Summary of key issues -...
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For more information or to subscribe, email [email protected] 10 September 2015 The full report is available from http://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares Summary of key issues During the week ending 9 September 2015, rainfall was recorded across much of south-east Australia and isolated areas of south-west Western Australia and northern Queensland. Maximum and minimum temperatures were generally below average across much of Australia during the week ending 8 September 2015. In south-east South Australia and western Victoria serious and severe rainfall deficiencies have increased in extent and severity for the 14-month (July 2014 to August 2015) and 35-month periods (October 2012 to August 2015). Over the 35-month period, serious and severe rainfall deficiencies also remain across parts of northern, central and southern Queensland, and into northern New South Wales and southern Northern Territory. The forecast for the next eight days indicates that rainfall in excess of 15 millimetres is likely in the far south-west of Western Australia, coastal north Queensland, south-east Victoria and western Tasmania. Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased during the week ending 10 September 2015 by 142 gigalitres (GL) and are at 49 per cent of total capacity. This is 18 percentage points or 4 008 GL less than at the same time last year. In New South Wales, general security allocations have increased in the Lachlan, Gwydir and Peel Valleys and in the Upper Namoi catchment. Allocations have increased in the Border Rivers catchment for general security B class water users. The young cattle indictor price (330–400 kg live weight C3) averaged 569 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Queensland in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the young cattle indicator price rose by 1 per cent in New South Wales to average 603 cents a kilogram and by 6 per cent in Victoria to average 626 cents a kilogram. The lamb indicator price (18–22kg fat score 2–4) averaged 590 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Victoria in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to 592 cents a kilogram and was largely unchanged in South Australia at 524 cents a kilogram. The lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to 592 cents a kilogram. The world wheat indicator price (US No. 2 hard red winter, free on board Gulf ports) averaged US$216 a tonne in the week ending 8 September 2015, compared with US$212 a tonne in the previous week. The Australian grain sorghum indicator price (Sydney) was $295 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, 5 per cent lower than the previous week.
Transcript of Summary of key issues -...
For more information or to subscribe, email [email protected]
10 September 2015 The full report is available from http://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares
Summary of key issues During the week ending 9 September 2015, rainfall was recorded across much of south-east
Australia and isolated areas of south-west Western Australia and northern Queensland.
Maximum and minimum temperatures were generally below average across much of Australia during the week ending 8 September 2015.
In south-east South Australia and western Victoria serious and severe rainfall deficiencies have increased in extent and severity for the 14-month (July 2014 to August 2015) and 35-month periods (October 2012 to August 2015).
Over the 35-month period, serious and severe rainfall deficiencies also remain across parts of northern, central and southern Queensland, and into northern New South Wales and southern Northern Territory.
The forecast for the next eight days indicates that rainfall in excess of 15 millimetres is likely in the far south-west of Western Australia, coastal north Queensland, south-east Victoria and western Tasmania.
Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased during the week ending 10 September 2015 by 142 gigalitres (GL) and are at 49 per cent of total capacity. This is 18 percentage points or 4 008 GL less than at the same time last year.
In New South Wales, general security allocations have increased in the Lachlan, Gwydir and Peel Valleys and in the Upper Namoi catchment. Allocations have increased in the Border Rivers catchment for general security B class water users.
The young cattle indictor price (330–400 kg live weight C3) averaged 569 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Queensland in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the young cattle indicator price rose by 1 per cent in New South Wales to average 603 cents a kilogram and by 6 per cent in Victoria to average 626 cents a kilogram.
The lamb indicator price (18–22kg fat score 2–4) averaged 590 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Victoria in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to 592 cents a kilogram and was largely unchanged in South Australia at 524 cents a kilogram. The lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to 592 cents a kilogram.
The world wheat indicator price (US No. 2 hard red winter, free on board Gulf ports) averaged US$216 a tonne in the week ending 8 September 2015, compared with US$212 a tonne in the previous week.
The Australian grain sorghum indicator price (Sydney) was $295 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, 5 per cent lower than the previous week.
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1. Climate
1.1. Rainfall this week
During the week ending 9 September 2015, rainfall was recorded across much of south-east Australia and isolated areas of south-west Western Australia and northern Queensland. Rainfall in excess of 15 millimetres was recorded in south-west Western Australia, south-east South Australia, southern and north-east New South Wales, much of Victoria and western Tasmania. The highest recorded rainfall total was 86 millimetres at Mount Sabine, 200km south-west of Melbourne in southern Victoria.
The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received.
For further information go to www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/weeklyrain.shtml
Rainfall for the week ending 9 September 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australian Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 09/09/2015
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1.2. Temperature anomalies this week
Maximum temperatures were below average across much of central and south-east Australia during the week ending 8 September 2015, while parts of northern Australia and south-west Western Australia recorded slightly above average temperatures.
Minimum temperatures were slightly below average over much Australia during the week ending 8 September 2015. There were isolated areas in most states and territories that recorded minimum temperatures between 2 and 6 degrees below average for this time of year.
Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and the minimum from their long-term averages. Temperature anomalies are calculated using high resolution gridded datasets from 1911 onwards.
For further information go to http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/
Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 8 September 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australian Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 09/09/2015
Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 8 September 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australian Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 09/09/2015
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1.3. Rainfall deficiencies For the 14-month period from July 2014 to August 2015, severe or serious deficiencies remained in a number of areas in northern and central Queensland. In southern Australia, the substantial area of lowest-on-record rainfall around the South Australian and Victorian border has increased in spatial extent, with severe deficiencies spreading into central Victoria and much of southern South Australia. Rainfall deficiencies remain in western and north-western Tasmania and on the west coast of south-west Western Australia. (Bureau of Meteorology ‘Drought Statement’, 4 September 2015).
Rainfall deficiencies for the period 1 July 2014 to 31 August 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australia Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 02/09/2015
Over the 35-month period from October 2012 to August 2015, serious and severe rainfall deficiencies remain across parts of northern, central and southern Queensland, and into northern New South Wales and southern Northern Territory. The area affected by rainfall deficiencies increased slightly in extent and severity in central and western Victoria and south-east South Australia. Deficiencies have also increased in parts of the central south-west Western Australia and persist in pockets of south-east and western Tasmania. (Bureau of Meteorology ‘Drought Statement’, 4 September 2015).
Rainfall deficiencies for the period 1 October 2012 to 31 July 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australia Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 02/09/2015
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1.4. Rainfall forecast
The forecast for the next eight days indicates that rainfall in excess of 15 millimetres is likely in the far south-west of Western Australia, coastal north Queensland, south-east Victoria and western Tasmania.
This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As it contains no input from weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.
Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 10 to 17 September 2015
©Commonwealth of Australia 2015, Australian Bureau of Meteorology Issued: 09/09/2015
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2. Water
2.1. Water availability
Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased during the week ending 10 September 2015 by 142 gigalitres (GL) and are at 49 per cent of total capacity. This is 18 percentage points or 4 008 GL less than at the same time last year.
Water storages in the Murray–Darling Basin (NSW, Victoria and Queensland)
Information on irrigation water available in the Murray–Darling Basin from 1 January 2001 to 10 September 2015 is shown above. The top horizontal (short dash) line indicates the storage level at the similar time last year. The bottom horizontal (long dash) line indicates the amount of ‘dead’ or unusable storage.
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2.2. Water allocations The current water allocations for the 2015–16 water trading season for licence holders in New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia water systems are summarised in the following table.
In New South Wales, general security allocations have increased in the Lachlan, Gwydir and Peel
Valleys and in the Upper Namoi catchment. Allocations have increased in the Border Rivers catchment
for general security B class water users.
Allocations at 10 September 2015 (%) 3 September 2015 (%)
New South Wales General security
High security
General security
High security
NSW Murray Valley 0* 97 0* 97
NSW Murrumbidgee Valley 27* 95 27* 95
NSW Lower Darling 0* 20 0* 20
NSW Macquarie and Cudgegong Valley
7* 100 7* 100
NSW Hunter Valley 100 100 100 100
NSW Lachlan Valley 20 100 4* 100
NSW Lower Namoi 0* 100 0* 100
NSW Upper Namoi 60* 100 50* 100
NSW Gwydir Valley 4.89* 100 0.75* 100
NSW Border Rivers 100 a
/6.95 b
100 100 a
/0 b
100
NSW Peel Valley 17* 100 12* 100
Victoria Low
reliability High
reliability Low
reliability High
reliability
Victoria Murray Valley 0 61 0 61
Victoria Goulburn 0 60 0 60
Victoria Campaspe 0 50 0 50
Victoria Loddon 0 45 0 45
Victoria Bullarook 0 0 0 0
Victoria Broken 0 0 0 0
South Australia High
security High
security
South Australia Murray Valley 100 100
*Carryover water may also be available a General security A class. b General security B class
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3. Commodities
3.1. Production and commodities
The world wheat indicator price (US No. 2 hard red winter, free on board Gulf ports) averaged US$216 a tonne in the week ending 8 September 2015, compared with US$212 a tonne in the previous week.
The world coarse grains indicator price (US No. 2 yellow corn, free on board Gulf ports) averaged US$161 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, compared with US$164 a tonne in the previous week.
The world canola indicator price (Rapeseed, Europe, free on board Hamburg) averaged US$413 a tonne in the week ending 8 September 2015, compared with US$417 a tonne in the previous week.
The world cotton indicator price (the Cotlook ‘A’ index) averaged US69.9 cents a pound in the week ending 9 September 2015, largely unchanged from the previous week.
According to the India Meteorological Department, as at 8 September 2015, cumulative rainfall during the 2015 Indian monsoon season was 659 millimetres compared with the long term average (1951- 2000) to the same date of 769 millimetres.
The world sugar indicator price (Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no. 11 contract) averaged US11.3 cents a pound in the week ending 9 September 2015, 5 per cent higher than the previous week.
Data from the Brazilian Sugar Industry Association shows that, as at 1 September 2015, the South-Central region (which produces around 90 per cent of Brazil’s sugarcane) had crushed 374 million tonnes of sugar cane in 2015–16 (April to March), compared with 373 million tonnes crushed by the same date in 2014–15.
The Australian grain sorghum indicator price (Sydney) was $295 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, 5 per cent lower than the previous week.
The Australian feed wheat indicator price (General purpose, Sydney) was $279 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, 1 per cent lower than the previous week.
The Australian feed barley indicator price (Sydney) was $254 a tonne in the week ending 9 September 2015, 4 per cent lower than the previous week.
The Australian canola indicator price (Portland, Victoria) was $510 a tonne in the week ending 7 September 2015, 1 per cent lower than the previous week.
The young cattle indictor price (330–400 kg live weight C3) averaged 569 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Queensland in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the young cattle indicator price rose by 1 per cent in New South Wales to average 603 cents a kilogram and by 6 per cent in Victoria to average 626 cents a kilogram.
The lamb indicator price (18–22kg fat score 2–4) averaged 590 cents a kilogram (dressed weight) in Victoria in the week ending 4 September 2015, 2 per cent higher than the previous week. Over the same period, the lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to average 592 cents a kilogram and was largely unchanged in South Australia at an average of 524 cents a kilogram. The lamb indicator price fell by 3 per cent in New South Wales to average 592 cents a kilogram.
The Australian Eastern Market indicator price for wool averaged 1 258 cents a kilogram clean in the week ending 3 September 2015, 3 per cent higher than the previous week. The total number of bales offered at auction was 2 per cent lower than the previous week.
Changes to the wholesale prices of selected fruit were mixed in the week ending 5 September 2015, compared with the previous week. The wholesale prices of banana (cavendish) and watermelon (seedless) rose while the prices of strawberry, avocado (hass) and blueberry fell. The wholesale prices of pineapple (smoothleaf), kiwifruit (hayward) and apple (royal gala) were largely unchanged.
Changes to the wholesale prices of selected vegetable were also mixed in the week ending 5 September 2015, compared with the previous week. The wholesale prices of pumpkin (grey bulk) and lettuce (iceberg) rose while the price of tomato (field gourmet) fell. The wholesale prices of onion (brown), broccoli, cauliflower and potato (white, washed) were largely unchanged.
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3.2. Selected world indicator prices
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3.3. Global Dairy Trade (GDT) weighted average prices
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3.4. Crop indicator prices
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3.5. Livestock indicator prices
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3.6. Recent movements in fruit and vegetable prices
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4. Data attribution Climate
Bureau of Meteorology
Weekly rainfall totals: www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp
Monthly and last 3-months rainfall percentiles: www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp
Temperature anomalies: www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/temp/index.jsp
Rainfall forecast: www.bom.gov.au/jsp/watl/rainfall/pme.jsp
Seasonal outlook: www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead
Drought statement: www.bom.gov.au/climate/drought/drought.shtml
ENSO Wrap-Up: www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
Soil moisture: Australian Water Availability Project (ABARES; Bureau of Meteorology; CSIRO) www.eoc.csiro.au/awap/
Water
New South Wales
New South Wales Water Information: http://waterinfo.nsw.gov.au/
New South Wales Office of Water, Department of Primary Industries: www.water.nsw.gov.au/Home/default.aspx
Available water determinations register:
http://registers.water.nsw.gov.au/wma/DeterminationSearch.jsp?selectedRegister=Determination
Queensland
Sunwater: www.sunwater.com.au
Seqwater: http://seqwater.com.au
South Australia
SA Water: https://www.sawater.com.au/community-and-environment/the-river-murray/river-reports/daily-flow-report
South Australian Department of Environment, Water and Natural Resources: http://www.environment.sa.gov.au
Victoria
Goulburn–Murray Water: www.g-mwater.com.au
Commodities
Fruit and vegetables
Datafresh: http://www.freshstate.com.au
Mutton, lambs, wheat, barley and grain sorghum
The Land: hardcopy or online at http://theland.farmonline.com.au/markets.aspx
Cattle, mutton, lambs and pigs
Meat and Livestock Australia: www.mla.com.au/Prices-and-markets
Pigs
Australian Pork: www.australianpork.com.au
Canola
Weekly Times: hardcopy
Dairy Global Dairy Trade: http://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/product-results/download-historical-data/
