Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia...

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Transcript of Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia...

Page 1: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Page 2: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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• Thanks for Attending!!!• Workshop Staff

– Sam Gershin, Lenore Boulton– Lisa Sena-Henderson, Rachel Woodrum,

Shannon Clark• DOE Wind Technology Management Team

– DOE – Peter Goldman (Manager), Stan Calvert,Jack Cadogan, Phil Dougherty

– NREL – Bob Thresher (Director), Brian Smith,Mike Robinson, Dave Simms

– SNL – Paul Veers• DOE Albuquerque – Danny Sanchez

Page 3: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Why a Blade Workshop

• Increasing interest in Wind Energy– Growth in worldwide capacity– New offshore projects in the U.S.

• Interest in blades– Increase in blade-related papers in conferences

(ASME Wind Energy Symposium)– Articles in non-wind-specific magazines

• Goals for further COE reduction– Heavily rely on blades/rotor

• Bring together those with common interests– Discuss issues associated with design & fabrication of

modern turbine blades

Page 4: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Growth of Wind Energy Capacity Worldwide

Growth of Wind Energy Capacity Worldwide

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

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90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07

Rest of World

Actual Projected

Rest of World

North America North America

Europe Europe

Jan 2003 Cumulative MW

Rest of World = 3,261

North America = 4,944

Europe = 23,832

MW

Inst

alle

d

Sources: BTM Consult Aps, March 2003AWEA/EWEA Press Release 3/3/03

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07

Rest of World

Actual Projected

Rest of World

North America North America

Europe Europe

Rest of World

Actual Projected

Rest of World

North America North America

Europe Europe

Jan 2003 Cumulative MW

Rest of World = 3,261

North America = 4,944

Europe = 23,832

MW

Inst

alle

d

Sources: BTM Consult Aps, March 2003AWEA/EWEA Press Release 3/3/03

Page 5: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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MBOE/day

0

5

10

15

20

25

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Wind

Biomass power

Biofuels

Solar thermal

Geothermal

Solar PV

RE Growth PredictionsSource: Shell Global Scenarios

Page 6: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Cost of Wind Energy is Falling

Increased Turbine Size - R&D Advances - Manufacturing Improvements

0

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1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 20010

102030405060708090

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U.S

. Cum

ulat

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Cap

acity

(MW

)

Cos

t of E

nerg

y (c

ents

/kW

h*)

*Year 2000 dollars

Page 7: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Current Wind Industry Market

• Size– 1.5-5.0 MW– Towers: 65-100

m– Blades: 34-50m– Weight: 150-

500t

• Costs– System <

$3/lb– Blades <

$5/lb– ~ $0.75/Watt– $0.04-

0.05/kWh

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Page 10: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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How Do We Reduce the Cost of Energy from Wind Turbines?

(Thresher: 5/02)

Technology Improvements Estimated COE Improvement• Larger-scale 2 - 5MW - (rotors up to 120m) 0% ± 5%

• Advanced rotors and controls –(flexible, low-solidity, higher speed, hybrid carbon-glass -15% ± 7%and advanced and innovative designs)

• Advanced drive train concepts -(Hybrid drive trains with low-speed PM generators and -10% ± 7%other innovative designs including reduced cost PE)

• New tower concepts - (taller, modular, field assembled, -2% ± 5%load feedback control)

• Improved availability and reduced losses - (better controls, -5% ± 3%siting and improved availability)

• Manufacturing improvements - (new manufacturing methods, -7% ± 3%volume production and learning effects)

• Region and site tailored designs (tailoring of larger 100MW -5% ± 2%wind farm turbine designs to unique sites)

TOTAL -44% ± 32%

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Comparison of Weight Trends WindStats Data & Preliminary Designs

SAND2004-0074, Innovative Design Approaches for Large Wind Turbine Blades; Final Report, TPI

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Mass Growth for Commercial MW-scale Blades (primarily fiberglass)

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20 30 40 50 60Rotor Radius (m)

Bla

de M

ass

(103

kg)

Commercial Blade DataLM 35.0 / 43.8 (Class 2)V66 / V80 (Class 1)Commercial Data Trendline

Commercial MassTrend - R2.30

SAND2004-0073, Blade System Design Studies Volume II: Preliminary Blade Designs and Recommended Test Matrix, GEC

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Design Process Trends

• Have matured significantly over the past 10 years

• Back-of-envelope calculations to in-house computational tools

• Now some codes available at labs and commercially– BLADED– ADAMS– FAST– FEM codes and preprocessors,

ANSYS/NuMAD

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Design Process Trends

• Load models continually upgraded to reflect improvements from research

• Certification & Standards GL, IEC, now UL– Designs enhanced by

consistent modeling practices to get certification

– Designers can use a set of commonly accepted load cases & not re-invent

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Design Advancement Opportunities

– Load alleviation • Passive - twist coupling

– Sweep twist• Active devices - microtabs

– Performance enhancement & control devices

• Pitch – collective & individual• Flaperons, ailerons• Active devices

– Efficient internal blade architecture• Anti-buckling concepts

– Slender blades– Integrated structural/aerodynamic design

• Thickened airfoils– Safety factor shakeouts

Page 16: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Trends in Materials

• Continuation of material characterization– Data bases available to public –

DOE/MSU & FACT

DOE/MSU Fatigue Data Base•Material Properties (8800 Data Points for 158 Materials)

–Industry Materials (23)–Specialized Materials

•Expanded Programs–Spectral Loading–Matrix Materials–Carbon Fibers

•Updated Yearly - sandia.gov/wind/

Page 17: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Trends in Materials

• Availability of new materials and new material forms– Traditional forms of glass

• Woven• Stitched• Bonded

– Carbon • Large tow & medium tow –

less expensive– Carbon-Hybrid– Pre-preg glass & carbon– 3D weave– New matrix materials

Page 18: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Carbon & Carbon-Hybrids Provide Enhanced Strength for Less Weight

Large Tow Carbon FibersE-glass Fibers

Page 19: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Additional Research in Materials• Continued characterization of new

or modified materials• Thin v. thick coupons v. full blade

properties (transfer function)– Determine properties in as-built

structure– More efficient composite design

• Understanding design details and substructures – Effect of defects, ply drops– Material combination (hybrids)

introduce strain concentrations– Carbon-glass interfaces– Concerns about waviness &

compressive strength

Failure of the Fiberlass Drives the Failure of the Hybrid Composite

Page 20: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Manufacturing Process Trends

• Gone from hand lay-up to more automated processes– Pre-preg– Infusion – various forms– Re-emergence of wood-

carbon blades

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Manufacturing Process Trends

• Coupling of two or more processes– Pre-preg and infusion– Automated lay-up with

pre-preg or infusion– Incorporation of pultrusions

• MSU/Cairns• WindPACT

Studies/Zuteck

Page 22: Thanks for Attending!!! - Sandia Energywindpower.sandia.gov/2004BladeWorkshop/PDFs/TomAshwill.pdf · Ashwill - SNL Blade Workshop - Feb. 24, 2004 2 • Thanks for Attending!!! •

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Potential Improvements in Manufacturing

• Manufacturing processes– Process designed/optimized around

different forms • Modeling of process itself

– Material/resin combinations that infuse well to achieve desirable fiber content

– Pre-form use in thickened areas

• Increased reliability in general– Quality & repeatability (reduce

uncertainty)– More of test-validate-redesign cycle

• Automation– Tape laying– Pre-forms

5.0 mmCarbonlayers

Single exterior plydrop (symmetric)

to 3.0 mmcarbon layers

2x fiberglassouter plies

7.5 mmAdditionalfiberglass

3.0 mm Carbon layers

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