Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research...

34
Stan T. Rosinski Program Manager, Renewables Wind Power Summit February 25, 2013 Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation

description

Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute - Speaker at the marcus evans Wind Power Summit held in Dallas, TX February 25-26, 2013 delivered his presentation entitled Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation

Transcript of Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research...

Page 1: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

Stan T. Rosinski Program Manager, Renewables

Wind Power Summit February 25, 2013

Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation

Page 2: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

2 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Three Key Aspects of EPRI

Independent Objective, scientifically based results address reliability, efficiency, affordability, health, safety and the environment

Nonprofit Chartered to serve the public benefit

Collaborative Bring together scientists, engineers, academic researchers, industry experts

Independent

Collaborative

Nonprofit

Page 3: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

3 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

EPRI’s R&D Portfolio

Environment and Renewable Energy • Air Quality • Energy and Environmental

Analysis • Land and Groundwater • Occupational Health and Safety • Renewable Energy • T&D Environmental Issues • Water and Ecosystems

Generation • Advanced Coal Plants, Carbon

Capture and Storage • Combustion Turbines • Environmental Controls • Major Component Reliability • Materials and Chemistry • Operations and Maintenance • Power Plant Water Management Nuclear

• Advanced Nuclear Technology • Chemistry, Low-Level Waste, and

Radiation Management • Equipment Reliability • Fuel Reliability • Long-Term Operations • Materials Degradation/Aging • Nondestructive Evaluation and

Material Characterization • Risk and Safety Management • Used Fuel and High-level Waste

Management

Power Delivery and Utilization • Transmission Lines and

Substations • Grid Operations and Planning • Distribution • Energy Utilization • Cross-Cutting Technologies

Page 4: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

4 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Key Strategic Technical Issues Long-Term Operations

Smart Grid

Energy Efficiency

Near Zero Emissions

Water Resource Management

Renewable Resources and Integration

Page 5: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

5 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Renewable Resources and Integration

Key Challenges • Generation technology:

cost and performance

• Grid reliability: Operating the system with variable resources

• Environmental impacts

Many questions remain regarding renewable costs, performance, impact and integration

Page 6: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

6 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Drivers for Wind Research

• Reduce cost of wind (capital, LCOE), optimize performance and expand installed capacity

• Accelerate grid parity w/o subsidies • Address wind resources variability and

grid penetration issues • Innovative cost-effective wind energy

storage options • Off-shore wind deployment challenges • Minimize/mitigate environmental impact

Page 7: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

7 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind R&D Roadmap

Issue R&D Area Wind Turbine Components Blade design enhancements

Improve drive train reliability Improved materials/designs for taller towers (100-175m)

Integrated Turbine Systems (large-scale; >6MW)

New large-scale systems needed

Energy Storage Integrating wind energy with on-site storage

Page 8: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

8 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind R&D Roadmap

Issue R&D Area Offshore Wind Foundations

Components suited to offshore environment (blades, rotors, drive-train) Methodologies to identify/ evaluate critical risks

Wind Forecasting Improved hour-ahead and day-ahead forecasting Seconds/minutes forecasting

Page 9: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

9 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind R&D Roadmap

Issue R&D Area Condition Monitoring Improved on-line monitoring, data collection/

mining and analysis Non-destructive evaluation techniques

Performance Optimization Adaptive control techniques for diverse terrains/models Enhanced reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) approaches Wind turbine database Life extension

Page 10: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

10 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

EPRI Wind Energy Program

Wind Power Technology Assessment and

Development Wind Power Asset

Management Wind Environmental

Issues

Identify, evaluate and conduct targeted R&D on wind technologies with high potential to address critical industry issues

Model Development and Validation

• Ground-based inspection

• Life extension

• Curtailment for Bat Protection

Page 11: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

11 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Ground Based Inspection of Wind Turbine Blades Drivers • Blade failure – overall reliability • Blade manufacturing improving – but defects do exist

– Bond issues (lack of, inadequate) – Delaminations, wrinkles

• Blades environmentally degrade, fatigue • Blade replacement costly

Page 12: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

12 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Approach

• Develop an NDE and engineering tool integrating: – Advanced NDE technology for detection of flaws

• Preservice and in-service • Ground-based

– Flaw analysis processes • Effect of flaws • Remaining blade life

Proactive Wind Turbine Blade Life and Asset Management Tool

Page 13: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

13 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Laser Shearography

• Detection of flaws in complex composite materials in aeronautical and aerospace industry (field or factory)

• Uses laser field and interferometer to detect flaws in part, under loading (heat, pressure, vacuum)

Courtesy of Laser Technology Inc.

Page 14: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

14 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Laser Shearography Testing at National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Page 15: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

15 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Left photo - Visual examination of lightning damage to wind turbine blade

Right photo - Laser shearogram of the same area indicating a 25 inch (635 mm) delamination extending from lightning strike.

Images Courtesy of Laser Technology Inc.

Visual Examination versus Laser Shearography Lightning Damage

Page 16: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

16 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Infrared Thermography

• Enhance ground based inspection technology • High-speed inspection of blades during operation

– Cost effective – Large area inspection

• Infrared Thermography – Fast ‘screening’ scan – Identify areas for follow-up

inspection – Simultaneous imaging of

blade serial number Thermal Image of 15m segment of 2 MW rotating blade – No Indications Image – Courtesy of Digital Wind Systems

Page 17: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

17 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Distance from Root: 6 meters 5 meters 3.5 meters

Laser Shearography (top) vs Thermography Imaging (bottom) Defects are Waves in the Carbon Fiber Spar Cap – HP Side (top of blade in fixture)

Images are not to scale.

Blade failed at this defect

Images – Courtesy of Digital Wind Systems

Page 18: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

18 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Fatigue crack imaged 100 ft. from blade

Imaged Defect due to Spar Cap Fiber Wave after 2.2 Million Fatigue Cycles, Nominal Turbine Blade Operation Stress Load

Image – Courtesy of Digital Wind Systems

Page 19: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

19 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Tower weld remains slightly warmer, heated

by sunlight during daylight.

Ground-Based Inspection Summary Wide Field Thermography of 1.6 MW Blades

Actual field tests have small field of view to image flaws

Two test types for fast survey and detailed imaging

Image – Courtesy of Digital Wind System

Page 20: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

20 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind Power and Bats Issue and Challenge

• Financially important to Agriculture – Pollination – Insect control

• Important in the ecosystem – Very slow reproductive rate

(1-2 young/year) – High attrition rate of young

• Mortality rate increasing in the US/Canada – White Nose Syndrome – Expanding area

• Most mortality at wind sites occurs June through October

Page 21: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

21 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Range of Federally Endangered Bat (and bat species proposed to be listed in 2013)

Striped – Indiana bats (Endangered) Light purple = Eastern Small-Footed (proposed for listing) Dark purple = Northern Long-Eared (proposed for listing) Gray = Little Brown Bats (proposed for listing)

Courtesy of We Energies

White-nose Fungus is driving listing consideration

Page 22: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

22 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Options to Miminize Fatalaties

• Operation of turbines must be changed during bat migration (June-October) – Increase cut-in speed

• Turbines begin to rotate only at higher wind speeds

• Generation lost during periods of low wind

– Shut off turbines for the entire night • Generation lost every evening

– Restrict operation only during periods of bat activity (preferred)

Page 23: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

23 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

ReBAT system courtesy of Normandeau Associates

Smart Curtailment Acoustic-Based Detection

Page 24: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

24 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Automated Wind Turbine Curtailment Scope

• Acoustic monitoring of bat activity at nacelle • Post-construction mortality survey • Develop predictive bat mortality model • Develop Bat Detection Shutdown System

• Monitor 4 nacelles

Page 25: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

25 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Automated Wind Turbine Curtailment Summary

• Reducing bat mortality through curtailments is here – Potentially widespread – Curtailing only when necessary is preferred

• Proactive approach • Minimizes generation loss

Page 26: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

26 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity

For additional information:

Stan Rosinski Program Manager, Renewables Electric Power Research Institute [email protected] 704-595-2621

Page 27: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

Additional Information

Page 28: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

28 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Extending Wind Turbine Life

• Reliability Challenges

• Safety Challenges

Page 29: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

29 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

End of Design Life Options

Decommission upon reaching end of design life

Take measures to reduce fatigue accumulation

Run beyond design life but take measures to ensure low risk of failure Run blindly beyond design life

Lower risk Higher risk

Higher return

Lower return

Combination of proactive approaches

Page 30: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

30 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Proactive Life Extension Methods Examples

• Operations and maintenance (O&M) strategies including modifying operations

• Mining O&M records to understand and predict component reliability • Load measurement to track fatigue accumulation or to control the

turbine better • Flight Leader Concept: selecting turbines to serve as a sample

subset of a fleet • Targeted inspections to detect incipient failures and ensure

structural integrity beyond design life • Turbine refurbishment or retrofit • Advanced controls to reduce fatigue loading

Page 31: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

31 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Engineering/Economic Assessment Three Scenarios

• Scenario 1 – Targeted Inspections – Regular inspections to monitor risk of failure:

• Foundations - 5 year interval • Blades/selected tower welds/hubs – annually

– Continued operation • Scenario 2 – Modified Operation

– Reduce operation (turbine de-rate) during high loading events • Reduce fatigue accumulation • Less power produced (1-3% annual production)

– Operational modification assumed to start in year 1

Page 32: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

32 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Engineering/Economic Assessment Three Scenarios

• Scenario 3 – Advanced Controls – Implement advanced controls at year 0 and at year 10 using:

• Lidar based controls (mean load reduction of 8%) • State estimation (3-7% load reduction)

– Reduced downtime and O&M costs with reduced loads – Additional O&M costs and downtime for lidar

Case Mean Load Reduction Mean Life

Lidar implemented at year 0 8% 28 years

Lidar implemented at year 10 8% 24 years

State estimation implemented at year 0 5% 25 years

State estimation implemented at year 10 5% 22 years

Page 33: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

33 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind Turbine Life Extension Summary Results

Scenario NPV

(millions of dollars)

NPV Percent Difference from

Base Case IRR

IRR Percent Difference from

Base Case

Base Case $38 0% 8.1% 0%

Targeted Inspections: 25 years $82 113% 9.3% 14%

Targeted Inspections: 30 years $119 210% 10.0% 23%

Targeted Inspections: 35 years $152 294% 10.4% 28%

Operational Modifications, 9% load reduction $80 108% 9.2% 13%

Operational Modifications, 5% load reduction $105 173% 9.6% 18%

Advanced Controls, Lidar implemented at year 0 $93 143% 9.2% 13%

Advanced Controls, Lidar implemented at year 10 $63 65% 8.7% 7%

Advanced Controls, State Estimation implemented at year 0 $85 121% 9.4% 15%

Advanced Controls, State Estimation implemented at year 10 $63 64% 8.9% 9%

Page 34: Technology Needs for Advancing Wind Power Generation - Stan Rosinski, Electric Power Research Institute

34 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Wind Turbine Life Extension Conclusions

• Life extension generally cost effective (your mileage may vary).

• Project-specific uncertainties will require an analysis of consumed fatigue-life prior to any life extension program.

• Best approach to life extension will be heavily site and owner specific.

• More benefit could be achieved from a combination of approaches as they are not mutually exclusive.