Starter Questions (1 paragraph response)…
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Transcript of Starter Questions (1 paragraph response)…
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Starter Questions (1 paragraph response)… First, let me say that the postings for the Current Events wiki
look good. I am waiting to make comments until later this weekend when you have responded to your classmates postings.
. Now for the starter... You need to write an answer to only one starter. (1) If you watched Romney's speech last night, take a copy of "Analysis: Romney Speech...". Either refute that article OR provide your own evaluation of the speech. (2) If you didn't, please take a copy of Clint Eastwood articles (1 & 2) When celebrity endorsements are promoted, what risks do the
politician and celebrity face? How is that risk different from an endorsement agreement between a celebrity and corporation?
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Voting, Campaigns, and Elections
By Mr. MiguelAcademy of Our Lady of Guam
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Overview What the founders were thinking when they established a
role for elections, and the potential roles that elections can play in a democracy
Americans’ ambivalence about the vote and the reasons that only about half of the citizenry even bother to exercise what is supposed to be a precious right
How voters go about making decisions, and how this in turn influences the character of presidential elections
The organizational and strategic aspects of running for the presidency
What election means for citizens
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Consider this... Was the United States in a constitutional crisis in
the 2000 Florida election? Had the will of the people been thwarted? Could the new president – whoever it may be –
govern effectively under such dim circumstances? Are elections a state matter? Should they be turned
over to the national government? Is the electoral college merely an arcane institution
that needs to be replaced?
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The Founder’s Intentions
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The Function of Elections
Selection of Leaders Policy Direction Citizen Development Informing the Public Containing Conflict Legitimization and
System Stability
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Selection of Leaders
John Stuart Mill “the natural tendency of
representative government…is toward collective mediocrity; and this tendency is increased by all reductions and extensions of the franchise, their effect being to place the principal power in the hands of classes more and more below the highest level of instruction in the community”
The Truth? Process scares off
candidates Elections ONLY ensure
the leader chosen = most popular on ballot
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Policy Direction We do note vote on
policies How responsive are
they to our interests? *elections speed up
the process by which changes in public preferences are translated into policy
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Citizen Development Passive -> Active Political efficacy:
citizens feelings of effectiveness in political affairs
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Informing the Public
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Containing Conflict
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Legitimization and System Stability
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Exercising the Right to Vote in America
Age Gender Income Education Race and Ethnicity Summary:
Wealthy, college- educated, older whites voted at a rate of 95% in 2004
whereas poor, young, minority group members who went no further than high school estimated at 54%
Who votes and who doesn’t?
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Why Don’t People Vote?
Legal Obstacles Attitude Changes Voter Mobilization Decrease in Social
Connectedness Generational Changes The Rational Nonvoter
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Legal Obstacles Registration Quantity of Elections National Elections to be held on a Tuesday Why no changes?
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Why Don’t People Vote?
Legal Obstacles Attitude Changes
Psychological orientation
Partisanship Voter Mobilization
Ineffectiveness; negativity
Decrease in Social Connectedness
Generational Changes The Rational Nonvoter
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Decrease in Social Connectedness
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Generational Changes
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The Rational Non-voter Why does anyone vote? Definition: the benefits of an action outweigh the
costs Is that true of voting? What are the benefits?
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Does Non-Voting Matter
Question Would election
outcomes would be different if nonvoters were to participate? Do higher levels of nonvoting indicate that democracy is not healthy?
Consequences for…
Election Outcomes More support for
democrats?
Democracy Non-voting can
influence the stability and legitimacy of democratic government
Sometimes, as little as 25% of eligible electorate may have voted for the winner
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Essential Questions Are we being properly representative? Why are the voting turnout rates so low? How can we fix it? Is it necessary to fix it?
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How the Voter Decides
Partisanship and Social Group Membership
Gender, Race, and Ethnicity
Issues and Policy The Candidates
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Partisanship and Group Membership Party Identification
Usually stable and long term Carries from one election to another Strong direct influence on voting decisions
Unusual conditions can prompt change JFK in 1960s
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Gender, Race, and Ethnicity Unclear Gender Gap
Women tend to support Dem. Married women = more conservative than single
women African Americans
Since Civil Rights movement – 90% Democrat Ethnicity = less predictive than race as it differs
from state to stae
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Issues and Policy Ideal Citizen: Well informed, highly attentive,
analytial, casitng votes for the candidate who BEST represents their preferred policy solutions
BUT, we know…Americans generally do not fit this model
Role of Issues People are busy People know where they stand on issues Media is not as substantive as it should be
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Issues and PolicyProspective Voting
PV = voters base their decisions on what will happen in the future if they vote for a candidate
Retrospective Voting
RV = casting votes as signs of approval or to signal their desire for change
Voters decide partly on what candidates promise to do and partly on what incumbents have done
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Candidates Public Image Stance on issues Other qualities
Obama Experience – 54% McCain Theme – 54% Obama Temperament - 55% Obama Optimism – 62% Obama
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Summary: voters come to a conclusion through a mix of partisan considerations, membership in
social groups, policy information, and candidate image