Tapping Your Inner Futurist Imagining the Futures of the ...In 2016 the Supreme Court of California...
Transcript of Tapping Your Inner Futurist Imagining the Futures of the ...In 2016 the Supreme Court of California...
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By Garry Golden
Tapping Your Inner Futurist
Imagining the Futures of the Public Library
PDF: garrygolden.com/April16
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Drivers of ChangePlace & Learning
(& Local)
Warm up Bringing it Home
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Miguel Figueroa
Director, Center for the Future of Libraries
The Conversation ContinuesRole of librariesClarifying Values
(e.g. privacy, community)
Communicating Value (Outputs to Outcomes)
Empowering Library Staff Rebranding the Library Libraries as Community Hubs
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More or Less Change Ahead?
Next
ten years
Last
ten years
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Things that will not go away: Human Creativity; Face-to-Face; Children + Story time; Reading for Pleasure; Printed Books
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LUNCH
In the News
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False
In 2016 the Supreme Court of California is scheduled to hear a case filed by James Lee to grant him control of learning data & analytics generated during his years at Stanford University.
True
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Assumption to Explore:
Libraries must adapt policies & patron relationships
based on new era of data-analytics that drives
experiences, behavior change & outcomes
Social Data
Health Data
Learning & Work Performance Data
Device Data
“I did this…”
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OYOD PoliciesOwn Your Own Data
What role does our Library play in elevating social norms and policies for personal data?
Expand Use of ‘Opt-in’ Tools
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The Manufacturing Institute is creating a National Manufacturing Badge System for skills and achievements needed to be successful in today’s Advanced Manufacturing workplace
True False
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Lifelong Learning Meets Institutions & Micro-credentials
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Portfolio PresenceResume
Shifting Expectations for College & Career Readiness
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Assumption to Explore:
Libraries as innovative centers of lifelong learning
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True False
Providence, RI has launched a campaign to close their community Word Gap. The effort includes providing families with devices that listen to the number of words children hear each day.
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Does closing the Word Gap make us Cross the Creepy Line?
Aligning Policy, Family and Techno-solutionist Culture
Assumption to Explore:
Libraries elevate issues surrounding policy and
social norms for early childhood development
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Outputs Mission:
Access to CollectionsOutcomes Mission:
Behavior Change & Mastery of Skills
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Creepy and Compelling Lines Ahead…Surfacing the Emotional Barriers of Talking About Future…
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What is a Futurist?
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Every day I make an effort to move toward what I do not understand.
- Cellist, Yo-Yo Ma
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How do you think about the Future of our Libraries & Communities?
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Four Futures Culture
* Jim Dator, University of Hawaii
Continued Growth
Decline - Collapse
Disciplined - Constrained
Transformed
?
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Trends(Continuities)
Choices(Discontinuities)
Events(Discontinuities)
Preferred Future
Possible Futures
PlausibleFuture
Forecasting
Scenarios
Visioning
Assessing & Imagining Changes Ahead….
Driver Type Techniques
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Warm up Bringing it HomeDrivers of ChangePlace & Learning
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Place-based Experiences
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Place from Stacks to Hacks
Libraries & ‘Maker Movement’?
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How might we link book & storytelling experiences to the emerging youth design-maker culture?
University of Colorado at Boulder
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2015-2020:
Library: Place for Creative Collaborative Culture
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Library: Place for Creative Collaborative Culture
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Collections for design-maker focused library?
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Prototypes Massachusetts-based Low Volume Builds
What future economic impact might libraries create through a thriving Design-Maker Culture?
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Makerspace Trend From Stacks to Hacks
Start with Events Local Partners Art & STEM (STEAM) Connect to Collections
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Creative & Active Aging
20-Somethings ‘Emerging Adulthood’
Managing Expectations: Place Still Matters!
Youth Culture & Mindfulness
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Assumption: The Overwhelmed Student becomes a public health issue
By 2020, students will seek non-traditional solutions to overcome mental wellness challenges.
Question?Is there a role for libraries to highlight the downsides of our info-saturated culture?
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State of active, open attention on the present. Observing your thoughts and feelings from a distance, without judging them good or bad. (Psychology Today)
A Place to Explore
Mindfulness:
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Research Case for Mindfulness, Contemplation & Meditation
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MindUP™ teaches social and emotional learning skills that link cognitive neuroscience, positive psychology and mindful awareness training utilizing a brain centric approach.
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Image: Singing Therapy
Library Collections for Mindfulness – Focus, Attention & Happiness
Collections Items or Workshops for Parents
Is there a role for Libraries to support programs or social norms around: ‘Shhhh!’ for the mind?
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Place-based Experiences for Aging Baby Boomers
Innovation Platforms:
Creative Aging / Active Aging
Aging-in-Place
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Partnerships: Pairing Teaching Artists & Collections
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Libraries & Institutional Partnerships
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Place: Collections & Staff Help on Cognitive & Wellness Devices
Collections, Kits & Programs Brain Training Stations
Neuroware (Melon)Wearables for Focus
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Creative AgingEnvironments
Place based Creative Aging Strategies
Creative Aging Reputation Partnerships with
“Teaching Artists”, et al Collections designed for :
CreativityWearables (Active Aging) Brain Training Stations
Support for Aging-in-Place
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20-Somethings ‘Emerging Adulthood’
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Moving Beyond Filter Bubbles & Narrow-casting
A Place for
Millennials Engaged in Civil Discourse
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Library Experiences in (Non-Library) Community Places
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Strategy: A Place for Unexpected Fun
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A Place that Embraces this Young Adult Generation
Time Capsules(Cultural Memes) Art Audio Comedy Objects Curated or Printed
Social Media
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Places just Outside our Doors
PARK(ing)
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Libraries & The Future of Lifelong Learning
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Era of Institution
Disruptions of Books & Industrial Work
Disruptions of Web & Knowledge Economy
Era of Apprenticeship
Era of Learner
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=MassiveOpenOnlineCourses
MOOCs Summer Reading Parents & Families Workforce Training Internal Training 21st C Skills
(e.g. Data Science)
Assumption: Barriers to Scaling and Reach Are Being Lowered Problems to Solve: Place for Hybrid Learning Experiences
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Build the base of Community Instructors
Problem to Solve: Lack of ‘Learning Communities’ & Instructor Culture
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Problem to Solve: Micro-learning AcceptanceRethinking Collections for Short Formats
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1993Web = Distribution Platform
Why Should the Library Embrace New Thinking?
The Web is Changing Social Norms & Culture
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2008Web = Social Platform
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Everyone knows I’m working on some personal growth issues
Assumption: The web is becoming a platform for managing our lives & personal behavior change.
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Learning experiences‘Online’ vs ‘Offline’
Learning experiences‘Software-Guided’ or not
What is the new assumption for ‘adaptive’ learning?
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Adaptive Learning Platforms
Finding Flow – Different Pace, Different Paths
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How do I control my own Learning Data?
Personal Data Revolution, Meet Lifelong Learning
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Experience Streams <Actor, Verb, Object>
“I did this”
Learning Record Store (LRS) Individual Control over
Access to Learning Data
Early Days of Capturing Learning ExperienceWhere does the library relationship fit into this puzzle?
Content & Relationship with: Schools, Libraries, Employers & Media
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Learning Activity Streams <Actor, Verb, Object> “I did this”
Activity Statements: Thomas Discovers Poetry
Thomas liked a Lucile Clifton poem he heard on iTunes Brentwood library invited Thomas to a Creative Aging poetry event Thomas enrolled in a creative writing class at the Community College Thomas read Alice Walker for his creative writing course Brentwood library recommended an obscure Rita Dove poem Thomas performed his poetry at a local café event Brentwood library invited Thomas to a program on self-publishing Thomas self-published his first collection of poems Brentwood library added his book to their collection
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Basic Level
In Progress
Expert Level
History of Jazz
Advocate: Danny Hillis
Library Experiences based on a Learning Map (Connected Experiences from Learning Graph)
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Bringing it HomeLearning More…
Place, Local & LearningForesight 101
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I want to become a Futurist “We need to be ahead of these trends! Sign me up!!”
Your Job: Socializing Ideas
Support Library ‘Signals Team’(Social, Technology, Environment, Economy, Politics)
Create Monthly or Quarterly Programs to Share Insights
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I am not convinced by this snake oil salesman“Not our future. Let’s get back to basics.”
Your Job: Show how futuristic scenarios can be wrong
Challenge These Assumptions
Rally Existing Partners & Stakeholders to Return to a Golden Era of Libraries
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Trends & Issues Mapped Against Readiness & Urgency R
ead
ine
ss
Urgency
Not Urgent Urgent –Critical
Not Ready
Ready
SomewhatReady
Important
Maker Space
Intelligent Assistants
Aging-in-Place
Social Media
Brain TrainingStations
Mindfulness
Badges
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I want to Encourage Others “Interesting stuff. No time, but I want to empower my team.”
Your Job: Create Conditions to Support an Intrapreneurial Culture
Lower Barriers to Pilots & Partnerships
Establish Programs for Risk-taking: [e.g. Failfaire
& Grand Challenges]
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www.garrygolden.com/April16
Questions… Comments… Challenges?
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De
pth
of
Sub
ject
Exp
ert
ise
I versus T-shaped Description of Ourselves
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De
pth
of
Sub
ject
Exp
ert
ise
Ability to Apply Broadly Across Situations & Disciplines
I versus T-shaped Description of Ourselves
What does a future T-shaped _______ look like?
Consider a List of T-Shaped Skill sets & Mindsets1) ____________________2) ____________________3) ____________________4) ____________________5) ____________________6) ____________________
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Adaptive Learning
Vision of a Learning Graph
What I know…What I am trying to Learn more about… How well I know it…
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Link Graph
Social Graph
Interest Graph
Health Graph
Learning Graph
Learning in the Age of Graph Databases
Connected Data = Drives Learning Experiences
???
A
Neo4j = Graph Database