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Transcript of Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap: 2005-2035. NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap 2 Open the...
Sun-Solar System ConnectionRoadmap: 2005-2035
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
2
Open the Frontier to Space Environment Prediction
Understand the Nature of Our Home in Space
Safeguard The Journey of Exploration
Understand the fundamental physical processes of the space environment – from the Sun to Earth, to other
planets, and beyond to the interstellar medium
Understand how human society, technological systems, and the habitability of planets are affected
by solar variability and planetary magnetic fields
Maximize the safety and productivity of human and robotic explorers by developing the capability to
predict the extreme and dynamic conditions in space
Sun-Solar System Connection ObjectivesAgency Strategic Objective: Explore the Sun-Earth system to understand the Sun and its effects on the Earth, the solar system, and the space environmental conditions that will be experienced by human explorers, and demonstrate technologies that can improve future operational systems
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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External and Internal Factors• We are poised to transform knowledge and provide predictive
understanding of the SSSC system
• Our technological society needs space weather knowledge to function efficiently
• Human beings require space weatherpredictions to work safely and productively in space
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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Nature of the Challenge
Integration and synthesis of multi-point observations
Data assimilative models & theory
Interdisciplinary communities and tools
A quantitative, predictive understanding of a complex system of systems
Microphysical processes regulate global & interplanetary structures
Multi-constituent plasmasand complex photochemistry
Non-linear dynamic responses
Solar CME engulfing the Earth: http://sun.stanford.edu/roadmap/NewZoom2.mov
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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Disturbed Upper Atmosphere
Space Storms at the Outer Planets
Solar System Blast Wave
Disturbed Mars-Space & Atmospheric Loss
Dangerous Radiation
Space Storms at Earth
We Have Already Begun!
Current Sun-Earth missions provide a prototype “SSSC Great Observatory”, providing a first look at the system level view and informing the roadmap plan
Theory, modeling, and observational tools now exist or can be developed to yield both transformational knowledge of the Sun-Earth system and provide needed tools and space weather knowledge for human exploration and societal needs
The SSSC Great Observatory must adapt as new questions and capabilities arise.
STP LWS ExplorersGreat
Observatory
Low Cost Access
to SpaceTechnology
Education & Public
Outreach
SupportingResearchPrograms
National Objectives
NASA Strategic Objective #15
Optimized Mission Scenario
Objectives Frontier, Home, Journey
Research Focus Areas
Investigations
Missions & SupportingElements
Setting Priorities
Current Budget Mission Scenario
Vision forSpace
Exploration
Potential Achievements
Flow Down:
Required UnderstandingCapability
Measurements
Framework
NAS Decadal Survey and additional
studies
OSS/SEC 2003 Roadmaps
Elements of Strategy
Sun Solar System Connection Roadmap Development
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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2) Understand the plasma processes that accelerate and transport particles throughout the solar system
1) Understand magnetic reconnection as revealed in solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and geospace storms
3) Understand the role of plasma neutral interactions in nonlinear coupling of regions throughout the solar system
4) Understand the creation of variability of magnetic dynamos and how they drive the dynamics of solar, planetary and stellar environments
Open the Frontier to Space Weather PredictionUnderstand the fundamental physical processes of the space environment – from the Sun to Earth, to other planets, and beyond to the interstellar medium
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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1) Understand the causes and subsequent evolution of solar activity that affects Earth’s space climate and environment
2) Understand changes in the Earth’s magnetosphere, ionosphere, and upper atmosphere to enable specification, prediction, and mitigation of their effects
3) Understand the Sun's role as an energy source to the Earth’s atmosphere, particularly the role of solar variability in driving atmospheric and climate change
4) Apply our understanding of space plasma physics to the role of stellar activity and magnetic shielding in planetary system evolution and habitability
Understand the Nature of our Home in SpaceUnderstand how human society, technological systems, and the habitability of planets are affected by solar variability and planetary magnetic fields
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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1) Characterize the variability and extremes of the space environments that will be encountered by human and robotic explorers
2) Develop the capability to predict the origin of solar activity and disturbances associated with potentially hazardous space weather
3) Develop the capability to predict the acceleration and propagation of energetic particles in order to enable safe travel for human and robotic explorers
4) Understand how space weather affects planetary environments to minimize risk in exploration activities
Safeguard the Journey of ExplorationMaximize the safety and productivity of human and robotic explorers by developing the capability to predict the extreme and dynamic conditions in space
NASA Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap
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Sun-Solar System Connection Roadmap Goal Structure
Phase 1: 2005-2015 Phase 2: 2015-2025 Phase 3: 2025-beyond
• Develop technologies, observations, and knowledge systems that support operational systems
Open the Frontier to Space Environment Prediction
Understand the Nature of our Home in Space
Safeguard the Journey of Exploration
Measure magnetic reconnection at the Sun and Earth
Model the magnetic processes that drive space weather
Predict solar magnetic activity and energy release
Determine the dominant processes and sites of particle acceleration
Quantify particle acceleration for the key regions of exploration
Predict high energy particle flux throughout the solar system.
Identify key processes that couple solar and planetary atmospheres to the heliosphere and beyond
Understand non-linear processes and couplings to predict atmospheric and space environments
Understand the interactions of disparate astrophysical systems
Understand how solar disturbances propagate to Earth
Identify precursors of important solar disturbances
Analyze the first direct samples of the interstellar medium
Identify how space weather effects are produced in Geospace
Quantify mechanisms and processes required for Geospace forecasting
Enable continuous scientific forecasting of conditions throughout the solar system
Discover how space plasmas and planetary atmospheres interact
Determine how magnetic fields, solar wind and irradiance affect habitability of solar system bodies
Determine how stellar variability governs the formation and evolution of habitable planets
Identify impacts of solar variability on Earth’s atmosphere
Integrate solar variability effects into Earth climate models
Forecast atmospheric and climate change (joint w/ Earth Science)
Determine extremes of the variable radiation and space environments at Earth, Moon, & Mars
Characterize the near-Sun source region of the space environment
Provide situational awareness of the space environment throughout the inner Solar System
Nowcast solar and space weather and forecast “All-Clear” periods for space explorers near Earth
Reliably forecast space weather for the Earth-Moon system and begin nowcasts at Mars
Reliably predict atmospheric and radiation environment at Mars to ensure safe surface operations
Determine Mars atmospheric variability relevant to Exploration
2005 2015 2025 2035
Phase 1Sun-Earth-Moon System
Characterization of System
Phase 1Sun-Earth-Moon System
Characterization of System
Phase 2Sun - Terrestrial Planets
Modeling of System Elements
Phase 2Sun - Terrestrial Planets
Modeling of System Elements
Model SystemsModel
SystemsCharacterizeEnvironmentsCharacterizeEnvironments
ForecastHazardsForecastHazards
Phase 3Sun-Solar System
System Forecasting
Phase 3Sun-Solar System
System Forecasting
Solar: SDO, Solar-B
CMEs & Heliosphere: SDO, STEREO, IHSentinels, Solar Sail
Demo
Radiation: RBSP, IHSentinels
Geospace Impacts: MMS, RBSP, THEMIS, ITSP/ITImager
Climate Impacts:SDO, AIM
Moon, Mars Awareness: LRO, MSL, ADAM
Interstellar Boundary: IBEX
Inner Boundary:Solar Probe
:Solar Processes: MTRAP, RAM
Heliospheric Structure & Disturbances:
HIGO, SPI/Telemachus
Geospace System Impacts: AAMP, IMC, ITMC, ITMW
Solar System Space Weather: DBC, FS/Shields
Planetary Orbiters: IoE, SCOPE, NO, TE, VAP
Interstellar Medium: Interstellar Probe
Habitability:Stellar Imager
Already In Develop-ment or FormulationExplorerPartnershipRecommended
Solar Processes: Solar Orbiter
Geospace System Impacts: GEC, GEMINI, MagCon
Climate Impacts: L1 Earth-Sun, SECEP
Mars Atmosphere: Mars Atmospheric Reconnaissance Satellite
Space Weather Stations: Heliostorm
Solar System Space Weather: SEPM, SWBuoys
Planetary Orbiters: Pluto/Kuiper, JPO/JUNO
Future Mission Recommendations
Sun-Solar System Mission Recommendations
Distributed small assets that form an evolving sensor web to sample the vast connection from the Sun to planetary environments and beyond
Sun-Solar System Mission RecommendationsOptimized Program
Flagship missions and partnerships:Recommendation: Obtain additional resources and work with partners to implement these missions
Partnership
In Development
New Initiative
In Development
Recommended
Partnership
Sun-Solar System Mission RecommendationsCurrent Constrained Budget Lines
Optimized program will require more resources …
Flagship missions and partnerships:Recommendation: Obtain additional resources and work with partners to implement these missions
New Initiative
In Development
Recommended
Partnership
Sun-Solar System Connection Summary