Statistics for Business and Economics: bab 11

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    Slides Prepared by

    JOHN S. LOUCKSSt. Edwards University

    2002 South-Western/Thomson Learning

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    Chapter 11Inferences Aout !opulation "ariances

    Inference aout a !opulation "ariance

    Inferences aout the "ariances of T#o!opulations

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    $$

    Inferences Aout a !opulation "ariance

    Chi-S%uare &istriution

    Inter'al (stimation of 2

    )*pothesis Testing

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    Inter'al (stimation of 2

    Inter'al (stimate of a !opulation "ariance

    #here the 2

    'alues are ased on a chi-s%uaredistriution #ith n- 1 degrees of freedom and#here 1 - is the condence coe3cient

    ( ) ( )

    / ( / )

    n s n s

    !

    !!

    !!

    !!

    ( ) ( )

    / ( / )

    n s n s

    !

    !!

    !!

    !!

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    Inter'al (stimation of

    Inter'al (stimate of a !opulation Standard

    &e'iation

    Ta5ing the s%uare root of the upper andlo#er limits of the 'ariance inter'al pro'idesthe condence inter'al for the population

    standard de'iation

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    Chi-S%uare &istriution With Tail Areas of 02

    78 of thepossile 2'alues

    78 of thepossile 2'alues

    2

    2

    00

    02020202

    ."#$!

    ."#$!

    .%!$!

    .%!$!

    Inter'al (stimation of 2

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    (:ample;

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    (:ample;

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    Inter'al (stimation of 2

    n- 1 10 - 1 7 degrees of freedom and 0

    22

    00

    0202

    260260

    22

    022

    - 1.260

    n s

    (:ample;

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    (:ample;

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    Inter'al (stimation of 2

    Sample 'ariance s2pro'ides a point estimate of 2

    A 78 condence inter'al for the population'ariance is gi'en *;

    $$ 2 2$$

    s x x

    n

    i!!

    & '

    "#%=

    = =

    ( ) ..s

    x x

    n

    i!!

    & '

    "#%=

    = =

    ( ) ..

    ( ).

    .

    ( ).

    .

    % #%

    " %!

    % #%

    ! #%

    !

    ( ).

    .

    ( ).

    .

    % #%

    " %!

    % #%

    ! #%

    !

    (:ample;

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    Left-Tailed Test

    )*potheses

    Test Statistic

    ?eDection ?ule

    ?eDect H0if #here is ased ona chi-s%uare distriution #ith n- 1 df. or

    ?eDect H0if p-'alue

    )*pothesis TestingAout a !opulation "ariance

    H%!

    %! H%

    !%!

    Ha ! %

    !>Ha !

    %!

    >

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    ! !> ! !> 2

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    ?ight-Tailed Test

    )*potheses

    Test Statistic

    ?eDection ?ule

    ?eDect H0if #here isased on

    a chi-s%uare distriution #ith n- 1 df. or

    ?eDect H0if p-'alue

    )*pothesis TestingAout a !opulation "ariance

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    2

    -1 .

    Ha ! %

    !

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    T#o-Tailed Test

    )*potheses

    Test Statistic

    ?eDection ?ule

    ?eDect H0if #hereare ased on a chi-s%uare

    distriu- tion #ith n- 1 df. or ?eDect H0if p-

    'alue

    )*pothesis TestingAout a !opulation "ariance

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    !!

    %!

    =

    ( )n s

    Ha ! %

    !Ha !

    %!

    H%!

    %! =H%

    !%! =

    ! !!< ( / ) ! !!< ( / ) or ! !!> /or ! !!> /2 2

    -1 / 2. / 2and

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    Ene-Tailed Test

    )*potheses

    Test Statistic

    ?eDection ?ule

    ?eDect H0if FF F#here the 'alue of F is

    ased on an Fdistriution #ith n1- 1

    numerator. and n2 - 1 denominator. df

    )*pothesis Testing Aout the"ariances of T#o !opulations

    F s

    s=

    !

    !!

    F s

    s=

    !

    !!

    H% !

    !! H%

    !!!

    Ha

    !!!

    >Ha !

    !!>

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    T#o-Tailed Test

    )*potheses

    Test Statistic

    ?eDection ?ule

    ?eDect H0if FF F/2 #here the 'alue of F/2 is

    ased on an Fdistriution #ith n1- 1

    numerator. and n2 - 1 denominator. df

    )*pothesis Testing Aout the"ariances of T#o !opulations

    H% !

    !! =H%

    !!! =

    Ha

    !!!

    Ha !

    !!

    F s

    s=

    !

    !!

    F s

    s=

    !

    !!

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    as #as

    descried earlier> on another 10 thermostats>this time

    manufactured * TempGing The temperature

    readingsof the ten thermostats are listed elo#

    We #ill conduct a h*pothesis test #ith 10to see

    if the 'ariances are e%ual for Thermo?ite=sthermostats

    and TempGing=s thermostats

    Therm 1 2 $ + 4 6 9 7 10

    (:ample;

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    )*pothesis Testing Aout the "ariances of T#o

    !opulations )*potheses

    Thermo?ite and TempGingthermo- stats ha'e same

    temperature 'ariance. Their 'ariances are not e%ual.

    ?eDection ?ule

    The F distriution tale sho#s that #ith 10>

    7 df numerator.> and 7 dfdenominator.>

    F0 $19

    ?eDect H0if FF $19

    H% !

    !! =H%

    !!! =

    Ha ! !!Ha ! !!

    (:ample;

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    )*pothesis Testing Aout the "ariances of T#o

    !opulations Test Statistic

    Thermo?ite=s sample 'ariance is 60

    TempGing=s sample 'ariance is 12

    F 12/60 216

    Conclusion

    We cannot reDect H0 There is insu3cient

    e'idence to conclude that the population'ariances diHer for the t#o thermostat

    rands

    (:ample;

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    2121

    (nd of Chapter 11