Statistics in ophthalmology Basic ... · PDF fileStatistics in ophthalmology Basic Science...
Transcript of Statistics in ophthalmology Basic ... · PDF fileStatistics in ophthalmology Basic Science...
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www.ophtalmique.ch
Dr Ciara Bergin PhD
Jules-Gonin Eye Hospital
Lausanne
Statistics in ophthalmology
Basic Science Course
Neuchâtel 2017
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Overview
• Motivation
• Review of
– Types of data
– Mean vs Median
– Normal vs non-normal distributed data
– Statistical tests
– Survival analysis
• Common Pitfalls
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Motivation:
• Why should an
Ophthalmologist care
about statistics?
– Helps make informed
decisions
– Helps individualize care
based on patient
characteristics
Bias ++
Stats ++
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Basic statistics
• Descriptive statistics – Collecting, presenting and describing data
• Inferential statistics – Drawing conclusion and or making decision
concerning a population based only on sample data
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Data
Quantitative
Discrete
Eg number of clock hrs of
retinal detachment
Continous
Age, months follow-up, amount of
subretinal fluid
Qualitative
Catagorical
Eg Race, sex, eye colour
Data types
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Understanding Catagorical/
Nominal data
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Understanding continous data
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Understanding Dichotomised data
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Understanding Ordinal data
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Normal distribution
Revision : Data types Example Dichotomised
Ordinal Continous Nominal/
categorical
Low vision
IOP
Eye Color
Central macular
thickness
High IOP
Thin Cornea
Pachymetry
Logmar
Vital status
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Mean vs Median
• Mean is useful to describe normally
distributed data, but less informative than
median for a lot of measures in
ophthalmology.
– Visual acuity
– IOP
– Visual field sensitivity
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Median vs Mean
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Normally distributed?
• Does the frequency of the data have a bell
shape?
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Pachymetry in normal population:
Shapiro-Wilks
test for normality
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Visual acuity
Mean =0.4
SD=± 0.4
Incorrect summary!
No data Data
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Normal vs non-normally distributed
• Normally distributed – Pachymetry
– Retinal thickness
POPULATION DEPENDANT!!!
Can be normally distributed in the healthy population but not with the presence of disease
• Non-normally distributed – VA –LogMAR
– Visual sensitivity (dB) (visual fields)
– IOP
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Summary measures: useful
functions in excel: (en/fr/al)
• Normally distributed
– Mean: mean(data)/moyenne(data)/mittelwert(data)
– Standard deviation:
stdev(data)/ecartype(data)/stabw(data)
• Non-normally distributed
– Median: median(data)/mediane(data)/median(data)
– Range: =min(data) : =max(data)
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Open the appendix
• 4 Excel work sheets of typical clinical data
each contains
– A worksheet of raw clinical data
– A worksheet with summary tables
• Please check you have the following files
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Example 1: Retinal Detachment
Summary measures on IOP
Number of eyes 108
Mean IOP
SD
95% CI ( , )
Median IOP
IQR IOP [ , ]
Range IOP [ , ]
Nom:
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Example 2: Pachy
Corneal
curvature
Kmax<40D Kmax 40-42D K-max>40D
Number of
eyes
Males
Left eyes
Age
Mean Pachy
SD
Median Pachy
Range Pachy [ , ] [ , ] [ , ]
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Example 3: Phacoemulsification
Timepoint M1 M3 M6
Number of
eyes
Males
Left eyes
SF6
Mean VA
SD VA
Median VA
Range VA [ , ] [ , ] [ , ]
Narrow angles
% On treatment
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Example 4: Uveal melanoma
Group Adult Juvenile P-values
Number of eyes 129 43
Males
Left eyes
Enucleation
Mean time to
enuc
SD time to enuc
Median time to
enuc
Range time to
enuc
[ , ] [ , ]
Metastatis
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Population
Sample
Inferential statistics Sample statistics
Known Population statistics
Unknown Inference
Eg. In 50 patients with open
angle glaucoma a reduction
of 1.5mmHg in IOP was
observed 1 month following
phacoemulsification
We infere that patients with open
angle glaucoma 1 month
following phacoemulsification
will have a reduction of
1.5mmHg in IOP
Inference
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Design type
• Paired
– Same measure on a
patient/animal/subject
before and after an
intervention/ time
period
• Non-paired
– Same measure on a
between two matched
groups of patients/
animal/ subjects
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Which test when? Data type Distribution type Paired or non-
paired
Test type
Dichotomised Fisher test
Catagorical Chi-squared test
~ Continous Normal Paired Paired student t-test
Non-paired Non-paired student
t-test
Non-normal Paired Paired Wilcoxon
test
Non-paired Mann-Whitney U-
test
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Test your knowledge: Which test?
Comparison Data type: Dichotomised,
catagorical, continous
normal, continous non-
normal
Paired or
non-paired
Test type
Are there more blue
eyed patients?
Does cataract
surgery lower IOP?
Are cornea of
keratoconus
patients thinner
than normals?
Is the number of
quandrants of
retinal detachment
associated with low
vision?
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Survival data
• Take the example of Oncology
– Did the patient survive? – dichotomisation
– If not how long after did they die
• “have an event”
– If they have survived, for how long?
• “time of censoring”
→Two parameters, time and event (yes/no)
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Survival analysis
Time E
vent
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Common pitfalls
• Using one eye or two
– These are not independent • i.e. if a patient is a steroid responder, likely both eyes
will be affected
• Dichotomizing data unnecessarily
– Reduces the quality of the data
• Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence
– No statistical difference observed does not imply that there is no difference, eg anti-vegf trials
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For the interested reader:
• Analysing follow-up data – linear regression vs ANOVA
• Sensitivity and specificity – We can detect all AMD if we diagnose everyone with AMD
• Power and effect size – – statistically significant is not immediately clinically
significant
• Multiple hypothesis testing on the same dataset – Ask enough questions you will finally just by chance get the
answer you want