Strategic Priorities for NCAR: 2014-2019 · NCL (NCAR Command Language) Scripting language for the...

Members Annual Meeting 14-15 October 2014

Jim Hurrell [email protected]

NCAR Strategic Priorities

Strategic Priorities for NCAR: 2014-2019

Working in Partnership with the University Community

James W. Hurrell

Director, NCAR




New NCAR Strategic Plan

– Community Input

• Brainstorming at 2012 Members Meeting and Numerous Townhalls

• University Representation on Strategic Planning Committee

• Considerable Comment and Input on Earlier Drafts

– Community Input is Essential

• Enhancing and Extending Capabilities of Universities is Central to NCAR Mission

• Collaborative Nature of NCAR: Critical to Achieving Goals and Objectives and Advancing Science




NCAR: A Hub for Collaboration

182, 21%

108, 13%

254, 29%

172, 20%

147, 17%

Hundreds of Scientific and Technical Visits Each Year

1 day to 1 week

8 days to 2 weeks

>2 weeks to 2 months

>2 months to 6 months

> 6 months to 1 year or more

1,727 in FY 13 and 14




Community Input

Theme I

In keeping with its mission, NCAR should continue to work with the community to develop and support:

advanced observing facilities for field studies

powerful supercomputing capabilities and related services

widely-used state-of-the-science community models

valuable research data sets of the Sun and Earth




Theme I - Community Instrumentation

The Earth Observing Laboratory

EOL manages, operates and deploys Lower Atmospheric Observing Facilities (LAOF) and provides

field project and data services in support of NSF-funded observational field campaigns




EOL Support of Field Campaigns in FY14

DEEPWAVE New Zealand (GV, ISS)

CONTRAST (GV)

HS3 (AVAPS on

Global Hawk)

FRAPPE (C130)

IFRACS (GAUS)

METCRAX (ISS, ISFS)




New User Outreach and Training

New series of activities in EOL for training and entraining new users of the observational facilities

• Digital Guide to NSF Lower Atmospheric Observing Facilities (LAOF):

Online Magazine, iOS and Android apps

(updated May 2014)

• Upcoming Townhall

16 Dec 2014 @ AGU Fall Meeting

http://www.eol.ucar.edu/laof




ACCORD Atmospheric Chemistry Center for Observational Research and Data

GOALS: Build a stronger alliance between NESL/ACD, EOL, and university partners to address important and emerging questions in observational atmospheric chemistry

Provide community input regarding the role of NCAR in the area of in situ atmospheric chemistry measurements

STATUS: January 2014 - 9-member Science Committee established

April 2014 – Inaugural Science Committee meeting

December 2014 – Townhall at AGU (joint with LAOF-EOL)




• Recently approved, NSF-sponsored annual flight test program on NSF/NCAR aircraft

• Purpose: Testing of newly developed or highly modified airborne instruments

• Eligibility: Highest priority given to NSF-funded instrument developers

• Process: Simple online application throughout year; review by a small panel; final decisions by NSF LAOF Program Manager

• ARISTO 2015: 5 - 23 October 2015

www.eol.ucar.edu/raf/aristo




Solar

Coronal Multichannel Polarimeter (CoMP)

Precision Solar Photometric Telescope (PSPT)

K-coronagraph

Data from http://www2.hao.ucar.edu/ mlso/

Upper Atmospheric

Fabry-Perot Interferometer (FPI): Boulder, Resolute Bay in Canada, Palmer Station in Antarctica

Data from http://fpi.hao.ucar.edu/

High Altitude Observatory (HAO)

Solar and Upper Atmospheric Instrumentation




Theme I - Computational Facilities

The Computational Information Systems Lab (CISL)




Yellowstone Usage in FY 2014

IBM iDataPlex Cluster with Intel Sandy Bridge processors

1.5 PetaFLOPs – 4,536 nodes – 72,576 Xeon E5-2670 cores

145 TB total memory

Mellanox FDR InfiniBand full fat-tree interconnect

YELLOWSTONE

• 6.7M user jobs run

• 490M core-hours provided

• 91% utilization

• 590M files and directories currently on GLADE

• 310 PB of data transferred to and from Glade

• 11.5 PB data added to HPSS

(now has 38.5 PB in 184M files)




University Use in FY 2014

• Allocations to 95 different universities were made, supporting 189 NSF grants

• Projects supporting 363 different NSF grants at 136 universities were active

Climate, Large-Scale Dynamics

28% Ocean Sciences

20%

Geospace Sciences 12%

Fluid Dynamics 11%

Mesoscale Meteorology

10%

Paleoclimate 5%

Computational Science

4% Earth Sciences

3% Atmospheric Chemistry

2%

Regional Climate 2%

Social and Economic Impacts

1%

Weather Prediction

1%

Other 1%




NCL (NCAR Command Language)

Scripting language for the analysis and visualization of geoscientific data; ~2,000 downloads per month

DART (Data Assimilation Research Testbed)

Well-tested, portable and extensible public domain software used at 43 UCAR Member Universities and more than 100 other institutions

CISL Community Software

VAPOR (Visualization and Analysis Platform for Ocean, Atmosphere, and Solar Researchers)

More than 5,000 registered users worldwide

http://www2.cisl.ucar.edu/




Theme I

Community Data




Supporting Research with Reference Datasets

The Research Data Archive (RDA) at NCAR

Total data volume over 1.5 PB • Meteorological and oceanographic data

• Reanalyses, global observations, etc.

Access to Yellowstone environment @ NWSC • All data in the HPSS (multiple copies)

• Most popular data online in GLADE

• Value-added services provided Command-line metadata access

Command-line subset requests executed on Geyser

Additional CISL-operated data gateways • Earth System Grid @ NCAR

• Community Data Portal for UCAR

• ACADIS (Advanced Cooperative Arctic Data and Information Service)

Free and open access

http://rda.ucar.edu/

http://rda.ucar.edu/




DSET:

Has participation from all NCAR Laboratories

Will create a single entry point for ALL data discovery

Establish the foundation and standards for improved and interoperable data access

Prepare NCAR for federated data services, e.g. EarthCube

Data Stewardship Engineering

Team (DSET)

Comprehensive Cross-organizational Data

Management at NCAR

Organized, September 2014




Theme I

Community Models




Weather Research & Forecasting Model

• More than 25000 registered

users across 154 countries

• More than 7600 active

subscribers to the WRF

e-mail list

• An ever increasing demand

for tutorials on how to use the

WRF modeling system

• The successful engagement

of all of you – our university

colleagues – as full-fledged

partners in the development

and application of WRF

156 Countries




WRF Hydro Modeling System

http://www.ral.ucar.edu/projects/wrf_hydro/

• Multi-scale functionality to permit modeling of atmospheric, land surface and hydrological processes on different spatial grids

• Modularized component model coupling interfaces terrestrial hydrological processes

• Parallel code development for application on both clusters and HPC

• Stand-alone capabilities for hydrological prediction and research uncoupled to atmospheric models

• Can also be embedded within (or coupled to) Earth system models, such as CESM

• Initial release April 2013

• Version 2 released April 2014

Simulation of September 2013

Front Range Floods




The Community Earth System Model www.cesm.ucar.edu

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6 Figure 1. Schematic of the different component models in CESM1. 7

8

Community Climate System Model (CCSM)

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6

Figure 1. Schematic of the different component models in CESM1. 7

8

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6


8

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6


8

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6 Figure 1. Schematic of the different component models in CESM1. 7

8

60

Figures 1

2

3

4

5 6


8




CESM

Land

Ice

Societal

Dimensions

Paleo-

Climate

Software

Engineering

Atmosphere

Chemistry-

Climate

Polar

Whole

Atmosphere Land

BioGeo-

Chemistry

Ocean

Climate

Variability

and

Change

http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/management

CESM Advisory

Board

CESM Scientific

Steering Committee

CESM is primarily sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy

Community Governance




OBS

PDO

CMIP-5 Models




Education and Training

e.g., CESM, WRF, DART and NCL

WRF Tutorials

www2.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/supports/tutorial.html 15th WRF Users’ Workshop June 23–27, 2014 Boulder, CO

4-6 others per year at NCAR, universities and Labs nationally and internationally

DART Tutorials www.image.ucar.edu/DAReS/DART 1-2 per year, as well as at WRF users’ workshops

CESM Tutorials www2.cesm.ucar.edu/events/tutorials

19th Annual CESM Workshop 16-19 June, 2014 Breckenridge, CO

August 11-15, 2014 Boulder, CO

NCL Tutorials www.ncl.ucar.edu/Training/

4-8 per year at NCAR & universities and Labs nationally and internationally

Webinars and Online Tutorial Material Too




ASP: Opportunities for Graduate Students

Graduate Visitor Program:

3-12 month visits in pursuit of thesis research

NCAR staff sponsor

Support for advisor to visit

15-20 appointments/year

Apply by October 31, 2014

ASP Summer Colloquium:

2-3 week meeting for 25-30 students on cutting edge topic

Topics and scientific organizers change each year.

Registration opens in January. Deadline to propose a colloquium topic: End of September www.asp.ucar.edu




ASP Summer Colloquium 2014

Uncertainty in Climate Change Research: An Integrated Approach

July 21 – August 6 • 38 Participants • 24 Speakers

Organizers:

Linda Mearns

(NCAR)

Chris Forest

(Pennsylvania

State University)

Haley J. Fowler

(Newcastle

University, UK)

Rob Wilby

(Loughborough

University, UK)




Opportunities for Faculty and Postdocs

Postdoctoral Fellowships:

7-10 new fellowships/year

2 year appointments

Academic Freedom with mentorship

Apply by January 5, 2015

Faculty Fellowships:

3-12 month visits to NCAR with support for students

Apply by October 31, 2014

www.asp.ucar.edu




Theme I: Our Commitment

• Conduct innovative research to advance the atmospheric/geospace sciences

• Develop, maintain and deploy advanced observational facilities and services

• Develop, deliver and support a suite of advanced community models

• Develop and sustain advanced computing and data system services

• Develop and transfer science to meet societal needs

• Educate and entrain a talented and diverse group of students and early career professionals

Strategic Plan: The NCAR Imperatives




NCAR Director of Diversity, Education and Outreach

Carolyn

Brinkworth

[email protected]




Community Input: Theme II

– NCAR Should Have a Strategic Focus on Grand Challenge Problems

• Those for which NCAR can make a significant difference

• Bring the best minds together in highly collaborative, interdisciplinary teams




– Strategic Focus on Grand Challenge Problems

• Understanding and Prediction of Space and Atmospheric Weather Hazards

• Understanding and Prediction of Regional Climate Variability and Change

– Unified Modeling Approaches and Advanced Data Assimilation

– New Instruments and Process Studies

– New Capabilities for Data Storage and Analysis

Community Input: Theme II




• Variable resolution, highly scalable

dynamical cores to address important

weather-climate interactions; e.g.

High regional resolution in a global framework

Assessing the local impact of global

trends in climate with less ambiguity,

as well as the upscale influences of

smaller scale processes

• Multi-scale simulation systems will

also enhance the prediction and

warning of hazardous weather

systems by allowing observational

information at all scales to be

effectively synthesized by advanced

data-assimilation systems

Tropical-cyclone forecasting, for which

both global-scale steering influences as

well as convective-scale distributions

of latent heating are critical factors




CESM – 110 km uniform global simulation

Total precipitable water (TPW), Sept 1-16

Zarzycki and Jablonowski, 2014




CESM – 28 km global regional refinement

Total precipitable water (TPW), Sept 1-16

Zarzycki and Jablonowski, 2014




Obse

rvati

ons

IBTrA

CS

Trajectories Statistics for 1980-2002




Unif

orm

(110 k

m)

Var-

res

Obse

rvati

ons

IBTrA

CS

Trajectories Atlantic Origins Statistics for 1980-2002

Main development region (MDR)




NCAR Strategic Plan

(Wordled)




Community Input: Theme III

1. The expectation for NCAR is to be an institution that leads scientifically and intellectually, while also providing strong service and support of facilities to the broader community. In your view, what are the most important contributions that NCAR makes or should make in each of these areas?

2. What do you consider to be the “core” activities that NCAR must continue? What should NCAR stop doing?

3. The capabilities of universities have changed over the past decade. How does this affect what you and others in the university community need from NCAR today?

A Broader and Longer-Term View

Discussion Prompts




Community Input: Theme III

Breakout Sessions

Blue group (Room 2126)

Cecilia Bitz facilitator, Susan Montgomery-Hodge note taker Green group (Room 3131)

Terri Adams Facilitator, Zhenya Gallon note taker Red group (North auditorium)

Tracey Holloway facilitator, David Hosansky note taker Orange group (Center auditorium)

Yvette Richardson facilitator, Rebecca Swisher note taker Yellow group (South auditorium)

Bob Rauber facilitator, Susan Chavez note taker

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