Sulu Sabah Question
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Transcript of Sulu Sabah Question
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 1/8
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 2/8
Overview
• Lahad Datu standoff: open-ended question
• Cycle of Sabah claim – reversal, detour
• Implications: Moro struggle; RP-Malaysia relation;Regional security; and, Geopolitics of foreign
powers in Southeast Asia
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 3/8
Organization
• Brief context of Southeast Asia
• Sulu-Sabah historical continuum: Major
development and issues• Implications
• Possibilities and trajectories
• Options & strategies: peaceful settlement resolution
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 4/8
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 5/8
Continuum
• Refer to AVP timeline
• Principles of self-determination & “effectivites”
• Philippine position in 1962
• Sabah claim today: Positions of legal luminaries oninternational law (e.g., Baja, Santiago, Magallona)
• Law & political will
• Erratic policy & discontinuity
• Sulu Sultanate: left in suspended animation?
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 6/8
Implications
• Sabah issue as vital organ of Moro struggle
• Both are mutually inclusive
• To disconnect the two is ahistorical
• To connect them entangles the Moro struggle with the “unwrittenrule” in RP-Malaysia relation
• Dynamics of Lahand datu standoff: Pitfalls in putting eggs in onebasket; policy imbalance
• Triangular relation of PH, MA, & SS
• Pentagonal configuration: GPH, MA, MILF; MNLF, SS (and other sub-actors in Moro society)
• Sabah redux as (“3rd) red button” in SEA geopolitics: (1st ) War oninternational terrorism & (2nd ) South China Sea dispute
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 7/8
Trajectories &
consequences
• Traditional ways: PH-MA perpetuate “unwritten rule” and
promote status quo ante; Reconfiguration of Moro
struggle; Framework Agreement/Bangsamoro Political
Entity as first casualty; Instability in the “Sulu Zone;”
Reifying traditional politics; intensifying the “3rd red
button;”
• Creative ways: Heed UN humanitarian intervention and
call for peaceful dialogue and negotiation; Backchannel
diplomacy; No ICJ recourse in both short and long terms
but opening proprietary claim talks as clouds of war
subside; consolidation of unity in the sultanate;
• Post election scenario in both PH and MA
7/28/2019 Sulu Sabah Question
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/sulu-sabah-question 8/8
Peaceful settlement
• Peaceful settlement: Inquiry, Mediation…
• Advantages & limits
• Islamic principles of peace-making & reconciliationin siyar (Muslim international law/relation)
• Regional lobby and creative engagement
• Networking with Ulama in SEA
• Toward human development framework in Sulu-
Sabah conundrum