State of Utah Energy Risk Profile

7
Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 1 This State Energy Risk Profile examines the relative magnitude of the risks that the state of Utah’s energy infrastructure routinely encounters in comparison with the probable impacts. Natural and man-made hazards with the potential to cause disruption of the energy infrastructure are identified. Certain natural and adversarial threats, such as cybersecurity, electromagnetic pulse, geomagnetic disturbance, pandemics, or impacts caused by infrastructure interdependencies, are ill-suited to location-based probabilistic risk assessment as they may not adhere to geographic boundaries, have limited occurrence, or have limited historic data. Cybersecurity and other threats not included in these profiles are ever present and should be included in state energy security planning. A complete list of data sources and national level comparisons can be found in the Data Sources document. State of Utah ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE • The natural hazard that caused the greatest overall property loss between 2009 and 2019 was Thunderstorms & Lightning at $10 million per year (2nd leading cause nationwide at $2.8 billion per year). • Utah had 2 Major Disaster Declarations, 0 Emergency Declarations, and 11 Fire Management Assistance Declarations for 10 events between 2013 and 2019. • Utah registered 1% fewer Heating Degree Days and 22% greater Cooling Degree Days than average in 2019. • There is 1 Fusion Center located in Sandy. Utah State Facts Utah Risks and Hazards Overview Data Sources: NOAA and USGS Annualized Frequency of and Property Damage Due to Natural Hazards, 2009 – 2019 Thunderstorm & Lightning Flood Tornado Earthquake (≥ 3.5 M) Winter Storm & Extreme Cold Extreme Heat Landslide Wildfire Drought 7 3 <1 17 0 5 36 2 4 36 $0 $0 $0 $8 $0 $1 $10 $0 $8 $0 PROPERTY DAMAGE – Annualized ($Million per year) HAZARD FREQUENCY – Annualized Hurricane ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION ELECTRIC POWER: 31,240 GWh COAL: 12,700 MSTN NATURAL GAS: 233 Bcf MOTOR GASOLINE: 33,000 Mbbl DISTILLATE FUEL: 17,700 Mbbl ANNUAL ENERGY PRODUCTION ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION: 106 plants, 39.1 TWh, 9.8 GW total capacity Coal: 5 plants, 25.2 TWh, 4.8 GW total capacity Hydro: 29 plants, 0.9 TWh, 0.3 GW total capacity Natural Gas: 24 plants, 9.4 TWh, 3.3 GW total capacity Nuclear: 0 plants Petroleum: 3 plants, 0.0 TWh, 0.0 GW total capacity Wind & Solar: 36 plants, 3.0 TWh, 1.3 GW total capacity Other sources: 9 plants, 0.6 TWh, 0.1 GW total capacity COAL: 14,300 MSTN NATURAL GAS: 270 Bcf CRUDE OIL: 36,700 Mbbl ETHANOL: 0 Mbbl Data from EIA (2018, 2019). ENERGY EMPLOYMENT: 31,468 jobs PUBLIC UTILITY COMMISSION: Public Service Commission of Utah STATE ENERGY OFFICE: Utah Governor’s Office of Energy Development EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY: Utah Department of Public Safety, Division of Emergency Management AVERAGE ELECTRICITY TARIFF: 8.21 cents/kWh ENERGY EXPENDITURES: $2,990/capita ENERGY CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA: 267 MMBtu (34th highest out of 50 states and Washington, D.C.) GDP: $178.1 billion Data from 2020 or most recent year available. For more information, see the Data Sources document. UT HOUSING UNITS 1.11 M BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENTS 0.08 M POPULATION 3.16 M

Transcript of State of Utah Energy Risk Profile

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 1

This State Energy Risk Profile examines the relative magnitude of the risks that the state of Utah’s energy infrastructure routinely encounters in comparison with the probable impacts. Natural and man-made hazards with the potential to cause disruption of the energy infrastructure are identified. Certain natural and adversarial threats, such as cybersecurity, electromagnetic pulse, geomagnetic disturbance, pandemics, or impacts caused by infrastructure interdependencies, are ill-suited to location-based probabilistic risk assessment as they may not adhere to geographic boundaries, have limited occurrence, or have limited historic data. Cybersecurity and other threats not included in these profiles are ever present and should be included in state energy security planning. A complete list of data sources and national level comparisons can be found in the Data Sources document.

State of UtahENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

• The natural hazard that caused the greatest overall property loss between 2009 and 2019 was Thunderstorms & Lightning at $10 million per year (2nd leading cause nationwide at $2.8 billion per year).

• Utah had 2 Major Disaster Declarations, 0 Emergency Declarations, and 11 Fire Management Assistance Declarations for 10 events between 2013 and 2019.

• Utah registered 1% fewer Heating Degree Days and 22% greater Cooling Degree Days than average in 2019.

• There is 1 Fusion Center located in Sandy.

Utah State Facts

Utah Risks and Hazards Overview

Data Sources: NOAA and USGS

Annualized Frequency of and Property DamageDue to Natural Hazards, 2009 – 2019

Thunderstorm& Lightning

Flood

Tornado

Earthquake (≥ 3.5 M)

Winter Storm & Extreme Cold

Extreme Heat

Landslide

Wild�re

Drought 7

3

<1

17

0

5

36

2

4

36

$0

$0

$0

$8

$0

$1

$10

$0

$8

$0

PROPERTY DAMAGE – Annualized ($Million per year)

HAZARDFREQUENCY – Annualized

Hurricane

ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTIONELECTRIC POWER: 31,240 GWhCOAL: 12,700 MSTNNATURAL GAS: 233 BcfMOTOR GASOLINE: 33,000 MbblDISTILLATE FUEL: 17,700 Mbbl

ANNUAL ENERGY PRODUCTIONELECTRIC POWER GENERATION: 106 plants, 39.1 TWh, 9.8 GW total capacity

Coal: 5 plants, 25.2 TWh, 4.8 GW total capacityHydro: 29 plants, 0.9 TWh, 0.3 GW total capacityNatural Gas: 24 plants, 9.4 TWh, 3.3 GW total capacityNuclear: 0 plantsPetroleum: 3 plants, 0.0 TWh, 0.0 GW total capacity Wind & Solar: 36 plants, 3.0 TWh, 1.3 GW total capacityOther sources: 9 plants, 0.6 TWh, 0.1 GW total capacity

COAL: 14,300 MSTNNATURAL GAS: 270 BcfCRUDE OIL: 36,700 MbblETHANOL: 0 MbblData from EIA (2018, 2019).

ENERGY EMPLOYMENT: 31,468 jobsPUBLIC UTILITY COMMISSION: Public Service Commission of UtahSTATE ENERGY OFFICE: Utah Governor’s Office of Energy DevelopmentEMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY: Utah Department of Public Safety, Division of Emergency ManagementAVERAGE ELECTRICITY TARIFF: 8.21 cents/kWhENERGY EXPENDITURES: $2,990/capitaENERGY CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA: 267 MMBtu (34th highest out of 50 states and Washington, D.C.)GDP: $178.1 billionData from 2020 or most recent year available. For more information, see the Data Sources document.

UT

HOUSINGUNITS1.11 M

BUSINESS ESTABLISHMENTS0.08 M

POPULATION

3.16 M

ELEC TRIC

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 2

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER)

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

• Utah has 47 electric utilities: – 1 Investor owned – 5 Cooperative – 37 Municipal – 4 Other utilities

• Plant retirements scheduled by 2025: 2 electric generating units totaling 1 MW of installed capacity.

• In 2018, the average Utah electric customer experienced 1 service interruption that lasted an average of 2.1 hours.

• In Utah, between 2008 and 2017: – The greatest number of electric outages occurred in August (3rd for outages nationwide)

– The leading cause of electric outages was Weather or Falling Trees (leading cause nationwide)

– Electric outages affected 181,433 customers on average

JANUARY 2021 PAGE 3

Electric Infrastructure

Data Source: Eaton

Electric Utility-Reported Outages by Cause, 2008 – 2017

TOTAL NUMBER OF INCIDENTS

Animal 12

Faulty Equipment / Human Error 109

Planned 21

Theft / Vandalism 3

Unknown 44

Vehicle Accident 43

Weather / Falling Trees 120

31%

6%13%

12%

34%

1%

3%

Electric Utility Distruption Causes Category-COLORS

Animal XX

Faulty Equipment / Human Error XX

Overdemand XX

Planned XX

Theft / Vandalism XX

Unknown XX

Vehicle Accident XX

Weather / Falling Trees XX

Electric Utility Outage Data, 2008 – 2017

55,760

210,530

50,670

547,020

129,380

97,160

126,570

209,430

258,650

129,160

68

42

40

54

17

14

33

9

23

832017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000

TOTAL NUMBER OF PEOPLE AFFECTED BY OUTAGESTOTAL DURATION OF OUTAGES Hours

Note: This chart uses a logarithmic scale to display a very wide range of values.Data Source: Eaton

Electric Customers and Consumption by Sector, 2018

Data Source: EIA

CUSTOMERS CONSUMPTION

Residential 89% 31%

Commercial 11% 39%

Industrial <1% 30%

Transportation <1% <1%

NATUR AL GAS

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 4

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 5

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

• As of 2018, Utah had: – 3,067 miles of natural gas transmission pipelines

– 18,563 miles of natural gas distribution pipelines

• 19% of Utah’s natural gas transmission system and 13% of the distribution system were constructed prior to 1970 or in an unknown year.

• Between 1984 and 2019, Utah’s natural gas supply was most impacted by:

– Natural Forces when transported by transmission pipelines (2nd leading cause nationwide at $25.17M per year)

– Outside Forces when transported by distribution pipelines (leading cause nationwide at $76.59M per year)

Natural Gas Transport

• Utah has 8 natural gas processing facilities with a total capacity of 1,622 MMcf/d.

• Utah has 0 liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities.

Natural Gas Processing and Liquefied Natural Gas

Top Events Affecting Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution, 1984 – 2019

Outside Force

Natural Force

Miscellaneous / Unknown

Material / Weld Failure

Incorrect Operation

Excavation Damage

Equipment Failure

Corrosion

TransmissionDistribution

FREQUENCY – Annualized Frequency Average incidents per year

ECONOMIC LOSS – Annualized Loss $Thousands per year

$18

$12

$0

$0

$0

$18

$72

$12

$0

$0

$592

$11

$0

$30

$41

$652

0

0

0.14

0

0

0.08

0.22

0.69

0.03

0.14

0

0

0

0.11

0.03

0.03

Data Source: DOT PHMSA

Data Source: EIA

CUSTOMERS CONSUMPTION

Residential 93% 32%

Commercial 7% 20%

Industrial <1% 19%

Transportation <1% <1%

Electric Power <1% 29%

Other <1% <1%

Natural Gas Customers and Consumption by Sector, 2018

PE TROLEUM

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 6

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

Produced by Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER) MARCH 2021 PAGE 7

State of Utah | ENERGY SECTOR RISK PROFILE

• Utah has 5 petroleum refineries with a total operable capacity of 200.6 Mb/d.• Between 2009 and 2019, the leading causes of petroleum refinery disruptions in Utah were:

– Fires and / or Explosions (6th leading cause nationwide) – Loss of Electric Power or other Utility Services (5th leading cause nationwide)

Petroleum Refineries

• As of 2018, Utah had: – 600 miles of crude oil pipelines – 719 miles of refined product pipelines – 0 miles of biofuels pipelines

• 57% of Utah’s petroleum pipeline systems were constructed prior to 1970 or in an unknown year.

• Between 1986 and 2019, Utah’s petroleum supply was most impacted by:

– Outside Forces when transported by truck (2nd leading cause nationwide at $60.45M per year)

– Miscellaneous or Unknown events when transported by rail (3rd leading cause nationwide at $6.11M per year)

– Outside Forces when transported by crude pipelines (4th leading cause nationwide at $8.71M per year)

– Corrosion when transported by product pipelines (2nd leading cause nationwide at $15.2M per year)

• Disruptions in other states may impact supply.

Petroleum Transport

Causes and Frequency of Petroleum Refinery Disruptions, 2009 – 2019

Petroleum Refinery Distruption Causes Category-COLORS

Cause Not Speci�ed XX

Equipment Failure / Damage / Interruption XX

Fire and / or Explosion XX

Fuel Supply Problem XX

General Outage / Repair / Closure XX

Loss of Containment / Flaring XX

Loss of Electric Power or Other Utility Service XX

Maintenance / Turnaround XX

Re�nery Shutdown / Conversion XX

Weather or Natural Disaster XX

All Other Causes XX

Equipment Failure / Damage / Interruption 1

Fire and / or Explosion 13

General Outage / Repair / Closure 3

Loss of Containment / Flaring 6

Loss of Electric Power or Other Utility Service 13

Maintenance / Turnaround 6

Re�nery Shutdown / Conversion 1

0

3

6

9

12

15

Num

ber o

f Ins

tanc

es

Data Source: Hydrocarbon Publishing

Data Source: DOT PHMSA

Top Events Affecting Petroleum Transport by Truck and Rail, 1986 – 2019

TruckRail

FREQUENCY – Annualized Frequency Average incidents per year

ECONOMIC LOSS – Annualized Loss $Thousands per year

Outside Force

Natural Force

Miscellaneous / Unknown

Material / Weld Failure

Incorrect Operation

Equipment Failure

Derailment or Collision / Rollover

Corrosion $0

$169

$0

$63

$32

$1,097

$459

$2,552

$0

$0

$0

$1

$1

$29

$0

$0

0

1.41

0.06

4.18

0.65

2.47

0.21

1.35

0

0

0.03

1.71

0.44

0.32

0

0

Crude PipelinesProduct Pipelines

Top Events Affecting Crude Oil and Refined Product Pipelines, 1986 – 2019

Outside Force

Natural Force

Miscellaneous / Unknown

Material / Weld Failure

Incorrect Operation

Excavation Damage

Equipment Failure

Corrosion

FREQUENCY – Annualized Frequency Average incidents per year

ECONOMIC LOSS – Annualized Loss $Thousands per year

Data Source: DOT PHMSA

$25

$6

$15

$715

$64

$6

$0

$1,113

$792

$1

$0

$0

$35

$12

$0

$0

. 0.15

0.09

0

0

0.15

0.06

0

0

0.12

0.24

0.03

0.06

0.12

0.09

0.03

0.09