Tallahassee International Airport Master Plan

Tallahassee City Commission Briefing

July 13, 2016

Agenda

• Master Plan Process and Objectives of Study

• Public Involvement Program

• Overview of Existing Conditions

• Preliminary Forecast of Aviation Demand

• Facility Requirements

• Schedule

• Discussion

What is a Master Plan?

• Projection of the Airport’s ultimate growth over a 20-year timeframe.

• Plan for the ultimate development of physical facilities.

• Development guide, including timing and costs, that considers adjacent land uses and environmental issues.

• Step-by-step description of the logic used in formulating the plan.

• Display of the plan in graphical and written form.

• Positions the Airport to compete for FAA and FDOT funding.

Master Planning Process

Public Involvement Program

• Technical Advisory Committee Meetings

• Airport Advisory Committee Briefings

• Tallahassee City Commission Briefings

• Public Open House

• Airport Website

Major Objectives• Optimize the operational efficiency,

effectiveness, capability and safety of the airport;

• Enhance the economic and social value of the airport;

• Meet the long-range aviation needs of the community;

• Ensure that current and future airport plans are environmentally compatible and in harmony with local and regional plans and objectives; and

• Provide planning options that are consistent with these project goals.

• Focus on land development, highest and best use, and landside access options.

Inventory of Existing Conditions

• Airport Characteristics and Local Profile• Airport Access, Transportation, Parking• Landside Facilities• Airfield Facilities• Operational Characteristics• Support Facilities • Security and Airspace• Utilities and Infrastructure • Environmental Factors

Existing Facilities

Passenger Terminal Area Facilities

General Aviation Facilities

Importance of Forecasts

• To develop a realistic assessment of market conditions and market performance.

• To address unique local conditions not fully considered in national, macro level forecast efforts.

• To provide a benchmark for comparing current facilities against a reasonable estimate of future demand to define potential future facility needs.

Historical Enplanement Comparison

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ECP TLH

Load Factor Comparison

y = 0.0028x + 0.727

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2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

U.S. TLH ECP DAB GNV MLB PGD Linear (TLH)

Passenger Enplanements Forecast

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Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Airline Operations ForecastYear

Total

Passengers

Scheduled Operations Unscheduled OperationsTotal

OperationsTurboprop Jet Total

% Total

OperationsJet

% Total

Operations

Airline Scenario 1

2015 670,144 2,292 10,936 13,228 99.36% 85 0.64% 13,313

2020 728,803 2,411 11,638 14,049 99.33% 95 0.67% 14,145

2025 794,295 2,569 12,401 14,970 99.31% 103 0.69% 15,073

2030 865,617 2,738 13,213 15,951 99.30% 112 0.70% 16,063

2035 943,295 2,917 14,079 16,996 99.30% 120 0.70% 17,116

AAGR

2015-20351.72% 1.21% 1.27% 1.26% 0.00% 1.74% 0.47% 1.26%

Airline Scenario 2

2015 670,144 2,292 10,936 13,228 99.36% 85 0.64% 13,313

2020 834,787 2,411 13,481 15,892 99.41% 95 0.59% 15,987

2025 1,011,109 2,569 16,086 18,655 99.45% 103 0.55% 18,759

2030 1,087,388 2,738 16,898 19,636 99.43% 112 0.57% 19,748

2035 1,170,136 2,917 17,764 20,681 99.42% 120 0.58% 20,801

AAGR

2015-20352.83% 1.21% 2.46% 2.26% 0.00% 1.74% -0.51% 2.26%

GA Based Aircraft Forecast

YearSingle-Engine

Piston (SEP)

Multi-Engine

Piston (MEP)Turboprop Jet Helicopter

Total GA Based

Aircraft

2015 84 10 6 4 15 119

2020 88 10 6 5 16 125

2025 92 10 7 5 16 131

2030 96 10 8 6 17 138

2035 101 10 8 7 18 145

AAGR 2015-2035 0.92% 0.00% 1.60% 3.10% 0.92% 0.98%

Combined Operations

Combined Operations Forecast

Year

Airline Cargo Military General AviationTotal

OperationsOperations % Total Operations % Total Operations % Total Operations % Total

2015 13,313 22.98% 1,370 2.37% 13,065 22.56% 30,173 52.09% 57,921

2020 14,145 23.48% 1,440 2.39% 13,065 21.69% 31,593 52.44% 60,243

2025 15,073 24.03% 1,513 2.41% 13,065 20.83% 33,081 52.73% 62,733

2030 16,063 24.58% 1,591 2.43% 13,065 19.99% 34,638 53.00% 65,356

2035 17,116 25.13% 1,672 2.45% 13,065 19.18% 36,269 53.24% 68,122

AAGR

2015-20351.26% 0.45% 1.00% 0.18% 0.00% -0.81% 0.92% 0.11% 0.81%

Facility Requirements• Airfield Capacity• Design Aircraft Identification• Runway Length Analysis• Runway Strength Analysis• Instrument Approaches• Airfield Design Standards• Airfield Lighting, Markings and Signage, & Navigational Aids• Terminal Area Facilities• Transient Apron and Based Aircraft Storage• Airport Support Facilities• Land Use Considerations

Schedule

• Inventory/Forecast – March 2016

– FAA/FDOT review of Forecast

• Public Information Meetings – May/October 2016

• Facility Requirements – July/August 2016

• Airport Alternatives – October 2016

• Alternatives Refinement, ALP, Financial Analysis/CIP – February 2017

• Final Deliverables – May 2017

Discussion