Tapping Your Inner Futurist Imagining the Futures of the ...In 2016 the Supreme Court of California...
Transcript of Tapping Your Inner Futurist Imagining the Futures of the ...In 2016 the Supreme Court of California...
By Garry Golden
Tapping Your Inner Futurist
Imagining the Futures of the Public Library
PDF: garrygolden.com/April16
Drivers of ChangePlace & Learning
(& Local)
Warm up Bringing it Home
Miguel Figueroa
Director, Center for the Future of Libraries
The Conversation ContinuesRole of librariesClarifying Values
(e.g. privacy, community)
Communicating Value (Outputs to Outcomes)
Empowering Library Staff Rebranding the Library Libraries as Community Hubs
More or Less Change Ahead?
Next
ten years
Last
ten years
Things that will not go away: Human Creativity; Face-to-Face; Children + Story time; Reading for Pleasure; Printed Books
LUNCH
In the News
False
In 2016 the Supreme Court of California is scheduled to hear a case filed by James Lee to grant him control of learning data & analytics generated during his years at Stanford University.
True
Assumption to Explore:
Libraries must adapt policies & patron relationships
based on new era of data-analytics that drives
experiences, behavior change & outcomes
Social Data
Health Data
Learning & Work Performance Data
Device Data
“I did this…”
OYOD PoliciesOwn Your Own Data
What role does our Library play in elevating social norms and policies for personal data?
Expand Use of ‘Opt-in’ Tools
The Manufacturing Institute is creating a National Manufacturing Badge System for skills and achievements needed to be successful in today’s Advanced Manufacturing workplace
True False
Lifelong Learning Meets Institutions & Micro-credentials
Portfolio PresenceResume
Shifting Expectations for College & Career Readiness
Assumption to Explore:
Libraries as innovative centers of lifelong learning
True False
Providence, RI has launched a campaign to close their community Word Gap. The effort includes providing families with devices that listen to the number of words children hear each day.
Does closing the Word Gap make us Cross the Creepy Line?
Aligning Policy, Family and Techno-solutionist Culture
Assumption to Explore:
Libraries elevate issues surrounding policy and
social norms for early childhood development
Outputs Mission:
Access to CollectionsOutcomes Mission:
Behavior Change & Mastery of Skills
Creepy and Compelling Lines Ahead…Surfacing the Emotional Barriers of Talking About Future…
What is a Futurist?
Every day I make an effort to move toward what I do not understand.
- Cellist, Yo-Yo Ma
How do you think about the Future of our Libraries & Communities?
Four Futures Culture
* Jim Dator, University of Hawaii
Continued Growth
Decline - Collapse
Disciplined - Constrained
Transformed
?
Trends(Continuities)
Choices(Discontinuities)
Events(Discontinuities)
Preferred Future
Possible Futures
PlausibleFuture
Forecasting
Scenarios
Visioning
Assessing & Imagining Changes Ahead….
Driver Type Techniques
Warm up Bringing it HomeDrivers of ChangePlace & Learning
Place-based Experiences
Place from Stacks to Hacks
Libraries & ‘Maker Movement’?
How might we link book & storytelling experiences to the emerging youth design-maker culture?
University of Colorado at Boulder
2015-2020:
Library: Place for Creative Collaborative Culture
Library: Place for Creative Collaborative Culture
Collections for design-maker focused library?
Prototypes Massachusetts-based Low Volume Builds
What future economic impact might libraries create through a thriving Design-Maker Culture?
Makerspace Trend From Stacks to Hacks
Start with Events Local Partners Art & STEM (STEAM) Connect to Collections
Creative & Active Aging
20-Somethings ‘Emerging Adulthood’
Managing Expectations: Place Still Matters!
Youth Culture & Mindfulness
Assumption: The Overwhelmed Student becomes a public health issue
By 2020, students will seek non-traditional solutions to overcome mental wellness challenges.
Question?Is there a role for libraries to highlight the downsides of our info-saturated culture?
State of active, open attention on the present. Observing your thoughts and feelings from a distance, without judging them good or bad. (Psychology Today)
A Place to Explore
Mindfulness:
Research Case for Mindfulness, Contemplation & Meditation
MindUP™ teaches social and emotional learning skills that link cognitive neuroscience, positive psychology and mindful awareness training utilizing a brain centric approach.
Image: Singing Therapy
Library Collections for Mindfulness – Focus, Attention & Happiness
Collections Items or Workshops for Parents
Is there a role for Libraries to support programs or social norms around: ‘Shhhh!’ for the mind?
Place-based Experiences for Aging Baby Boomers
Innovation Platforms:
Creative Aging / Active Aging
Aging-in-Place
Partnerships: Pairing Teaching Artists & Collections
Libraries & Institutional Partnerships
Place: Collections & Staff Help on Cognitive & Wellness Devices
Collections, Kits & Programs Brain Training Stations
Neuroware (Melon)Wearables for Focus
Creative AgingEnvironments
Place based Creative Aging Strategies
Creative Aging Reputation Partnerships with
“Teaching Artists”, et al Collections designed for :
CreativityWearables (Active Aging) Brain Training Stations
Support for Aging-in-Place
20-Somethings ‘Emerging Adulthood’
Moving Beyond Filter Bubbles & Narrow-casting
A Place for
Millennials Engaged in Civil Discourse
Library Experiences in (Non-Library) Community Places
Strategy: A Place for Unexpected Fun
A Place that Embraces this Young Adult Generation
Time Capsules(Cultural Memes) Art Audio Comedy Objects Curated or Printed
Social Media
Places just Outside our Doors
PARK(ing)
Libraries & The Future of Lifelong Learning
Era of Institution
Disruptions of Books & Industrial Work
Disruptions of Web & Knowledge Economy
Era of Apprenticeship
Era of Learner
=MassiveOpenOnlineCourses
MOOCs Summer Reading Parents & Families Workforce Training Internal Training 21st C Skills
(e.g. Data Science)
Assumption: Barriers to Scaling and Reach Are Being Lowered Problems to Solve: Place for Hybrid Learning Experiences
Build the base of Community Instructors
Problem to Solve: Lack of ‘Learning Communities’ & Instructor Culture
Problem to Solve: Micro-learning AcceptanceRethinking Collections for Short Formats
1993Web = Distribution Platform
Why Should the Library Embrace New Thinking?
The Web is Changing Social Norms & Culture
2008Web = Social Platform
Everyone knows I’m working on some personal growth issues
Assumption: The web is becoming a platform for managing our lives & personal behavior change.
Learning experiences‘Online’ vs ‘Offline’
Learning experiences‘Software-Guided’ or not
What is the new assumption for ‘adaptive’ learning?
Adaptive Learning Platforms
Finding Flow – Different Pace, Different Paths
How do I control my own Learning Data?
Personal Data Revolution, Meet Lifelong Learning
Experience Streams <Actor, Verb, Object>
“I did this”
Learning Record Store (LRS) Individual Control over
Access to Learning Data
Early Days of Capturing Learning ExperienceWhere does the library relationship fit into this puzzle?
Content & Relationship with: Schools, Libraries, Employers & Media
Learning Activity Streams <Actor, Verb, Object> “I did this”
Activity Statements: Thomas Discovers Poetry
Thomas liked a Lucile Clifton poem he heard on iTunes Brentwood library invited Thomas to a Creative Aging poetry event Thomas enrolled in a creative writing class at the Community College Thomas read Alice Walker for his creative writing course Brentwood library recommended an obscure Rita Dove poem Thomas performed his poetry at a local café event Brentwood library invited Thomas to a program on self-publishing Thomas self-published his first collection of poems Brentwood library added his book to their collection
Basic Level
In Progress
Expert Level
History of Jazz
Advocate: Danny Hillis
Library Experiences based on a Learning Map (Connected Experiences from Learning Graph)
Bringing it HomeLearning More…
Place, Local & LearningForesight 101
I want to become a Futurist “We need to be ahead of these trends! Sign me up!!”
Your Job: Socializing Ideas
Support Library ‘Signals Team’(Social, Technology, Environment, Economy, Politics)
Create Monthly or Quarterly Programs to Share Insights
I am not convinced by this snake oil salesman“Not our future. Let’s get back to basics.”
Your Job: Show how futuristic scenarios can be wrong
Challenge These Assumptions
Rally Existing Partners & Stakeholders to Return to a Golden Era of Libraries
Trends & Issues Mapped Against Readiness & Urgency R
ead
ine
ss
Urgency
Not Urgent Urgent –Critical
Not Ready
Ready
SomewhatReady
Important
Maker Space
Intelligent Assistants
Aging-in-Place
Social Media
Brain TrainingStations
Mindfulness
Badges
I want to Encourage Others “Interesting stuff. No time, but I want to empower my team.”
Your Job: Create Conditions to Support an Intrapreneurial Culture
Lower Barriers to Pilots & Partnerships
Establish Programs for Risk-taking: [e.g. Failfaire
& Grand Challenges]
www.garrygolden.com/April16
Questions… Comments… Challenges?
De
pth
of
Sub
ject
Exp
ert
ise
I versus T-shaped Description of Ourselves
De
pth
of
Sub
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Exp
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Ability to Apply Broadly Across Situations & Disciplines
I versus T-shaped Description of Ourselves
What does a future T-shaped _______ look like?
Consider a List of T-Shaped Skill sets & Mindsets1) ____________________2) ____________________3) ____________________4) ____________________5) ____________________6) ____________________
Adaptive Learning
Vision of a Learning Graph
What I know…What I am trying to Learn more about… How well I know it…
Link Graph
Social Graph
Interest Graph
Health Graph
Learning Graph
Learning in the Age of Graph Databases
Connected Data = Drives Learning Experiences
???
A
Neo4j = Graph Database