Symposium Presentation

16
4.8 1.5 3 3.7 7.8 5.2 2 4.5 4.1 3.8 3 2.9 3.2 6.2 6.2 3.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Seattle Detroit Phoenix Riverside-San Bernardino San Francisco Boston Atlanta Miami Washington DC Philadelphia Houston Dallas-Fort Worth Chicago Los Angeles New York National Median Multiple Housing Affordability: 15 Largest MSA’s Median Multiple: 2012Q3 Median Multiple = Median Home Price ÷ Median Household Income Data from Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey

description

Powerpoint presentation from CORE's 2013 Summer Symposium on the Affordability of Housing.

Transcript of Symposium Presentation

Page 1: Symposium Presentation

4.8

1.5

3

3.7

7.8

5.2

2

4.5

4.1

3.8

3

2.9

3.2

6.2

6.2

3.1

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0

Seattle

Detroit

Phoenix

Riverside-San Bernardino

San Francisco

Boston

Atlanta

Miami

Washington DC

Philadelphia

Houston

Dallas-Fort Worth

Chicago

Los Angeles

New York

National

Median Multiple

Housing Affordability: 15 Largest MSA’sMedian Multiple: 2012Q3

Median Multiple = Median Home Price ÷ Median Household Income

Data from Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey

Page 2: Symposium Presentation

32.6%31.1%

30.1%

24.3%22.8%

20.8%

14.7%

11.9% 11.3%

8.2% 7.6%6.6%

2.2% 1.4% 1.2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%S

an F

ranc

isco

-O

akla

nd Atla

nta

Pho

enix

Riv

ersi

de -

San

Ber

nard

ino

Los

Ang

eles

+

Ora

nge

Cou

ntie

s

Mia

mi

San

Die

go

Was

hing

ton

D.C

.

U.S

. Ave

rage

Dal

las-

For

t Wor

th

Hou

ston

Bos

ton

Phi

lade

lphi

a

Chi

cago

New

Yor

k

Incr

ease

201

2-20

13 (

Firs

t Qua

rter

) Change in Median House Prices: 2012-13

Major Metropolitan Areas & National Average

From National Association of Realtors

Page 3: Symposium Presentation

4.81.5

3.03.7

7.85.2

2.04.5

4.13.8

3.02.9

3.26.26.2

3.1

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Seattle

Detroit

Phoenix

Riverside-San Bernardino

San Francisco

Boston

Atlanta

Miami

Washington D.C.

Philadelphia

Houston

Dallas-Fort Worth

Chicago

Los Angeles

New York

U.S. Average

Median Multiple

Housing Affordability: 15 Largest MSAsMedian Multiple, 2012Q3

Median Multiple = Median Home Sale Price ÷ Median Household IncomeFrom Demographia, International Housing Affordability Survey

Page 4: Symposium Presentation

6.4

3.5

5.5

3.1

9.2

5.55.5

2.9

8.6

4.9

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

California Outside California

Med

ian

Val

ue M

ultip

le

AllNon-Hispanic WhiteAfrican-AmericanAsianHispanic

Housing Affordability by EthnicityMedian Value Multiple of Major Metropolitan Areas, 2011

Median Value Multiple = Median House Value ÷ Median Household Income

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011

Page 5: Symposium Presentation

41%

39%

35%

35%

34%

27%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Miami

Los Angeles

New York

Orlando

San Diego

U.S. Average

Working Households with Severe Housing Burdens

Severe Housing Burden (50%+ of Income)Worst Ranking Major Metropolitan Areas, 2011

From National Housing Conference, Housing Landscape 2013

Page 6: Symposium Presentation

$1,308

$1,174

$1,153

$1,135

$1,062

$1,058

$871

$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400

Hawaii

California

Maryland

New Jerey

Virginia

New York

U.S. Average

Median Monthly Gross Rent

Median Gross Rent: Highest States

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011

Page 7: Symposium Presentation

16.3%

19.0% 19.2%

15.3% 15.1% 15.0%

23.5% 23.2%

19.8% 19.5% 19.4%

15.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

California District of Columbia

Arizona Florida Nevada U.S. Average

Official Poverty Rate

Poverty Rate with Housing Cost Adjustment

Poverty Rate by State & DC: 2009-2011Experimental Measure with Housing Cost Adjustment

From Census Bureau

Page 8: Symposium Presentation

$138,000

$116,200

$80,700

$41,000

$42,400

$67,600

$34,700

$122,700

$103,300

$71,700

$36,400

$37,700

$60,100

$30,600

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000

San Jose

San Francisco

San Diego

Sacramento

Riverside-San Bernardino

Los Angeles & Orange Counties

U.S. Average

Minimum Qualifying Income

20% Down Payment

10% Down Payment

Qualifying Income: California & USMedian Priced Single-Family Home, 2013Q1

From National Association of Realtors

Page 9: Symposium Presentation

$100,305

$88,258

$79,414 $77,745

$56,908

$41,453

$28,280$24,042

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000B

iom

edic

al

Eng

inee

r

Nur

se (

RN

)

Com

pute

r P

rogr

amm

er

Ele

men

tary

S

choo

l Te

ache

r

Car

pent

er

Con

stru

ctio

n La

bore

r

Ret

ail

Sal

espe

rson

Per

sona

l &

Hom

e C

are

Aid

e

One Can Afford a Home if One CommutesOrange County Wages & Riv-S’Bdo Prices, 2013Q1

$42,420 – if one chooses to live in Riverside-San Bernardino

Orange County Wages

$117,471 – if one chooses to live in Orange County

“Qualifying income (with 10% down payment)” data from National Association of Realtors & actual wage data from California Emp loyment Development Dept.

Page 10: Symposium Presentation

$2

9.2

7

$2

6.6

2

$2

5.9

6

$2

2.4

2

$2

2.2

9

$2

1.6

5

$1

8.7

3

$1

7.5

4

$1

5.6

2

$1

4.3

3

$1

3.8

3

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30S

an F

ranc

isco

Ora

nge

Cou

nty

San

Jos

e

Bos

ton

Los

Ang

eles

C

ount

y

San

Die

go

Riv

ersi

de -

San

Sea

ttle

Aus

tin

Min

neap

olis

Dal

las

Hourly Wage Needed to Afford a 1-BR UnitFair Market Rent for a One-Bedroom Unit, 2012

Fair market rent data from U.S. Housing and Urban Development

Page 11: Symposium Presentation

7.5%

6.0%

4.3% 4.2%4.0%

1.8%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

Los Angeles San Jose San Francisco New YorkRiverside-San BernardinoU.S. Average

Sha

re o

f Hou

sing

Overcrowded Rental Housing: 1.5+/RoomSelect Metropolitan Areas & National Average

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011

Page 12: Symposium Presentation

7.4%

6.1%

5.4%5.1% 4.9%

4.5% 4.4%4.1%

3.7%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

Riv

ersi

de -

San

B

erna

rdin

o

LA +

Ora

nge

Cou

ntie

s

San

Ant

onio

San

Jos

e

Sal

t Lak

e C

ity

Dal

las

-F

ort W

orth

Hou

ston

New

Yor

k

Ave

rage

of 5

1 La

rges

t MS

As

Sha

re o

f Hou

sing

% of Households with More Than One FamilyHighest Large Metro Areas & National Metro Average

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2007-2011

Page 13: Symposium Presentation

2.6%

2.7%

3.2%

3.3% 3.3%

2.4%

2.5%

2.6%

2.7%

2.8%

2.9%

3.0%

3.1%

3.2%

3.3%

3.4%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

% of Households with More Than One FamilyNational Average, 2007-2011

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2007-2011

Page 14: Symposium Presentation

281,677254,629

134,962103,902 96,390 91,754

77,330 75,792

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

New

Yor

k

LA +

Ora

nge

Cou

ntie

s

Chi

cago

Dal

las-

For

t W

orth

Riv

ersi

de -

San

Ber

nard

ino

Hou

ston

Mia

mi

Phi

lade

lphi

a

A Measurement of “Housing Shortage:”Number of Households with More Than One Family

From Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2011

Page 15: Symposium Presentation

1.5

7.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

United States California

Mill

ions

of U

nits

Affordable Housing Shortage: 2011For Extremely Low Income Households

U.S. data from National Low Income Housing Coalition (NLIHC); California estimate created based on NLIHC data

Page 16: Symposium Presentation

Issues Going Forward

• Current housing boom dominated by

investors

• Not enough new, affordable housing

stock of every kind

• Economic strategy should always

include housing