Ten scalable solutions for the climate change problemRam) Ramanathan. Scripps Institution of...

26
V. (Ram) Ramanathan Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California at San Diego Ten Scalable Solutions for the Climate Change Problem June 21, 2017

Transcript of Ten scalable solutions for the climate change problemRam) Ramanathan. Scripps Institution of...

V. (Ram) RamanathanScripps Institution of OceanographyUniversity of California at San Diego

Ten Scalable Solutions for the Climate Change Problem

June 21, 2017

Atmosphere

How much climate pollution is in this thin shell?

Added 2,000,000,000,000 tons of CO2 since 1750

1975 discovery of Halocarbons as Super-greenhouse gases put Non-CO2 greenhouse gases on par with CO2

SCIENCE1975Science, 1975

Warming Would Be Detected by

2000

15 AUGUST 1980 SCIENCE JOURNALMadden And Ramanathan

Prediction

5Ramanathan et al, 2013: CARB 08-323

Statewide Black Carbon Trends in California(Remote Sites)

Our Grandchildren’s World

Our Children and Grand Children will witness a rapidly & adversely changing and unpredictable world…

20 yrs 35 Yrs

??

Xu and Ramanathan, 2017

Europe: 70000 perishedin the heat wave of 2003

Exposure to Deadly Climate Conditions:

By 2100: With No Climate Policy:

74% will be exposed

20502030

3Tt

EXCEEDING 2 CBY 2050

Ramanathan et al, 2015

Ten Solutions byThe UC-FIFTY

Two time scales:

From now to 2030

From 2030 to 2050

Ten Solutions For Carbon Neutrality andClimate Stability

Ramanathan et al, 2015

THE UC-FIFTY

Living LaboratoriesLara G. Streiff and V. Ramanathan

Six Clusters

Science Solutions

Societal Transfor-mation

Solutions

GovernanceSolutions

Technology Based

Solutions

Natural & Managed Ecosystem Solutions

Market & Regulation

Based Solutions

1. Bend the warming curve immediately by reducing short-lived climate pollutants & sustainably by replacing fossil-fueled energy systems with carbon neutral technologies

SCIENCE SOLUTIONS

The Two Levers Approach

CO2

ShortLived

ClimatePollutants

SB1383- THE SLCPs MITIGATION BILL SIGNING;SEPT 19, 2016

1. .2. Foster a global culture of climate action through

communication and education; Develop innovative approaches to change social attitudes and behavior.

3. Deepen the global culture of climate collaboration:stakeholders, community, and religious leaders with researchers to initiate collaborative actions to mitigate climate disruption

SOCIETAL TRANSFORMATION SOLUTIONS

These address Intra- & Inter-Generational Equity

An Alliance betweenScience,

Religion &Policy

May 2014

Societal Transformation: A dialogue thatIncludes everyone

A New Alliance Between Science, Religon & Policy

July 21, 2015 Summit For City Mayors, Vatican

UC’s Climate Solution Course: Undergrads Provide you the tools to bend the curve & preserve nature

Need to bring health-care into the alliance 7 million die every year from air pollution

Millions are expected to be displaced, lose their livelihood and subject to migration due to climate disruption

Heat stress will impact habitability of the Planet for people and mammalsWithout adequate mitigation and adaptation, climate change poses unacceptable risks to global health..... Lancet Commission, 2015

Climate and Health Summit at VaticanSponsored by Pontifical Academy of SciencesWHO; UCSD Institute of Public Health; …

Climate Mitigation Train has already left8.1 million people Renewable industry

EU and US emissions have been trending downwards since 2000-2005

53 cities and 65 industries are decarbonizing already

California is the living laboratory

Bottom up efforts are needed to scale up

There Is Still Time To Protect People And Creation