The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated...

51
The Aging Population in Texas Texas Assisted Living Association April 21, 2016 Frisco, Texas @TexasDemography

Transcript of The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated...

Page 1: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

The Aging Population in Texas

Texas Assisted Living

Association

April 21, 2016

Frisco, Texas

@TexasDemography

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0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015

Numeric Change (Millions) Population (Millions)

2All values for the decennial dates are for April 1st of the indicated census year. Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2014

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates

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Population Growth, Texas, 1950-2010

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses

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89.5% 86.7%

41.5%

65.9%

49.7% 53.7%

10.5% 13.3%

58.5%

34.1%

50.3% 46.3%

1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

Migration

Natural Increase

Components of Population Change by Percent

in Texas, 1950-2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

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Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e d

R i v e r

Karnes

P a l o

P in to

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillH a r t l e y

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J im

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2014

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

tl_2010_48_county10

POPESTIMATE2014

86 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,441,370

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Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2014

6Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

102 counties lost

population over the

four year period.

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e d

R i v e r

Karnes

P a l o

P in to

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillH a r t l e y

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J im

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

tl_2010_48_county10

PctCh1014

-10.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.2%

tl_2010_48_county10

NCh1014

-1,553 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 80,000

80,001 - 348,911

95 counties lost population between 2013-14

Of these:

36 (38%) had natural decline

89 (94%) had net out migration

30 (32%) had both natural decline and net out migration

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Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2014

7Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

tl_2010_48_county10

PctCh1014

-10.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.2%

tl_2010_48_county10

NCh1014

-1,553 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 80,000

80,001 - 348,911

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

H a r r i s

Zapata

R e d

R i v e r

Karnes

P a l o

P in to

Glasscock Shelby

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

E l l i s

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillH a r t l e y

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

Delta

Stonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J im

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

Page 8: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Estimated number of persons aged 65 years and older, Texas Counties, 2010-2014

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

8

tl_2010_48_county10

Pop65P

6 - 4,999

5,000 - 14,999

15,000 - 29,999

30,000 - 74,999

75,000 - 371,456

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year Sample

Page 9: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2013 to 2014

9Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

B r e w s t e r

FranklinHunt

Newton

S t a r r

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

L e o n

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

W e b b

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

O l d h a m

Taylor

K ing

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Va l Ve r d e

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

R e d

R i v e r

Karnes

P a l o

P in to

Glasscock Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Orange

Colorado

P e c o s

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

H a l l

Dickens

Trinity

R e e v e s

Marion

Te r re l l

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

P r e s i d i o

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

E d w a r d s

San Patricio

Terry

Cro c k e t t

Houston

Waller

Coke

W a r d

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillH a r t l e y

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

S u t t o n

Midland

H u d s p e t h

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

J e f f D a v i s

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hi l l

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

F r i o

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

K e r r

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

I r i o n

Caldwell

J im

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

K i m b l e

Knox

P o l k

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

tl_2010_48_county10

NETMIG2014

-6,207 - 0

1 - 500

501 - 1,000

1,001 - 5,000

5,001 - 10,000

10,001 - 46,392

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U.S. Rank

Population

Change

Population

Change

Percent of

Change from

Natural

Increase

Percent

Change

from

Migration

Percent of

Migration

that is

international

Harris 1 88,618 48.6% 51.4% 54.0%

Bexar 6 33,712 42.8% 57.2% 23.2%

Dallas 8 32,555 69.6% 30.4% 116.3%*

Tarrant 10 31,417 50.8% 49.2% 38.5%

Fort Bend 11 30,784 19.4% 80.6% 17.3%

Travis 12 28,397 38.2% 61.8% 29.7%

Collin 14 26,530 26.1% 73.8% 20.1%

Denton 16 24,211 27.2% 72.8% 14.0%

Montgomery 27 19,129 17.9% 82.1% 10.4%

Williamson 31 18,025 23.2% 76.8% 7.8%*Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

Top Counties for Numeric

Growth in Texas, 2013-2014

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Top Counties for Percent

Growth* in Texas, 2013-2014

U.S.

Rank

2013-2014

Percent

Population

Change

Percent

Change

from

Migration

Percent of

Migration that

is International

Hays 5 4.8% 83.89% 2.62%

Fort Bend 6 4.7% 80.6% 17.27%

Comal 9 4.0% 90.1% 3.04%

Andrews 12 4.0% 62.8% 3.57%

Montgomery 13 3.8% 82.1% 10.39%

Williamson 14 3.8% 76.8% 7.84%

Kendall 15 3.8% 98.0% 5.02%

Ward 21 3.4% 72.0% 1.49%

Denton 23 3.3% 72.8% 14.2%

Collin 31 3.1% 73.9% 20.1%

Aransas 32 3.1% 110.8% 4.3%

Rockwall 35 3.0% 78.3% 7.8%

Waller 36 2.9% 77.2% 5.3%

Ector 37 2.9% 59.9% 2.0%

Guadalupe 42 2.8% 78.6% 4.9%Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates

*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013

Page 12: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

County2014

PopulationPopulation

changeNatural increase Net migration

Hale 34,720 -1,089 210 -1,306Coryell 75,562 -909 564 -1,541

Jefferson 252,235 -579 970 -1,518Potter 121,627 -519 891 -1,389Shelby 25,515 -350 56 -411

Jim Wells 41,353 -316 257 -592Anderson 57,627 -307 -72 -210

Falls 16,989 -303 39 -361Floyd 5,949 -290 26 -330

Presidio 6,976 -288 50 -353Brown 37,653 -255 -26 -212Castro 7,781 -231 79 -319Lamb 13,574 -183 28 -220

Wilbarger 12,973 -181 41 -218Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage.

Fifteen Texas counties that lost the most population and components of change, 2013-2014

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Annual Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005-2013

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Shares of Recent Non-Citizen Immigrants to Texas from Mexico, India, China, and All Other Countries, 2005-2012

0.8%

2.4%

2.5%

4.2%

1.3%

6.0%

3.9%

6.1%

5.3%

5.7%

7.0%

5.8%

6.9%

6.5%

8.6%

11.7%

56.8%

54.9%

51.3%

49.1%

39.5%

39.4%

45.4%

37.1%

37.1%

36.9%

39.2%

40.9%

52.3%

48.1%

42.1%

45.1%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

China India Mexico All Others

Source: 1-Year ACS PUMS 2005-2012

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Percent Population by Race and Ethnicity, Texas, 2000 and 2010

Hispanic or Latino38%

NH White45%

NH Black 11%

NH Asian4%

NH Other2%

15

Hispanic or Latino32%

NH White52%

NH Black 11%

NH Asian3%

NH Other2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

20102000

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Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Un

der

1 y

ear

4 y

ears

8 y

ears

12

yea

rs

16

yea

rs

20

yea

rs

24

yea

rs

28

yea

rs

32

yea

rs

36

yea

rs

40

yea

rs

44

yea

rs

48

yea

rs

52

yea

rs

56

yea

rs

60

yea

rs

64

yea

rs

68

yea

rs

72

yea

rs

76

yea

rs

80

yea

rs

84

yea

rs

88

yea

rs

92

yea

rs

96

yea

rs

10

0 t

o 1

04

Po

pu

lati

on

Age

White (non-Hispanic)

Hispanic

16Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

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200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000

Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male White, Non-Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic

17

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

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200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000

Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

18

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

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200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000

Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

19

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

Page 20: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

20

tl_2010_48_county10

PctHisp

2.2% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 70%

70.1% - 98.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Page 21: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the Population that is Non-Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009-2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

21

tl_2010_48_county10

PctNHBlack

0% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 33.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Page 22: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009-2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

22

tl_2010_48_county10

PctNHAsian

0% - 0.5%

0.6% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 17.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Page 23: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Median Age by State, 2008-2013

Te x a sTe x a s

M o n t a n aM o n t a n a

U t a hU t a h

I d a h oI d a h o

C a l i f o r n i aC a l i f o r n i a

N e v a d aN e v a d a

O r e g o nO r e g o n

A r i z o n aA r i z o n a

I o w aI o w a

M i c h i g a nM i c h i g a n

W y o m i n gW y o m i n g

C o l o r a d oC o l o r a d oK a n s a sK a n s a s

O h i oO h i o

N e w M e x i c oN e w M e x i c o

M i n n e s o t aM i n n e s o t a

N e b r a s k aN e b r a s k a

I l l i n o i sI l l i n o i s

M i s s o u r iM i s s o u r i

W a s h i n g t o nW a s h i n g t o n

W i s c o n s i nW i s c o n s i n

G e o r g i aG e o r g i a

O k l a h o m aO k l a h o m a

M a i n eM a i n e

N e w Y o r kN e w Y o r k

S o u t h D a k o t aS o u t h D a k o t a

N o r t h D a k o t aN o r t h D a k o t a

A l a b a m aA l a b a m a

A r k a n s a sA r k a n s a s

V i r g i n i aV i r g i n i a

I n d i a n aI n d i a n a

L o u i s i a n aL o u i s i a n a

K e n t u c k yK e n t u c k y

Te n n e s s e eTe n n e s s e e

P e n n s y l v a n i aP e n n s y l v a n i a

N o r t h C a r o l i n aN o r t h C a r o l i n a

F l o r i d aF l o r i d a

M i s s i s s i p p iM i s s i s s i p p i

S o u t h C a r o l i n aS o u t h C a r o l i n a

W e s t V i r g i n i aW e s t V i r g i n i a M a r y l a n dM a r y l a n d

V e r m o n tV e r m o n t

N e w J e r s e yN e w J e r s e y

M a s s a c h u s e t t sM a s s a c h u s e t t s

N e w H a m p s h i r eN e w H a m p s h i r e

C o n n e c t i c u tC o n n e c t i c u t

D e l a w a r eD e l a w a r e

R h o d e I s l a n dR h o d e I s l a n d

23

A l a s k aA l a s k a

Legend

tl_2013_us_state

MedianAge

30 - 35

36 - 38

39 - 40

41 - 42

43

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2009-2013.

Page 24: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Median Age, Texas Counties, 2010-2014

24Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year Sample

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

tl_2010_48_county10

MedAge

25 - 34

35 - 39

40 - 44

45 - 49

50 - 56

Page 25: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Change in Median Age, Texas Counties, 2000-2014

Menard

Hale

Armstrong

Calhoun

Clay

Orange

Gonzales

Fannin

Kerr

Refugio

JimHogg

Dimmit

Nolan

Brazos

Jefferson

Bell

Bandera

Hidalgo

Schleicher

GraysonCrosby

Delta

Zavala

Rockwall

Eastland

DeWitt

Angelina

McLennan

Lamar

Leon

Stonewall

McMullen

Sutton

FortBend

Parker

Kinney

Fayette

Briscoe

Harrison

Reagan

Coleman

Ochiltree

Crane

Washington

Lynn

Mills

Oldham

Sabine

Hopkins

Houston

Bexar

Upton

Erath

Randall

Rusk

Coryell

Comal

Aransas

Jack

Hemphill

Shackelford

SanJacinto

Kendall

Wharton

Floyd

Karnes

Kaufman

Duval

Johnson

Franklin

EdwardsWaller

Maverick

Kleberg

Gaines

Martin

Bowie

Andrews

Potter

Garza

Caldwell

Parmer

TitusTerry

Foard

Real

Carson

Knox

Hays

Medina

MotleyWichita

Midland

Victoria

Tyler

Falls

Presidio

Willacy

Lubbock

Henderson

Walker

Galveston

Harris

Dawson

Pecos

Nacogdoches

Guadalupe

Tarrant

Jackson

Swisher

SterlingWinkler

Frio

Lipscomb

Collingsworth

Colorado

Wise

Glasscock

ShelbyComanche

Burnet

Gray

Hudspeth

Cass

Ellis

Cooke

Williamson

Cochran

VanZandt

Donley

Jones

Grimes

Irion

Navarro

Brooks

Dallam

Hunt

Mitchell

Wood

Childress

JeffDavis

Montague

Brown

Haskell

Fisher

Concho

Coke

Polk

Cottle

Young

Lee

Cherokee

Hall

Hood

ArcherBaylor

SanAugustine

Madison

Milam

Reeves

Nueces

Camp

Freestone

Runnels

Terrell

DeafSmith

Marion

Liberty

Jasper

Hansford

Chambers

Hardin

Collin

Brazoria

Throckmorton

Bastrop

Scurry

Ector

Limestone

Denton

RedRiver

Matagorda

Hardeman

PaloPinto

LiveOak

Sherman

Uvalde

Bailey

Culberson

Atascosa

Wilson

Starr

Dallas

Kimble

McCulloch

Crockett

Hill

Kent

El Paso

Loving

Dickens

La Salle

Lamb

Austin

Hutchinson

ValVerde

Smith

Robertson

Gillespie

King

TomGreen

Yoakum

Somervell

Kenedy

Borden

SanSaba

Burleson

Bee

Trinity

Castro

Brewster

Gregg

Ward

Wilbarger

Hamilton

Stephens

Lavaca

Bosque

Goliad

Roberts

Callahan

Rains

Morris

Lampasas

Upshur

Wheeler

SanPatricio

Moore

Webb

Blanco

Newton

Hockley

Panola

Anderson

Cameron

Montgomery

LlanoMason

Taylor

Hartley

JimWells

Zapata

Travis

Howard

25

Change in Median Age, 2000-2014

1 to 5 Years Younger (27 Counties)

No Change (57 Counties)

2 to 3 Years Older (100 Counties)

4 to 5 Years Older (49 Counties)

Greater than 5 Years Older (21 Counties)

Source: US Census Bureau US Census Bureau, 2000

Decennial Census, SF-1, Population Estimates 2014 Vintage.

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Trends in Aging* by County, Texas, 2000-2014

26*2000 median age 30 and greater = old. 2000 to 2014 determines aging.Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 decennial census and 2014 American Community Survey 5-Yr estimates.

Page 27: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the Population Aged 65 Years and Older by State, 2010-2014

27Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5 Year Sample 2010-2014

Alaska

Hawaii

Alaska

W e s t V i r g i n i aW e s t V i r g i n i a

F l o r i d aF l o r i d a

I l l i n o i sI l l i n o i s

M i n n e s o t aM i n n e s o t a

M a r y l a n dM a r y l a n d

R h o d e I s l a n dR h o d e I s l a n d

I d a h oI d a h o

N e w H a m p s h i r eN e w H a m p s h i r e

N o r t h C a r o l i n aN o r t h C a r o l i n a

V e r m o n tV e r m o n t

C o n n e c t i c u tC o n n e c t i c u t

D e l a w a r eD e l a w a r e

N e w M e x i c oN e w M e x i c o

C a l i f o r n i aC a l i f o r n i a

N e w J e r s e yN e w J e r s e y

W i s c o n s i nW i s c o n s i n

O r e g o nO r e g o n

N e b r a s k aN e b r a s k a

P e n n s y l v a n i aP e n n s y l v a n i a

W a s h i n g t o nW a s h i n g t o n

L o u i s i a n aL o u i s i a n a

G e o r g i aG e o r g i a

A l a b a m aA l a b a m a

U t a hU t a h

O h i oO h i o

Te x a sTe x a s

C o l o r a d oC o l o r a d o

S o u t h C a r o l i n aS o u t h C a r o l i n aO k l a h o m aO k l a h o m a

Te n n e s s e eTe n n e s s e e

W y o m i n gW y o m i n g

N o r t h D a k o t aN o r t h D a k o t a

K e n t u c k yK e n t u c k y

M a i n eM a i n e

N e w Y o r kN e w Y o r k

N e v a d aN e v a d a

A l a s k aA l a s k a

M i c h i g a nM i c h i g a n

A r k a n s a sA r k a n s a s

M i s s i s s i p p iM i s s i s s i p p i

M i s s o u r iM i s s o u r i

M o n t a n aM o n t a n a

K a n s a sK a n s a s

I n d i a n aI n d i a n a

S o u t h D a k o t aS o u t h D a k o t a M a s s a c h u s e t t sM a s s a c h u s e t t s

V i r g i n i aV i r g i n i a

I o w aI o w a

A r i z o n aA r i z o n a

10% or Less (2 states)

10.1% - 14.5% (18 states)

14.6% - 15.5% (14 states)

15.6% - 16.5% (10 states)

16.6% - 19.1% (6 states)

Page 28: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the population aged 75 years and older, Texas Counties, 2009-2013

28

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

tl_2010_48_county10

pop75p

0% - 4.9%

5% - 7.5%

7.5% - 9.9%

10% - 12.4%

12.5% - 16.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

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20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Mill

ion

s

Zero Migration

0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration

2000-2010 Migration

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2050

29Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections

Page 30: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

24

25

25

26

26

27

27

28

28

Mill

ion

s

Zero Migration

0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration

2000-2010 Migration

Estimates

Projected and Estimated Population Growth in Texas, 2010-2015

30Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections and U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

Page 31: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Mill

ion

s

0.5 of 2000-2010 Migration

2000-2010 Migration

Projected Growth of Population Aged 65 Years and Older in Texas, 2010-2050

31Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections

Page 32: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

-

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

19

50

19

60

19

70

19

80

19

90

20

00

20

10

20

14

20

20

20

30

20

40

20

50

Under 18

18 to 64

65+

Censuses Estimates Projections

32

Population Change by Age Group, Texas, 1950-2050

Source: US Census Bureau, 1950-2010 Censuses

US Census Bureau, State Population Estimates

Texas State Data Center, 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario

Page 33: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Population Projections, Texas, 2010-2050,Percent Over and Under 65

33

19%

19%

19%

18%

17%

15%

14%

12%

10%

81%

81%

81%

82%

83%

85%

86%

88%

90%

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

2025

2020

2015

2010

65 years plus Under 65 years

Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

Page 34: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500

Under 5

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 29 years

30 to 34 years

35 to 39 years

40 to 44 years

45 to 49 years

50 to 65 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 65 years

65 to 69 years

70 to 74 years

75 to 79 years

80 to 84 years

85 years and older

Thousands

2010 Male 2030 Male 2010 Female 2030 Female

Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010-2030

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Page 35: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010-2050

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

NH-White

NH-Black

Hispanic

NH-Other

35Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections , 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

Page 36: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Population Projections 65 Years and Over by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2010-2050

36

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

NH White

NH Black

Hispanic

NH Other

Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , Half 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

Page 37: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity for Age Groups, 2010 and 2050

37

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Under 18 years 18 to 64 years 65 years and over

Per

cen

tof

Age

Gro

up

Age Groups

% NH White

% Black

% Hispanic

% NH Other

Source: US Census Bureau, State Population Estimates, 2014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0-17 Years 18-64 Years 65 Years and Older

Per

cen

tage

of

Age

Gro

up

Age Groups

Source: Texas State Data Center, 2014 Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario

2010 2050

Page 38: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the Population Aged 65 Years and Older without Health Insurance, Texas Counties, 2010-2014

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

38

tl_2010_48_county10

Pct65pNoHlthIns

0% - 0.5%

0.6% - 1%

1.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 7.8%

Page 39: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Percent of the population aged 65 years and older with an independent living disability, Texas Counties, 2010-2014

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

39

tl_2010_48_county10

Pct65pIndepLivDisab

0% - 15%

15.1% - 20%

20.1% - 25%

25.1% - 30%

30.1% - 100%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year Sample

Page 40: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

RNs and LVNs Working in Nursing Homes and Extended Care Facilities per 1,000 Persons Aged 65 Years and Older, Texas

Counties, 2015

40Sources: Texas Board of Nursing, 2016 and U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2010-2014 5 Year

Sample

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

Tom

Green

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf

Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val

Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

Red

River

Karnes

Palo

Pinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San

Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

San

Patricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Burleson

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

ComancheMitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim

Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort

Bend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

Live

Oak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

tl_2010_48_county10

NHExtCare1k65p

0.0 - 0.5

0.6 - 1.5

1.6 - 2.5

2.6 - 3.5

3.6 - 4.5

Page 41: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Physicians per 1,000 Population Aged 65 Years and Older by County, 2011

41Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census and Texas Medical Board (2011 physicians).

Dallas

Howard

Foard

Floyd

Brewster

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

Van

Zandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

Trinity

Reeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

Fisher

Dawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

Hemphill

Hartley

Young

Hardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

HarrisonMitchell

Navarro

Crane

LubbockWise

Washington

Jeff

Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

Delta

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

San

Saba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

Jim

Hogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San

Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

ProjectedPop

PhysperPop65p / none

0

0.01 - 5

5.1 - 15

16 - 25

26 - 74

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Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –

High School Graduates and Above

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001-2011

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Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates,

Texas

43

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%

18.1%

24.0%

29.9%

18.7%

9.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Perc

ent

of

the

Civ

ilian

Lab

or

Forc

e

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Constant 2011 %

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.

Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

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Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended

Rates, Texas

44

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%11.4%

20.4%

34.3%

22.1%

11.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Perc

ent

of

the

Civ

ilian

Lab

or

Forc

e

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Trended (2001-2011 Trend)

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.

Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

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Adult Obesity

45Source: http://stateofobesity.org/files/stateofobesity2015.pdf

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Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040

46Source: Office of the State Demographer projections, using 2000-2004 migration scenario population projections

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Obesity Prevalence

47% adults with obesity: Office of the State Demographer, 2000-2004 Projection

Page 48: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Projected Number of Adults with Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity, Texas, 2010-2040

48

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

Total

Latino

Anglo

African American

Other

Page 49: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Diabetes Prevalence

49% adults with diabetes: Office of the State Demographer, 2000-2004 Projection

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Demographics and Destiny

50

Page 51: The Aging Population in Texas · 2016. 4. 28. · Values for 2012-2014 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. 2 Total Population and Components of ... Dawson Dimmit

Contact

Office: (512) 463-8390 or (210) 458-6530

Email: [email protected]

Internet: http://osd.state.tx.us

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H.

51

@TexasDemography