THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES AND IMMIGRATION REFORM …...2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform...

Public Religion Research Institute

Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research Juhem Navarro-‐Rivera, Research Associate

THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY!Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?on Reform

Survey Methodology

2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey •  Designed and conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership

with The Brookings Institution •  One of largest surveys ever conducted on immigration (N=4,465 Americans) •  MOE = +/- 1.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence interval for total

sample •  Conducted by telephone (1,774 contacted by cell phone) between January 28

and February 24, 2013 •  Bilingual (English and Spanish) interviews •  Funded by The Ford Foundation, with additional support from The Nathan

Cummings Foundation and Four Freedoms Fund/Public Interest Projects

PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 2

THE CULTURAL CONTEXT Concerns About a Changing America


The Declining Dominance of White ChrisCan America: AffiliaCon by Age


10

15

23

29

9

14

15

23

6

11

16

17

3

3

2

2

9

8

9

7

7

5

3

1

10

8

5

3

2

2

2

1

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

4

3

2

1

31

22

16

11

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

18-‐29

30-‐49

50-‐64

65+

Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

White Evangelical White Mainline White Catholic Mormon Black Protestant

Hispanic Protestant Hispanic Catholic Other Catholic Other Ethnic Chris?ans Jewish

Other World Religions Unaffiliated Other/Don't Know

PercepCons of Changes to American Culture Since 1950s


20 21

23 29

34 34 35

38 39 40 41

51 51

55 56 57 58 59

65 65

76 75 73

66 61 62 61

54 55 54 53 43

42 39 39

37 38

34 29

26

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Tea Party White Evangelical

Republican Seniors

White Mainline White Catholic

White Mormon*

Women All Americans

Men Hispanic

Millennials Democrat

Black Hispanic Catholic

Black Protestant Atheist/Agnostic

Jewish Asian*

Changed for the better

Changed for the worse

*Results should be interpreted with caution due to small number of cases. Asian N=94. Mormon N=97.

Since the 1950s, American culture and way of life has…

Hidden Concerns about Becoming a Majority-‐Minority NaCon


14 13 15

23

31

50

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

All Americans All Whites White Born Again Chris?an* Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465); PRRI Religion News

Tracking Poll, March 2013 (N=1,028). *Note: White born again Chris?an has a small number of cases (N=92 on one form) and should be interpret

The idea of an American where most people are not white bothers me. Percent who Agree

Direct Ques?on Indirect List Experiment Ques?on

How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life


43

40

39

38

24

24

18

16

10

21

43

35

26

30

42

44

48

46

30

9

20

28

30

29

27

31

39

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Young people

Asians

Hispanics

Immigrants

Tea Party

Gay and lesbian people

Muslims

Non-‐religious people

Atheists

Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

PercepCons of How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life

Changing for the bejer No impact Changing for the worse

Impact of Newcomers from Other Countries on American Culture


54

68

56

47 44 40

29

38

47 46

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

All Americans 18-‐29 30-‐49 50-‐64 65+ Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Growing Number of Newcomers from Other Countries… By Age Groups

Strengthens American society Threatens tradi?onal American customs and values

Concerns about Economic Impact of Illegal Immigrants


36

56

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Illegal Immigrants mostly... Help the economy by providing low cost labor

Hurt the economy by driving down wages for many Americans

64

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Immigrants coming to this country today mostly...

Take jobs Americans don't want

Take jobs away from American citizens

IMMIGRATION REFORM: POLITICS AND POLICY

Impact on Poli?cal Par?es Values as Moral Guides to Reform Support for a Path to Ci?zenship


Highest PrioriCes for Congress and President This Year


65

56

37

32

26

24

16

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Improving the job situa?on

Reducing the budget deficit

Changing the federal income tax system to make it more fair

Dealing with the moral breakdown of the country

Enac?ng stricter gun control laws

Reforming the na?on's immigra?on system

Enac?ng legisla?on to address climate change

PercepCons of Impact on Republican Party


45 39 41 44

57

42 46 44 45

34

7 11 12 5 5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

All Americans Republican Tea Party Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

Did Republican Party PosiCon on ImmigraCon Help or Hurt in Recent ElecCons? By Party AffiliaCon

Hurt No Difference Helped DK/Refused

Support for Path to CiCzenship By Party AffiliaCon


45

53

64

71

63

16

13

14

13

14

36

32

21

13

21

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Tea Party

Republican

Independent

Democrat

All Americans

How should the immigraCon system deal with illegal immigrants? By Party AffiliaCon

Allow them a way to become ci?zens provided they meet certain requirements Allow them to become permanent legal residents, but not ci?zens Iden?fy and deport them None of these/DK/Refused

Support for Path to CiCzenship By Religious AffiliaCon


74

71

70

67

64

63

62

61

56

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Hispanic Catholic

Hispanic Protestant

Black Protestant

Jewish

Unaffiliated

Mormon

White Catholic

White Mainline

White Evangelical

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Support for Path to Citizenship (3-Way Question) By Religious Affiliation

Binary QuesCon: Support for Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013)

The best way to solve the country’s illegal immigra?on problem is to: 1-‐Secure our borders and provide an earned path to ci?zenship 2-‐Secure our borders and arrest and deport all those who are here illegally.


62

74

62

50

41

68 75

68

56 50

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

All Americans Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and immigra?on Reform Survey, March

2013 (N=4,465); PRRI/Brookings Pluralism, Immigra?on, and Civic Integra?on Survey, September 2011 (N=2,450).

Binary QuesCon: Support for Securing Borders and Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013)

2011 2013

Support for “Self-‐DeportaCon”


24

17

14

11

14

32

28

21

15

20

25

30

29

26

28

18

23

36

46

36

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Tea Party

Republican

Independent

Democrat

All Americans

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

Self-‐DeportaCon: The best way to solve the country's illegal immigraCon problem is to make condiCons so difficult for illegal immigrants that they

return to their home country on their own.

Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree Don't know/refused

Support for DREAM Act By Party AffiliaCon


43

48

60

72

61

53

48

36

24

34

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Tea Party

Republican

Independent

Democrat

All Americans

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Allowing illegal immigrants brought to U.S. as children to gain legal resident status if they join the military or go to college.

By Party Affilia?on

Favor Oppose DK/Refused

Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform


50

52

69

77

77

82

84

84

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Following the biblical example of welcoming the stranger

Con?nuing America's heritage as a na?on of immigrants

Following the Golden Rule, providing immigrants the same opportuni?es I would want if my family was immigra?ng to the U.S.

Enforcing the rule of law

Enuring fairness to taxpayers

Protec?ng the dignity of every person

Keeping families together

Promo?ng na?onal security

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)

Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform

Extremely important Very important

Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship


73 71 70 63

47 45

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Believe America has changed for the bejer since

the 1950s

Hispanic Know deporta?ons have increased in last 5-‐6 years

All Americans Say immigrants changing

community a lot

Iden?fy as part of Tea Party movement

Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).

Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship Among those who...

Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research

Public Religion Research Institute

The PRRI/Brookings 2013 Religion, Values, and ImmigraCon Reform Survey

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THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES AND IMMIGRATION REFORM …...2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform...

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