Statprob Final Assignment 2015-Revision

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    FINAL ASSIGNMENT

    STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY

    Raihan Alisha Nabila 1306437126

    Talitha Jauza Utami 1306387134

    R A Tamara RF Iskandar 1306388894

    Rafitya Rahisa 1306437063

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    UNIVERSITY OF INDONESIA

    FACULTY OF ENGINEERING

    CIVIL ENGINEERINGINTERNATIONAL PROGRAM

    A. TOPIC

    Inferential and Descriptive Statistics

    B. PROBLEM DESCRIPTION

    The data are collected from the number of visitors every 10 minutes in both coffee

    shops of Starbucks and J.CO, those are located in Pondok Indah Mall 1, South

    Jakarta. Then, these data are calculated and discussed statistically by our group. From the

    result of the collected data we would like to know if the average and the variance number

    of visitors of these two different coffee shops are the same.

    C. COLLECTING DATA

    C.1. Type of Sample : Probability SampleSimple Random Sample

    C.2. Collecting Sample Method : Observation of Visitors in 2 Coffee shops

    C.3. Period of Collecting Sample : May, 3rd 2015

    C.4. Number of Sample : 60 Samples

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    D. RAW DATA

    Every 10

    minute(s)

    Time Starbucks J.CO

    Visitor(s)

    1 12.00 12.10 8 9

    2 12.10 12.20 11 83 12.20 12.30 13 8

    4 12.30 12.40 5 8

    5 12.40 12.50 18 17

    6 12.50 13.00 8 4

    7 14.00 14.10 21 25

    8 14.10 14.20 11 13

    9 14.20 14.30 11 13

    10 14.30 14.40 15 8

    11 14.40 14.50 20 8

    12 14.50 15.00 13 1013 16.00 16.10 6 8

    14 16.10 16.20 19 14

    15 16.20 16.30 5 10

    16 16.30 16.40 6 3

    17 16.40 16.50 7 4

    18 16.50 17.00 10 12

    19 17.00 17.10 15 17

    20 17.10 17.20 14 13

    21 17.20 17.30 20 15

    22 17.30 17.40 16 1623 17.40 17.50 18 17

    24 17.50 18.00 15 20

    25 19.00 19.10 8 10

    26 19.10 19.20 12 15

    27 19.20 19.30 20 15

    28 19.30 19.40 17 10

    29 19.40 19.50 10 18

    30 19.50 20.00 10 11

    Table 1 . Data of The Number of visitors every 10 minutes in Starbucks and Jco Pondok Indah Mall

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    E. DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION AND HISTOGRAM

    1. Starbucks Pondok Indah Mall 1

    VisitorRange

    Frequency

    0 - 5 2

    6 - 10 9

    11 - 15 10

    16 - 20 8

    21 - 25 1

    Total 30

    Table 2. Frequency of visitors in Starbucks PIM 1

    Graph 1 . Histogram of visitors in Starbucks PIM 1

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0 - 5 6 - 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 25

    Frequency

    Number of Visitors

    The number of Starbucks Coffee visitors

    every 10 minutes

    Frequency

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    2. J.CO Pondok Indah Mall 1

    Visitor Range Frequency0 - 5 3

    6 - 10 11

    11 - 15 9

    16 - 20 6

    21 - 25 1

    Total 30

    Table 3. Frequency of visitors in J.CO PIM 1

    Graph 2 . Histogram of visitors in J.CO PIM 1

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0 - 5 6 - 10 11 - 15 16 - 20 21 - 25

    Frequency

    Number of Visitors

    Histogram

    Frequency

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    F. Descriptive Statistic

    Starbucks Pondok Indah Mall 1 J.CO Pondok Indah Mall 1

    Mean 12.73333333 Mean 11.96666667

    Standard Error 0.903293251 Standard Error 0.912849943

    Median 12.5 Median 11.5

    Mode 8 Mode 8

    Standard Deviation 4.947540896 Standard Deviation 4.999885056

    Sample Variance 24.47816092 Sample Variance 24.99885057

    Kurtosis -1.164701437 Kurtosis 0.257040297

    Skewness 0.0867804 Skewness 0.393573284

    Range 16 Range 22

    Minimum 5 Minimum 3

    Maximum 21 Maximum 25

    Sum 382 Sum 359

    Count 30 Count 30

    Confidence Level(95.0%) 1.847442133 Confidence Level(95.0%) 1.866987763

    Table 3 . Descriptive Statistic of Starbucks PIM Table 4. Descriptive Statistic of J.CO PIM

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    G. PROBABILITY AND CUMMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION

    1. Starbucks PIM 1

    X Frequency PDF CDF

    5 2 0.023768 0.059019

    6 2 0.031939 0.086765

    7 1 0.041202 0.123264

    8 3 0.051023 0.169358

    10 3 0.069222 0.290316

    11 3 0.075835 0.363041

    12 1 0.079754 0.441084

    13 2 0.080517 0.521492

    14 1 0.078035 0.601032

    15 3 0.072601 0.67657416 1 0.064842 0.745457

    17 1 0.055594 0.805761

    18 2 0.045757 0.856449

    19 1 0.036153 0.897355

    20 3 0.027421 0.929049

    21 1 0.019966 0.952626

    Total f 30

    STDV 4.9475409

    MEAN 12.733333

    Table 5 . Probability Density Function and Cumulative Density Function of Starbucks PIM

    Graph 3 . PDF of Starbucks PIM 1

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Probability

    Number of visitors every 10 minutes

    Probability Density Function of

    Starbucks PIM 1

    PDF

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    Graph 4 . CDF of Starbucks PIM 1

    Graph 5. PDF and CDF of Starbucks PIM 1

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Probability

    Number of visitors every 10 minutes

    Cumulative Density Function of

    Starbucks PIM 1

    CDF

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    0 5 10 15 20

    Probability

    Numbr of Visitors Every 10 Minutes

    PDF and CDF of Starbucks PIM 1

    PDF

    CDF

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    2. J.CO PIM 1

    X frequency pdf cdf

    3 1 0.015979 0.036456

    4 2 0.022421 0.055539

    8 6 0.058247 0.2137869 1 0.066912 0.276474

    10 4 0.07385 0.347033

    11 1 0.078313 0.423347

    12 1 0.079789 0.502659

    13 3 0.078104 0.581867

    14 1 0.073458 0.657877

    15 3 0.066378 0.727968

    16 1 0.057629 0.790076

    17 3 0.048072 0.842958

    18 1 0.038527 0.886225

    20 1 0.021948 0.94594

    25 1 0.00267 0.995429

    total

    frequency

    30

    stdv 4.999885

    mean 11.96667

    Table 6 . PDF and CDF of J.CO PIM 1

    Graph 6 . PDF of J.CO PIM 1

    0

    0.02

    0.04

    0.06

    0.08

    0.1

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    Probability

    number of visitors every 10 minutes

    Probability Density Function of J.CO

    PIM 1

    pdf

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    Graph 7 . CDF of J.CO PIM 1

    Graph 8 . PDF and CDF of J.CO PIM 1

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    Probability

    Number of visitors every 10 minutes

    Cumulative Density Function of J.CO

    PIM 1

    cdf

    0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    0 5 10 15 20

    P

    robability

    Number of Visitors Every 10 Minutes

    PDF and CDF of J.CO PIM 1

    pdf

    cdf

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    H. HYPOTHETICAL TEST

    Hypothesis (Ho): The average number of visitors of Starbucks Coffee and is the same with

    the level of significant is 0.05.

    1. H0: 1= 2

    H1: 1 2

    2. = 0,05

    3. Uses z distribution because n = 60 > 30

    4. Boundaries for acceptance/rejection critical points : : /2 = 0.025. From z-score table, the

    boundaries are Z0,025= +1.960.

    5. Decision : Reject H0and accept H1 when RUz< -1.960 or RUz> +1.960. If not, accept H0.

    6. Ratio test :

    Using the average of the number of visitors

    x1-x2 = +=

    4.9530 + 4.9930 = 0.5756

    RUz= ztest=-x1-x2

    =12.7311.967

    0.5756 = 1.32557 > -1.960

    Using the variance of the number of visitors

    x1-x2 = +=

    24.4830 + 2530= 1.28

    RUz= ztest=

    -x1-x2 =

    12.7311.9671.28 = 0.596 > -1.960

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    7. Decision Making:

    Because RUz is between >-1.960 which means in between 1.960, so H0is

    accepted. That means the average number of visitors at Starbucks Coffee Pondok Indah

    Mall 1 equalsto the average number of visitors at Pondok Indah Mall 1 and the variance

    number of visitors at at Starbucks Coffee Pondok Indah Mall 1 equalsto the variance

    number of visitors at Pondok Indah Mall 1 .

    I. FINAL DISCUSSION

    The null hypothesis (Ho) which was tested in this report was according to the number of

    visitors in both coffee shops which were Starbucks Coffee and J.CO located in Pondok

    Indah Mall 1, South Jakarta. We collected the data on Sunday (3rdof May 2015).We

    recorded the data of the visitors every 10 minutes in both coffee shops .The level of

    significance used was 0.05. Because both data are independent data, the total amount was

    more than 30 and there were sample variances of both samples, we used z-distribution to

    calculate the hypothesis. With the level of significance of 0.05, we got the boundaries of

    critical area of 1.960 from z-score table. Based on the ratio test above, the value of RUz

    that we obtained was bigger than -1.960 and less than 1.960. Therefore, we can conclude

    the average and the variance number of visitors who visit Starbucks Coffee and J.CO are

    the same.