The 2011 ICP at the Global Level

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    The 2011 ICP at the Global Level

    Michel Mouyelo-Katoula

    Global Manager

    International Comparison Program

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    Outline

    2

    I Objectives & Innovations

    II Governance Structure

    III Program Implementation

    IV Research Agenda

    V ICP 2011 Timeframe

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    I

    Objectives & Innovations

    3

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    4

    Implement UNSC Recommendations

    Meet Users Needs and reach out to Users

    Meet Global Demand for PPP-adjusted Statistics

    Objectives and Strategies for 2011 Round

    Objectives

    PPP results at regional level for 2011

    PPP results at global level for 2011Main results

    Improved GDP expenditures statistics

    Improved methodologies Learning material and ICP book

    ICP Data Quality Framework

    ICP software suite

    ICP databases and metadata repositories

    Other results

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    5

    1. Outreach focus2. An ICP quality assurance framework

    3. Statistical capacity building

    4. An ICP Book titled Measuring the Size of theWorld Economy

    5. A National Accounts framework for ICP

    6. A system of economic validation of price and

    expenditure data

    7. Linking Regions through Global Core ListApproach

    A ROUND OF INNOVATIONS &IMPROVEMENTS

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    II

    Governance Structure

    6

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    OECD-EUROSTAT

    ICPGovernance

    Structure

    UNSC

    Executive Board

    Global Office:Global Manager

    +Staff

    World Bank

    TAG

    AfDB ADB CIS ECLAC ESCWAOECD E/STAT

    Countries

    RegionalAdvisoryBoards

    7

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    8

    AfDB ADB CIS ECLAC ESCWA

    ICP Global Office at World Bank

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    OECD -EUROSTATPPPS + COREPRICES

    Country Participation and Flow of Data

    GlobalPPPS

    CORE

    PRICES

    +

    REGIONAL

    PPPs

    52 Countries 28 Countries 11 Countries 14 Countries

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    PRICES&

    GDPEXP.

    48 Countries 33 Countries

    OECDEUROSTAT

    More than 180 Countries

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    III

    Program Implementation

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    10

    Main Program Areas

    ` UseExistin

    g

    Methods

    Improve

    Implementatio

    nTools

    DevelopN

    ew

    Method

    Develop

    GlobalCor

    e

    List

    Data&

    Metadata

    Process

    Quality

    Framewor

    k

    1. Main price survey

    2. Compensation of employees3. Public health services

    4. Private health services

    5. Pharmaceutical products

    6. Public education services

    7. Private education

    8. Housing

    9. Equipment

    10. Construction

    11. GDP Expenditures

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    11

    400-800Household

    Items

    5-10 HousingServices

    100 Healthgoods &Services

    100Equipment

    5-20EducationServices

    20

    GovernmentOccupations

    20Construction

    Items

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Q3

    Q2

    Q4

    Q4

    Q3

    Q4

    IntraCountry

    Validation

    AnnualNationalAverage

    Prices

    Country Activities: Price Surveys in 2011

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    100 HouseholdCons. Basic

    Headings [BH]

    Housing BHs

    Health BHs

    Equipment BHs

    Education BHs

    Government BHs

    Construction BHs

    Country Activities: Estimation of GDPExpenditures

    NPISH BHs

    Other GDPcomponents BHs

    Review GDPClassification

    IdentifyData Sources

    ImplementCommodityFlows where

    possible

    Estimate GDP &MainAggregates

    Carry out N.A.work for

    comparison

    resistant areas

    Developvector of 2011

    GDPexpenditures

    12

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    13

    Household

    Housing

    Health

    Equipment

    Education

    Government

    Construction

    Regional Level: PPP Computation

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    Annual NationalAverage Prices

    Regional Basic

    Heading PPPs

    .. .. .. ..

    RegionalAggregated

    PPPs

    All countries ina region

    All countries ina region

    All countries ina region

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    Household

    Construction

    Global Core List Approach

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    Annual NationalAverage Pricesfor Global CoreItems

    Global BasicHeading PPPs

    .. .. .. ..

    CalibrationFactors

    All countries inthe world

    All countries inthe world

    All countries inthe world

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    Regional Basic

    Heading PPPs

    .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

    Global PPPs

    All countries inthe world

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    IV

    Research Agenda

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    Research Activities

    10 TOPICS STATUS1 Owner-occupied housing Will be decided on June 10

    2 Financial services Adopted

    3 Measurement of government outputs Will be decided on June 10

    4 Survey frameworks Will be decided on June 105 Exports, imports & net purchases abroad Adopted

    6 Linking regional PPPs into global results Ongoing research

    7 Construction PPPs Will be decided on June 10

    8 PPP-based poverty analysis Ongoing research

    9 Back-casting and PPP revisions Will be decided on June 10

    10 Sub-national PPPs Ongoing research

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    V

    Timetable

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    3. Capacity Building

    2010 2011 2012 2013

    ICP 2011 Timetable

    1. Fund Raising

    2. Meetings

    2014

    4. Quality Assess.

    5. Methodologies

    6. Survey Prep.

    7. Survey Implement.

    8. Nat. Accounts

    9. Regional Results

    10. Global Results

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