Stories to Watch 2017
Click here to load reader
-
Upload
world-resources-institute-wri -
Category
Education
-
view
2.931 -
download
0
Transcript of Stories to Watch 2017
Photo: Michael Fleshman/Flickr
FEATURING
Andrew SteerPresident & CEOJanuary 11, 2017
Strange Times
Photo: Flickr/Ted Eytan
Greatest Political Uncertainty Since 1989
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
A Globalization Backlash
Photo: Ben White/ CAFOD, October 2015
People Feeling Left Out of Economic Opportunity
Photo: Flickr/Joseph
Devaluation of Facts
49% of Republicans believe #PizzaGate is real
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
A NEW ADMINISTRATION:How Far Will Trump Go?
STORY 1
Photo: Flickr/Matt Johnson
WHERE DOES HE STAND?
Photo: Flickr/Jennifer Woodard Maderazo
SEPTEMBER 2015: “I don’t believe in climate change.”
DECEMBER 2009: “We support your effort to ensure meaningful and effective measures to control climate change.”
—Letter to Pres. Obama, signed by Donald Trump NOVEMBER 2016:
“I have an open mind to it.”
TRUMP’S FOSSIL FUEL CABINET
Photo: Flickr/Gage Skidmore, William Muno
EPA: Scott Pruitt DOE: Rick Perry STATE: Rex Tillerson DOI: Ryan Zinke
AMERICANS WANT CLIMATE ACTION
66%of registered voters
say U.S. should reduce GHG emissions
Photo: Flickr/Nick v
55%of Trump voters support climate
policies
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/Paul A.Fagan
• Ozone and Methane Emissions Standards• Renewable Fuel Standard Program• Energy Efficiency Standards• Waters of the United States Rule
Environmental Protection Under Attack?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Undoing the Clean Power Plan?
Photo: Flickr/ Ted Eytan
DC Circuit Ruling
Early 2017 Supreme Court?
Defund?Rescind and Replace?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
American Energy & Infrastructure Act,
first 200 days?
Infrastructure: Gray or Green?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will He Gut U.S. Climate Policies?
Source: “Delivering on the U.S. Climate Commitment: A 10-Point Plan Toward a Low-Carbon Future.”
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will He Gut U.S. Climate Policies?
Source: “Delivering on the U.S. Climate Commitment: A 10-Point Plan Toward a Low-Carbon Future.”
WHAT TO WATCH:
…and Will He Abandon the Paris Agreement?
Photo: COP Paris
• Syria• Nicaragua• Uzbekistan
WHAT TO WATCH:
How Will Congress Respond?
Photo: Flickr/Thomas Hawk
52REPUBLICANS
46+2DEMOCRATS + INDEPENDENTS
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will More States and Cities Step Up?
Photo: Flickr/Gage Skidmore
15 States &51 CitiesHave Called for Climate Action
WHAT TO WATCH:
Taking It to the Streets?
Photo: Flickr/Stephen Melkisethian
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Environmentalists Prevail in the Courts?
Photo: Flickr/wp paarz
27-11in Bush Era
WHAT TO WATCH:
Crossing the Line?
Gutting the OCE is “the dumbest fricking thing I’ve ever heard ....”
—Sen. Lindsey Graham,Fox News, Jan. 3, 2017
How Far Will Trump Go? STORY 1
Photo: Flickr/Matt Johnson
GLOBAL ENERGY MARKETS: A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge?
STORY 2
Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell
RESURGENCE OF COAL?
Photo: Flickr/Wojtek Mszyca
Source: US EIA
U.S. COAL INDUSTRY IS DECLINING
WIND & SOLAR POWER ARE NOW COST-COMPETITIVE
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
• Wind turbine technician is fastest growing U.S. job
• 769,000 U.S. jobs in renewable energy
Photo: Dennis Schroeder/DOE
CLEAN ENERGY: JOB CREATOR
• 71 Fortune 100 companies have renewable goals
• 22 Fortune 500 companies are committed to 100% renewables
Photo: Flickr/Walmart
U.S. COMPANIES DEMAND MORE RENEWABLE ENERGY
U.S. UTILITIES AREN’T TURNING BACK
• 450 Mw of new solar, equivalent to taking 118,000 vehicles off the road each year
• 500 Mw in the works
Source: http://buyersprinciples.org/corporate-re-strategy-map/
$266 BillionInvestment in renewable energy capacity was double coal & gas last year
Photo: Google Earth
AND AT THE GLOBAL LEVEL...
2015:• South Africa increased 329% ($4.5 billion)
• Chile increased 151% ($3.4 billion)
• India increased 22% ($10.2 billion)
Photo: Flickr/Brookhaven National Lab
EMERGING MARKETS LEADING IN CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENTS
CHINA: #1 IN RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT
Source: IEA
1/3 of new capacity planned is coal
80% of which is in a few rapidly developing Asian economies
Photo: Flickr/blake.thornberry
BUT, COAL REMAINS IN THE GLOBAL PIPELINE
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/Stuart Rankin
4:1 failure-to-completion rate of planned coal plants in Europe, South Asia, Latin America and Africa
Will Coal Plants Thrive or Fail?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Source: US EIA
Will U.S. Coal Exports Rebound?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/hsbfrank
• Tax credits• R&D funding
Will U.S. Support for Renewables Remain?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/Julian Schüngel
Will Financial Capital Shift Toward Clean Energy?
July 2017
G20 Summit
A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge? STORY 2
Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell
INTERNATIONAL ACTION:Will Momentum on Climate Continue?
STORY 3
Photo: Falcon Photography/Flickr
Source: CAIT/WRI
123countries
PARIS AGREEMENT RAPIDLY ENTERS INTO FORCE
19 countries joined since U.S. election
ECONOMIC GROWTH & EMISSIONS ARE DECOUPLING
Source: WRI
30countries
LAUNCH OF NDC PARTNERSHIP
8institutions
38countries
TURNING COMMITMENTS INTO ACTION
Source: http://www.wri.org/publication/achieving-mexicos-goals
NOVEMBER 2016: INDIA OPENS WORLD’S LARGEST SOLAR PLANT
Photo: Wikimedia Commons/Vinaykumar8687
648Megawatts
Enough to power
150,000homes
$360 billioninvestment in
renewables by 2020
JANUARY 2017: CHINA ANNOUNCES RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT
Photo: Flickr/Martijn van Gameren
13 millionjobs by 2020
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will We See Implementation Accelerate?
21 Countrieshave committed to restore
63 million hectares of degraded land by 2030
Source: AFR100
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will India Hit Its Solar Targets?
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will China’s National Carbon Market Take Off?
NEED PHOTO13%of global GHG
emissions covered by carbon pricing
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will China’s National Carbon Market Take Off?
NEED PHOTO25%of global GHG
emissions covered by carbon pricing
WHAT TO WATCH:
More Climate Refugees?
Photo: Flickr/UN Photo/Tobin Jones
26.4 million people displaced by disasters
per year since 2008
Equivalent to one person
per second
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will UN SG Prioritize Climate?
Photo: Flickr/ OEA-OAS
WHAT TO WATCH:
Who Will Step Up?
Photo: Flickr/Kevin Gill
WHAT TO WATCH:
European Elections?
Photo: Flickr/Indigo Skies Photography
Netherlands: March 15 (National Election)
France: April 23 (Presidential)
Germany: August-October (Federal Election)
Italy: New Prime Minister must be confirmed
Will Momentum on Climate Continue?STORY 3
Photo: Falcon Photography/Flickr
TOMORROW’S MARKETS:Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability?
STORY 4
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
CORPORATE COMMITMENTS ARE GROWING
579 Deforestation-free supply chains
84 100% Renewable Energy
205Science-based Targets
SOME COMPANIES ARE STARTING TO TRANSFORM THEIR BUSINESS MODELS
From coal mining to life-sciences company
Recognizes “peak stuff” & finite resources
Future is not just selling more cars
MAJOR INSTITUTIONAL ASSET OWNERS ARE HUNGRY FOR SUSTAINABLE CAPITAL
Multiple studies confirm ESG factors can lead to higher returns and are “neutral”
Photo: Public Domain
Recommendations of Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
Photo: Flickr/Bank of England
PRESSURE ON MARKETS IS BEGINNING
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Sustainable Investments Keep Up the Pace?
Source: GSIA 2015
61% increase in professionally managed assets held in ESG screened investments
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will 100 More Companies Sign Up to Science-based Targets?
Will they go further to include land and water?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Davos 2017: Business Commission on Sustainable Development
Photo: Flickr/David McIntyre/Crossroads Foundation Ltd.
How will businesses and investors respond?
Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability?
STORY 4
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
STORY 5
Photo: Flickr/Stacy Spensley
SUSTAINABLE FOOD:The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?
FOOD DEMAND IS RISING
Sources: FAOSTAT (data 1980-2013), Alexandratos and Bruinsma (2012) with WRI adjustments (projections 2014-2050).
MEAT DEMAND GROWS AS INCOME GROWS
Sources: FAOSTAT (data 1980-2013), Alexandratos and Bruinsma (2012) with WRI adjustments (projections 2014-2050).
• Beef uses 1/3 of water for all agricultural production
• “Cattle Nation” = 3rd largest GHG emitter after China and U.S.
Photo: Flickr/American Committee for KEEP, Inc.
THE BIGGEST BEEF IS WITH BEEF
BEEF PRODUCTION:
• ~70% of deforestation in South America
• #1 driver of tropical deforestation globally
Photo: Flickr/CIFOR
A QUARTER OF THE EARTH IS PASTURELAND
• 2.5 acres of land for the average American diet
• One-half for beef
Photo: Pexels/Mail Maeder
BEEF PRODUCTION AND LAND USE
After 1 year of global dietary guidelines:
• 5+ million lives could be saved
• $700+ billion in healthcare costs avoided
Photo: Flickr/Many Goldberg
LESS RED MEAT IS BETTER FOR PEOPLE…
…AND BETTER FOR THE PLANET
If highest consumers cut beef consumption in half: It would free up ~300 million hectares of land (the size of India)
Photo: Flickr/Bureau of Land Management
WE GET NEARLY ENOUGH PROTEIN FROM PLANTS
Source: WRI/Shifting Diets
Gra
m o
f pro
tein
con
sum
ptio
n pe
r cap
ita, p
er d
ay, 2
009
AMERICANS ARE MOVING AWAY FROM BEEF
Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/numbers/how-much-meat-do-americans-eat-then-and-now-1792/
• One quarter of Americans report eating less meat
• One in ten millennials is a vegetarian or vegan
Photo: Flickr/USDA
INTEREST IN PLANT PROTEIN IS GROWING…
• Tyson Foods launched $150 million venture capital fund to expand meat alternatives
• Better Buying Lab companies serve 25 billion meals per year
Photo: Flickr/Ronald Sarayudej
…AND BUSINESSES ARE RESPONDING
• China’s dietary guidelines call to reduce meat consumption by 50%
• Denmark proposed first-ever tax on red meat
Photo: Flickr/tosa muu
GOVERNMENTS ARE STARTING TO TAKE ACTION
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Health and Sustainability Agendas Align?
Photo: Loic Venance Via Getty Images
JUNE 2017: EAT-Lancet Commission recommendations on diet, health & sustainability
WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/Scrubhiker
Will Pressure on Beef Production Grow?
• Group of investors representing $1.25 trillion pushing meat industry to diversify
• Will more beef companies make deforestation commitments?
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Momentum for Meat Alternatives Build?
• Beyond Meat products in more than 11,000 stores
• Top restaurants & chefs serving Impossible Burgers
Photo: Flickr/ Michael Saechang
The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?STORY 5
Photo: Flickr/Stacy Spensley
STORY 6
Photo: Flickr/thisisbossi
AUTONOMOUS, SHARED, ELECTRIC: Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?
UNACCEPTABLE COSTS: CONGESTION…
Photo: Flickr/Neil Rickards
Workers lose 8 days of productivity per year sitting in traffic
POLLUTION…
Photo: Flickr/AIRS
TRANSPORT SECTOR:
• 14% of global emissions globally
• #1 source of emissions in U.S., surpassing energy
…AND LIVES
Photo: Flickr/AIRS
• 1.25 million road deaths per year
• 90% due to human error
MOBILITY FACES MAJOR DISRUPTION
Photo: Flickr/AIRS
• Ridesharing• Electrification• Automation
RIDESHARING ON THE RISE
Photo: Flickr/ Tauno Tõhk / 陶诺
UBER:• 1 million
rides/day
• $62.5 billion valuation
DIDI:• 20 million
rides/day
• $28 billion valuation
CAR OWNERSHIP ON THE WAY OUT?
Photo: Flickr/Spiros Vathis
“By 2025, owning a car will go the way of the DVD.”
—Lyft co-founder John Zimmer
ELECTRIC VEHICLES POISED FOR TAKEOFF
Photo: Flickr/ Håkan Dahlström
• 1 million electric vehicles on the road globally
• 30,000 U.S. charging outlets
• Battery tech advancing
Photo: Flickr/AIRS
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES LEAP FORWARD
Photo: Flickr/Steve Jurvetson
SELF-DRIVING RIGS ON THE ROAD
Tested in Ohio, Colorado and Nevada
AUTOMATION: AN ECONOMIC DISRUPTOR
Photo: Flickr/AIRS
A TIME FOR CAREFUL NAVIGATION
“Simply eliminating the drivers from cars, and keeping everything else about our system the same, will be a disaster.”
—Robin Chase, co-founder of Zipcar, WRI Board Member
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will EVs Go Mainstream and Reduce Emissions?
Photo: Flickr/Paladin27
Chevy Bolt: 2017 Car of the Year
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Auto Innovation Crowd Out or Complement Mass Transit?
Photo: Flickr/rachaelvoorhees
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Robots Pass Their Road Tests?
Photo: Flickr/smoothgroover22
• Gothenburg: Volvo• Detroit: General Motors• Munich: BMW• Phoenix: Waymo• Cologne: Ford• Boston: nuTonomy• Los Angeles to New York City: Tesla
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will It All Come Together?
WHAT TO WATCH:
A Better Way?
Photo: Flickr/William Murphy
Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?STORY 6
Photo: thisisbossi/Flickr
500 YEARS AGO
Photo: Wikimedia Common
100 YEARS AGO
Photo: Russian Public Domain
10 YEARS AGO
Photo: Wikimedia Commons
Photo: Michael Fleshman/Flickr
STORY 1 A NEW ADMINISTRATION: How Far Will Trump Go?
STORY 2 GLOBAL ENERGY MARKETS: A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge?
STORY 3 INTERNATIONAL ACTION: Will Momentum on Climate Continue?
STORY 4 TOMORROW’S MARKETS: Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability?
STORY 5 SUSTAINABLE FOOD: The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?
STORY 6 AUTONOMOUS, SHARED, ELECTRIC: Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?