Supporting Material for First Quarter Results 2013
Transcript of Supporting Material for First Quarter Results 2013
Supporting Material for First Quarter Results 2013
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.1
7 May 2013
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.
This document contains forward-looking statements concerning the
results of operations and businesses of Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K..
Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are
Notes
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.2
based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause
actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those
expressed or implied in these statements.
Highlights of Financial Results, Jan-Mar 2013� Crude Oil Price & Exchange Rate
2012 2012Results 2013 ResultsResults Jan - Mar Jan - Mar
Dubai crude oil price (USD/bbl) 109.0 116.5 108.1
(\/USD) 79.8 79.4 92.5
(\/EUR) 102.6 104.1 122.1 Exchange Rate
� Highlights of Financial Results 2012 Results 2013 Results
Jan - Mar Jan - Mar
Sales 700,725 759,275 58,549 +8.4%
Changes vs. 2012 (%) (million yen)
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Sales 700,725 759,275 58,549 +8.4%
Operating income 14,157 37,209 23,052 +162.8%
Non-Operating income 26 -657 -684 -
Ordinary income 14,183 36,552 22,368 +157.7%
※Inventory valuation 10,032 18,658 8,626 +86.0%
※CCS ordinary income 4,150 17,893 13,743 +331.1%
Extraordinary income 821 2,853 2,031 +247.3%
Net income 6,290 24,610 18,320 +291.2%
【【【【Notes】】】】CCS ordinary income((((ordinary income on Current Cost of Supply basis))))
::::Ordinary income based on the cost excluding inventory valuation effects.
Oil Energy Solution
Business Business
Sales 720,201 37,000 2,073 - 759,275
Operating Income 34,743 2,092 364 8 37,209
(million yen) Others ConsolidatedAdjustment
� 1Q 2013
� 1Q 2012Oil Energy Solution
Information by Business Segment, 1Q 2013
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.4
Oil Energy Solution
Business Business
Sales 684,816 13,745 2,163 - 700,725
Operating Income 21,176 -7,393 387 -12 14,157
(million yen) Others ConsolidatedAdjustment
・Oil Business: manufacturing and sales of oil products, such as gasoline, naphtha, kerosene, diesel oil, fuel oil, lubricants, LPG, bitumen,and chemicals
・Energy Solution Business: manufacturing and sales of solar cell modules and electricity
・Others: Leasing and administration of properties, construction works, sale and lease of auto accessories, etc.
Key Points of Financial Results((((Jan-Mar))))� Consolidated sales during this three-month period (1Q) in 2013 amounted to 759.2
billion yen (8.4% increase vs. 1Q 2012) and ordinary income was 36.5 billion yen
(22.3 billion yen of increase vs. 1Q 2012). Consolidated CCS ordinary income,
excluding inventory valuation impact, was 17.8 billion yen (up by 13.7 billion yen vs.
1Q 2012)
� Oil Business
✔Sales was 720.2 billion yen (up 5.2% vs 1Q 2012) and operating income marked 34.7
billion yen (up by 13.5 billion yen).
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.5
billion yen (up by 13.5 billion yen).
✔Compared with 1Q2012, severe winter in early part of 1Q2013 allowed us higher
margins and petrochemical product margins, such as mix xylene and benzene, were
also higher, so that CCS operating income of the oil business was up from 1Q2012.
� Energy Solution Business
✔Sales was 37.0 billion yen (up 169.2% vs 1Q2012) and operating income marked 2.0
billion yen (up by 9.4 billion yen).
✔As to Solar Business, a major part of Energy Solution Business, operating income largely
improved from 1Q2012 as a result of continuous efforts for production cost reduction
and sales expansion into the Japanese market.
Business Overview((((Jan-Mar))))� Oil Business
✔Overall domestic sales volume went lower than 1Q2012 results partly because 1Q this year had 1
day less than last year. Automobile fuel sales, such as gasoline and gas oil, slightly exceeded last
year, whereas kerosene and fuel oil A vulnerable to climate change resulted in weaker sales yoy.
✔Petrochemical products, such aromatics products as mix xylene and benzene, maintained higher
margins than last year due to tight market situations.
✔Product export volume surpassed last year particularly as we started aggressively exporting from
March in order to optimize domestic supply/demand balance.
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� Energy Solution Business (Solar Business)
✔Kunitomi Factory kept running at full capacity throughout 1Q in order to meet surging domestic
demand.
✔Module shipment in 1Q2013 for the domestic market, where demand is rapidly increasing on the
back of new feed-in-tariff scheme for renewable energy, largely exceeded 1Q2012 . We are
receiving a large number of enquiries for our products from customers and spending utmost efforts to
provide our products to as many customers as possible when they need.
✔Module prices in both international and domestic markets almost unchanged from 4Q2012 as silicon
prices bottomed out and module supply in the domestic market became tight.
Ordinary Profit 2012 /1Q vs. 2013/1Q
(Unit: Billion Yen)
+18.6
▲▲▲▲0.6+8.7
+0.1+0.7
Ordinary income +22.3
CCS Ordinary Income
SolarBusiness
Othersetc. Non-ope.
**StockEffectetc.
OrdinaryIncome
ElectricPower
Business
Oil BusinessEnergy Solution
Business
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1Q 2012 1Q 2013* CCS: Current Cost of Supply
** Including the effect of Lower of cost or market value method
17.8
4.1
14.1
36.5
+0.1+0.6
+8.7
+10.0
+4.1
CCS Ordinary Income+13.7
OrdinaryIncome
*CCS OrdinaryIncome
**StockEffectetc.
OilBusiness
Refinery costand M&A
Oil BusinessSubsidiaries
*CCSOrdinaryIncome
Crude oil refined and Sales volume
2012 2012Results 2013ResultsResults Jan-Mar Jan-Mar
Crude oil refined (thousand KL) 21,053 5,685 5,651
Refinery utilization rate (%) 91.6% 99.5% 100.0%
2012 ResultsJan-Mar Jan-Mar
Gasoline 2,158 2,139 - 0.9%
vs. 2012 (%) (thousand KL) 2013 Results
� Crude oil refined & Utilization rate
� Sales volume by products
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Jet Fuel 535 496 - 7.3%
Kerosines 1,225 1,180 - 3.6%
Diesel Oil 1,215 1,254 + 3.2%
Fuel Oil A 532 505 - 5.0%
Fuel Oil C 483 432 - 10.5%
Others 1,112 1,071 - 3.7%
Total Domestic Sales 7,259 7,077 - 2.5%
Export 210 301 + 43.1%
Grand Total 7,469 7,377 - 1.2%
Forecast full year results for 2013
� Forecast of consolidated full year results 2013
2012 2013Results Forecast
Dubai crude oil price ($/B) 109.0 106
(Yen/$) 79.8 84
(Yen/EUR) 102.6 110Exchange rate
2012 2013Results Forecast
Net sales 2,629,261 2,710,000
million yen
� Crude oil price & Exchange rate
There is no change in the forecast which was published on Feb 14, 2013.
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.9
Net sales 2,629,261 2,710,000
Operating income 14,697 46,000
Oil business 28,128 43,500
Energy solution business -15,435 2,500
Others and adjustment* 2,004 -
Ordinary income 12,674 45,000
※Inventory valuation 1,450 0
※CCS ordinary income 11,224 45,000
Net income 1,013 26,000
*2013 forecast for others and adjustment is included in the Oil Business.
Data Book
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Data Book
Quarterly trend of Ordinary incomeBillion yen
39.2
29.5
14.1
10.0
15.1
36.5
18.8
11.5 8.7
8.6
17.8
10
20
30
40
50
Ordinary Income
CCS Ordinary Income
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-3.4 -3.5
-26.6
10.0 7.1
-7.4
4.1
-10.3
8.7 8.6
-30
-20
-10
0
10
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2011 2012 2013
Quarterly Trend of Operating Income by Business SegmentBillion yen
15.6 14.7
11.1 12.3
7.5
16.0
5
10
15
Oil business CCS operating income
Energy solution business operating income
23.4
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1.6
-4.3 -5.6
-5.1
-8.7 -9.2 -7.3
-4.6 -3.5
2.0
-10
-5
0
5
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2011 2012 2013
0.1
(USD/bbl)
Crude oil price (Platt’s Dubai)
100.9
110.6
107.1 106.5
116.5
106.2
106.1 107.5108.1
100
110
120
130
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50
60
70
80
90
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3
2013 1QAverage
108.1 USD/bbl
2012 Average109.0 USD/bbl
2011 Average106.3 USD/bbl
(JPY/USD)
Exchange rates (JPY/USD TTM)
92.5
90
95
100
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82.381.7
77.9 77.4
79.4 80.2
78.6
81.1
70
75
80
85
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3
2013 1QAverage
92.5 JPY/USD
2011 Average79.8 JPY/USD
2012 Average79.8 JPY/USD
(JPY/EUR)
Exchange rates (JPY/EUR TTM)
112.7
117.4
110.2
104.3 104.1105.1
122.1
110
115
120
125
130
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104.3 104.1102.8
98.3
85
90
95
100
105
110
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3
2011 Average111.1 JPY/EUR
2013 1QAverage
122.1 JPY/EUR
2012 Average102.6 JPY/EUR
25
30
35
40
60
80
100
国内国内国内国内マーケットのマーケットのマーケットのマーケットの状況状況状況状況①①①①((((ガソリンガソリンガソリンガソリン))))
Regular-Gasoline (Domestic Spot Price)
Crude & Product price ¥¥¥¥/L Spread¥¥¥¥/L
2011 2012 2013
Domestic Market (1) : Regular Gasoline
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.
12.8 11.0
13.5 10.5
11.6
7.1
14.1
10.6 10.0
0
5
10
15
20
0
20
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 316
Crude JCC
Spread ((((Spot price-CIF))))
25
30
35
40
60
80
100
Domestic Market (2) : Diesel Oil
Spread¥¥¥¥/L
2011 2012
Diesel-Oil (Domestic Spot Price)
2013
Crude & Product price ¥¥¥¥/L
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15.4 13.0
10.8 11.0
12.9
8.3
12.5 9.4 9.7
0
5
10
15
20
0
20
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 317
Crude JCC
Spread ((((Spot price-CIF))))
30
45
100
150
Global Market (1) : Diesel Oil
$/bbl Spread$$$$/ bbl
Diesel-Oil (Asian Spot Price) 2012
Dubai
20132011
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.
18.2 19.5
17.6 17.8 16.4 15.4
19.3 17.5
19.6
0
15
0
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 318
Spread ((((Spot price – Dubai))))
900
1200
1500
900
1,200
1,500
Global Market (2) : Mixed Xylene
2011
$/MT Spread$/MT
2012
Mixed Xylene (Asian Spot Price)
2013
Dubai
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359 427
522 444
498
382
462 548 538
0
300
600
0
300
600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 1 2 319
Spread ((((Spot price – Dubai))))
1Q 2013 -Topics-Conversion efficiency world record for thin-film without cadmium 【【【【Jan】】】】
Solar Frontier achieved 19.7% of energy conversion efficiency with 0.5 cm2 cell. This is the world record for thin-film cell without cadmium. This record suggests high potential for deployment of this technology to larger-sized modules since this small cell was cut out from 30cmx30cm aperture area CIS sub-module. This is the record nearing the world record of 20.3% in the arena of all thin-film solar cells including the one with cadmium.
Establishing joint investment company with Development Bank of Japan(DBJ) 【【【【Jan】】】】
Solar Frontier entered into agreement with DBJ to establish a joint investment company for facilitating large-scaled solar power plant (mega-solar) development. The joint company aims to fund totaling 100MW of solar projects in Japan for the time being and also supports various types of solar projects,
Atsugi Research Center
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K. 20
100MW of solar projects in Japan for the time being and also supports various types of solar projects, assuming projects having secured lands but not been financed yet and those with less than 2MW capacity which tend to face hardship in securing finance. Solar Frontier will move forward with this BOT business model in which it will be engaged in a wide range of services from plant engineering to plant operation and further to selling those plants to end-users or investors.
(The joint company called “SF Solar Power” was established in Mar and has launched its first business by developing about 11.6MW of solar power plant at the site of Kansai International Airport.)
Agreement to seek synergy opportunities in oil product supply 【【【【Mar】】】】
In order to establish more stable and efficient crude oil shipping and product supply under the fast-moving business environment, we have concluded a basic agreement with Tonen General Sekiyu K.K. to seek synergy opportunities in the following 4 areas. These areas are increased synergy effects for feedstock in the Kawasaki refineries, joint operation of crude vessels, joint operation of depots/terminals, and domestic marine transport of oil products and products exchange.
Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.