. Surveillance data show an increasing trend in incidence since 1995. Research in recentyears has demonstrated the utility of non-invasive diagnostic modalities such as the directagglutination test and rapid tests based on the immune response to the rK39 antigen. In commonwith its neighbours India and Nepal, VL in Bangladesh is anthroponotic. Living in proximity to akala-azar case is the strongest risk factor for disease, while consistent use of bed nets in the summermonths and the presence of cattle are protective. Shortages of first-line antileishmanial drugs andinsecticide for indoor spraying programmes have hindered VL treatment and vector control efforts.Effective control of VL will require activities to improve availability and access to diagnostic testingand antileishmanial drugs, enhanced surveillance for kala-azar, post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasisand VL treatment failures, and increased coverage and efficacy of vector control programmes.

Key words Epidemiology - PKDL - vector control - visceral leishmaniasis

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Historical perspective

The parasitic disease kala-azar (visceralleishmaniasis) was first described in 1824, in Jessoredistrict, Bengal in what is now Bangladesh1,2. Historicalrecords describe the classical picture of kala-azar -prolonged irregular fever, progressive emaciation, andenlargement of the liver and spleen1. The disease spreadwest to other parts of Bengal (1830s-1850s), Dhakadistrict (1862), Rangpur in northern Bengal (1872),

northeast into the Garo Hills of Assam (1872), and westinto Bihar (1872)1. Kala-azar appeared to have spreadalong the courses of the Ganges and Brahmaputra rivers,the major transport routes2. In these early outbreaks,the case-fatality rate was reported to be >95 per cent,with community-wide mortality rates of >25 per cent.The epidemic that occurred in Jessore from 1824 to1827 reportedly killed 75,000 people. The first affectedvillage in Dhaka district is said to have disappearedfrom the map1.

Review Article

At the turn of the 20th century, kala-azar occurredas far south as Tamil Nadu, where Charles Donovanwas a British military medical officer. Early in 1903,Donovan in Madras and Leishman in Londonindependently demonstrated the causative parasite insplenic tissue in autopsies from kala-azar patientsinfected in India3,4. Donovan performed a splenicaspirate in a young Indian patient in Madras later in1903, demonstrating the parasite for the first time ina living patient5. Within a few months, Ronald Rossproposed the name Leishmania donovani for thenewly discovered parasite6, although otherclassifications were used as late as the 1920s. Vector-borne transmission was hypothesized from early inthe 20th century. Experimental transmission ofL. donovani by phlebotomine sand flies to animalswas demonstrated in 19317. In 1942, Swaminathet al8 demonstrated L. donovani transmission byPhlebotomus argentipes to human volunteers,establishing this species of sand fly as the vector inSouth Asia.

The first 40 yr of the 20th century also saw a seriesof key discoveries in the diagnosis, treatment andcontrol of visceral leishmaniasis1. The aldehyde testwas developed in 1921 and a complement-fixationtest in 1939. Splenic puncture was used from the earlydecades of the 20th century. Antimonial drugs werefirst introduced for South American mucocutaneousleishmaniasis in 1913 and for kala-azar in 1915. Earlytrivalent antimonials caused severe toxicity, but theintroduction of several pentavalent antimonialsbetween 1915 and 1939 resulted in a 95 per cent curerate, and treatment regimens not very different fromthose used today in Bangladesh. DDT and pyrethrumwere known to be effective for sand fly control bythe 1940s. Indeed, all of the major components of akala-azar control programme were available by the1940s1.

Visceral leishmaniasis in Bengal before andduring the malaria eradication era, and itssubsequent resurgence

Kala-azar epidemic peaks were recorded inBengal in the 1820s, 1860s, 1920s, and 1940s1,2,9.

In the 1920s, the All-Bengal Kala-azar Conferencelisted the districts most affected by kala-azar basedon dispensary records as Tangail ( in 1919),Rajshahi, Jessore, Mymensingh, and Noakhali9.Sengupta reviewed survei l lance data for>1,000,000 kala-azar cases reported in Bengalfrom 1931-194310. At that time, the most affecteddistricts included Rajshahi, Dinajpur, Jessore,Noakhali and Chittagong (in East Bengal), as wellas Murshidabad and Malda (in West Bengal). Alarge upsurge of kala-azar cases in the 1940sincluded urban transmission in someneighborhoods of Calcutta11.

An intensive control programme aimed at theeradication of malaria was mounted in the 1950s and1960s throughout the South Asian subcontinent. Theeffort was based in large part on indoor residualspraying with DDT. The simultaneous drop in kala-azar incidence was widely seen as a collateralbenefit2,9. However, within a few years after the endof the eradication effort, kala-azar returned to Bihar12

and to Bengal on both sides of the border13,14.Investigators hypothesized that patients with post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis (PKDL) provided theinfection reservoir that initiated foci of resurgenceafter intensive vector control ended, a hypothesissupported by the demonstration that PKDL patientsinfected a high proportion of laboratory-reared sandflies fed on them13.

In Bangladesh, sporadic kala-azar cases werereported in the 1970s, and an outbreak occurred inPabna district in 198014. There has been kala-azartransmission in Bangladesh every year since then14.Surveillance data are lacking from this period, butin a series of 59 kala-azar patients reported from1968-1980, cases were reported from at least 7districts in Bangladesh15. The districts most affectedin the early 1980s were reported to have beenSirajganj, Pabna, Mymensingh, Rajshahi andTangail9,14.

Recent kala-azar surveillance data

From 1994 through 2004, a total of 73,467 kala-azar cases were reported to the Malaria and Vector-

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Table I. The cumulative reported incidence of kala-azar bydistrict from 1994-2004. The Table lists the 19 districts thatreported 100 or more kala-azar cases over the 11-year period.Five additional districts reported 10 - 99 cases, 7 districtsreported 2 - 10 cases; and the remaining districts reported nocases of kala-azar. Source of data: Directorate General of HealthServices, Government of Bangladesh

Kala-azar cases reported 1994-2004

District N Total (%) Cumulative Annual(%) rate*

Mymensingh 28607 38.9 38.9 5.8Pabna 10400 14.2 53.1 4.3Tangail 7940 10.8 63.9 2.1Jamalpur 5734 7.8 71.7 2.4Sirajganj 3256 4.4 76.1 1.1Gazipur 3179 4.3 80.5 1.5Natore 2715 3.7 84.2 1.6Naogaon 2126 2.9 87.1 0.8Manikganj 1445 2.0 89.0 1.0Rajshahi 1300 1.8 90.8 0.5Nawabganj 1224 1.7 92.5 0.8Thakurgaon 820 1.1 93.6 0.6Panchaghar 796 1.1 94.7 0.9Patuakhali 753 1.0 95.7 0.5Dinajpur 730 1.0 96.7 0.3Rajbari 618 0.8 97.5 0.6Jhenaidaha 541 0.7 98.3 0.3Dhaka 491 0.7 98.9 0.06Gaibanda 224 0.3 99.2 0.09Narayanganj 131 0.2 99.4 0.06Joypurhat 122 0.2 99.6 0.1Bogra 118 0.2 99.7 0.03

*Mean number of kala-azar cases reported per 10,000 per year,based on estimated district population in 1998

Fig. 1. Kala-azar cases reported by year in national surveillance data. (Source: Malaria and Vector-Borne Disease Control Unit,Directorate General of Health Services, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka).

Borne Disease Control Unit, Directorate General ofHealth Services (DGHS), Government ofBangladesh. The kala-azar data collated by the DGHSresult from passive surveillance at the level of thethana (subdistrict) health complexes (THC). Onlykala-azar patients diagnosed at the THCs areincluded, and the data are widely believed torepresent a substantial underestimate. Factors thatchange over time, such as the availability or lack ofdiagnostic tests and antileishmanial drugs, may altersensitivity and specificity of diagnosis and theproportion of kala-azar patients who attend the THC.Nevertheless, the data have broad coverage and areuseful to examine geographic distribution and trendsover time. Annual kala-azar case totals ranged from3,965 in 1994 to 8,920 in 2004, with a trend of risingincidence (Fig. 1).

Although kala-azar cases were reported from 34of Bangladesh’s 64 districts, more than 90 per centof cases were reported from just 10 districts(Table I). Eleven districts reported >1,000 cumulativecases over the 11 yr period 1994-2004 (Fig. 2), while6 reported 100-999, 5 reported 10-99, and 7 districtsreported 2-9 kala-azar cases. From 1994 to 1996,Pabna district reported the highest annual number of

Fig. 2. Cumulative kala-azar cases reported from 1994 to 2004 by district based on national surveillance data. (Source: Malaria andVector-Borne Disease Control Unit, Directorate General of Health Services, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka).

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kala-azar cases. After 1996, the incidence inMymensingh overtook that in Pabna, and hascontinued to rise since that time (Fig. 3). Every yearfrom 2000 to 2004, Mymensingh accounted for morethan 50 per cent of the total kala-azar cases reportedin Bangladesh, and disease transmission in the districtappears to be the major focus fueling a sustainedepidemic.

Annual kala-azar incidence rates calculated usingtotal district population as the denominator (TableI) are misleading, since not all thanas in an affecteddistrict report cases. In Mymensingh district, only 5of 12 thanas reported kala-azar cases in recent years(Fig. 4). Using the population of the respective thanaas the denominator, the incidence of kala-azar inFulbaria thana ranged from 30 to 33/10,000/year

since 2000, while that in Trishal, the next mostaffected thana, ranged from 21 to 26/10,000/year.Over the same period of time, the incidence in theother 3 endemic thanas, Bhaluka, Muktagacha, andGoforgaon, ranged from 5 to 15 cases/10,000/year.For the 5 endemic thanas of Mymensingh district,the mean annual reported incidence since 2000 was17/10,000/year, compared to 8.3/10,000 when thetotal district population was used (Table I).

One international expert in the field estimates thatthe number of cases reported in surveillance data islikely to be at least a 5-fold underestimate (personalcommunication, P. Desjeux). Based on currentlyavailable information, it is not possible to assess thedegree of underreporting with precision, nor theextent to which this varies from one district to

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Fig. 3. Kala-azar cases reported by year from the 3 highest incidence districts. (Source: Malaria and Vector-Borne Disease ControlUnit, Directorate General of Health Services, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka).

Fig. 4. Cumulative kala-azar cases reported from 2000 to 2004 from 5 thanas of Mymensingh district. (Source: Office of the CivilSurgeon, Mymensingh District).

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another. The estimate of 5-fold underreporting wouldimply that the true incidence of kala-azar inBangladesh is closer to 40,000 to 45,000 per year.The area most affected by kala-azar in Bangladeshsince 1994 has generally encompassed the center andthe northwestern quarter of the country, with endemicdistricts reaching to the border with West Bengal;the estimated population at risk is said to be 20million people. Nevertheless, both the recentsurveillance data and the historical record clearlyindicate that the area of potential risk for visceralleishmaniasis is much larger, stretching fromNoakhali and Patuakhali on the Bay of Bengal toChittagong in the southeast and the border withAssam in the north.

Research on visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladeshsince 1990

Since 1990, more than 20 research articles onvisceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh have beenpublished. More than half of the articles focus onapplied laboratory issues, such as the developmentand implementation of better non-invasive diagnostictests (Table II). The next most numerous set ofarticles describe case series of patients and addresskey clinical issues. Only a handful of studiesaddressed the epidemiology of the disease, and manykey epidemiologic questions remain (Table III).

In the late 1980s and early 1990s, several largesurveys were conducted in VL-endemic districts16,17.The later survey also included a comparison site inan area not considered endemic for VL. Thesestudies, as well as several related laboratory-basedevaluations22,24 established the utility of the directagglutination test (DAT) as a diagnostic andepidemiologic tool in Bangladesh. Using somecombination of clinical screening, parasitologicdiagnosis and DAT, the 1987-1989 survey inMymensingh district ascertained 1,273 prevalentkala-azar patients in a total population of 476,000,corresponding to an approximate prevalence of26/10,000 population16. The 1991-1992 studyincluded serologic screening of 17,826 residents ofendemic areas. The prevalence of positive DAT was

423 of 9,619 (4.4%) residents of Trishal thana(Mymensingh district) and 495 of 7,328 (6.75%)residents of Shahjadpur thana (Sirajganj district)17.The 125 participants suspected to have kala-azarbased on clinical f indings and positive DATunderwent bone marrow aspiration; only 29 werefound to have parasites on aspirate. Nevertheless,all 125 were reported to have recovered clinicallyin response to antileishmanial treatment. The ratioof asymptomatic DAT-positive participants to thoseconsidered to have kala-azar was 739 to 125(approximately 6 to 1).

Laboratory-based studies have demonstrated thatthe predominant parasite strain causing visceralleishmaniasis and PKDL in Bangladesh isLeishmania donovani (sensu stricto) MHOM/IN/80/DD826,27, identical to the predominant strain inBihar, India38. DAT and the rK39immunochromatographic strip test perform withexcellent sensit ivity and good specif icity inBangladesh36, as in India39-41 and Nepal42-44. Newerdiagnostic tests, especially the urine-based tests28,31,show great promise as another non-invasivediagnostic modality.

Clinical case series document a 5 per cent case-fatality rate for kala-azar patients in the hospital, anddemonstrate jaundice, bleeding, tuberculosis andascites as complications of the disease34. Bangladeshiinvestigators report bleeding and cardiac arrhythmiasas adverse effects of antimonial drug treatment35,37.In clinical case series, male kala-azar patientsgenerally outnumber females; however, becausefemales often have poorer access to hospital care thanmales, these data cannot be generalized to thecommunity.

One major community study of kala-azar waspublished in recent years. The study was conductedin a highly endemic village in Fulbaria thana,Mymensingh district, where the average kala-azarincidence from 2000 to 2002 was 2 per cent peryear18. Of 492 houses surveyed, 99 (20%) had atleast one member with kala-azar during the 3-yearperiod, and 29 (6%) had more than one member withkala-azar. The median time from onset of illness to

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Table II. Visceral leishmaniasis research studies published from Bangladesh, 1990-present

Design Location Major findings Reference

Community-based studies

Serosurvey Mymensingh DAT >99 per cent sensitive for kala-azar 93 per cent specificity

in endemic controls 16

Serosurvey Mymensingh, 4.4 and 6.75 per cent prevalence of DAT+, ratio of kala-azar to

Sirajganj subclinical infection ~6 to 1 17

Epidemiologic and Mymensingh 2 per cent incidence of kala-azar in community; kala-azar identified

qualitative study as a major health problem; kala-azar diagnosis and treatment

represent major economic burden; delay before kala-azar treatment

longer in women, case-fatality rate higher than in men; kala-azar

clustered within village. High risk of kala-azar associated with

living in same household or within 50 m of previous case, lower

risk for presence of cattle, use of bed nets. 18, 19, 20

Laboratory based studies

Diagnostics Dhaka IFAT 100 per cent sensitive in 125 parasitologcally confirmed

kala-azar patients, 100 per cent specific in 100 healthy controls,

50 controls with other diseases, 81 per cent positive in 100 suspect

kala-azar 21

Diagnostics Mymensingh, DAT antigen production in Dhaka and implementation in endemic

Dhaka district are feasible, autochthonous strain gives higher DAT titres 22

Strain typing Dhaka Isoenzyme profiles from 11 kala-azar and 4 PKDL patients all

identical to reference strain Leishmania donovani (sensu stricto)

MHOM/IN/80/DD8 (LON41) 23

Diagnostics Dhaka DAT 100 per cent sensitive in 38 parasitologically confirmed

kala-azar patients; 75 per cent of 15 suspect patients negative on

bone marrow aspirate were also DAT positive 24

Diagnostics Chittagong, Dhaka High concordance among IFAT, ELISA and DAT in 81

parasitologically confirmed kala-azar, 74 suspect kala-azar,

250 healthy and 80 ill controls; DAT most practical 25

Strain typing Bangladeshi 6-phosphogluconate dehydrogenase enzyme most useful for

specimens electrophoresis; all 5 Bangladeshi isolates identified as

L. donovani MHOM/IN/80/DD8 26, 27

Diagnostics Bangladeshi Development of urine ELISA tested in Bangladeshi specimens;

specimens sensitivity 95 per cent, specificity 95 per cent using acetone-

treated promastigotes 28

Private laboratory Mymensingh Suspect kala-azar referred for rK39 strip test. 66 per cent male,

case series 60 per cent from 2 most affected subdistricts, but 40 per cent

from 13 other subdistricts 29

Diagnostics Mymensingh Compared to bone marrow/splenic aspirate culture in 38 cases

and 13 ill controls, sensitivity/specificity of rK39 strip test

100/92 per cent, aldehyde test 92/46 per cent 30

Contd.....

Diagnostics Bangladeshi Development of urine DAT (sensitivity 91%, specificity

specimens 86% in negative controls, 71-100% in ill control groups) and

ELISA (sensitivity 93%) tested in Bangladeshi specimens 31

Diagnostics Mymensingh Splenic aspirate 90 per cent sensitivity, bone marrow aspirate

72 per cent sensitive 32

Hospital-based studies

Clinical case series Dhaka 20/134 (9.4%) patients with febrile illness lasting >3 wk had

kala-azar, 3rd most common diagnosis after TB and enteric fever 33

Clinical case series Rajshahi Of 553 kala-azar patients, 27 (5%) died during treatment from

haemorrhage (12), sudden death (7), varied causes (5),

pulmonary TB (3) 34

Clinical case series Mymensingh 81 adult kala-azar patients, 58 per cent male: 100 per cent fever,

splenomegaly, 91 per cent hepatomegaly, 17 per cent jaundice,

5 per cent bleeding, 5 per cent ascites; 7 per cent urinary tract infection,

4 per cent TB, 4 per cent heart failure. 35

Hospital-based Mymensingh 60 parasitologically confirmed kala-azar patients, 60 ill and

diagnostics study 60 well controls; bone marrow aspirate 75 per cent sensitive;

rK39 strip test sensitivity 96.6 per cent, specificity 98.3 per cent 36

Case report Rajshahi Report of one kala-azar patient with arrhythmia and syncope

apparently due to antimonial 37

DAT, direct agglutination test; IFAT, immunofluorescent antibody test; PKDL, post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

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init iat ion of anti leishmanial treatment was4 months; females were ill significantly longer thanmales (5 versus 3 months, P=0.03). Although theincidence of disease did not differ significantlybetween sexes, females with kala-azar were nearly3 times more likely to die (P=0.06)18. In focus groupinterviews, community members expressed thedesire to learn more about kala-azar and thewillingness to take collective action.

The same community study included a risk factoranalysis, whose objective was to guide developmentof prevention strategies20. In age-adjustedmultivariable models, 4 factors that altered kala-azar risk were identified: age between 3 and 45, andproximity to a previous case [OR 25.4 (95%CL15,44) in the same household; OR 3.2 (1.7,6.1)living within 50 meters] were associated withincreased risk, while higher numbers of cattle per1,000 m2 [for each additional cow per 1000 m2, OR

0.8 (0.70,0.94)] and consistent use of a bed net insummer [OR 0.7 (0.53,0.93)] were associated withprotection. A total of 86 per cent of the populationreported sleeping under a bed net at least some ofthe time, and 91 per cent lived in a house that ownedat least one net. These analyses suggest that bednets are already acceptable in Bangladeshicommunities and that insecticide-treated nets couldbe a highly effective preventive intervention. Datafrom this study suggested that rates of treatmentfailure and of PKDL were relatively low: only 3treatment failures and 6 cases of PKDL weredetected, out of 155 kala-azar cases that occurredin the 4 yr before the analysis20. However, cautionmust be used in interpreting these data; follow upwas not complete for the more recent cases, and thepopulation under surveillance was relatively small.These data cannot be taken to represent theincidence of PKDL and treatment failure in thewider population.

Design Location Major findings Reference

Data collected in connection with the Fulbariastudy examined the economic impact of kala-azar onaffected households (D.A. Sharma, unpublished data).To obtain health care for one kala-azar patient, themedian direct expenditure and the median income lostwere equivalent to 80 and 40 per cent of the yearlyper capita income, respectively. The total costs of 120per cent of the yearly per capita income in the studypopulation represent a catastrophic burden for affectedhouseholds. Families were forced to sell livestock andland, and to take loans to pay for treatment.

Challenges for visceral leishmaniasis controlefforts in Bangladesh

A Memorandum of Understanding was signed bythe Ministers of Health of India, Bangladesh andNepal, and the Southeast Asian Regional Office ofthe World Health Organization during the 2005World Health Assembly. This document calls foraggressive action to decrease kala-azar incidencebelow 1 case per 10,000 inhabitants in VL-endemicareas by 2015. Anthroponotic visceral leishmaniasismeets the technical criteria for a disease potentiallycapable of elimination45, and the experience of themalaria eradication era demonstrated that controlmeasures available in the 1950s and 1960s were ableto decrease the incidence of kala-azar belowdetectable levels2. However, formidable tasks lieahead for those working to control visceralleishmaniasis in Bangladesh (Table IV).

Untreated kala-azar and PKDL patientsconstitute the major reservoir for ongoingtransmission of anthroponotic visceralleishmaniasis. Therefore, timely, effective diagnosisand drug treatment are essential not only to curethe individual patient, but also to decrease theleishmaniasis infection reservoir. The first step inthis process is to decrease the time from onset ofillness to diagnosis. The median delay from onsetof fever to treatment in South Asia is 4 months18,46,47;this period almost certainly represents 4 months ofa kala-azar patient being highly infective to sandflies and increased disease risk to family membersand near neighbours. Currently, the costs ofaccessing diagnostic services contribute to thisdelay; these costs include both the substantial directcost of some tests, and the loss of income incurredby household wage earners to take family membersfor care. Availabi l i ty of sensit ive, specif icnon-invasive tests, such as the rK39immunochromatographic strip test, through a publicsector visceral leishmaniasis control programmecould dramatically decrease the delay in diagnosis,especial ly i f coupled with health educationcampaigns to raise awareness.

The most urgent challenge facing the VLcontrol programme in Bangladesh today is toachieve affordable, rel iable access toantileishmanial drug treatment in all endemicthanas (Table IV). The Bangladesh national

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Table III. Key unanswered questions concerning the epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis in Bangladesh

Issue Questions

Kala-azar What is the true degree of underreporting in the current surveillance system?

How much does the degree of underrerporting vary by district and by thana?

Are there districts and/or thanas where no kala-azar cases are reported but there

is a substantial burden of disease?

Post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis (PKDL) What is the true rate of PKDL?

How can surveillance be established to better ascertain PKDL cases?

How can PKDL diagnosis and treatment be improved in endemic areas?

Treatment failures, drug resistance What is the true rate of treatment failure, relapse and drug resistance?

How can surveillance be established for these conditions?

General What is the true visceral leishmaniasis disease burden in Bangladesh?

Table IV. Major challenges facing the visceral leishmaniasis control programme in Bangladesh and potential solutions

Challenge Potential solutions

Improve antileishmanial drug access Government registration of SAG from several sources

Ensure supply of second-line antileishmanial drugs to affected thanas

Accelerate licensure of newer antileishmanials

Implement sustainable drug supply mechanisms

Link drug distribution to thanas most affected in recent surveillance data

Shorten time from onset of illness to Explore ways to provide rK39 rapid tests at the thana health complex

diagnosis Improve referral system for patients needing bone marrow or splenic aspirate

Develop an algorithm for diagnosis based on cost-effectiveness model

Identify barriers to timely diagnosis

Community health education campaigns to raise awareness and improve understanding

Explore methods to institute active case finding in highly affected areas

Improve and update surveillance system Evaluate current surveillance system to identify methods for improvement

Perform an explicit assessment of accuracy of reporting in several thanas

Establish indicators for adequacy of surveillance

Establish sentinel thanas to institute surveillance for treatment failures and PKDL

Implement timely reporting mechanism

Enhance vector control activities in Conduct thorough programme evaluation to identify needs

preparation for VL elimination programme Ensure reliable supply of insecticide

Improve supervisory staffing, protocol and implementation

Establish direct link between vector control programme and epidemiologic surveillance,

to implement rapid targeting of activities

Evaluate potential for community-based vector control activities, including insecticide-

impregnated nets, environmental control

Ensure rapid response to surveillance Improve data reporting and sharing between surveillance system and vector control

findings and evaluation of impact programme

Joint epidemiology-entomology task force to establish surveillance thresholds and

guidelines for vector control action

Incorporate annual evaluation of vector control actions triggered and implemented,

including assessment of impact on disease incidence

Establish an effective national VL Establish national task force with expertise and political authority to guide the VL control

control program programme

Establish interactive network of treatment centers that share guidelines and conduct

clinical trials

Ensure continuity of personnel at national, district and thana levels

Create reference laboratory for conventional and molecular diagnosis, and molecular

epidemiology

Build and sustain political commitment at national regional levels

SAG, sodium antimony gluconate; PKDL, post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis

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guidelines recommend sodium antimony gluconate(SAG), 20 mg/kg intramuscularly for 20 days, asfirst-line treatment of kala-azar. For PKDL, thenational guidelines recommend SAG 20 mg/kg for20 days per month for 6 months, totaling 120inject ions. Since 2000, endemic distr icts ofBangladesh have experienced severe shortages ofSAG, both in the THC and the private sector.Second-l ine anti leishmanial drugs are rarelyavailable. The only licensed manufacturer of SAGin Bangladesh ceased production of the drug in2003, and its stockpiles are said to be nearlyexhausted. The supply scarcity in combination withrising kala-azar incidence has led to high pricesfor SAG sold in private pharmacies. Surveys ofpharmacies in Mymensingh in 2004 showed pricesup to 4 times the official market price (D.A.Sharma, unpublished data). The antileishmanialdrug shortage is likely to lead to many preventabledeaths, suboptimal treatment courses, and morerapid development of SAG resistance. Anadditional issue is whether 20 days is still adequatefor the treatment of kala-azar in Bangladesh. InNepal and in parts of India where SAG still hasacceptable efficacy, the standard SAG treatmentregimen consists of 20 mg/kg per day for 30 to40 days.

Ascertainment and treatment of PKDL patientswill become a key issue for the control programme,especially when kala-azar incidence rates fall.Epidemiologic analyses suggest that under currentcircumstances in highly endemic areas, kala-azarpatients are the predominant reservoir fuelingongoing transmission20. However, experience in theVL resurgence of the 1970s suggests that a smallnumber of untreated PKDL patients could initiaterenewed transmission in an area13, and that PKDLpatients may become proportionately more importantas a reservoir if kala-azar incidence falls. Given theshortage of SAG, it is doubtful that most PKDLpatients in Bangladesh are able to receive the currentrecommendation of 120 days of treatment, and therehave been few clinical trials to establish the bestregimen. Alternative, more practical treatment

regimens for PKDL are urgently needed. Efforts arealso needed to develop active surveillance methodsto ascertain PKDL patients and institute appropriatereferral for treatment.

In preparation for the upcoming eliminationeffort, it would be extremely useful to review andupdate the Bangladesh national visceralleishmaniasis diagnosis and treatment guidelines.In addition, improvement of the drug licensure,procurement and distribution system for SAG in thepublic sector will be necessary to ensure timelytreatment of kala-azar and PKDL. Predominantreliance on the private sector to provide diagnosisand treatment may jeopardize the control effort. Thetime required for an impoverished family to gatherthe resources to pay for diagnostic tests and drugpurchase leads to more treatment delays andincreased disease transmission. A useful model maybe that used for tuberculosis, another disease forwhich ill humans are the reservoir for transmission.The DOTS model, implemented through apartnership between non-governmentalorganizations and the government sector, hasalready proved highly successful for tuberculosiscontrol in some of the thanas most affected byvisceral leishmaniasis48. In India, a different modelof public- private partnership was also successfulin promoting cooperation in provision of treatmentfor tuberculosis49.

Vector control is the other major component ofthe effort to eliminate visceral leishmaniasis. Thecurrent vector control programme is much smallerthan the programme that was so successful in the1950s and 1960s, and has struggled recently withshortages of insecticide. Increasing the capacity ofthe vector control programme will be essential, aswill activities that promote co-ordination betweenepidemiologic surveillance and the vector controlprogramme. Epidemiologic data suggest that whentransmission in a community is high, the susceptiblepopulation becomes saturated within a few years20.Thus, the window of opportunity for vector controlmeasures to interrupt transmission is relatively

BERN & CHOWDHURY: VISCERAL LEISHMANIASIS EPIDEMIOLOGY IN BANGLADESH 285

short. Careful evaluation, expert recommendationsfor specific strategies, reliable insecticide supplies,and effective, ongoing supervision of field teamswill be key to the success of the vector controlprogramme.

Finally, an effective national VL controlprogramme will have the essential role of oversightand integration of the diverse components outlinedabove, and will require a national steering committeewith the expertise and political authority to ensureits success. The programme will have the task of co-ordinating diagnostic, treatment and vector controlactivities in order to maximize their impact, as wellas ensuring adequate surveillance to monitor progresstoward the goal outlined by the Memorandum ofUnderstanding. Indicators to monitor the adequacyof surveillance will need to be developed. Treatmentcenters will need to be linked by shared guidelinesand timely feedback of surveillance data. Such alinkage could form the basis for a collaborativenetwork for multicenter clinical treatment trials, andsurveillance for treatment failures and developmentof drug resistance. A national reference laboratoryis needed to ensure and monitor quality of diagnosisat the peripheral level, and to be the center formolecular diagnosis and epidemiology. TheMemorandum of Understanding for the eliminationof VL in South Asia has the potential to represent aturning point in the long history of visceralleishmaniasis. Whether this potential can be fulfilleddepends on the scientific expertise and politicalcommitment that Bangladesh can bring to thischallenging enterprise.

Acknowledgment

We thank the Directorate General for Health Services andthe off ice of the Civil Surgeon, Mymensingh District,Bangladesh for providing kala-azar surveillance data, andJames H. Maguire, Rashidul Haque, and Jorge Alvar forscientific advice.

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Reprint requests: Dr Caryn Bern, Division of Parasitic Diseases (MS F-22), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention4770 Buford Highway NE, Atlanta GA 30341, USAe-mail: [email protected].