Texas and North Texas Population Characteristics and Trends Grayson College Denison, Texas April 1, 2015 Y ear* Population Numeric Change Annual Percent Change 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,060, , ,448,193387, ,895,688447, * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census Counts and Population Estimates Population Growth, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses Historic County Population, Texas Source: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Estimated Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. 102 counties lost population over the four year period. Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. Components of Population Change by Percent in Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Estimated Number of Net Migrants by County, Texas, 2013 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2014 Vintage. Net Migration 10 Percent of Population Change from Net Migration Midlan d Dalla s Houston Austin San Antonio Ft. Worth U.S. Rank Population Change Population Change Percent of Change from Natural Increase Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is international Harris County1 88, %51.4%54.0% Bexar County6 33, %57.2%23.2% Dallas County8 32, %30.4%116.3%* Tarrant County10 31, %49.2%38.5% Fort Bend County11 30, %80.6%17.3% Travis County12 28, %61.8%29.7% Collin County14 26, %73.8%20.1% Denton County16 24, %72.8%14.0% Montgomery County27 19, %82.1%10.4% Williamson County31 18, %76.8%7.8% *Dallas had net out domestic migration over this period. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, U.S. Rank Percent Population Change Percent Change from Migration Percent of Migration that is International Hays County54.8%83.89%2.62% Fort Bend County64.7%80.6%17.27% Comal County94.0%90.1%3.04% Andrews County124.0%62.8%3.57% Montgomery County133.8%82.1%10.39% Williamson County143.8%76.8%7.84% Kendall County153.8%98.0%5.02% Ward County213.4%72.0%1.49% Denton County233.3%72.8%14.2% Collin County313.1%73.9%20.1% Aransas County323.1%110.8%4.3% Rockwall County353.0%78.3%7.8% Waller County362.9%77.2%5.3% Ector County372.9%59.9%2.0% Guadalupe County422.8%78.6%4.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2013 County Population Estimate 2014 Population Change Components of Change* Net Migration Natural Increase Natural Increase Components Births Deaths Grayson123,5341, ,4971,290 Hunt88, , Cooke38, Lamar49, Fannin33, Montague19, North Texas Counties 2014 Population Estimate and Components of Change, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Vintage Population Estimates *Components may not add to total change as residual is not presented Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percent of the Population that was Born in Texas, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percent of population that is of Hispanic descent, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percent of population that moved in to current residence in the past year, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Median age of the population, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percent of population speaking a language other than English at home and speak English less than very well, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percent of population 25 years and older without a high school degree, Census Tracts, Texas Percent of population earning $75,000 per year or more, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Mean Commute Time in Minutes, Census Tracts, Texas, Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Year Sample Percentage of Population with Drive Times Longer than 25 Minutes, Texas Census Tracts, 1990 and 2010* * Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1990 decennial census and *American Community Survey, Year Sample. Texas Leads U.S. Job Growth, 29% 11% 7% 4% Texas California New York North Carolina Washington 4% Percentage of Total U.S. Job Gains Attributable to each State All Others Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 27 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 28 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 29 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1 Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections, Half Migration Scenario Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25-64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity High School Graduates and Above Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, Texas 33 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25-64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended Rates, Texas 34 These should be going DOWNThese should be going UP Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS. Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet:37 Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D.