Sustainable Future Presentation

8/3/2019 Sustainable Future Presentation

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2nd Annual

MENA Nuclear

Construction

Conference

September 26‐27, 2011,

Nuclear Energy:

Can it

be

the

choice

for

sustainable future ?



1

Energy demand growth

Is nuclear power an option?

K.A.CARE

Post Fukushima outlook

Research, Development &Innovation



2

Projected growth in fossil fuel consumption fordomestic energy demand

Fossil fuel consumption fordomestic energy demand

MBOE/D1

1 MBOE/D = million barrels of oil equivalent per day 2 GW = gigawatt (power generation capacity)

3 Corresponding annual electricity demands: 240 TWh in 2010, 400 TWh in 2020, 640 TWh in 2030. TWh= terawatthour

8.3

3.4

20282010

At current pace, domestic consumption of fossil

fuels is expected to nearly triple by 2030

20302010 2020

Electricity peak demand3

GW2

43

71

120



3

Ramifications of unabated growth in fuel consumptionto power the Saudi economy

Environmental

CO2 footprint

NOx

footprint

SO2 footprint

Strategic

Diminished swing

capacity

Compromised global energy stability

Economic Squandered economic opportunity of gargantuan

magnitude



4



K.A.CARE





5

Breakdown of load profile in Saudi Arabia

1 1 5

2 9

4 3

5 7

7 1

8 5

9 9

1 1 3

1 2 7

1 4 1

1 5 5

1 6 9

1 8 3

1 9 7

2 1 1

2 2 5

2 3 9

2 5 3

2 6 7

2 8 1

2 9 5

3 0 9

3 2 3

3 3 7

3 5 1

3 6 5

Average annual load = 65% of annual peak load

Additional summer load = 35%

of annual peak load

Average winter load = 55% of annual peak load

3

2

1



6

Load matching options

1 1 5

2 9

4 3

5 7

7 1

8 5

9 9

1 1 3

1 2 7

1 4 1

1 5 5

1 6 9

1 8 3

1 9 7

2 1 1

2 2 5

2 3 9

2 5 3

2 6 7

2 8 1

2 9 5

3 0 9

3 2 3

3 3 7

3 5 1

3 6 5

Multipurpose must-run technology

Summer-efficient + low

CAPEX/high OPEX technologies

Must-run generation technology, with

electricity generation as primary function

3

2

1



8

Baseload demand Only mature technology available for Saudi Arabia that

is not based on fossil fuel and is economically viable

Demand centers,

based

on

industrialized

economy,

commensurate with nuclear generation profile

Fossil

fuel

saving High load factor high fossil fuel saving

Overall carbon

footprint

reduction

Negligible carbon footprint

Key enabler to industrial carbon footprint reduction




9

Theoretical technical ceiling for nuclear deployment by 2030

1 1 5

2 9

4 3

5 7

7 1

8 5

9 9

1 1 3

1 2 7

1 4 1

1 5 5

1 6 9

1 8 3

1 9 7

2 1 1

2 2 5

2 3 9

2 5 3

2 6 7

2 8 1

2 9 5

3 0 9

3 2 3

3 3 7

3 5 1

3 6 5

40 ~ 60 nuclear reactors connected

to the grid between 2020 and 203060

GW

110

GW



10


K.A.CARE






11

April 17, 2010

The establishment of K.A.CARE



12

“… use of alternative

sustainable and reliable

resources ... reduces

dependency on hydrocarbon resources …

and keep them as a

source for income for a

longer period of time...”

(Royal Order No. A/35,17/4/2010)

Sustainable and efficient

energy future for KSA

K.A.CARE mandate

Suggestedalternative

energy mix

Proposed

executionplans

Plans fordevelopmentof physical city



13

Illustrative example of a plausible energy mix

Present

FossilMix

Wind /

Other Ren

Solar PV

Solar CST

Nuclear

New

Additional

Fossil



14

High level milestones of alternative energy strategy Capacity

ramp up

Nuclear

Renew-

ables

2011 2015 2020 2025 2030

Sites for 1st wave

of reactors selectedvendors shortlisted

1st projectkicked off

Ground breakingon 1st reactor performed by 2014



15

▪ Development of R&D

capabilities

▪ Development of

engineers, techniciansand other specialists

R&D and humancapital development

Policy

▪ Approval and publishing

of a national policy on

nuclear and renewableenergy

Investment vehi-cles and strategy

▪ Creation of Alternative

Energy Technology

Company▪ Setup of loan guarantees

and soft loan programs

Operating model

▪ Creation of holding

company for nuclear

power

▪ Formation of standaloneoff-taker for sector

▪ Development of laws and

regulation

▪ Creation of nuclear regulator

▪ Ratification of treaties

Laws andregulations

Overview of the execution plans

K.A.CARE’s plans to execute strategy are built around 5 important enablers, requiring

solid commitment and dynamic leadership



16

Enabling the development of a sustainable energy mix

N

on

leg

F

amew

k

N

on

Eon

mic

F

amew

k

R&

D&

T

N

on

H

V

u

C

n

Sustainable Energy Mix



17

National legal framework

1. National Policy Statement

2. National Nuclear Energy Law

3. National Renewable Energy Law

4. National Nuclear Regulator



18

National economic and investment framework

2. Off Taker Organization

1. Off Taking Mechanism

3. Funding Mechanism

4. Economic &

Technology

Enablers



19

Components of the K.A.CARE City

The KA-CARE city will includethe following

▪ National Sustainable Energy

Laboratory

▪ Industrial clusters

▪ Alternative energy farm

▪ Energy park

▪ Technical training institutions

▪ Technical incubators

▪ Commercial facilities

▪ Convention centers, exhibition

halls and other public amenities

▪ KA-CARE headquarters and

residential facilities

▪ Basic infrastructure



20


K.A.CARE






21

The K.A.CARE Technical Program provides technicalcompetencies required to achieve its critical outcomes

Technical Program Operations

R&D

Planning,

Agenda

Economic,

Standards, and

Policy Analysis

Staffing ,

Equipment,

Buildings,

Operations

Funding

• Gov’t Funds

• Energy Rate Fees

• Private Endowments

Capacity

Building

Scholarships,

Outreach,

Training

R&D Program

NuclearTechnology,

RenewableEnergy,Energy

EfficiencyIndustrial

Development

ProgramIP Mgmt.,

Business

Development

National Strategy

• Mission / Vision

• Advisory Committee

• Technology ForesightGovernment

• Regulatory Support

•Management Support

People

• Existing Engineers

and Managers

• International Hires

Industry Formation

• New Ventures

• Technical Assistance

to Companies• Commercial

Partnerships

• Intellectual Property

Energy Workforce

• Researchers• Managers

• Plant Operators

Knowledge Production

• Publications

• Collaborations

• World Class Research

OutcomesInputs



22

KA-CARE’s National Sustainable Energy Laboratoryprovides the foundation for the Technical Program

KA‐CARE

NATIONAL SUSTAINABLE

ENERGY LABORATORY



23

The principle responsibility of the lab is execution of the R&Dand Innovation Program

This structure is influenced by world‐class practices at international

energy laboratories, such as the U.S. Dept. of Energy and European labs.

Nuclear

Program

Renewable

EnergyProgram

Energy

IndustrializationProgram

Energy Policy

&

Regulation

Support

Human Capacity

Development

R&D Planning

and Funding

Leadership Team

(structure TBD)Support

Services

City

Infrastructure

Development

Strategic

Management Office

Safety and

Security

Energy

EfficiencyProgram

SupportFunctions

Technology

Foresight

Knowledge

Management

System

Business

Intelligence

Cross‐Functional

TechnologiesProgram

Environmental

Health & Safety

R&D and

Innovation

Program



24

Each program is focused on achieving KA-CARE goals whileengaging university and industry resources

Nuclear Program

Contribute to the sustainable use and industries related to atomic energy for peaceful purposes that supports people in the KSA. Build a technical base in the field of generating power and in the medical and industrial fields.

Renewable Energy Program

Renewable energy technology research and development program that enables significant and

optimized deployment of renewable technologies in desert environments

Energy Efficiency

Program

Technology and outreach program that enables efficient use of energy, cost savings, and

conservation of resources by KSA industry & residents.

Cross Functional Technologies Program

Provide support in key areas of technology that enable the mission directed programs



25

Nuclear Strategic Objectives

2015 – Design, construct, staff, and commissiona new KACARE nuclear research facility

▪ Saudi nuclear leadership staff development

▪ Integration with domestic, foreign universities

▪ Regulatory and industrial support services

2021 – Enable KSA completion of safe andsustainable nuclear plants and enhanced

participation in the KSA nuclear technologyvalue chain

▪ Generation III or Generation III+ technology

2030 – Enable KSA deployment of advanced power plants and enhancedparticipation in the global advanced nuclear technology value chain

▪ Small modular reactors, High Temperature and Generation IV

▪ Innovative adaptation of global technologies to saline desert environments



26

Detail: Research Reactor (continued)

KACARE National

Nuclear

Laboratory

▪ Support nuclear engineering education,

materials, licensing, safety, testing,

scientific, industrial and medical research

▪ No power

production

▪ Capability to handle large radioactive

sources

Partnerships, User Facilities, Budget▪ Possible partnership with power plant vendor

▪ Operate as a user facility with industry, KACST, KAU, KFUPM, KSU and KAUST

▪ Construction: $120‐$200 million

▪

Operations:

$75‐

$100

million/yr

▪ Reactor staffing: 100 – 300

▪ Technical Support Services staffing: 75‐150



27


K.A.CARE






28

Historical perspective and lessons learned: TMI

Incompleteunderstanding

of nuclearreactor

fundamentals

Human factors

+ userinterfaceengineering

TMI



29

Historical perspective and lessons learned: Chernobyl

Reactordesign

Inadequate

safetyculture

Chernobyl



30

Historical perspective and lessons learned: Fukushima

Forcemajeure

Regulatorycapture

Fukushima

Hi t i l ti d l l d



31

Nuclear reactor

design

and

construction:

Deploy the most mature and road‐tested

This is a ‘together’ process that must be managed

and conducted

as

such

Nuclear regulatory function:

Only an

independent

regulatory

body

can

be

expected to act and react safely

Nuclear reactor

operation:

Focus is critical, and should be strictly guided by the

industry’s best practice

Historical perspective and lessons learned:Key lessons for Saudi Arabia



Thank you

Sustainable Future Presentation

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