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Transcript of The Development of Flood Disaster Preparedness Indices Katsuhito Miyake ICHARM TC Integrated WS in...
The Development of Flood Disaster Preparedness Indices
Katsuhito Miyake
ICHARM
TC Integrated WS in Macao. Sep. 2010)
Contents Nesessity and GOAL for establishing FDPI Present Situation and Schedule -Evolution of FDPI platform -Complete the first stage of 78 questions through cooperation and discussion -Summarize our discussion Localization is the main issue Future Planning -How to create a self evaluation system -How to proceed a social statistical analysis -How to make FDPI a platform to share our experience
In many local disaster cases, assistance from the central governments is often not timely and insufficient.
Raising disaster preparedness level of communities /local government is the key.
In order to assess properly flood disaster preparedness level of local governments and/or communities, it is necessary to use common set of indicators for evaluation.
However, there is no standardized
set of indicators that are applicable in
many countries and can be used for
periodical assessment in localities
Objectives; improvement of disaster preparedness level of local governments
• National Fire Protection Association (NFPA): NFPA 1600: Standard on Disaster/Emergency Management and Business 米国消防庁
• Regional disaster management plan 地域防災計画(日本) • State Capability Assessment for Readiness (USA/FEMA) • Disaster management capacity evaluation for prefectures in
Japan 自治省消防庁都道府県防災力調査etc.
(Problems) Many of items in those practices cannot be applied in developing
countries, due to; 1) too many required items,2) lack of data and resources for collecting data, 3) shortage of financial/technical resources for taking counter-measures, 4) difference in perception of social capital, 5) not prepared for periodic evaluation
Existing practices and problems
Disaster Preparedness level should be assessed;
According to disaster management cycle
MITIGATION
RESPONSE
PREPAREDNESSRECOVERY
1. Mitigation
2. Preparedness
3. Response
4. Recovery/reconstruction
In short, Using FDPI, local communities can recognize and eva
luate their situations on flood disaster preparedness and can take specific actions against future possible events.
International societies and aid organizations can know their situations, needs, etc., for providing assistance
Our experience and useful lessons for local disaster preparedness can be shared through FDPI platform.
What is the GOAL of FDPI ?
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
ICHARM
Communities
JUST STARTED
Contents GOAL for establishing FDPI Present Situation and Schedule -Evolution of FDPI platform -Complete the first stage of 78 questions through cooperation and discussion -Summarize our discussion Localization is the main issue Future Planning -How to create a self evaluation system -How to proceed a social statistical analysis -How to make FDPI a platform to share our experience
1. Before the IWS at Macao; ICHARM, lead organization of this Flood Disaster Preparedness Indices (FDPI) project, had developed a set of disaster preparedness indices (a questionnaire survey including 78 points to be checked). At the same time, ICARM acquired the web site at http://www.fdpi.jp/fdpi/ where proposed questionnaire survey will be taken.
2. During Macao IWS; Japan will present in detail the configuration of questionnaire set together with introduction of the usage of newly-opened web-page from where questionnaire surveys will be taken. TC Members are then requested to cater this info. to disaster managers in many municipalities/communities in each territory.
3. By end-2010; Questionnaire survey will hopefully be participated by numerous number of municipalities/communities in TC members. Answers will be compiled and processed by ICHARM. Municipalities/communities will receive from ICHARM results of overall situation paper for flood preparedness level in TC region, as well as diagnosis report of flood preparedness level of each participating body.
Project Timeline for 2010
Open the FDPI site
Proceed the questionnaire
Evolution of FDPI platform
Sep.2010 Oct.2010 Nov.2010 Dec.2010 Jan.2011
Researching the recommendations
Collecting the
answers
Providing the evaluation results
To the next stage
We have just prepared the site
http://www.fdpi.jp/fdpi/
-Terms and Condition
-78 questions
- Confirmation and sending
Dear Madam/ Sir,Thank you for participating in the FDPI (Flood Disaster Preparedness Indices) survey. This survey is the first international effort for establishing FDPI by ICHARM (International Center for Water Hazard and Risk Management), PWRI (Public Works Research Institute). Your organization was selected, and success of this survey depends very much on your cooperation. We are very appreciative of your time.
Please know that everything you write will be completely confidential. The results of this survey will be reported only in aggregate form, and no one will be able to match your organization to the data.
This is a pilot survey for establishing FDPI, so we are keen to have your cooperation and comments to create a better FDPI. FDPI would be used for the communities’ self evaluation for flood disaster preparedness under the conditions that every community has each different situation. We hope FDPI could be useful and effective for a better flood preparedness for local communities.
If you have any questions about confidentiality or other aspects of this research, please feel free to contact us.
Sincerely yours,ICHARM members
Please select the one, agree or disagree, on these aim and conditions to proceed to answer the questionnaire.
agree Disagree
This is the explanation
of this survey
Terms and Conditions
FDPI website
This is face sheet Page
This is the category
This show the location
Respondents can write anything about each question
1 . General questions <Q1-Q7(7)>
2. Recognizing and identifying needs and
challenges <Q8-Q11(4)>
3. Conceptualizing for future
<Q12(1)>
4. Coordination and detail planning
<Q13-Q30(18)>
5. Implementation, monitoring and
evaluation <Q31-Q78(48)>
THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND COORERATION.YOU COMPLETED THE QUESTIONNAIRE.PLEASE CLICK THE FOLLOWING BUTTON TO SEND US YOUR RESULTS.WE APPRECIATE YOUR EFFORTS AND CONTRIBUTIONS.
SUBMISSION
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
FDPI
ICHARM
Community
JUST STARTED
- Evolution of FDPI platform- Complete the first stage of 78 questions
through cooperation and discussion
-Summarize our discussion ⇒Localization is the main issue ⇒How to localize? is the core of our discussions
Present Situation and Schedule
CORE of OUR DISCUSSIONS
-WHAT IS OUR TARGET GROUP?
-ADDING GENERAL QUESTIONS FOR
RESPONDANTS
- CHANGING EVALUATION CATEGORY
- ADDING SOCIAL CAPITAL QUESTIONS
-OMITTING INADEQUATE TERMS OR
QUESTIONS FOR LOCAL
COMMUNITIES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Our target group is a minimum administrative unit.for example, a Barangays in the Philippines
⇒ Having own staffs, budget, are requirements
For example: Administrative divisions of the Philippines
For example: Networks of the DCC (Disaster Coordinating Council)
CORE of OUR DISCUSSIONS
-WHAT IS OUR TARGET GROUP?
-ADDING GENERAL QUESTIONS FOR
RESPONDANTS
- CHANGING EVALUATION CATEGORY
- ADDING SOCIAL CAPITAL QUESTIONS
-OMITTING INADEQUATE TERMS OR
QUESTIONS FOR LOCAL
COMMUNITIES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
GENERAL QUESTION
1 . What do you think about the possibility that your community will suffer flood disasters?
①We have experienced flood disasters in the past 20 years,
and may also suffer them in the future.
②We have experienced flood disasters in the past 20 years;
however, it is unlikely that we will suffer them in the
future.
③We have not experienced flood disasters in the past 20
years, but may also suffer them in the future.
④We have experienced few flood disasters and it is unlikely
that we will suffer them in the future.
This part may impacts all other answers
GENERAL QUESTION
1 . What do you think about the possibility that your community will suffer flood disasters?
①We have experienced flood disasters in the past 20 years,
and may also suffer them in the future.
②We have experienced flood disasters in the past 20 years;
however, it is unlikely that we will suffer them in the
future.
③We have not experienced flood disasters in the past 20
years, but may also suffer them in the future.
④We have experienced few flood disasters and it is unlikely
that we will suffer them in the future.
This part may impacts other all
answers
GENERAL QUESTION
2. If you have any records or articles on past disasters, please provide those for us.
We can collect the information from
respondents
GENERAL QUESTION
3. Would you tell us about your community?
-Population
-Population growth rate or the population of 10 years
ago
-Age distribution, if possible, by decade Male-to-female
ratio
-Average income if available
-Number of the elementary schools
-Number of the hospitals
We can know their situations, but not only that, we can let them notice their situati
ons
CORE of OUR DISCUSSIONS
-ADDING GENERAL QUESTIONS FOR
RESPONDANTS
-CHANGING EVALUATION CATEGORY FOR
RESPONDANTS
- ADDING SOCIAL CAPITAL QUESTIONS
- OMITTING INADEQUATE TERMS OR
QUESTIONS FOR LOCAL
COMMUNITIES IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
Components of questionnaire
1.Basic Attitude
2.Disaster Prevention
3.Disaster Mitigation
4.Emergency Response
5.Reconstruction and Recovery
1. Hard Counter Measure
2. Water Disaster's Plan and
Implementation
3. Leadership and organizations’
Collaborations
4. Information and Education for
Local Residents
5. Community's Strength (Social
Capital etc.) This category is based on Disaster Management Cycle
00.20.40.60.8
1Ⅰ Hard countermeasures
Ⅱ Water Disaster Plan andImplementation
ⅢLeadership andorganizations'collaborations
ⅣInformation andEducation for Local
Residents
Ⅴ Community's Strength(Social Capital)
AVE
ComA
They can know their strength and
weakness more easily
CORE of OUR DISCUSSIONS
-ADDING GENERAL QUESTIONS FOR
RESPONDANTS
-CHANGING EVALUATION CATEGORY FOR
RESPONDANTS
- ADDING SOCIAL CAPITAL QUESTIONS
- OMITTING INADEQUATE TERMS OR
QUESTIONS FOR LOCAL
COMMUNITIES IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
For questions 20-27, please ask them to a few area leaders in your community first before answering this questionnaire.
They need to get cooperation from area leaders. This process itself may also important for leaders to confirm the communities’ social ties
Does your community have festivals, sports meets, and other activities in which many people participate?
① We often have such activities. ② We have such activities once a year. ③ We rarely have such activities.
Festivals or something like that may make community strong.
Are there any activities in your community in which people mutually help each other based on their religious faith?
① There are a lot of such activities. ② There are some activities of such kind. ③ There are few activities of such kind.
Churches, temples, and so on may play a key role during the disasters
Do you think people in your community will cooperate for each other’s safety in case of disaster?
① Almost all of them will cooperate. ② Some of them will cooperate. ③ Few of them will cooperate.
This is a estimation question to check the social ties, social capitals
CORE of OUR DISCUSSIONS
-ADDING GENERAL QUESTIONS FOR
RESPONDANTS
-CHANGING EVALUATION CATEGORY FOR
RESPONDANTS
- ADDING SOCIAL CAPITAL QUESTIONS
- OMITTING INADEQUATE TERMS OR
QUESTIONS FOR LOCAL
COMMUNITIES IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
How could we localize the questionnaire?
<Inadequate questions for localizing>We omitted the questions which might be not fitted to local communities situation in developing countries. For example,
- National Policy related questions Otherwise ICHARM will correct such information. -The special technical terms like cost benefit analysis, and so on.
- Facilities managed by upper governmental bodies.
How could we localize?
-How about the language? 1st stage, English, next step we will consider the local languages.
Contents GOAL for establishing FDPI Present Situation and Schedule -Complete the first stage of 78 questions through cooperation and discussion -Summarize our discussion Localization is the main issue Future Planning -How to create a self evaluation system -How to proceed a social statistical analysis -How to make FDPI a platform to share our experience
Expert knowledge will be employed for evaluation system improvement
※ We may consider the weight of each question
This is example, same weight calculation
Principal components analysis for each category to find the other elements to determine the local communities characteristics which we have not noticed for the next stage of the research.
If we need, we would modify the categories.
Not only that, we can analyze many ways to know the present local communities situation and utilize for the next stage of the questionnaire.
00.20.40.60.8
1Ⅰ Hard countermeasures
Ⅱ Water Disaster Plan andImplementation
ⅢLeadership andorganizations'collaborations
ⅣInformation andEducation for Local
Residents
Ⅴ Community's Strength(Social Capital)
AVE
ComA
They can know their strength and
weakness more easily
(specific name of method/practices,,,) could be useful for improving this situation. The system is the following ・・・・ (link)
Although the community can response properly and effectively in case of disaster, there are a few possibilities touse hardware resources smoothly.
They can refer the experience which we have shared depending on their situations
Matrix for FDPI
Contents GOAL for establishing FDPI Present Situation and Schedule -Complete the first stage of 78 questions through cooperation and discussion -Summarize our discussion Localization is the main issue Future Planning -How to create a self evaluation system -How to proceed a social statistical analysis -How to make FDPI a platform to share our experience
Contents GOAL for establishing FDPI Present Situation and Schedule -Complete the first stage of 78 questions through cooperation and discussion -Summarize our discussion Localization is the main issue Future Planning -How to create a self evaluation system -How to proceed a social statistical analysis -How to make FDPI a platform to share our experience
1. Before IWS in 2011 ICHARM will develop revised/improved set of FDPI, which will be informed to participating municipalities/communities and they will be encouraged to test again the revised set of FDPI, through the same website.
2. During IWS in 2011ICHARM will present to members final proposed set of FDPI together with self-diagnosis manual for flood preparedness level. Members will be consulted on these FDPI outputs.
3. By end-FY 2011 ICHARM will compile the final set of FDPI questionnaires, together with the self-diagnosis manual for flood preparedness level assessment. The final report for the project will also be prepared.
As TC project, this will finish in Year 2011, but the ICHARM activities will continue.
Project Timeline for 2011
Open the FDPI site
Proceed the questionnaire
Evolution of FDPI platform
Sep.2010 Oct.2010 Nov.2010 Dec.2010 Jan.2011
Researching the recommendations
Collecting the
answers
Providing the recommendations
2011
Proceed the questionnaire and return Interim results
Preparation of diagnostic /guidance materials according to various evaluation results
Provide results to International
societies
(specific name of method/practices,,,) could be useful for improving this situation. The system is the following ・・・・ (link)
Although the community can response properly and effectively in case of disaster, there are a few possibilities touse hardware resources smoothly.
They can refer the experience which we have shared depending on their situations
Matrix for FDPI
Image Map
We need your help, please encourage your local governments(minimum unit with own budget and staffs) to participate in this questionnaire survey. It could be done through on-line
basis and within a day.
Evaluation results will be provided.
The Development of Flood Disaster Preparedness Indices
Katsuhito Miyake
5 Sep. 2010
MANY THANKS!