The Current Model of Islamic Banking and …...Pakistan. For this purpose, Islamic banking...
Transcript of The Current Model of Islamic Banking and …...Pakistan. For this purpose, Islamic banking...
NUST JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES
Vol.5 No.1 (January-June 2019) pp. 43-62
The Current Model of Islamic Banking and Concentration
of Wealth
Waqasul Hassan* and Anwar Shah†
Abstract:
The eradication of the concentration of wealth is one of the prime objectives
of Islamic finance. Many scholars have written on this issue, who claim that by
eradicating interest from the society, we will be able to minimise the concentration of
wealth in an economy. This study conjectures that interest-free finance is a necessary
but not sufficient condition for the eradication of concentration of wealth. The sufficient
condition is to bring change in the objective of the Islamic banks that is, switching the
moto from the maximisation of the profit to the maximisation of welfare of society. This
paper states that the main focus of Islamic banks is to transform the current models of
interest based transactions to interest free transactions. However, merely changing the
transactions from interest based to interest free might not be enough to achieve the
main objective of Islamic finance. The study compares the assets side of Islamic and
conventional banks to provide support in favour of the hypothesis that with current
objective of profit maximisation, the Islamic banks are less likely to play any role in the
eradication of the concentration of wealth.
Keywords: Circulation of Wealth, Islamic Finance, Participatory
finance, Interest rate.
1. INTRODUCTION
Wealth plays a key role in the development of an economy.
However, it is not the production of wealth that matters; it is the
circulation of wealth that is important for an economy. For this purpose,
conventional economics has developed a financial system to ensure the
circulation of wealth within an economy [Mishkin (2004)]. The main
objective of such financial system is to ensure the channelisation of
money from surplus unit (savers) to deficit units (Investors). Such
channelisation takes place either directly through money and capital
markets or indirectly through financial intermediaries such as banks etc.
* Waqasul Hassan <[email protected]> is Graduate, School of
Economics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan. † Anwar Shah <[email protected].> is Assistant Professor, School of Economics,
Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
44 Hassan and Shah
The main lubricant for the flow of money from the surplus unit
to the deficit unit in the conventional financial system is interest. Banks
pay interest to depositors and receive interest from investors. One of the
main outcomes of interest based financial system is the concentration of
wealth in economies. The reason is that funds are not allocated on the
basis of productivity in economy; rather it is allocated on the basis of
credit worthiness. Hence, large corporations and businesses enjoy access
to funds and earn billions. New but productive investors are denied
access as they do not have collaterals. Thus, interest based financial
system is structurally flawed to solve the issue of the concentration of
wealth.
Is there any solution of this issue of the concentration of wealth?
The answer is yes provided that interest is declared illegal. In this regard,
economic system based on the tenants of Islam provides an ideal solution
for the problem of concentration of wealth. First, Islam declares interest
illegal.1
Next, Islam provides a comprehensive alternative for the flow of
money from savers to investors without interest. These alternatives are
in the form of three main modes of financing. The first alternative is trade
based and includes “Murabaha” “Bai Salam” and “Bai Moajjal”. The
second alternative is leasing based, mainly including “Ijara” and the
third alternative is participatory based, that includes “Mudharabah” and
“Musharkah”.
Based on the tenets of Islam, a large industry has emerged in the
world in general and Islamic countries in particular to provide Islamic
finance in the market. Pakistan has also initiated Islamic finance since
1979 and was among the first three countries with interest free banking.
However, the system could not move successfully due to lack of sharia
guided rules, proper homework at the level of central bank and
1 The Holy Quran in four different places (surah) mentions the prohibition of interest
(Riba). Surah Al-Rum, verse 39, Surah Al-Nisa', verse 161, Surah Al 'Imran, verses
130-32 and Surah al-Baqarah, verses 275-81. Likewise, different sayings of the Holy
Prophet Muhammad (PBUH) mention the prohibition of interest: For example, as
Hazrat Jabir (RA) states that The Prophet (PBUH) cursed the receiver and the payer of
interest; the one who records it and witnesses of the transaction and said: "They are all
alike [in guilt].
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 45
unacceptability of sudden shifts for banks from conventional to Islamic
modes.2
Hence, Islamic banking was re-launched in Pakistan in 2001 after
removing the above mentioned deficiencies by the Government of
Pakistan. For this purpose, Islamic banking department in State Bank of
Pakistan (SBP) was established in 2003. This department aims to
enhance and strengthen sharia compliance finance in Islamic Banks.
Over time, five full-fledged Islamic banks and fourteen conventional
banks with Islamic banking branches started operating in Pakistan.3
It is pertinent to mention that the main mode to ensure the
circulation of wealth in Islam is participatory based financing that is
“Mudharabah” and “Musharkah”. The reason is that it leads to effi-
ciency as well as equity, simultaneously. Efficiency comes as in
participatory financing funds transfer from one person to another based
on productivity and not on the basis of creditworthiness leading to
increase in the level of production of wealth. Equity comes as both
parties distribute profit according to the predetermined agreed ratio.
Moreover, in case of loss both bear the loss and economy is relieved from
passing the responsibility to other people in society. Nevertheless,
Islamic finance industry prefers sale based transaction and that too
“Murabaha” instead of doing participatory based financing. The data
show that the share of Mudharabah has decreased while that of the share
of Murabaha has increased over time in the Islamic banking industry
within Pakistan and across the world (see for example, Islamic Banking
Bulletin by State Bank of Pakistan). Hence, one can claim safely that
Islamic banks are playing very passive role in minimizing the
concentration of wealth within an economy.
Why is this the case? Some scholars have highlighted the reasons
that why Islamic banks is not playing a role in minimizing the
concentration of wealth. For example, Razi (2014) reports that the lack
2 State Bank of Pakistan (http://www.sbp.org.pk/departments/ibd.htm). 3 List of full-fledged Islamic Banks are: Meezan bank, Al Barakah Islamic Bank, Bank
Islamic, Dubai Islamic bank and Burj Bank limited. While the list of banks with Islamic
braches are: Habib Bank, Askari Bank, National Bank of Pakistan, Muslim Commercial
Bank, United Bank Limited, Bank Al-Habib, Dawood Islamic Bank Limited, Standard
Chartered Bank, Emirates Global Islamic Bank, Bank Al-Falah., Summit Bank, Bank
AL-Habib Limited, The Bank of Khebar.
46 Hassan and Shah
of regulations for Islamic banking in Muslim countries is playing a role
in the concentration of wealth. Dar and Presely (2000) show that agency
problem, lack of property rights, and tough competition from conven-
tional banks determine this failure. Abdul and Sarker (1999) considers
the issue of principle agent as the major cause of the low level of
participatory financing. However, to our knowledge researchers have
given little attention to the motive of profit maximization of banks as one
of the possible factors in the concentration of wealth. In this paper we
aim to fill this research gap.
This study adds in the current literature in the sense that the
motive of profit maximisation in Islamic banks herself is the main reason
for the concentration of wealth. We are of the view that Islamic finance
industry has entered the market with the objective of profit maxi-
misation. Hence, there is no difference in the objective of conventional
and Islamic banks. The only difference is that conventional industry does
not take into account the compatibility of any modes with Islamic
teaching while the latter tries to give due regard to Islamic teachings.
However, Islamic banks are making pick-and-choose policy in the
available modes of Islamic financing and mostly choose the one with the
high probability of profit and low level of risk. Therefore, they mostly
pick sale-based financing and leave participatory-based financing.
In order to pursue the motive of profit maximisation on average
each Islamic bank tries to make contract with financially sound and
strong organizations. They are ready to enter into participatory financing
with such organisations. But the profit motive of such organisations
requires to avoid sharing profit with Islamic Banks. So they prefer fixed
return-based financing. On the other hand, the profit motive of
financially weak organization requires that they should enter into
participatory-based financing with Islamic banks but the profit motive of
Islamic Banks requires to enter into low risk sale- based transaction with
them. Hence, the profit motives of Islamic Banks do not allow them to
minimise the concentration of wealth. In this paper we set out to test
whether such outcomes of profit motives is supported by data. In other
words we want to know whether sound organisations/firms prefer fixed
return-based financing while weak organisations/firms prefer participa-
tory-based financing.
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 47
To test our hypothesis, we collect data from firms in Pakistan.
We collect data regarding assets and profit after tax from the annual
reports of firms. While, information regarding willingness for taking
partnership or sale-based finance from Islamic banks is collected through
telephone. We mainly test that the firms with higher level of profits will
prefer non-participatory based financing with Islamic banks. On the
other hand, firms with low level of profits will prefer participatory-based
financing with Islamic banks. However, the data we collected partially
support this hypothesis. We find that large corporations are willing to
enter into participatory-based financing with Islamic banks. The prob-
able reason, we found, on the basis of our telephonic interview is that
Islamic banks offer high share in the profit to them. The study suggests
that Islamic banks can engage large corporations only if it sacrifices
some fraction of its profit. The limitation of the study is that we could
not test the hypothesis for small corporations and businesses. We divide
the registered companies on the basis of profit level into large and small,
which is not a very objective criterion for dividing the firms into strong
and weak. Future research can test our hypothesis with rich data.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 discusses
literature review. Section 3 describes theoretical framework and
hypotheses. Section 4 explains data and model, Section 5 discusses
results, while Section 6 concludes the study.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
In this section, first we present literature that discusses the reason
of trade-based finance in Islamic banks industry on theoretical basis.
Then, we present some empirical studies, which examine factors
affecting the behaviour of players in Islamic banks industry.
2.1. Theoretical Literature
Interest-bearing system promotes income inequalities and has
detrimental effects on efficiency and growth [Siddiqui, (2004)].
Likewise, it disturbs balance in the society, creates political issues, and
paves way for many extremist theories [Chapra (2008)]. On the other
48 Hassan and Shah
hand profit and loss sharing financial system brings efficiency and equity
in the society. However, Islamic banks rarely follow the modes of profit
loss sharing (PLS). This is inspite of the fact that the pioneers of Islamic
bank clearly mention that the main objective of Islamic banks is to
provide the opportunity of participatory mode of financing to clients [See
for details, Moudoodi (2000), (2002)] What are the reasons of this
theoretical drift? Mughal (2017) provides a comprehensive detail about
such drift. He mentions that over time some scholars start considering
PLS and trade-based financing to be the same. While the pioneers used
to considered participatory finance to be the best and allowed the trade-
based finance in special circumstances, but over the time scholars
provide justification for combining several contracts in one contract to
justify sharia issues in the Murabaha-based finance. In the same manner
Islamic scholars start defending all types of criticism on sale-based
financing [see for example, Ismail (1986), (2001); El-Gamal (2000) for
theoretical justification of sale-based financing]. Hamoud (1982) also
highlights the constraints of participatory financing in the Islamic
banking industry. Haque (1985) provides details on how participatory
financing may provide benefit to one person in case of asymmetric
information. In the same line, Warde (2006) sheds light on the issue of
adverse selection and moral hazard in the participatory mode of
financing. Saeedi (1998) and Usmani (2009) provide justification of
joining more contracts into one contract. The loan created after sale-
based products are paid in installments and assumed tantamount to
interest. However, they are justified on the basis that though such modes
do not equal the ideal of PLS system, yet they serve the needs of real
economy without involving the volatility of conventional interest-based
system because they are based on the sale of real asset [Nienhaus,
(2011)].
Dar and Presely (2000) consider agency problem as one of the
factors for lack of profit and loss sharing in Islamic banking. Likewise,
weak property right in Islamic countries, tough competition from
conventional banks, restrictive role of investor in management, unfair
treatment with PLS in taxation and imbalance in management and
control in PLS are some of the reasons of low level of participatory
financing in Islamic banks. Abdul and Sarker (1999) also consider
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 49
principle agent problem as the major cause of low level of profit loss
sharing finance in Islamic banking. They mention that it is very difficult
for Islamic banks to get true information about borrowers. In the same
way, the issue of moral hazard and adverse selection restrict Islamic
banks to compete with conventional banks.
2.2. Empirical Literature
Kasri and Kassim (2009) provide details regarding how deposits
flow of Islamic banks are influenced by the return on deposits in
conventional banks. They examine the factors that determine saving in
Islamic banks of Indonesia using data from 2000 to 2007. The study
shows that when real rate of return provided by Islamic banks is lower
than the real interest rate provided by conventional banks then people
transfer their funds from Islamic banks to conventional banks.
Rachmawati and Syamsulhakim (2004) also explore the factors
responsible for investment in Mudharabah deposits in Indonesia using
Quarterly data from 1993 to 2003. The study takes the variables of GDP,
profit sharing ratio, interest rate, number of branches of Islamic banks,
and Mudharabah deposits for the purpose of analysis. Cointegration
technique is used to find out long-run relationship between investment
in Mudharabah and other factors. The findings show that the number of
branches of Islamic banks significantly affects Mudharabah deposits in
Islamic banks, while interest rate and GDP do not have significant effect.
Jaffar and Musa (2014) examine the demand of Islamic financing
from halal industry in Malaysia. The findings show that 40% halal
industry were currently using Islamic finance while 60% were non-users.
The reason of the non-user was the absence of knowledge about Islamic
finance. The study shows that 40% respondents had knowledge of
Islamic finance, 10% had partial knowledge while 50% had limited to
zero knowledge about Islamic finance.
To our knowledge, we did not find empirical work that relates
the motive of profit maximisation with the trend of non-PLS transaction
in Islamic banks. Hence, this paper is an effort in this direction. We
examine whether profit maximisation is one of the main motives of low
50 Hassan and Shah
level of participatory financing. We examine this issue from demand
side; i.e., from the actual financial contract of firms with Islamic banks.
3. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND HYPOTHESIS
Profit maximization is the main assumption for theories related
to firms in Economics. In addition, such behavior of firms is considered
important for the allocative efficiency of funds in the market. In this
regard the following quote of Adam Smith (1776) is widely referred.
“It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer,
or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their
regard to their own self-interest. We address ourselves not
to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to
them of our own necessities, but of their advantages” (Book
1, Chapter 2 Page 2).
Contrary to the above, this study assumes that the objective of
profit maximisation leads to inefficiency in the financial market in the
form of concentration of wealth in an economy. We are of the view that
if firms including Islamic banks pursue profit maximisation in the
market, then the concentration of wealth is inevitable. The contract based
on non-participatory finance with clients symbolizes such a situation.
We explain such an outcome in game theoretic form in Table 1. The table
presents normal form of a battle of sexes game with two players. Player
1 is strong firm while player 2 is Islamic bank. Player 1 prefers the
strategy of Non-PLS, while Islamic bank prefers the strategy of PLS. It
is to be noted that PLS stands for profit-loss sharing contract.
Table 1. Game Theoretic Presentation of the Interaction of Islamic
Banks with Strong Firms
Player 2 (Islamic bank)
PLS Non-PLS
Player 1
(Strong firm)
PLS Low, High Zero, Zero
Non-PLS Zero, Zero High, Low
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 51
The game has two Nash Equilibria. However, theory fails to
predict which Nash Equilibrium will prevail. Nevertheless, behavioural
game theory [Camerer (2003)] suggests that Nash Equilibrium of (Non-
PLS, Non-PLS) will prevail as Islamic banks cannot afford to disappoint
strong firms in the market. They fear that if we will not accept the
demand of strong firms, we might lose a strong customer, which will
transmit negative signals in the markets for other customers and a profit
maximizer firm cannot afford such negative signals in the market.
If we replace player 1 with a weak firm as shown in Table 2, then
Islamic banks are not interested in PLS with such firms. The banks
consider PLS risky with such firms. On the other hand, such firms prefer
PLS with Islamic banks as they think that in case of loss, the banks will
bear all the risk. In such circumstances, the Nash Equilibrium will be
again (Non-PLS, Non-PLS). Here bargaining position of the bank is
strong; hence, its dominant strategy will prevail.
What is the upshot of these two tables? The upshot is that in a
market where profit maximisation is the motive of Islamic Banks, they
will prefer PLS with strong firms, but such firms would not like to share
their profit with Islamic Banks. So the outcome will be No-PLS contract.
Conversely, weak firms would like PLS with Islamic Banks, but the
banks do not want so. Hence, in both situations, there will be non-PLS
equilibrium. Hence, the level of concentration of wealth will not drop
even in the case of Islamic Banks in financial industry. Based on the
above discussion, we make two hypotheses.
Hypothesis 1: Financially sound Profit maximiser firms are less likely to
demand PLS contract from Islamic Banks.
Hypothesis 2: Islamic banks are less likely to offer PLS to financially
weak firms.
52 Hassan and Shah
Table 2. Game Theoretic Presentation of the Interaction of Islamic
Banks with Weak Firms
Modes
Player 2 (Islamic Bank)
PLS Non-PLS
Player 1 (Weak
firm)
PLS High, Low Zero, Zero
Non-PLS Zero, Zero Low, High
4. DATA, VARAIABLES, AND MODEL
To test the hypotheses of the study, we collect data on assets and
profits of the firms in Pakistan. Assets of a firm include current (stock in
investment, short term investment) and non-current assets (plant,
property, equipment). This is collected from annual financial statements
of firms for 2010 to 2013. Profit of a firm includes profit after taxation.
This is also collected from annual financial statements of firms. We
categorize firms into two types: strong and weak. If a firm has average
profit equal or greater than the average of the industry’s profit, we termed
it strong otherwise weak.4 The key variable to test our hypotheses is the
status of current contract between firms and Islamic Banks. This
information is not available through secondary data sources. Hence, we
tried to collect this information through email, but response was very
poor and negligible. Thus, we collected this information through
telephone calls. For this, first, we collect landline numbers of firms from
their website. Next, we contact on phone with CFO (chief financial
officer) of the firm. In case he/she was out of contact, we then contacted
any senior most employees in the finance section of firms. Through this
process, we collected data from 100 firms. After brief introduction
regarding our research work and university, the main question we asked
on phone was: “Has your company ever taken Mudharabah or
Musharakah (Partnership based Islamic) financing from banks (Islamic)
4 This categorization is subjective, we tried to get a cut-off point from literature, but we
could not get any reference. To make the categorization objective we took the average
profit of industry as cut off line. Firms above such line are strong and firms below such
line are weak.
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 53
within last 5 years? 5”. Positive reply of the question was record as 1
otherwise zero.
We want to examine the role of the size of assets and profits on
the decision of firms regarding participatory financing with Islamic
Banks. Hence, dependent variable of the study is whether a firm opts for
participatory financing or not. This is captured through a dummy
variable, which takes the value of 1 for the participatory contract with
Islamic Banks, otherwise zero. Hence, the dependent variable is binary
for which the relevant model is Logit model as shown below:
𝐿𝑖 = ln (𝑃𝑖
1−𝑃𝑖) = 𝑍𝑖= = α + β1(Average asset of firm) +
β2(Average profit after tax) + µ … (1)
where L stands for logit, p is probability of getting PLS facility and 1-p
is probability of not getting PLS facility.
5. RESULTS
5.1. Overview of the Islamic Products in Pakistan
Table 3 provides comparison of various types of financing in the
Islamic Banking industry of Pakistan. The table shows the volume of
trading, Ijara, and participation based financing for the period of 2012 to
2015. The comparison of the data in Table 3 is in line with the hypothesis
of this study that the motive of profit maximisation leads to non-PLS
contracts in the Islamic banking industry. We observe that the share of
Mudharabah financing decreases over time. However, the share of
Musharkah is increasing over time, which is not in line with our
hypothesis. One can ask why the share of Musharakah is increasing over
time as compared to Mudharabah? A probable answer is that the level
of risk in Musharakah as compared to Mudharabah is lower for Islamic
banks. In Musharakah both share capital, hence both (the banks and
investor) share the profit as well as the risk of loss. Though increase in
5 Question is asked about last 5 years just to make it compatible with average of data.
54 Hassan and Shah
the share of Musharakah is appreciable but is less likely to increase the
circulation of wealth.
Table 3. Comparison of Modes of Financing in Islamic Banking Industry
in Pakistan (in billion Rupees) Modes of
Financing
Dec-12 Sep-13 Dec-13 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Total
Murabaha 97.5
(39.7%)
112.5
(40.2%)
134.2
(40.6%)
105.7
(30.3%)
127.2
(30.1%)
113.7
(27.09%)
690.8
(33.7%)
Ijarah 22.5
(9.2%)
24.2
(8.6%)
25.4
(7.7%)
29.8
(8.6%)
32.3
(7.7%)
33.1
(7.9%)
167.3
(8.1%)
Musharakah 1.9
(0.8%)
11.6
(4.2%)
22
(6.7%)
35.0
(10.1%)
46.5
(11.0%)
47.6
(11.4%)
164.6
(8 %)
Mudharabah 0.6
(0.2%)
0.5
(0.2%)
0.5
(0.2%)
0.5
(0.2%)
0.2
(0.1%)
0.2
(.04%)
2.5
(0.12%)
Diminishing
Musharakah
(DM)
87.7
(35.7%)
92.6
(33%)
101.8
(30.8%)
122.5
(35.1%)
137.7
(32.6%)
147.9
(35.9%)
690.2
(33.7%)
Salam 7.3
(3%)
9.5
(3.4%)
13.3
(4 %)
9.0
(2.6%)
19.2
(4.5%)
22.3
(5.3% )
80.6
(3.9%)
Istisna 17.7
(7.2%)
13.4
(4.8%)
18.5
(5.6%)
27.5
(7.9%)
35.2
(8.3%)
31.0
(7.4%)
143.3
(7%)
Others 10.5
(4.3%)
15.7
(5.6%)
14.5
(4.4%)
18.4
(5.3%)
23.8
(5.6%)
21.9
(5.2 %)
104.8
(5.1%)
Total 245.7 280.1 330.2 348.5 422.1 417.8 2044.4
Source: Bulletin from Islamic banking department of state bank of Pakistan.
The reason is that the role of Musharakah in decreasing the
concentration of wealth in the hands of few is lower than the role of
Mudharabah. On the other hand, the magnitude of Murabaha is far
greater than the magnitude of Mudharabah, and Musharkah. In other
words, the share of Musharakah as compared to Murabaha is very low.
5.2 Descriptive Statistics
We provide detail regarding ratio of PLS financing in Table 4.
The table shows that 37 out of 100 firms are taking funds from Islamic
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 55
banks on the basis of PLS. However, we find very weak support in favour
of our hypothesis that financially strong firm have non-PLS contract with
Islamic bank. Per data 18/37 (48%) strong firms are doing PLS with
Islamic banks. While 19/37 (52%) are doing non-PLS with Islamic
Banks. What might be the reason of this contradictory result? One of the
probable reasons could be the subjective division of firms between
strong and weak on the basis of annual average profit. It is possible that
whom we consider weak might be strong firms and vice versa. Hence,
we cautiously state that our hypothesis is rejected based on the collected
data
Table 4. Participatory Financing and the Types of Firms
Total Number of Strong
firm6
Number of non-strong
firms
Number of firm 100 27 73
Firms with PLS
financing
37 18
(48%)
19
(52%)
Firms with Non-
PLS financing
63 9
(15%)
54
(85%)
We also find that 63/100 firms are doing non-PLS financing with
Islamic Banks. It is worth mentioning that the average profit of only 9/63
(10%) is more than one thousand million rupees (average profit of the
industry). That is only 9 firms are strong based on the criterion we have
defined. While the average profits of 11/63 (18%) is higher than five
hundred million rupees while the average profit of 46/63 (68%) is less
than three hundred million rupees. This shows that Islamic banks prefer
non-PLS financing with firms who are relatively weak in the market.
One of the possible reasons is non-willingness by Islamic banks to do
PLS financing with weak firms. This reason is supported by one of our
meetings with zonal manager of an Islamic Bank in Pakistan. The main
points of that meeting are:
The process of contract finalization is not simple. The Bank
considers many factors before taking decisions.
6 Mean of average profit is Rs. 800 million rupees.
56 Hassan and Shah
Such process includes checking previous trends in profits and
assets of firm as well as the market share of such firms.
Some procedures of checking the worth of firms are
confidential and are even not disclosed to firms.
The Bank tries to capture well-reputed firms in the market.
5.3 Regression Estimate
Table 5 shows the outcome of the regression based on the
following two regression equations:
𝐿𝑖 = ln (𝑃𝑖
1−𝑃𝑖) = 𝑍𝑖= = α + β1(Log(AST) + β2(Log(AP)) + µ … (2)
𝐿𝑖 = ln (𝑃𝑖
1−𝑃𝑖) = 𝑍𝑖= = α + β1(Log(AST) + β2 (Dummy) + µ … (3)
Table 5. Regression Results
Model 1 Model 2
Marginal effects Marginal effects
log of Assets -0.0209
(.05096)
.0593
(.0376)
Log of Profits 0.1496***
(.04921)
Dummy Variable 0.3034***
(.13004)
Pseudo R2 0.1638 0.1248
AIC 116.203 121.342
AIC and BIC favours first model. *** show significance at 10%.
First, we estimate the regression by including log of profit and
log of assets as independent variables. Second, we include dummy
variable (which is 1 if Average Profits are greater than the mean value,
otherwise 0). In the first model we find that log of average profit is
significant which shows that the probability to choose participatory
financing with Islamic banks increases if log of average profit increases.
If there is one-unit increase in the average profits of firm, then the
probability for adopting participatory financing increases by 14%. This
result is robust as in the second model the coefficient of dummy variable
is also significant. This shows that if a firm surpasses the limit of eight
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 57
hundred million rupees of average profits, there is 30% more chance of
choosing participatory financing.
The regression results do not support the hypotheses of the study.
We assumed that strong firms will not do participatory financing with
Islamic Banks because it would not wish to share profit with Islamic
Banks. But the regression results do not support our conjecture. It
appears that strong firms do undertake the contract of participatory
financing with Islamic banks. One may ask about the probable reason of
this contradictory outcome. The possible reason is that Islamic Banks
might have invited strong firms for participatory financing by offering
them very attractive ratio in profit. We found some support in favour of
this explanation during our telephonic talk with authorities of various
firms. Another possible reason could be the diversification of financial
contracts with banks. A firm might keep financial relationship with both
Islamic and conventional banks. Hence, a firm might enter into financial
contracts with both types of banks. With Islamic banks they might be
involved in participatory financing, while with conventional banks in
interest-based financing.
6. CONCLUSION
Conventional financial system has failed in achieving the
objective of circulation of wealth with an economy. The reason is that
conventional financial system is based on interest which is the root cause
of the failure of circulation of wealth. Islam strictly prohibits interest and
encourages the circulation of wealth within an economy. The idea of
zakat and different types of charities (like sadqaat, fitrana on both Eids,
ushar etc.) shows that wealth should flow from rich towards poor people
in society. Islamic finance offers participatory mode of finance as an
alternative to ensure the circulation of wealth in an economy. This
mainly includes Mudharabah and Musharakah.
To achieve the objective of circulation of wealth Islamic banking
industry emerged in the world since 1963. However, the objective of
circulation of wealth has not been achieved even in Islamic countries.
What are the reasons of this failure? Many scholars have provided
58 Hassan and Shah
answers to this question including agency problems and strict
competition from conventional banks [Dar and Presely (2000); Febianto
and Kasri (2007)]. This work adds to such empirical literature. This
paper assumes that the motive of pursuing the objective of profit
maximisation is one of the main causes of failure in achieving the
objective of circulation of wealth. Consequently, Islamic banks mostly
adopt trade based non-risky modes of financing. This situation is against
the very purpose for which Islamic scholar were advocating the need of
Islamic economics and banking [Moudoodi (2000)].
The hypotheses of the paper are based on the assumption that
firms in the market are also maximiser of the profits. Hence, strong firms
are less likely to share their profit with Islamic Banks as compared to
weak firms, but weak firms have a high risk of loss, which the Islamic
Banks avoid by executing PLS contracts with them. The main reason of
preferring participatory financing by weak firm with Islamic Banks is
that they on average earn low profit hence will have to pay fewer
amounts to Islamic Banks. On the other side, if weak firms get loans
from conventional bank, they will have to pay fix amount even if it earns
low rate of profit.
The present study empirically explores the demand from firms
for participatory financing with Islamic Banks. The results reveal that
strong firms are involved in participatory financing with Islamic Banks.
Likewise, we find a positive and significant relationship between
average profits and participatory financing with Islamic Bank. On
average the findings provide weak support to the hypotheses of the study
as strong firms are doing participatory financing, while we assume that
strong firms are less likely to have participatory financing with Islamic
banks. However, the hypothesis is partially supported by the high level
of (54/63=85%) weak firms doing non-PLS financing with Islamic
banks.
The possible reasons for the weak support of the hypothesis
relating to strong firms are:
1) The motive of profit maximisation might force Islamic bank
to offer high rate of return to strong firms. Such offers benefit
Islamic Banks as it solves the issue of agency problem and moral
hazard. In addition, such offer provides Islamic Banks an
The Current Model of Islamic Banking 59
opportunity to develop a good relationship with such firms,
through which Islamic Banks can attract other strong firms from
the market. Over time such strong firms become loyal with
Islamic Banks and do not switch to other banks for a small
incentive.
2) Strong firms have branches all over the country and need
regular funding for their functions. A single bank cannot fund
them beyond a certain limit, hence in order to diversify they also
acquire PLS from Islamic banks. Moreover, they might demand
PLS for a sub-project with restricted profits while on average
their demand may be for non–PLS finance.
The findings need to be studied with caution. The reason is that
data on actual contract between firms and Islamic Banks is taken through
telephonic calls. In this regard those firms who avoided sharing
information are dropped from the analysis. Not dropping them could
make our result biased. Moreover, the information was collected from
finance or account section of the firms. While, the appropriate person to
reply this question is the owner or the key decision maker of a firm.
Likewise, the call receiver may have different projects in mind when
replying on phone to our question regarding participatory financing with
banks. While, we assume that participatory finance is for all projects of
the firms, we suggest future researchers to collect rich data and provide
answers of the question this study set out to examine.
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