Telecom Power Presentation
-
Upload
datacenters -
Category
Business
-
view
387 -
download
0
Transcript of Telecom Power Presentation
MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Premium Power for ColocationTelecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
February 27, 2001
Gary Hoogeveen, Ph.D.MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
2MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Overview
• U.S. Power Issues that Affect the Data Center Industry
• The Escalation of Power Requirements in Data Centers
3MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Status of the U.S. Electricity Industry
4MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
2001 Percent Over/Under Target Reserve Margins (high demand/low supply projection)
NWPA0
ERCOT14.3
RMPA20.9
AZNMA/CANVA-5.2
MAPP-2.3
SPP2.5
ECAR/MAIN3.4
SERC-2.0
FRCC-4.7
NEPOOL18.0
MAAC-4.7
NYPP4.4
New York City-5.0
Undersupply
Oversupply
5MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
2004 Percent Over/Under Target Reserve Margins(high demand/low supply projection)
NWPA-3.2
RMPA4.5
ERCOT2.5
AZNMA/CANVA-20.1
MAPP-16.5
SPP-6.8
ECAR/MAIN-7.5
SERC-11.6
FRCC-10.0
MAAC-15.4
NYPP-2.6
NEPOOL9.3
New York City-20.0
Undersupply
Oversupply
6MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Transmission Congestion Problem Areas
Export
Import
Import and Export
New York City
7MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
NYMEX Continuous ChartOf Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Nominal $)
$0.75
$1.75
$2.75
$3.75
$4.75
$5.75
$6.75
$7.75
$8.75
$9.75
$10.75
6/1/
1990
6/1/
1991
6/1/
1992
6/1/
1993
6/1/
1994
6/1/
1995
6/1/
1996
6/1/
1997
6/1/
1998
6/1/
1999
6/1/
2000
($/M
MB
tu)
NYMEX Prompt Month Historical Mean '96-Current Mean
Low Price $1.046 on Low Price $1.046 on January 24, 1992January 24, 1992
High Price $9.978 on High Price $9.978 on December 27, 2000December 27, 2000
8MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Low Price $1.046 on Low Price $1.046 on January 24, 1992January 24, 1992
High Price $9.978 on High Price $9.978 on December 27, 2000December 27, 2000
NYMEX Continuous ChartWith PG&E Citygate Prices
$0.75
$10.75
$20.75
$30.75
$40.75
$50.75
6/1/
1990
6/1/
1991
6/1/
1992
6/1/
1993
6/1/
1994
6/1/
1995
6/1/
1996
6/1/
1997
6/1/
1998
6/1/
1999
6/1/
2000
($/M
MB
tu)
NYMEX Prompt Month Historical Mean '96-Current Mean PG&E Citygate
Low Price $1.046 on Low Price $1.046 on January 24, 1992January 24, 1992
High Price $9.978 on High Price $9.978 on December 27, 2000December 27, 2000
9MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Power Quality Issues
Data centers have power quality issues. What’s the solution?
1. Treat the symptoms at each individual data center, even though the disease exists within the grid.
OR2. Cure the problem by designing your own grid and
removing power quality viruses like aluminum smelters, steel plants, and so on from your system.
10MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
11MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
12MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Summary of US Power Issues
• Power availability may become limiting factor in data center development.
• Higher natural gas prices will result in higher electricity costs.
• The grid is 99.9% (at best) reliable and not getting better.
• The California crisis has increased regulatory uncertainty nation wide.– Uncertainty is death to new power infrastructure
investments.
13MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Data Center Demand Escalation
14MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Data Center Demand Analysis
• Current and projected Data Center (including Colo, Gateways, Network facilities, etc.) demand exceed current and planned supply
• Current Data Centers do not support all of the following:– Some current and nearly all projected computing power densities– Upgrading beyond 150 watts/sq ft of raised floor
• Power and cooling limitations because of physical plant
– 99.99% uptime (tier 3 and 4 Data Centers)*
– Unlimited bandwidth (not on backbones)
∴ New, high-capability, long-life Data Centers will be built– Dispersed – individually built– Concentrated – in Parks
* Uptime Institute
15MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Two Significant Impacts on Infrastructure
1. Quality of Data Center● Increased quality increases physical plant support
equipment (N+1, System+System) which increases non-productive (cooling, UPS losses, etc.) power requirements
2. Power Density (watts/sq ft)● Increased power density increases physical plant
support space as a percentage of raised floor space
16MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Quality of Data Center
• Power required to cool a watt of heat created by computers is approximately a watt
• Facilities requiring significant power at data center● Chillers● UPSs (due to power conversion losses)● Computer Room Air Conditioner (CRACs) – Note, since
CRACs are traditionally on the raised floor, they actually contribute heat as they cool
• Higher quality data centers require System+System redundancy, increasing the power draw by physical plant
17MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Power Density Trends
• Current data centers built to 30-75 watts / sf• New installations averaging 125 watts / sf demand• Dense rack-mounted servers can theoretically push
demand to 600 watts / sf, or close to 20,000 watts per cabinet
• Computing power density will continue to go up● New generations of CPU are hotter
● Itanium● Sparc III
● More CPUs are being put into smaller servers
18MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Power Density Trends
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
-4 years -3 years -2.5 years -2 years -1 year Today +1 year (est.)
Time
Wat
ts p
er C
abin
et
Total watts per CabinetCPU watts per Cabinet
19MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
How Did This Come on So Fast?
• Server density (illustrated in previous slide)● Movement of disk off the server● Each generation of CPU is hotter than the last● More CPUs are being put into small rack-mounted servers● Rack mounted server form factor has shrunk in size dramatically
• Under-utilized server capacity● Movement from larger multi-purpose computing work loads on
servers running at > 70% utilization to many small single-purpose servers running at 15-25% utilization
● Installation of redundant servers, further decreasing utilization● Under-utilized servers still draw full power
• Consolidating distributed computing back to data centers● Lack of skills to run distributed systems● Emergence of servers as critical to business
20MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
What To Do?
• Continue to build small data centers distributed throughout the power / telecom networks● Emerging inhibitors to building new facilities (mostly
power related)● No economies of scale
• Build larger data centers with on-site power, cooling and telecom● Economies of scale● Concentration of telecom points of presence
21MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Implications to the Telecom Industry
• Power Densities are increasing:• Requiring more HVAC and Power per square foot• Alternative site deployments (either centralized or decentralized)
• Heightened awareness of power problems affects:• Growth of data centers• Growth of power generation facilities
• Power stresses may impact costs for Service providers and consumers• Telecom providers may be charged a premium for power which
eventually would impact consumers• Poor power quality require service provider to over engineer at the
edge which increases costs
22MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
Telecom Power Infrastructure Analysis
Call to Action
• NRIC V Chair proposes that, subject to available funding, the appropriate FG initiate a “Study on Potential Power Issues in the US and their impact on the Nation’s Communications Networks”
• This study should include:• Region by region assessment of potential power shortages• Region by region view of Data Center concentration• Assessment of Power Plant construction currently underway in the
US• Identification of potential gap in power supply and demand project
for 5 years
• This Study should result in a Paper and presentation to NRIC V