Stock Research Report for URBN as of 6/23/11 - Chaikin Power Tools
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Transcript of Stock Research Report for URBN as of 6/23/11 - Chaikin Power Tools
URBAN OUTFITTER (URBN) Price: $28.64
Industry: Nonfood Retail-WholesaleChaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Jun 23 13:39 EDT 2011
URBAN OUTFITTER
URBN$28.64
Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Earnings Performance
Financial Metrics
Power Gauge Rating
URBN URBAN OUTFIT..
News Sentiment :Neutral
May 28, 2011
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral
Chaikin Sentiment GaugeTM
for URBN is neutral. Stories concerning URBNhave a balanced or neutral sentiment.
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
URBN - Very Bearish
The Chaikin Power Gauge RatingTM
for URBN is very bearish due to verynegative expert opinions, poor financial metrics and bearish price/volumeactivity.
Expert opinions about URBN are very negative which is evidenced by analystsrevising earnings estimates downward and a high short interest ratio.
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Financials & Earnings
Business Value
Price to Sales Ratio
Return on Equity
Price to Book Value
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Financial Metrics Financial Metrics Rating
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Bearish
URBN's financial metrics are poor. The company has relatively low revenue pershare and may be overvalued.
The rank is based on a low long term debt to equity ratio, high price to book valueratio, high return on equity and high price to sales ratio.
Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 3.31
LT Debt/Equity 0.00
Ratio TTM
Price/Book 3.54
Price/Sales 2.04
Ratio TTM
Return on Invest 19.1%
Return on Equity 19.1%
Earnings Consistency
Projected P/E Ratio
Earnings Trend
Earnings Surprise
Earnings Growth
Earnings Performance Earnings Performance Rating
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Neutral
URBN's earnings performance has been neutral. The company has a history ofstrong earnings growth and is priced relatively high compared to next year'sprojected EPS.
The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, worse thanexpected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year,a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.
01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11
Revenue(M) 1,224.72 1,507.72 1,834.62 1,937.82 2,274.10
Rev % Growth 12.14% 23.11% 21.68% 5.62% 17.35%
EPS $0.71 $0.97 $1.20 $1.31 $1.64
EPS % Growth -11.25% 36.62% 23.71% 9.17% 25.19%
Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Quarterly EPS $0.42 $0.33 -0.09
Yearly EPS $1.64 $1.55 -0.09
Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
3-5 year EPS 15.98% 19.07% +3.09
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference
Latest Qtr $0.25 $0.23 $-0.02 -8.00
1 Qtr Ago $0.52 $0.45 $-0.07 -13.46
2 Qtr Ago $0.42 $0.43 $0.01 2.38
3 Qtr Ago $0.39 $0.42 $0.03 7.69
FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
01/09 $0.18 $0.29 $0.37 $0.46 $1.30
01/10 $0.31 $0.42 $0.44 $0.46 $1.63
01/11 $0.24 - - - -
Fiscal Year End Month is January.
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Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Volume Trend
Price Trend ROC
Price Trend
Chaikin Money Flow
Relative Strength vs Market
Price/Volume Activity Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index
Chart shows whether URBN is performing better or worse than the market.
Chaikin Money Flow
Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Bearish
Price and volume activity for URBN is bearish. URBN has underperformed theS&P 500 over 26 weeks and has a declining price trend.
The rank for URBN is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negativeChaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend and a positive Chaikin pricetrend ROC.
Factor Value
52 Week High 38.50
52 Week Low 28.27
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 -20.42%
Factor Value
% Change Price - 4 Weeks -5.14%
% Change Price - 24 Weeks -19.92%
% Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P -2.68%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P -20.57%
Factor Value
Average Volume 20 Days 3,049,402
Average Volume 90 Days 3,453,569
Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 48%
Relative Strength vs Industry
Analyst Opinions
Insider Activity
Short Interest
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Expert Opinions Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Very Bearish
Expert opinions about URBN are very negative. Analysts are lowering their EPSestimates for URBN and short interest in URBN is high.
The rank for URBN is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, ahigh short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinionsand relative weakness of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-Wholesale industrygroup.
Current 7 Days Ago % Change
Current Qtr 0.33 0.33 0.00%
Next Qtr 0.44 0.44 0.00%
Current 30 Days Ago % Change
Current FY 1.55 1.56 -0.01
Factor Value
Mean this Week Buy
Mean Last Week Buy
Change 0.00
Mean 5 Weeks Ago Buy
Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Up Down Up Down
Curr Qtr 0 0 1 6
Curr Yr 0 1 1 8
Next Qtr 0 1 0 5
Next Yr 0 1 0 9
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The Company & Its Competitors
URBN's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M)Gauge growth growth
URBN 15.98% 19.07% 11.16% 0.99 18.71 2,274
GPS -1.69% 8.88% 7.76% 1.38 9.64 14,664
FL -2.14% 11.00% 4.00% 1.42 17.51 5,049
JNY -5.99% 11.00% 1.07% 0.80 7.41 3,643
JWN 4.05% 11.75% 6.66% 1.31 15.52 9,310
ANF 5.55% 18.83% 5.18% 1.13 26.89 3,469
PSS 4.99% 12.00% 2.53% 0.99 10.85 3,376
LTD 0.21% 13.08% 8.66% 1.17 16.69 9,613
News Headlines for URBN
Two New Suitors Are Said To Be Interested in J.Crew - Jan 6, 2011
Urban Outfitters OKs repurchase of addedshares - Nov 18, 2010
Ahead of the Bell: Urban Outfitters shares jump -Nov 16, 2010
Company Details Company Profile
URBAN OUTFITTER5000 SOUTH BROAD STREETPHILADELPHIA, PA 19112USAPhone: 2154545500Fax: 215-454-5163Website:http://http://www.urbanoutfitters.comFull Time Employees: 16,000Sector: Retail/Wholesale
Urban Outfitters, Inc. operates two business segments consisting of a lifestyle-orientedgeneral merchandise retailing segment and a wholesale apparel business. The retailingsegment operates through retail stores and direct response, including a catalog and twoweb sites. The company's wholesale business designs and markets young women'scasual wear which it provides to the company's retail operations and sells to specialtyretailers worldwide.
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculatedby evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is thestrongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with anystate securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the informationincluded herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as anendorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual.The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investmentdecisions.
Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes theconfidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered byZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not beresponsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is noguarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools.
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LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com Special offers to trade stocks from optionsXpress: www.chaikinpowertools.com