Stronger Asia for a stronger BASF · 2018-11-17 · notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to...
Transcript of Stronger Asia for a stronger BASF · 2018-11-17 · notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to...
Stronger Asia for a stronger BASF
Dr. MartinBrudermüllerVice-Chairman of the
Board of Executive Directors
Roadshow
BeijingOctober 31, 2011
Hong KongNovember 1, 2011
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This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Forward-looking statements
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1 | Overview BASF
2 | Focus on operational excellence
3 | Well positioned for profitable growth
4 | Outlook
4
Facts & figuresWorldwide leading Chemical Company
•
Sales 2010: €64 billion
•
EBIT before special items 2010: €8.1 billion
Customers in more than 200 countries and in virtually all industries
No 1-3 market position in over 75% of our businesses
Unique Verbund concept for integrated production-
Six Verbund sites in all major regions-
Production sites in 41 countries
~ 110,000 employees worldwide
High-quality management team
BASF – The Chemical Company
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* Styrenics reported under ‘Other’
Percentage of sales 2010
Chemicals
18%
Plastics*
16%
Functional Solutions15%
Performance Products19%
Agricultural Solutions6%
Oil & Gas
17%
BASF today – a well-balanced portfolio Total sales 2010: €63.9 billion
Sales€11,377 million
EBIT bSI€2,302 million
Sales€9,830 million
EBIT bSI€1,284 million
Sales€12,288 million
EBIT bSI€1,554 million
Sales€9,703 million
EBIT bSI€467 million
Sales€4,033 million
EBIT bSI€749 million
Sales€10,791 million
EBIT bSI€2,430 million
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* Other industries: approximately 10-15% of total sales
10 – 15 % of sales
5 – 10 % of sales
< 5 %of sales
> 15% of sales
Chemicals
AutomotiveUtilities
ConstructionAgriculturePlastics industryOil industry
Electrical & ElectronicsPaperFurniture
Resilience to industry-specificdemand fluctuations
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Sales €17.6 billion +12%EBITDA €2.7 billion (8%)EBITDA margin 15.4% 18.6%EBIT before special items (bSI) €2.0 billion (11%)EBIT bSI adjusted for non-comp. oil taxes €2.0 billion (1%)EBIT €1.9 billion (13%)Net income €1.2 billion (4%)EPS €1.30 (4%)Adjusted EPS €1.52 0%
Business performance Q3’11 vs. Q3’10
BASF with good earnings in Q3 Third quarter 2011 highlights
Further sales growth in chemical activities mainly due to successful price increasesAcquired Cognis business continues to perform strongly; synergy targets increasedAgricultural Solutions on track for record year in sales and earningsEBIT before special items amounted to €2 billion. Adjusted for Libya, which contributed €355 million in last year’s quarter, EBIT before special items increased by 6% compared to Q3 2010.
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*
Cash provided by operating activities less capex (in 2005 before CTA)** 2009 adjusted for re-classification of settlement payments for currency
derivatives
Continuous strong cash flow
Cash Flow (billion €)
Cash provided by operating activitiesFree cash flow*
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
5.0
2.9
**
Q1-Q3
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Average annual dividend increase of 14.5%(2001-2010)
Dividend yield above 3% in any given year since 2001
Attractive dividend yield of 3.7% in 2010*
3.9%
Key factsDividend per share (€)
2.20
0.65 0.70 0.700.85
1.00
1.50
1.95 1.951.70
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2001 2004 2007 2010
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
3.1%
* Dividend yield based on share price at year-end
3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0%Yield* 3.7%
2.50
3.1% 3.9%
Attractive shareholder returns Record dividend
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Delivering consistent, long-term value
Long-term performance October 2001 – September 2011 (average annual performance with dividends reinvested)
+12.8%
-1.4%
+7.4%
-3 0 3 6 9 12 15
BASF
Euro Stoxx 50
DAX 30
MSCI World Chemicals
+2.5%
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1 | Overview BASF
2 | Focus on operational excellence
3 | Well positioned for profitable growth
4 | Outlook
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Vertical and horizontal integration of production plants, energy and waste flows, logistics and site infrastructure
Know-how Verbund
Energy Verbund and combined heat and power plants lead to-
Savings of ∼2.6 million tons oil equivalent p.a.
-
Reduction of CO2
-emissions of ~6 million tons p.a.
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Unique ‘Verbund’ concept Cost savings of >€500 million p.a. in Ludwigshafen alone
BASF site Ludwigshafen, Germany Verbund Concept
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Fixed costs represent around 30% of total costs
Only slightly higher fixed costs, despite major acquisitions(Engelhard, Degussa Construction Chemicals, Ciba and Cognis)
Ciba and Cognis synergies as well as NEXT program will drive fixed costs down–
Cost synergies Ciba:>€450 million by 2012
–
Cost synergies Cognis:
€145 million by 2013
Stringent fixed cost management
Key facts
Fixed costs indexed EBITDA indexedSales indexed
BASF Group development 2001-2010
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2004 2007 2010
Index
~170%
~100%
~20%
Δ
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> 500 individual projects to simplify processes, structures and production sites in all regions
Project timeline:2008-2011
Annual earnings contribution of €600 million in 2010 achieved
Targeted annual earnings contribution by 2012: ≥€1 billion (thereof ~€150 million Asia)
Completed restructuring programs
New efficiency program NEXT
Sustainable improvement of cost base Efficiency program NEXT on track
New
EXcellence
Targets
(NEXT)Annual earnings contribution (million €)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2003 2005 2007 2009 2012
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1 | Overview BASF
2 | Focus on operational excellence
3 | Well positioned for profitable growth
4 | Outlook
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Leading positions in growth industries
and emerging markets
We strive to outperform global chemical production growth by at least 2 percentage points p.a.
Well positioned for profitable growth
Continue expansion in emerging markets, especially AsiaTranslate megatrends into business growth
Growth target:
Excellent innovation platform
Product and system innovation as growth driversMegatrend innovations for long-term growth
Ongoing portfolio
optimization
Continue with active portfolio managementDrive portfolio closer to end customer
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Leading positions in growth industries and
emerging markets, especially Asia
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6.5
12.5
20
0
5
10
15
20
2005 2010* 2020
BASF’s profitable growth path in Asia Pacific
Sales by location of customers in billion €; (Greater China shaded)
* Excluding Cognis
+14% p.a.
Achievements 2005-2010
Sales growth +14% p.a.(vs. Asian market growth +10.5% p.a.)Record EBITDA of €1.7 billion in 2010, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 14%
Target 2011-2020
Well on track to double sales by 2020(based on sales of €9 billion in 2008)Outgrowing Asian Pacific chemical market by 2 percentage points p.a. through
–
Innovations out of Asia–
Investments 2011-2015: €2.3 billion–
Generating 70% of sales based on local manufacturing
–
Strengthening market focus through industry and customer target groups
Focus on five most important growth industries
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Inorganics
Catalysts
Petro-
chemicals
Intermediates
Construction
Chemicals
Coatings
Dispersion
& Pigments
Care
Chemicals
Performance
Chemicals
Performance
Polymers
Polyurethanes
7% p.a.
7% p.a.
7% p.a.
5% p.a.
4% p.a.
~6% p.a.
BASF Group Sales by
Industry in A/PBubble Size: BASF Net Sales to 3rd parties (2009)
Targeted BASF Industry Sales
Growth*
Construction
Pharma
Coatings
Packaging
Automotive
*
2010-2020 p.a.
10%
2%
8%
8%
14%
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Industry & Customer Target Groups take us to the next level of competitiveness
7 Main ITGs* in Asia
All ITGs started and well on track
>150
CTGs*
Many cross divisional customer strategies
developed
>€600m identified
Additional sales potential 2012
* ITG: Industry Target Group; CTG: Customer Target Group
Current status:
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Continuous investments underline our long-term commitment to Asia
Investments in Asia Pacific (China shaded) Major investment projects
Year Verbund Location2001 Verbund site Kuantan
2005 Verbund site Nanjing
2006 MDI/TDI Caojing
2009 –
2011Expansion of Verbund site
Nanjing
2014* MDI Chongqing
tbd** World-scale Specialties
Malaysia
tbd*** Expansion of
Verbund siteNanjing
plan++actual+
+ incl. intangibles; ++
excl. intangibles
2.32.4
3.4
2.0
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
1996-2000 2001-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015
in billion €
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Nanjing – the heart of our Chinese Verbund network
Key factsNanjing site
50/50 joint venture with Sinopec
Capacity: ~ 2 million metric tons of sales products/year
Investment schedule:
$2.9 billion initial investment:+ Commercial start-up in 2005+ Steam cracker and 9 plants
$1.4 billion first expansion:+ 3 expansions, 10 new plants+ Near completion end of 2011
o $1.0 billion second expansion:
+ MoU with Sinopec signed
+ Feasibility studies to be com-
pleted by 2012
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MDI plant in Chongqing
Market for polyurethanes in China expected to grow at 9-10% p.a. and to become largest in the world within the next decade
New MDI plant with world-scale capacity of 400,000 metric tons of crude MDI per year
Investment: €860 million
Commercial operation expected 2014
Groundbreaking took place in April and construction work has hence commenced
Project will be one of the main anchor activities in Western China
Key facts
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Kuantan, Malaysia Verbund site for the ASEAN region
Key factsKuantan site
BASF Petronas Chemicals
60/40 JV BASF + Petronas
Approximately 600 employees
Products: plasticizers, acrylic monomers, BDO & derivatives
BASF and Petronas decided to explore expansion of existing capacities in Kuantan including feasibility study for a new SAP plant
Further agreement between BASF and Petronas to jointly look into new world-scale specialty chemical facilities in Malaysia
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Excellent innovation platform
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Electromobility
Xemium®Kaurit®
Light
CypoSol®
Elastopave®
Ecovio®
Natugrain®
TS X-SEED® PCI Geofug®
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Further increase in R&D spending planned for 2011
Innovation will spur further growth
Total R&D expenditures 2010 (billion €)
€1.5 billion R&D expenditures in 2010 (2009: €1.4 billion)
~9,600 employees in R&D
~3,000 projects and topics
Research Verbund: About 1,900 partnerships with universities, start-ups and industry partners
Strong commitment to R&D
Corporate Research22%
Agricultural Solutions
26%
Functional Solutions12%
Performance Products19%
Chemicals9%
Plastics10%
€1.5 billion
Other2%
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R&D platform in Asia Pacific
Singapore
Shanghai
Mumbai
8 R&D sites in Asia Pacific
R&D employees to increase from 550 to more than 800 by 2020
Co-operations with ~100 research institutes and universities
Build two R&D clusters in Asia Pacific in China and India
Leverage global R&D capabilities with Competence Centers in Singapore, India and China
Key facts
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Innovation in Asia for Asia
€55 million investment includes
innovation campus and Greater
China head office
To open in H2/2012
450 scientific and technical
professionals
Integrated into global R&D
network
Local and international team
New Asia Pacific Innovation Campus to be established in Shanghai
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Innovation in Asia for Asia BASF hair styling polymers for waxes, gels and creams
Hair Cream
Hair cream effectively nourishes dry, tangled and frizzy hair whilst protecting against breakage
Hair Gel
Hair gel to create fashionable hair styles and provides long-
lasting hold and a smooth, shiny finish
Hair Wax
Hair wax for permed hair, to keep the hair bouncy and shiny to the tips
Soft Perm Style (Japan) Short Styled (China)
Source: GNPD
Natural look (S Asia)
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Ongoing portfolio optimization
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BASFcore
businesses
Powerful partnerships
Major acquisitions Major divestitures
Pharmaceuticals
Fibers
Printing systems
Polyolefins (Basell)
Polystyrene North America
Agchem generics
Premix
Crop protectionOil & Gas (Revus)Engineering Plastics Electronic ChemicalsCustom synthesisCatalysts (Engelhard)Construction Chem.Water-based resinsPigments (Ciba)Plastic additives (Ciba)Care Chem. (Cognis)Nutrition & Health (Cognis)
15 billion Euro(Sales)
9 billion Euro*
(Sales)
GazpromMonsantoPetronasShellSinopecTotal
* Not including styrenics and fertilizer businesses
Selected transactions 2001 to date
Styrenics (Styrolution)(JV established)
Fertilizers (Contract signed)
Pro-active portfolio management
Sale of shares in K+S(Proceeds for BASF ~€1 billion)
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Active portfolio management pays off
Chemical activities
Agricultural Solutions
Oil & Gas, including non-deductible oil taxes
EBITDA by activity (in billion €, excluding Other)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2001* 2004 2007** 2010
Recent acquisitions reshaped portfolio–
Closer to end customers–
Innovation-driven–
Profitable growth above industry average
BASF’s EBITDA in 2010 (excluding Other) amounted to €11.7 billion
* Based on German GAAP**
As of 2007 according to new segment structure (excl. Styrenics and corporate costs)
Our diversified portfolio is a key strength
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1 | Overview BASF
2 | Focus on operational excellence
3 | Well positioned for profitable growth
4 | Outlook
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We expect to generate significantly higher salesWe aim to significantly exceed the 2010 EBIT before special itemsadjusted for non-compensable oil taxes (2010: €7.2 billion)We will earn a high premium on our cost of capital
Outlook 2011
Outlook 2011 confirmed
We aim to grow sales on average by two percentage points per year faster than chemical production growthWe strive to grow our earnings further year by year, and to achieve an EBITDA margin of 18% by 2012
Medium-term targets
We aim to continuously increase the annual dividend, or at least maintain it at the level of the previous year.
Dividend policy
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BackupBusiness development Q3 2011
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Chemicals Significant sales growth driven by strong price increases
Intermediates671+4%
Inorganics356
+11%
Petrochemicals2,141+12%
€3,168+10%
617537
765674
621
0
200
400
600
800
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (3)% 18% 0% (5)%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
39
Plastics Sales up mainly due to a strong Performance Polymers business
Polyurethanes1,480+2%
Performance Polymers
1,321+16%
€2,801 +8%
371
285
393 383
317
0
200
400
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 2% 10% 0% (4)%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
40
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (2%) 7% 23% (4)%
Performance Products Strong contributions from acquired Cognis businesses
370294
554513
440
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
PerformanceChemicals
904+9%
Care Chemicals1,265+85%
€3,991+24%
Paper Chemicals423-6%
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
Nutrition & Health471+32% Dispersions
& Pigments 928
+5% 2010 2011
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Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 4% 11% 3% (6)%
Functional Solutions Strong performance of Catalysts
Catalysts1,608+19%
ConstructionChemicals
5990%
Coatings700
+9%
€2,907+12%
158
33
142167 162
0
50
100
150
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
2010 2011
42
Agricultural Solutions On track for record year in sales and earnings
66
95
0
50
100
150
Q3 Q3
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items (million €)
20112010
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
Q3 Q320112010
+9%
+44%
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 12% 3% 0% (6)%
832908
43
272 225
0
200
400
600
Q3 Q3
Exploration & Production534-39%
Natural Gas Trading
1,661+23%
€2,195 -1%
Sales developmentPeriod Volumes Prices/Currencies Portfolio
Q3’11 vs. Q3’10 (25)% 24% 0%
EBIT bSI Natural Gas TradingEBIT bSI Exploration & Production Net income
Q3’11 segment sales (million €) vs. Q3’10 EBIT before special items/ Net income (million €)
20112010
503227
573
350Non-compensable
oil taxes 224
70 123
Oil & Gas EBIT before SI on last year’s level (adjusted for non-compensable oil taxes)
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Review of “Other”
Million € Q3 2011 Q3 2010Sales 1,637 1,452thereof Styrenics* 739 683
EBIT before special items (21) 58thereof Corporate research
Group corporate costs Currency results, hedges and other valuation effects Styrenics, fertilizers, other businesses
(86) (58) 104
82
(67) (54) 104
77
Special items (33) (68)
EBIT (54) (10)
*
Since January 1, 2011, Styrenics only includes the carved-out Styrenics businesses; the previous year’s values were adjusted accordingly.
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Million € Jan - Sep 2011
Jan - Sep 2010
Cash provided by operating activities 5,028 5,307thereof Changes in net working capital (1,337) (783)
Cash used in investing activities (957) (1,175)thereof Payments related to tangible / intangible assets (2,101) (1,518)
Cash used in financing activities (4,105) (3,814)thereof Changes in financial liabilities
Dividends (1,727) (2,378)
(2,003) (1,811)
Operating cash flow strong at €2.0 billionFree cash flow again high at €1.2 billion Net debt further reduced by ~€650 million to €11.6 billion since end of Q2 2011
Third quarter 2011
Operating cash flow remains strong
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Financial highlights
Million € Q3 2011 Q3 2010 Δ% Q2 2011 Δ%Sales
changes due to - volumes - prices - portfolio - currencies
17,607 15,781 +12%
(3)% +14% +5% (4)%
18,461 (5)%
EBITDA 2,709 2,934 (8)% 3,015 (10)%
EBIT before special items 1,964 2,213 (11)% 2,237 (12)%
EBIT before special items
adjusted for non-compensable oil taxes 1,964 1,989 (1)% 2,237 (12)%
Special items (82) (58) - (20) -
EBIT 1,882 2,155 (13)% 2,217 (15)%
Net income 1,192 1,245 (4)% 1,454 (18)%
EPS (€) 1.30 1.35 (4)% 1.59 (18)%
Adjusted EPS (€) 1.52 1.52 0% 1.75 (13)%
Macro-economic assumptions 2011
Previous forecast
GDP 3%-4%
Chemical production (excl. Pharma)
5%-6%
Industrial production 5%-6%
US$ / Euro 1.40
Oil price (US$ / bbl) 110
New forecast
2.5%-3%
4.5%-5%
4.5%-5%
1.40
110