Thank you for joining the Open Networks Advisory Group meeting. · 2020-06-25 · Thank you for...
Transcript of Thank you for joining the Open Networks Advisory Group meeting. · 2020-06-25 · Thank you for...
Thank you for joining the Open Networks Advisory Group meeting.
• If you are unable to play the audio through your device, you can dial in by calling 020-3478-5289and using access code 321 650 251
• Please ensure that your microphone is switched to ‘mute’ to avoid background noise, and that your camera is not in use.
• You may ask questions or make comments via the chat function throughout the meeting. We will address as many of these as possible during the presentation, and publish our formal response shortly after the meeting.
• We have a scheduled 10 minute break at 11:00am.
• If you would like to receive information about the Open Networks Project or have any feedback you would like to submit, please get in touch with us at [email protected].
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The Advisory Group is essential to our project to:
▪ Ensure stakeholders are aware and taking the Project into account;
▪ Request input from stakeholders to improve the quality of our products;
▪ Increase awareness about project risks & issues, ask for views on risks & issues and collaboratively resolve where appropriate.
We will provide input to:
▪ Steering Group on project scope, progress, risks & issues;
▪ Workstreams with deliverable comments/feedback.
We will seek to send information in advance of meetings to ensure that views can be sought by trade associations in advance. Our objective is to encourage open feedback from you all across all of our work.
Thank you for the continued input.
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Advisory Group ToR Reminder
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Running Order of the Day
Summary of Breakout Sessions:
Upcoming Flexibility ConsultationObjective: Seek feedback on some feedback on how stakeholders would like to respond to the consultation paper
Workstream 1A Product 4: Commercial Arrangements Objective: Provide an update and seek input on possible solutions for addressing indemnities and liabilities.
Workstream 1B, Product 2 (Whole System FES - Coordination of National and Regional FES)
Objective: Seek feedback on potential areas for standardisation of DFES
Workstream 1B, Product 5 (Whole System FES - Signposting of Potential Network Capacity Requirements)
Objective: Provide an update and seek input on potential benefits of options for standardising evaluation and signposting of network capacity.
Energy
Networks
Association
Open Networks Progress Update
Jason Brogden (ENA)
5
Progress update –Recent publications & upcoming work
Workplan consultation & updated 2020 PID
May 20
Standard Contract for Flexibility & Stakeholder
Review
(WS1A P4)
Jun 20
DSO Implementation Plan & Potential CoI & UC
Register
(WS3 P1 & P2)
Jun 20
Queue Management Consultation
(WS2 P2)
Apr 20
Other publications
WS1A P2: Existing Approach to Procurement(Mar 20)2019 WS1A P3: Good Practice for Dispatch and Settlement(Mar20)2019 WS1A P5: Final Report - DSO Services: Conflict Management & Co-optimisation(Apr 20)WS1B P5: Interim Report: Signposting of Potential Network Capacity Requirements(May 20)WS4 P1: Phase 1 Report - Whole System CBA (Apr 20)WS4 P3: Phase 1 Report - Whole System FES – Gas input into Whole System FES (Apr 20)WS4 P5: Coordinated Gathering Regional Data Report (Jun 20)WS4 P6 : Current network resource data report (Jun 20)
Coming up in Q3
•Flexibility Consultation on all 2020 work in WS1A (end of Jul – end of Sep)
•Scoping Report for D FES Standardisation (Jul)
•SWRR Phase 2 Implementation (Jul/Aug)
•Community Energy Forum (TBC)
•Update to CoI and UC register (Aug)
•Data sharing process for gas input to Whole System FES (Aug)
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EventsComing UpThe Open Networks Project is committed to stakeholder engagement for all its work, and regularly hold events, webinars, and roundtables to support its work. Find some of our upcoming events below or visit our events page.
In consultation with Workstream 5, Open Networks has made the decision to hold all meetings for the rest of 2020 remotely, either by video or conference call.
Open Networks Events• DSO Implementation Plan Webinar: 16 July, 15:00 – 16:00, register to attend here• Applications Interactivity Webinar: 20 July, 13:30 – 15:00, register to attend here• Community Energy Forum 1: Date TBC – late July / Early August• Flexibility Consultation Webinar 1: 26 August, 14:00 – 15:00, register to attend here• Flexibility Consultation Webinar 2: 9 September, 14:00 – 15:00, register to attend here
We are currently planning to hold 3 community energy forums in 2020. While we are still confirming the dates of all three, the first will fall during the Flexibility Consultation
period. We will bring details of all forums to the Advisory Group.
ENA Innovation Events• Energy Innovation Forum #6: 24 June, 09:00 – 12:00, register to attend here
o Sharing information and learnings on the recently released Innovation Strategies• DWG Webinar: TBC – beginning of July
o More information and registration details will be circulated ahead of the event
Energy
Networks
Association
WS3 P1: DSO Implementation Plan
Steve Atkins (SSEN)
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DSO Implementation Plan - Introduction
The DSO Implementation Plan is a key project deliverable that sets out a clear pathway to the implementation of distribution system operation and will be a key input to RIIO2 business planning processes.
This provides a consolidated view of outcomes from ONP and industry to progress the transition and provides greater visibility of implementation progress.
This provides insights into actions implemented to date as well as anticipated windows for future implementation.
It serves as a tool to report progress and identify any barriers and gaps in delivering DSO functionality.
The plan represents a snapshot in time as at June 2020 with a plan for an update in Q1 2020.
Interactive Roadmap
Report
Outputs
Demonstration video
The link for the roadmap, report, and video will be updated closer to the AG date when they become available.
Webinar: 16th July 2020, 3-4pm – Register to attend here
Energy
Networks
Association
WS3 P2: Conflict of Interests and Unintended Consequences Register
Fiona Navesey (ENA ONP)
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Conflict of Interest & UC Tracker - June Update
Conflicts of Interest and Unintended Consequences
Tracker updates drawn from stakeholder feedback, directly or through other consultation documents, and from relevant industry projects.
Update Tracker, Publish and Facilitate Stakeholder Input Cycle
Mitigation Routes
Considered
Revised CoI & UC Tracker
ON-P Advisory Group
Feedback
ON-P 2020 PID Consultation Responses
Latest Workstream
Progress
Latest Industry Progress
Collate & Review
Publish Updated Tracker
June
Discuss Routes with Projects
Mitigation Progress: ON-P and Industry
Conflicts of Interest and Unintended Consequences11
Main changes since November 2019 release
Change Headlines:
• Section D - System Security
• D9: Reduced system security due to uncoordinated or untested approaches to new markets.
• D10: DNO/TO receives an unplanned benefit from a Peer to Peer trade (because it inadvertently mitigates a different network issue for which the Peer to Peer parties are not rewarded)
• Section E - Distributional Customer Impacts:
• D5: Lack of incentives for innovation in commercial solutions, potentially preventing smaller Market Actors from adopting a more innovative delivery approach or flexibility coming to market
Change Sources:
• Input based on the 2019 Market Rules Simulations 'War Games' (developed by TRANSITION and LEO projects)
• Stakeholder comments and feedback captured from the Open Networks Project 2020 PID responses
Total1. Open - Not
addressed
2. Open -Acknowledged by risk owner
3. Closed -Mitigation
solution started
4. Closed -Mitigation
solution deployed
Conflicts of Interest 9 1 3 4 1
Unintended consequences 32 8 12 11 1
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Next Steps: Optimising the CoI & UC Risk Log
Conflicts of Interest and Unintended Consequences
A material update in August 2020 – subject to stakeholder feedback. To include improvements to “signposting”, accessibility and reporting for stakeholders & action owners; plus alignment with the DSO Implementation Plan.
Change suggestions for consideration…
• Include an overarching Dashboard / Heatmap with a more visual approach to signal overall risk status and / or signpost where to review
• Include a ‘Status Change’ column to flag when there has been a change between updates
• Improve Scorecard to highlight risk movements between updates
• Highlight risks requiring further stakeholder or risk owner input
• Engage risk owners more frequently and improve update process
• Align with the DSO Implementation plan – ensure they complement each other and use same language
The Risk Log is rich in detailed information but…
• No overarching summary making it difficult to assess overall position and / or review progress quickly
• No reporting options - not always obvious what has changed and / or why
• Engagement by owners, stakeholders, workstreams could be improved
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Feedback Needed
Conflicts of Interest and Unintended Consequences
Ahead of committing to any approach, we want to capture your views:
1. Is the content about right - does the approach adequately address the perceived gaps identified during the PID consultation?
2. Improving risk engagement and reporting – will these proposals make engagement easier and more efficient for both stakeholders and risk-owners? Other suggestions?
3. DSO Implementation Plan interactions - is there a need to look at CoI and UC with the transition timeline in mind? Does such a phased approach aid resolution or create an unnecessary layer of detail?
4. Optimising the information - any other suggestions for improving stakeholder and risk-owner interaction?
You can answer these questions in the chat box or through our online survey form here.
A link to these questions will also be emailed to you following the conclusion of this meeting
Energy
Networks
Association
2019 WS1A P5: ANM vs Flexibility Stackability
Ben Godfrey (WPD)
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Outputs of ON2019 WS1A P5ON2019 WS1A P5 focused on the conflict management and co-optimisation of flexibility services within the whole electricity system. This covered the interactions between network constraints and service accommodation across transmission, distribution and iDNOnetworks.
OutputsThere were three key reports published:• Conflict Management and Co-Optimisation Framework
This identified a process for identifying conflicts between network constraints and service accommodation and the informationrequired to do so. Additionally, potential mitigations were outlined to be taken forward through real-life examples of conflict as this becomes apparent on the system.
• Stackability of DSO ServicesReview of the compatibility between DSO and other services likely to form part of the revenue streams for a flexibility asset. The review included the stackability of different revenue streams within the same half-hour and also in adjacent half-hours/periods.
• The stackability of ANM and FlexibilityExplanation of the typical implementation of ANM versus Flexibility –highlighting differences in approaches and usage. Examination of current likelihood of ANM users solving issues where flexibility is sought. Proposals for resolving conflict potential.
Interaction between ANM and DSO Flexibility Services
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ANM and Flexibility
There is a substantial difference in coverage and scale of ANM vs Flexibility Services currently.
DNO Flexible Connections ANM/Flexible Connections (MW)
Industry Total - End of 2018 2517.8
Industry Total - End of 2019 3169.6
DNO Flexibility Services MW Contracted
Industry Total - End of 2018 61.8Industry Total - End of 2019 157.4
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ANM and Flexibility
ANM has the following characteristics:• Real time operation• Embodied in the connection agreement• ANM connection option is chosen by customer when seeking
a new or modified connecting, but subsequent curtailment is mandatory
• Requires ANM equipment physically on site to manage the connection
• Dispatch of curtailment is controlled end to end by DNO systems
• Forms an enduring requirement• Limits distribution network access• Used where the user is responsible for costs• Uncompensated for activation• Reduces up front connection charges• Curtailment shared by a deterministic approach (Last in, first
out; proportional)• Operation of existing connections unaffected
Flexibility Services have the following characteristics:• Forms a distinct commercial agreement• Participation is voluntary and compensated• Used where the network is responsible for costs• Services are contracted for a set period of time• Contract can be terminated subject to the terms and
conditions• No inherent requirement for physical equipment to manage
the connection• Dispatch can be through intermediary platforms• Services can be scheduled ahead of time or dispatched in real
time • Network access is not affected, but there may be commercial
penalties for not following an agreed load profile• Connection agreement, and associated connection costs still
required• Open for any existing user to participate
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ANM and Flexibility
Crucially, as the curtailment of ANM connections is forecasted, service procurers should be able to take a view on when ANM i s likely to conflict when providing Flexibility Services.
There is no inherent reason why ANM users cannot provide, or be compensated for providing Flexibility Services.
For DSO Flexibility Services, the standard terms developed by Open Networks have no exclusivity clauses pertaining to ANM connections.
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Previous Work
User InformationUser assets managed by ANM systems will be provided sufficient information on ANM Constraint Information, as per ON2018 WS2 P7.When procuring Flexibility or Balancing Services, the flexibility providers will be given sufficient information to understand potential service windows and will have to warranty that their connection agreement does not prohibit provision of services within those service windows.ProcurementFlexibility Services will be procured in line with recommendations of ON2019 WS1A P2 – DER with non-firm connection arrangements will be assessed to understand the probability of curtailment during the service window.Conflict ManagementProcesses for identifying potential conflict of services and accompanying mitigations for resolving the conflict have been developed under ON2019 WS1A P5 Conflict Management & Co-optimisation.
Development through Open Networks
Potential Future Work
Non-DSO Services Data and information to enable non-DSO platforms to undertake these functions
Standardisation of ANM to Flexibility Services• Termination of existing ANM connection and re-application for a
new connection with associated costs• Continuation of existing ANM terms and conditions• Procurement of flexibility to provide short-term firmness of
network access rights; either• through interaction with the DNO; or• trading with peer to peer markets
• Longer term conversion to an unconstrained connection through the DNO using flexibility (associated costs apportioned)
Energy
Networks
Association
Gas Goes Green
Thom Koller (ENA)
© ENA 2020
Introduction to Gas Goes Green
2 July 2020
Thom Koller
DEL IVERING THE PATHWAY TO NET ZERO
© ENA 2020
The Gas Goes Green programme will deliver the world’s first zero carbon gas grid, helping meet the UK’s net zero carbon emissions target.
It will make the changes needed to move Britain's gas network infrastructure from delivering methane-based natural gas to zero carbon hydrogen and biomethane.
Delivering the pathway to net zero
© ENA 2020
Pathway to net zero
D E L I V ER ING TH E P A TH WA Y TO N E T Z E R O
© ENA 2020
The 2019 ‘Pathways to Net Zero’ report identified fifteen low-regret actions that gas network operators should take in order to enable progress on the pathway to net zero.
The Gas Goes Green scope of work has been allocated across six workstreams, each of which supports the net zero drive.
How we formed the programme
WS1. Investing in net zero
WS2. Gas quality and safety
WS3. Consumer options
WS4. System enhancement
WS5. Hydrogen transformation
WS6. Communications
and stakeholder engagement
Workstream 1Investment in Net
Zero
Workstream 3Consumer options
Workstream 5Hydrogen
Delivering your Net Zero energy networks
‣Products aligned and divided between projects
‣Cross-over member representation
‣Joint Positions on achieving Net Zero
Advisory
GroupCross-vector
membership
ModernisingEnergy
Data: Data Working Group
1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 11 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0
01010
01
Workstream 4Whole Energy
Systems
Advisory
GroupCross-vector
Membership
0101010
0
Open Networks
Project
© ENA 2020© ENA 2020
2020 deliverables
WS1. Investing in
net zero
WS2. Gas quality
and safety
WS3. Consumer
options
WS4. System
enhancement
WS5. Hydrogen
transformation
WS6.
Communications and stakeholder
engagement
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
WS1.1 - Carbon commitment
WS1.2 – IMRRP emissions sav ing
WS1.3 – Dev eloping the pathway to net zero
WS2.1 – Strengthen case for GS(M)R amendment
WS2.2 – Grid-scale trials of gas separation
WS3.1 – Hydrogen production, storage and carbon capture geological studies
WS3.2 - Production, Storage and Carbon Capture
Locational and Capacity Requirements
WS3.3 – Future of gas in transport
WS4.1 – Entry connection standardisation
WS4.2 – Grid capacity optioneering
WS4.3 – Assessing network fugitiv e emissions
WS5.1 – Hydrogen transformation plan
WS5.2 – Hydrogen collaboration
and dissemination
WS6.1 – A whole systems approach to heat decarbonisation
Support Gas Goes Green deliv erables and communicate gas network projects
WS3.4 – Heating system
demonstrations
WS1.4 – Local, regional and national pathways studies
© ENA 2020
D E L I V ER ING TH E P A TH WA Y TO N E T Z E R O
New Gas Goes Green publications
• Planned investment worth £900m in decarbonising gas networks by 2026
• Sets out achievable cost reduction projections for hydrogen
Hydrogen: Cost to
customer
© ENA 2020
Thank you
Thom Koller
Register your interest in Project updates
Energy
Networks
Association
Open Networks Project 2020 Flexibility Consultation Framework
Jason Brogden (ENA)
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Placeholder – for slides after they have been amended by Jason
Energy
Networks
Association
BreakWe will resume the session at 11:10am
Energy
Networks
Association
WS1A P4: Commercial ArrangementsIndemnities and Liabilities Update
Alex Howison (SSEN)
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Company Primary Representative
SSEN-D
Alex Howison – Product Lead Gemma Lampert
NG (SO) Andrew Rice
NIEN Andy Smith
NPG Andrew McKenna
SPEN-D Wendy Mantle
ENWL Lois Clark
UKPN
Stathis Mokka, Helen Hassan & Rebecca Slattery
WPD Helen Sawdon
WS1 P4 Members in 2020
ON WS1A P4 – Liabilities & Indemnities update
Agenda
Problem Statement
Stakeholder Feedback
DNO feedback
Further discussion points
Possible Solutions
Actions & Summary
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ON WS1A P4 – Customer Feedback examples
‘Contractual responsibilities should be proportionate to
contract values’ to give a more level playing field for smaller providers.’ At the same time
stakeholders acknowledged that this may facilitate free-riding. A
wider point was made in order to facilitate the parties to undertake risk in a proportionate manner to
their size
There are a lot of small flex providers coming through, how can you make these (clauses) more palatable for
them, as the threat of penalties can quickly make their business cases fall through. If the DSO is best placed to
manage that risk, then why pass it onto the DER/flex provider?
If terms were standardised – could
a potential 3rd provider step in as
an insurance provider?
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ON WS1A P4 – Indemnities & Liabilities - Problem
The P4 Team and WS1A members held a discussion with BEIS and Ofgem in June following significant difficulty in identifying a single solution to the liability, indemnity and insurance problems, outlined below;
• Feedback from stakeholders has often been conflicting, with both capped and contract value tracked values being suggested
• Reducing liabilities and indemnities increases DNO risk significantly, especially where lack of service provision could result in outages, asset damage or need for accelerated reinforcement to meet demand
• In a more mature market where DER saturation is higher, these risks reduce as alternative providers are readily available without significant cost increases, but in this evolving market DNO risk remains high
• Conflict between ability of larger providers to easily meet higher indemnities, liabilities and insurances and smaller providers who are unable to field larger policies
• Additional conflict between the insurances/liabilities within initial procurement steps (EOI/ITT often £5m) and following contracted values (capped to contract/set cap examples)
• P4 focused on contract value cap for Version 1, however one DNO opted out in favor of fixed cap based on direct feedback and company preference
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ON WS1A P4 –Feedback/Concerns
• Single capped liability does not consider the differences in risk between a single small participant and a large aggregator running multiple assets
• Contract value capping does not consider providers working under a single contract across multiple years and/or multiple CMZs
• Discourages longer term contracts (higher contract values = higher liabilities)
• Ability to agree a ‘contract value’ in fault response services (Dynamic/Restore) where these costs cannot be estimated with any confidence ahead of faults
• Implementing could mean increasing liabilities for existing participants
• While stakeholder feedback would suggest support for DNO’s absorbing these costs/higher risks, with the recovery of costs through regulatory incentives, or 3rd party funds supporting these providers there is an apparent risk of distorting competition
• By implementing caps to insurance and liabilities could enable larger organisations to manipulate services, open the markets to ‘gaming’ and result in the socialisation of costs which larger organisations are in a better position to absorb
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ON WS1A P4 – Possible solutions
• Retention of the contract value capped approach
• Adoption of the single cap approach in use already (ESO/WPD)
• An annual cap on liability, based on the charges from the past year, with a minimum to apply in the first contract year / where volume falls below a minimum threshold, which can be assessed at outset based on anticipated volume
• Incentive or recoverable investment allowance for DNO absorption of additional risk, enabling lower contractual indemnities
• ‘3rd Party’ set up or appointed to support smaller organisations with higher insurance, liability/indemnity requirements
• In all cases, inherent need for adaptation of procurement driven liabilities to align with contract liabilities, industry approach needed to inform/direct procurement process changes
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ON WS1A P4 – Discussion Outcomes
Instead of pressing for a single approach, the P4 Team will produce a set of solutions for review and approval, discussion will be needed on how these solutions are implemented;
• Based on service type• Optimum solution selected by the Provider• Optimum solution selected by the DNO• A mix of the above
The P4 team will also produce a roadmap on how these solutions evolve into a single solution over time.
Both steps to be completed for version 2 adoption.
In addition, WS1A will investigate the relationship between risk vs costs for flexibility services as per additional discussion points.
Energy
Networks
Association
WS1B P2: Whole System FES - Coordination of National and Regional FES
Hadi Khouzani (SSEN)
Whole System Electricity FES40
Objectives
Objective B: Identify a common process for the DFES standardisation
Objective C: Identify elements (assumptions, profiles and limits) subject to standardisation
Objective D: Identify a common timeline and process for FES/DFES cycle
Complete
Complete
Complete
Objective E: Identify a mechanism to update tools, assumptions and processes in each
cycle
Objective A: Establish the same high level framework for DFES between all DNOs
Complete
Complete
Whole System Electricity FES41
Objective A: Establish the same high level framework
• All DNOs confirmed that they
are following a similar
framework for their DFES
publication
• All DNOs have adopted
common set of building
blocks (BB) for their DFES
publication
To get started, click the What is Visio? tab below
Welcome to VisioTop tips for a simpler way to work
Defining the scenarios
Capture regional growth in each
scenario
Production of forecasts
Forecast outputs Publication
• evidence base & stakeholder engagement
• customers• local authorities• local enterprise
partnerships• local housing
planning• local energy
strategy• local economic &
industrial strategy
Stage 1: baseline(historical data, base
year)
Stage 2: pipeline(planned developments,
connections, network planning info)
Stage 3: long-term growth
(zero carbon targets, LA action plans)
• demand, generation, storage
• seasonal outputs• daily/half-hourly
profiles
• DFES reports• regional forecast
data
Whole System Electricity FES42
Objective B: Criteria for the Standardisation Process
The proposed process should:
• gives the opportunity to check the detailed assumptions if there is any major
differences between license area and nationwide trends
• provides a feedback loop required to debate and update the data, models
and forecast employed by each network company
• allows enough flexibility to DNOs to engage with local stakeholders and
capture local ambitions and targets in their forecast
• be achievable and provides a foundation in such that further
standardisation could be introduced if necessary.
Whole System Electricity FES43
Objective B: Candidates for the Standardisation Process
Common Scenario Framework
Model
Initial Alignment & Feedback
Model
Fully Integrated FES/DFES
Process
• The same scenario framework as
the GBFES
• Greater flexibility for DNOs to
adjust their own levers and
assumptions
• Could lead to greater differences
between national and license area
trends
• Does not require additional
resource
• The same scenario frameworks
as the GBFES
• The same high-level assumptions
as the GBFES
• A process to review and address
differences and take appropriate
actions to update models,
assumptions and data.
• Resource intensive process
• All processes/models are the same
• High degree of interaction between
the ESO and DNOs
• Much greater alignment and
consistency
• May prevent each DNO from
capturing and reflecting local
targets and trends
• Much more resource intensive
process
DNOs Flexibility
Level of Standardisation
Whole System Electricity FES44
Objective B: Initial Alignment and Feedback Model Process
• Single Scenario Framework for GBFES & DFESs (common scenario
names, 2x2 formats, building blocks and GB wide assumptions)
• Strong interaction between ESO and DNOs following GBFES & DFES
publications to ensure assumptions and models reflect best available
information
• DFES scenarios considers latest regional targets and stakeholder inputs
while retaining the same high level assumptions as GBFES
• Where regional targets and stakeholder inputs diverge from GBFES, there
will be a process to review and address differences and take appropriate
actions to update models, assumptions and data
Whole System Electricity FES45
Objective C: Standardisation subjects
• Based on FES Scenario Framework Assumptions
• Adopting all relevant assumptions for their scenario framework
High-level Assumptions
• Profiles are region specific and should not be subject to standardisation.
• Profiles should be compared and debated.
• Profiles will be publish in the FES/DFES document.
Profiles
• Best estimate of the building blocks based on different records
• Demand and generation measurement according to P2/7 and week 24 documents and processes
Forecast Starting
point
Whole System Electricity FES46
Objective C: Standardisation subjects
❑ Assumptions and levers defining the scenarios: FES Scenario Framework Assumptions
There are 73 assumptions in four themes (Political, Economic, Social and Technological) and
13 categories in FES2019:
• Political-Support and incentives,
• Political-Targets, Regulation, legislation and constitutional issues
• Economic-Commodity prices
• Social-Residential behaviour
• Social-Transport
All DNOs are agreed to adopt relevant assumptions for their scenario framework. In the case
of any divergence from these assumptions, DNOs will justify and publish their assumption in
DFES publication
Theme CategoryAssumption
numberAssumption name Description
Community
RenewablesTwo Degrees
Steady
Progression
Consumer
Evolution
Community Renewables
descriptionTwo Degrees description Steady Progression description Consumer Evolution description
Political Support and incentives 1.1.1Support for low carbon
solutions
The level of support mechanisms available
for low carbon solutionsHigh High Low Low
High level of incentive support to
encourage low carbon solutions
required to meet the carbon budgets
High level of incentive support to
encourage low carbon solutions
required to meet the carbon budgets
Low support as the focus is on
reducing short-term costs
Low support as the focus is on
reducing short-term costs
Whole System Electricity FES47
Objective C: Standardisation subjects
❑ Profiles
• It was agreed that profiles for different technologies are region specific (due to differences
in the customer behaviour, network status, climate) and should not be subject to
standardisation
• The profiles are expected to have the same form and shape and a relatively similar peak
value. The shape and peak might be slightly different from region to region
• For further transparency, it was agreed to publish profiles in the DFES document
• It should be highlighted to DFES stakeholders that profiles are defined for network
planning purpose.
Whole System Electricity FES48
Objective C: Standardisation subjects
❑ DFES forecast Starting point
• For some building blocks, DNOs don’t have the exact baseline volume. In these cases,
DNOs use their best estimate based on different records they have
• There should also be consistency in measuring our demand/generation baseline for the
forecast.
This can be achieved by ensuring the same fundamentals are employed to establish our
baseline (ER P2/7 and Week 24).
Whole System Electricity FES49
Objective D: Common timeline and process for FES/DFES cycle
• Timeline assumes GBFES publication in July with DFES publications
sometimes between October to December, where all DNOs do not
necessary publish in the same month.
• If any changes in modelling or assumptions is concluded after the
comparison of DNOs and ESO data, the corrections should be captured in
the next publication of FES/DFES.
• Update from latest DFES’s
GBFES
• Update from GBFES
DFESs• Update
from latest DFES’s
GBFES
Whole System Electricity FES
Objective D: Common timeline and process for FES/DFES cycle
50
Oct 20 Mar 21 July 21 Oct 21 Dec 21 Jan 22Jan 21
DFES
Publications
GBFES
Publication
DFES
Publications
1st touchpoint/meeting to:
• Check and justify major differences in 2020 FES and DFES
publications both BB volumes and projections (MVA)
• Update models and assumptions
This will be materialised through an initial interaction between DNOs and
ESO and then with a meeting with all DNOS and ESO representatives
Dec 20
2nd touchpoint/meeting point to:
• Receive and debate the high level assumption and levers for FES
2021
1st touchpoint/meeting to:
• Check and justify major differences in 2021 FES and DFES
publications both BB volumes and projections (MVA)
• Update models and assumptions
This will be materialised through an initial interaction between DNOs and
ESO and then with a meeting with all DNOS and ESO representatives
The existing timeline for FES/DFES coordination between ESO and DNOs can be employed to
incorporate the standardisation discussions.
Whole System Electricity FES51
Objective E: Identify a mechanism to update tools, assumptions and processes after each cycle
• It is suggested to adopt a framework to reflect local/regional differences.
The assumption framework should allow local variation subject to
providing proof such legislation or track record of local authorities.
• For the comparison, It is required all network companies (DNOs and
ESO) to provide their projection of different BBs (volumes and MW) for
each GSP.
• It is required all network companies (DNOs and ESO) to provide the
modelling data they used to forecast different technologies (building
blocks) if there is a divergence between DNO and ESO forecasts.
Whole System Electricity FES52
Steps to finalise the work
• The work has been presented to the ENA ON Workstream 1B Group and the
feedbacks have been incorporated
• The work has been presented to the ENA ON Steering Group and the feedbacks have
been incorporated
• The work will be presented to the Advisory Group on 2nd July in order to include their
views in the final stage of the work
• The work will be submitted to the Workstream 1B Group and the Steering Group for
sign off by 16th July
Whole System Electricity FES53
Question for the Advisory Group
• Does the process provide a reasonable level of standardisation? Does it allow DNOs to project local trends accurately?Q1
• What are the benefits and drawbacks of greater DFES standardisation?Q2
• Will the proposed approach and timescales enable wider stakeholders to fully engage with the DFES? Q3
• Should there be an ongoing process involving stakeholders to review and update DFES processes each year?Q4
Thank You
54
Energy
Networks
Association
WS1B P5: Whole System FES – Signposting of Potential Network Capacity Requirements
Gill Williamson (ENWL)
56
WS1B P5 – Advisory Group 2nd July 2020 Agenda
Today’s objective is to introduce WS1B P5’s work and
seek your inputs on potential benefits of
options for standardising DNO evaluation and signposting of network capacity
1. Introduction to P5
2. Options for standardisation
3. Cost Benefit Analysis approach
57
P2 and P5 interface
Definition of
principles and
scenarios
Forecasts of LCT, EV, HP and DG numbers
Electricity forecasts (detailed
profiles define max and min
etc.)
Evaluate network capacity and constraints
Report network capacity and constraints
P2 P5
WS1B P5
DNO processes
WS1B P558
WS1B P5 - Objectives O
bje
ctiv
e A Identify a
common system for evaluating network capacity
Ob
ject
ive
B Identify a standard report for signposting network capacity O
bje
ctiv
e C Monitored
implementation of recommended signposting across DNOs
Why do it?• Deliver consistency and improve DNO network capacity is reported and publicised to the
wider market• A standardised transparent approach will help industry participants identify network issues
and develop mitigations
WS1B P559
WS1B P5 - Programme O
bje
ctiv
e A Identify a
common system for evaluating network capacity
Ob
ject
ive
B Identify a standard report for signposting network capacity O
bje
ctiv
e C Monitored
implementation of recommended signposting across DNOs
On-going On-going Not started
March 2020 November 2020 January 2021
WS1B P560
WS1B P5 – Steps and Deliverables
Survey current network capacity evaluation and reporting approaches
Develop standardisation
options
Evaluate options including CBA
Make recommendation
Survey report Report incImplementation Plan
Ob
ject
ive
A Identify a common system for evaluating network capacity
Ob
ject
ive
B Identify a standard report for signposting network capacity O
bje
ctiv
e C Monitored
implementation of recommended signposting across DNOs
61
WS1B P5–Current Network Capacity Reporting Survey
“Findings of the survey on network operator current practices for evaluating and signposting future network capacity”
Report now published https://energynetworks.org/electricity/futures/open-networks-project/workstream-products-2020/ws1b-planning-and-forecasting.html
Key Findings:-Network operators are already preparing and sharing a variety of network capacity reports with some consistency, especially where mandated
Reports can be characterised by parameters which can be used to define a standard approach:• Extent of the network covered by the report • Presentation, platform & update frequency• Range of dates over which network capacity is evaluated • Forecast scenarios
Different approaches within and between DNOs are necessary for reasons including: • Different purposes and audiences • Different attitudes to risk• Technical reasons such e.g. network configuration, active networks, calculation tolerances
WS1B P562
One Scenario Multiple Scenarios
Year
s
Bespoke DFES reports
GAP
GAP(some DNOs)
Opportunities for a
standardised report?
WS1B P5 – Developing options for standardisation
2030–
2050
8
End ED1
2020
Load Index
P2/7
LTDS
Heat Maps
SWRR/SoW
Consider:-➢ Purpose➢ Audienceas we debate and agree details of standard approach➢ Stakeholder engagement➢ Development of CBA
WS1B P563
WS1B P5 – CBA
Our CBA will focus on the additional
costs and benefits arising from
standardised reporting
Costs are easier for us to identify than
benefits
Most of the benefits accrue to
stakeholders
Costs for preparing and sharing network capacity
reports
Stakeholder benefits arising from the use of consistent
network reporting
WS1B P564
WS1B P5 – Questions
Q1 : What are the stakeholder benefits from standardising the way in which DNOs report network capacity limitations?
Q2 : Over what timeframe is there value reporting on network capacity requirements? Up to 5 years say? Or out to 2050?
Q3 : What are the advantages in reporting network capacity requirements against multiple scenarios (e.g FES Scenarios) compared to a single scenario?
Q4 : DNOs will evaluate capacity requirements differently depending on the characteristics of their network, their analysis systems etc. Are there particular aspects that DNOs should look to evaluate and report?
WS1B P565
WS1B P5
Thank You!
Please contact Gill [email protected]
or John [email protected]
for more information or to share further thoughts
Energy
Networks
Association
Wrap UpJason Brogden (ENA)
67
Wrap Up
There are some challenges ahead if we want to meet our carbon targets while providing a safe and
secure energy grid at an affordable price.
However, by enabling flexible networks we can address these; open up new markets for customers for
low carbon and innovative technologies; and deliver efficient network costs for consumers.
We are working together and dedicated to making this work with input from stakeholders in an open
and transparent way.
We would welcome feedback on how this meeting went, as well as thoughts on length, frequency,
and format – you can access our feedback survey here. The feedback form will also be emailed
around after the conclusion of this meeting.
We welcome feedback from all our stakeholders. If you have any comments that you would like to
share, please feel free to submit them to [email protected].