Stalin's Moustache

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PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE This article was downloaded by: [Canadian Research Knowledge Network] On: 26 May 2009 Access details: Access Details: [subscription number 783016864] Publisher Routledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Diplomacy & Statecraft Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713634951 Stalin's moustache: The Soviet Union and the coming of war Keith Neilson Online Publication Date: 01 June 2001 To cite this Article Neilson, Keith(2001)'Stalin's moustache: The Soviet Union and the coming of war',Diplomacy & Statecraft,12:2,197 — 208 To link to this Article: DOI: 10.1080/09592290108406208 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09592290108406208 Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf This article may be used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden. The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug doses should be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material.

Transcript of Stalin's Moustache

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PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE

This article was downloaded by: [Canadian Research Knowledge Network]On: 26 May 2009Access details: Access Details: [subscription number 783016864]Publisher RoutledgeInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House,37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK

Diplomacy & StatecraftPublication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713634951

Stalin's moustache: The Soviet Union and the coming of warKeith Neilson

Online Publication Date: 01 June 2001

To cite this Article Neilson, Keith(2001)'Stalin's moustache: The Soviet Union and the coming of war',Diplomacy & Statecraft,12:2,197— 208

To link to this Article: DOI: 10.1080/09592290108406208

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09592290108406208

Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf

This article may be used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial orsystematic reproduction, re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply ordistribution in any form to anyone is expressly forbidden.

The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contentswill be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug dosesshould be independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss,actions, claims, proceedings, demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directlyor indirectly in connection with or arising out of the use of this material.

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REVIEW ARTICLE

Stalin's Moustache:The Soviet Union and the

Coming of War

KEITH NEILSON

His face's lower part is darkWith the moustache's hanging shade.What words are hidden there from us,For just a moment's pause delayed?

'To a Portrait of Stalin', Alexander Tvardovskii

Michael Jabara Carley, 1939. The Alliance That Never Was and theComing of World War II (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee, 1999), pp.xxv +321. ISBN 1-56663-252-8.

Patrick R. Osborn, Operation Pike. Britain Versus the Soviet Union,1939-1941 (Westport, CT and London, 2000), pp.xiii + 274. ISBN0-313-31368-7

Gabriel Gorodetsky, Grand Delusion. Stalin and the GermanInvasion of Russia (New Haven and London: Yale University Press,1999), pp.xvi + 408. ISBN 0-300-07792-0.

Like Tvardovskii, historians have long been waiting to discover justwhat is hidden behind Stalin's moustache. Despite the immenseamount that has been written on the origins of the Second World Warand its extension in 1941 to become what the Soviets called the GreatPatriotic War, the role of the Soviet Union in the coming of war hasremained obscure.1 With Soviet archives nearly completelyunavailable until 1991 and only partially open since then, Sovietpolicy has long been difficult to determine; often accessible only by

Diplomacy & Statecraft, Vol.12, No.2 (June 2001), pp.197-208PUBLISHED BY FRANK CASS, LONDON

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derivative means through the use of material from the archives ofother countries. As the study of Soviet foreign policy has been hedgedin by (often violent) ideological quarrels, this has meant that moreheat than light has been generated, to the detriment of ourunderstanding of Soviet policy.2

It is for these reasons (and others that will be made clear below)that the three works under review are welcome additions to theliterature. All three are based solidly on documentary evidence, allthree make important contributions to our understanding and allthree underscore the need for further work. Before looking atwhat these works mean for the broader aspects of the origins of theSecond World War, it is necessary to outline what each of themcontends.

Michael Carley's study delivers more than its title would suggest.It is not only concerned with the events of 1939 - and particularlythe Nazi-Soviet Pact - but also with Soviet foreign policy from atleast 1938 (with earlier excursions) until the beginning of 1940.Carley is well known in the field. He is the former director of the Aidto Scholarly Publications Programme of the Canadian governmentand now the editor of the University of Akron Press. However, inaddition to this, he has been a productive scholar, publishing a firstbook that deals with Franco-Soviet relations in 1918-20 and aplethora of substantial articles relating aspects of inter-war Sovietforeign and economic policy.3 These works, as is the book underreview, are informed by Carley's extensive research in the French, theBritish and the Soviet archives. They are imbued with the idea thatthe Cold War did not begin after 1945, but was a driving force ininternational politics from 1917 onwards. They also ensure that hisnew book is informed by his own research in the earlier period.

1939. The Alliance That Never Was has a deceptively simpleconclusion. For Carley, the failure of the British and the French toreach an alliance with the Soviet Union in 1939 was due to theinherent anti-Bolshevism of the British (and also the French, but thelatter were of little consequence in the negotiations). As a result ofthis, the British failed to follow up the continued Soviet adherence tothe idea of collective security, ignoring repeated Soviet overtures totake a firm stand against Hitler before 1939 and then making onlyhalf-hearted efforts to reach agreement in that year. He takes theposition that the Soviet Union would have supported a firm stand atMunich, and argues that the traditional view that the Anglo-French

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failure to do so resulted in the Soviet Union opting for an alliancewith Hitler instead.

This line of argument is not new - the 'guilty men' of Munich wasa near-contemporary observation and even the Nazi-Soviet Pact hadits defenders, albeit fewer of them. What is new is the vigour anderudition which Carley employs to make his point. This eruditiondoes not bring with it any moral ambiguities; for Carley this is a storyabout 'moral depravity and blindness, about villains and cowards,and about heroes'. To determine who is to be put in which category,Carley's focus is on the formal diplomacy of the Soviet Union, asfound in the correspondence between the Soviet Foreign Ministers,Maksim Litvinov (1930-39) and his successor, Viacheslav Molotov,and their ambassadors, in particular Ivan Maiskii (London), andVladimir Potemkin (Paris). On the other side, Carley keeps his viewon the officials in the British Foreign Office and at the Quai d'Orsayand the British and French representatives in Moscow.

In lively and direct prose, Carley shows how various Sovietproposals were rebuffed as insincere, despite the repeatedprotestations of the Soviet officials to the contrary. This he attributesto the unwillingness of their French and British listeners to go beyondideological prejudice and to see their own interests clearly. Carley tiesthis to a belief among the British and French leaders that a successfulwar, in which they were allied with the Bolsheviks against theGermans would result in the spread of communism in Europe. Thus,in 1939, the alliance discussions with the Russians were pursued in adilatory fashion, with the British refusal to accept Soviet demandscharacterized as 'bazaar haggling'. This exculpation of the Sovietsdoes not extend to the period after the signing of the Nazi-SovietPact. Carley is sharply critical of the Soviet invasion of Finland,showing how it put Moscow in the same category as the Nazis,provided an ex post facto justification for prewar anti-Soviet attitudesand nearly resulted in an Anglo-French attack on the Soviet Union.

This book is well worth reading. It is the first available account ofthe complicated interactions between Britain, France and the SovietUnion that is solidly grounded in primary sources, and illuminates anaspect of the origins of the war that has long been in the shadows.But, are its main lines of approach correct? There has been a spate ofscholarship recently about the Munich crisis. What emerges from itis that, despite Soviet mobilization in September 1938, the SovietUnion was not prepared to come to the aid of the Czechs unilaterally,

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and insisted on knowing whether the French intended to honourtheir treaty obligations to Prague.4 Equally, it is clear that the Frenchwere searching desperately for an opportunity to avoid providingsupport for the Czechs unless someone else would bear the brunt ofthe fighting.5 This is consonant with Carley's interpretation, but theevidence does not unequivocally support his contention that theSoviet Union would certainly have aided the Czechs had Britain andFrance done so. Stalin's intentions are not revealed, either by Carleyor the authors cited above, and it is best to conclude, with ZaraSteiner, that the Soviet 'decision-making apparatus during theMunich crisis remains obscure'.6 This point will be returned to below.

As to British policy, Carley's work suffers from its sources.Because of its tight focus on the Foreign Office, 1939 does notconsider the other influences on British decision making. It isparticularly weak with respect to defence (and especially Imperialdefence) matters. British policy with respect to the Soviet Union hadan extra-European dimension, particularly in the Far East whereMoscow was seen as both a threat to British interests and a potentialally against Japan's depredations.7 As a result, Soviet offers of alliancehad to be considered in the context of Britain's world-wide defenceissues, in which any agreement with Moscow would potentially ruinAnglo-American cooperation in the Far East or deflect Japan awayfrom confrontation with the Soviet Union (which was beneficial toLondon) and towards an assault on British interests (which was not).Equally, the low British opinion of the Red Army after the Purgesmeant that any Soviet offers (whether sincere or not) were lessattractive than Carley suggests.8 In fact, in a related aspect, there is anunderlying assumption - that a successful conclusion to the Anglo-Franco-Soviet talks in 1939 would surely have prevented theoutbreak of war - in Carley's account that needs more evidence if itis to be accepted. First, would this have deterred Hitler? Second, theRed Army of 1939 (or 1938) was not the Red Army of 1944. Itsfeeble performance against the Finns and in 1941 suggests thatneither Prague nor Warsaw would have been much safer if theirsecurity had been guaranteed by the Soviet forces.

There are also some key points about British foreign policy. First,policy was not the exclusive province of the Foreign Office or ofNeville Chamberlain. For example, in 1935-36, an attempt tofacilitate an Anglo-Soviet rapprochement by means of a loan waslargely defeated by the efforts of the Board of Trade, as Carley

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himself has shown.' But support for the loan from such men as SirRobert Vansittart, the Permanent Undersecretary at the ForeignOffice, was not just a result of 'Van's' desire to be on good terms withthe Soviet Union for the sake of Moscow's beaux yeux. Rather, it waspart of his attempt to deal with the threat that Germany posed in theaftermath of the breakdown of the Stresa front.10 The point is, thatBritain's relations with the Soviet Union were not just a matter of itsdealings with that country or with France, but part of a wholecomplex of how best to defend British interests everywhere. Thispoint also is germane to Carley's argument that the Britishunwillingness to accede to Soviet conditions during the 1939negotiations was mere 'haggling'. To agree to the Soviet definition ofindirect aggression, which would have allowed the Soviet Union toinvade Poland on the pretext that Warsaw in 1939 was going in thedirection of Prague in 1938, would have been unconscionable and arepudiation of all that was best in British policy. It is hard to see howthe moral dimension - and it is clear that there was one" - of Britishforeign policy would have been better satisfied with the Red Armyrather than the Wehrmacht occupying Warsaw.

On another front, there is the matter of ideology. Carley isconvinced that British policy was largely motivated by ideology. If so,he has not proven his point. While Neville Chamberlain is an easyand convenient strawman, with his obvious anti-Soviet bias, thegeneral position is not so clear. For example, within the ForeignOffice there were divided opinions about the relative dangers ofFascism and Communism to British interests, with most of the keypersonnel believing that it was the former that was the moreimmediate problem.12 Also, men like Halifax were much more willingto treat with the Soviets than was the prime minister. For example, atthe height of Anglo-Soviet tension in April 1927, with the clamourthat would result in the breach with the Soviet Union in full voice, hehad advised that relations should not be broken off. Instead, he hadargued that a policy of engagement, 'by trade and otherwise', wasnecessary to draw that country 'out of her isolation'.13 And, withinthe Cabinet generally, there was a strong push to force Chamberlainto take the Soviet negotiations further than he might have wished.14

Had Carley consulted a wider range of private papers and therelevant Cabinet documents, he would have been forced toreconsider his position. Finally, in considering ideology there is alsothe matter of whether Anglo-Soviet relations can be considered as

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entirely distinct from Anglo-Russian relations. In his useful effort topush back the origins of the Cold War to 1917 (and those who studythe American aspects of the Cold War need to take this stricture intoconsideration more than do those who look at the British side of thisquestion), Carley does not consider that Anglo-Soviet relations canbe easily seen as part of the Anglo-Russian/Soviet rivalry that beganas long ago as the eighteenth century.15 Should we push the ColdWar's beginning back to the Ochakov crisis of 1791 or merelyconider the Cold War as a subset of the Great Game between Londonand St Petersburg (Moscow)?

If Stalin were worried about Anglo-French intentions towards theSoviet Union, Patrick Osborn's Operation Pike would have reinforcedthe Soviet leader's misgivings. Osborn, an archivist for the AmericanNational Archives and Records Administration, has provided a veryuseful study of British policy towards the Soviet Union from 1939 to1941 and, in particular, of the little-known Anglo-French plans toattack the Soviet Union in the period from September 1939 to June1940. Here, Osborn builds on the work of Stephen Miner and, inparticular, Brock Millman, but goes well beyond either of them.16 Inan account that is firmly grounded in the archives, Osborn showshow the British and the French came to the conclusion that theNazi-Soviet Pact in effect made Moscow an ally of Hitler. Britishmilitary strategy was based on a long-term attempt to utilizeblockades to bring Germany to its knees - in the supposed fashion ofthe First World War - and the economic provisions of theNazi-Soviet Pact punched a hole in the wall that the British hadattempted to build around Germany.17

The result was that the British began to consider treating theSoviet Union as a belligerent and taking action against it. The mostobvious point of attack was against Baku, the source of the bulk ofSoviet oil and, it was believed, a potential source of the oil that wasessential for the German war effort. Plans to attack Baku long pre-dated the war, going back as early as 1927 (and, possibly, althoughOsborn does not discuss this, originating with the British'Dunsterforce' that occupied Baku in 1917). Equally, the Sovietattack on Finland opened up another alluring possibility: that Britishassistance for Helsinki could be part and parcel of an attempt todeprive the Germans of the Swedish iron ore at Gallivare.18 Thedesire to bomb to Baku, the on-going efforts of the French to createa Balkan front in the fashion of the Salonikan expedition in the First

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World War and the British desire to keep the eastern Mediterraneanin secure hands, meant that Anglo-Turkish relations become pivotal.All of these events worried Stalin. With a solid flow of informationfrom well-placed spies within the British decision-making structureoutlining the possible Anglo-French actions and possessed of a beliefthat an Anglo-German attack on the Soviet Union was always alurking possibility, the Soviet dictator, Osborn argues persuasively,decided to liquidate, in the Katyn forest, the potential leaders of aPolish uprising that might follow an Anglo-French attack. Only therapid German takeover of Norway and the equally rapid collapse ofFrance brought an end to the British thoughts of adding the SovietUnion to its list of actual, as opposed to potential enemies.

This is a very good book on a limited topic. It does not promisemore than it delivers, its documentary base is exemplary and itsconclusions are judicious and carefully considered. While Osborn hasused no Russian-language sources, his inferences about Soviet policyhave the ring of truth about them, and follow quite well the linesdeveloped by Carley and, as will be shown below, Gorodetsky. Thebook has a couple of technical slips. Sir Robert Vansittart isinexplicably referred to as Sir Richard Vansittart, and Sir MauriceHankey is given too much credit for initiating the Dardanellescampaign in the First World War. These a minor cavils that do notdetract from a useful study that helps fill some of the gap that existsfor the period of the 'Phoney War'.

So, too, does Gabriel Gorodetsky's fine book. Gorodetsky is theholder of the Samuel Rubin Chair for Russian and East EuropeanHistory at Tel Aviv University, where he is also Professor of Historyand Director of the Curiel Centre for International Affairs. He haspublished widely in Anglo-Soviet relations, being best known for onebook dealing with the period from 1924 to 1927 and a secondcovering the mission of Sir Stafford Cripps to Moscow.19 His newbook has two purposes, which are related to each other but which donot always make for easy reading. The first is to refute thecontention, put forward most recently by V. Suvorov, that the SovietUnion was planning an attack on Germany in 1941 and that theGerman assault was merely a preemptive strike to thwart Stalin'sattempt to take over Central Europe.20 In order to rebut this, and theGerman epigoni that have seized upon it in an attempt to rehabilitateNazi foreign policy, the bulk of Gorodetsky's book is an attempt tooutline the course of Stalin's foreign policy from 1939 to 1941.

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Here, much of what he has to say in the first two chapters act asthe obverse side of Osborn's monograph. Gorodetsky confirmsStalin's fears about British actions in the Balkans. Utilizing importantnew archival sources that reveal the intelligence material that wasgiven to the Soviet leader, Gorodetsky is able to show a Stalindesperately trying to avoid committing the Soviet Union to theGermans, while at the same time being fearful that the Westernbandits would join together to fall on the Soviet Union. Gorodetskyis also very good at outlining the weaknesses of the Red Army,making it apparent just how absurd are Suvorov's claims about theimminence of a Soviet attack on Germany.

Another strength of this book is its attention to Soviet actions anddiplomacy towards powers other than Britain and Germany.Gorodetsky's research in the Bulgarian, Swedish and Yugoslavarchives (along with that in the Russian, British and Frenchrepositories) allows him to flesh out Soviet attempts to ensure theirown security in the Balkans and to keep the Germans from utilizingthe position of strength after the fall of France (ironically, a positionthat Stalin had helped them gain) to undermine Soviet security. And,interestingly, Gorodetsky notes the attempts by the Soviets toimprove relations with Japan in the Far East in order to be able todeal more efficaciously with the Germans.

But much of this effort was thwarted by Stalin's own prejudices.He could not bring himself to believe, despite the flood ofinformation that came to him from a variety of sources (including ahighly efficient spy network operating in Britain, Germany and Japanin particular), that all of his attempts to appease Hitler and to find amodus vivendi were doomed and that the British, in particular, werenot trying to draw him into a war with Berlin for their own ends.Conditioned by ideology and his own experiences during the AlliedIntervention in 1917-19, Stalin preferred to interpret all information- and here the Hess mission (nicely teased out by Gorodetsky)seemed to confirm all his fears - as pointing towards a separateAnglo-German peace and a subsequent combined assault on theSoviet Union. Far from planning an assault on Germany, Stalin wascareful to avoid any action that might be considered a 'provocation'by Germany and hence justify a Nazi attack.

Where do these three useful books take us with regard to theorigins of the Second World War? On the one hand, they make usmore aware of the crucial Soviet dimension, both in the run-up to 1

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September 1939 and in the subsequent period to 22 June 1941.Carley's book, in particular, is a useful corrective to those accountsthat focus almost exclusively on the Anglo-German component ofevents. It also makes it very clear that official Soviet diplomacy wasworking hard to create an anti-Nazi coalition. Osborn andGorodetsky demonstrate clearly that there was a strong possibilitythat the Nazi-Soviet Pact and the Winter War could easily have led toprecipitate action by the Anglo-French grouping, while Gorodetskyputs paid to any idea that the Soviet Union planned to attack NaziGermany in 1941.

This is all very satisfactory. But what of Stalin's moustache andwhat lay behind it? Here, we are not that much further forward.Carley contends that the policy pursued by Litvinov and hisambassadors was necessarily the real Soviet policy; that the Sovietadvocacy of collective security was sincere. He argues this on the notunreasonable grounds that those who attempted to implement apolicy contrary to Stalin's wishes were not likely to remain among theliving. This, however, is to assume that Stalin was not playing adouble game designed to involve Britain and France in the war withGermany that Stalin assumed they were trying to provoke betweenMoscow and Berlin. For this, in the absence of archival material, wehave no evidence either way. Equally, it is to assume that the Sovietconcept of collective security and that of, in particular, the Britishwere the same. The alliance negotiations in 1939 make this seemdubious. Stalin wanted a war-fighting alliance, dressed up ascollective action; the British sincerely wanted collective action thatwould be compatible with the League Covenant (albeit looselyinterpreted) and public opinion.

And what motivated Stalin? Fighting a historiographical waragainst the Icebreaker's crew, Gorodetsky says that 'Stalin was littleaffected by sentiment or ideology in the pursuit of foreign policy'(p.316). But, this is to define the influence of ideology rathernarrowly. While he proves his point that Stalin was in no way plottinga war against Germany driven by ideological imperatives to expandthe revolution westwards21 (a belief in which, Carley contends, droveBritish policy), a good deal of Gorodetsky's evidence argues thatStalin's perceptions of the world were profoundly shaped by hisideological beliefs. From what few authentic glimpses we have of histhought processes concerning foreign policy, we see that Stalinbelieved, in best Marxist-Leninist fashion, that all of the Western

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powers, and in particular Britain, had as their primary motivation thedestruction of the workers' paradise.22 For this reason, he was unableto read the entrails correctly, and his prejudices led his minions to beless than candid in providing him with information and opinions thatran counter to his views (and here may be the answer to Carley).While Stalin pursued a 'rational and level-headed' policy(Gorodetsky, p.316), that policy was ideologically determined in thebroadest sense of the word. Perhaps, then, we might turn Carley onhis head and argue that the failure of the Anglo-Soviet negotiationsin 1939 was due to Soviet, rather than British, ideological antipathy.Whether or not this is the case, these three books have provided uswith a good deal to think about, and we are all in the debt of theirauthors.

NOTES

1. The most comprehensive study remains Donald Cameron Watt, How War Came. TheImmediate Origins of the Second World War 1938-1939 (London, 1989), althoughSidney Aster, 1939: The Making of the Second World War (London, 1973) is still veryuseful and Andrew J. Crozier, The Causes of the Second World War (London, 1997) is anexcellent survey. Gordon Martel (ed.), The Origin of the Second World War Reconsidered.The A.J.P. Taylor Debate after Twenty-Five Years (London, 1986) deals thoroughly withone aspect of the debate, while R.A.C. Parker, Chamberlain and Appeasement. BritishPolicy and the Coming of the Second World War (London, 1993) applies a corrective toefforts justify Chamberlain's policy on grounds of finance and economics.

2. Honourable exceptions, to mention only a few, include Jonathan Haslam's key studies,Soviet Foreign Policy, 1930-1933: The Impact of the Depression (London, 1983), TheSoviet Union and the Struggle for Collective Security in Europe, 1933-1939 (London,1984), The Soviet Union and the Threat from the East, 1933-41 (London, 1992), andthose of Geoffrey Roberts, The Unholy Alliance. Stalin's Pact with Hitler (London,1989) and The Soviet Union and the Origins of the Second World War. Russo-GermanRelations and the Road to War, 1933-1941 (London, 1995). The latter two worksintroduce the literature.

3. Michael Jabara Carley, Revolution and Intervention. The French Government and theRussian Civil War 1917-1919 (Kingston and Montreal, 1983); 'The Politics of Anti-Bolshevism: The French Government and the Russo-Polish War, December 1919 toMay 1920', Historical Journal, 19/1 (1976); 'Anti-Bolshevism in French Foreign Policy:The Crisis in Poland in 1920', International History Review, 2/3 (1980), pp.410-31;'From Revolution to Dissolution: The Quai d'Orsay, the Banque Russo-Asiatique, andthe Chinese Eastern Railway, 1917-1926', International History Review, 12/4 (1990),pp.721-61; 'Down a Blind-Alley: Anglo-Franco-Soviet Relations, 1920-39', CanadianJournal of History, 29 (1994), pp.147-72; 'Anti-Bolshevism in French Foreign Policy:The Crisis in Poland in 1920', International History Review, 2/3 (1980), pp.410-31;'Episodes from the Early Cold War: Franco-Soviet Relations, 1917-1927',Europe-Asia Studies, 52/7 (2000), pp.1275-305; 'Five Kopecks for Five Kopecks:Franco-Soviet Trade Negotiations', Cahiers du Monde russe et soviétique, 33/1 (1992),pp.23-58; '"A Fearful Concatenation of Circumstances": The Anglo-SovietRapprochement, 1934-6', Contemporary European History, 5/1 (1996), pp.29-69;'End of the "Low, Dishonest Decade": Failure of the Anglo-Franco-Soviet Alliance in

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1939', Europe-Asia Studies, 45/2 (1993), pp.303-41; '"A Situation of Delicacy andDanger": Anglo-Soviet Relations, August 1939-March 1940', ContemporaryEuropean History, 8/2 (1999), pp.175-208; and, with Richard Kent Debo, 'Always inNeed of Credit: The USSR and Franco-German Economic Cooperation, 1926-1929',French Historical Studies, 20/3 (1997), pp.315-56.

4. Igor Lukes, 'Did Stalin Desire War in 1938? A New Look at Soviet Behaviour duringthe May and September Crises', Diplomacy & Statecraft, 2/1 (1991), pp.3-54; G.Jukes, 'The Red Army and the Munich Crisis', Journal of Contemporary History, 26(1991), pp.195-214; Igor Lukes, 'Stalin and Beneš at the End of September 1938: NewEvidence from the Prague Archives', Slavic Review, 52/1 (1993), pp.28-48; idem,'Stalin and Czechoslovakia in 1938-39: An Autopsy of a Myth', Diplomacy &Statecraft, 10/2-3 (1999), pp.13-47; Hugh Ragsdale, 'Soviet Military Preparations andPolicy in the Munich Crisis: New Evidence', Jahrbücher für Geschichte Osteuropas,47/2 (1999), pp.210-26, and Zara Steiner, 'The Soviet Commissariat of Foreign Affairsand the Czechoslovakian Crisis in 1938: New Material from the Soviet Archives',Historical Journal, 42/3 (1999), pp.751-79. The interpretations put on this materialvaries widely among the preceding authors.

5. Martin Thomas, 'France and the Czechoslovak Crisis', Diplomacy & Statecraft, 10/2-3(1999), pp.122-59.

6. Steiner, 'Soviet Commissariat', p.778.7. For a good look at this, see Greg Kennedy, '1935: A Snapshot of British Imperial

Defence in the Far East', in Keith Neilson and Greg Kennedy (eds.), Far Flung Lines.Studies in Imperial Defence in Honour of Donald Mackenzie Schurman (London,1997), pp.190-216. This is also a feature of Kennedy's forthcoming monograph,Imperial Crossroads. The Impact of the Far East on Anglo-American Relations,1933-1939 (Frank Cass).

8. Keith Neilson, '"Pursued by a Bear": British Estimates of Soviet Military Strength andAnglo-Soviet Relations, 1922-1939', Canadian Journal of History, 28 (1993),pp.189-221.

9. Carley, "A Fearful Concatenation of Circumstances'", pp.53-6.10. M.L. Roi, 'From the Stresa Front to the Triple Entente: Sir Robert Vansittart, the

Abyssinian Crisis and the Containment of Germany', Diplomacy & Statecraft, 6/1(1995), pp.82-5.

11. See the suggestive Joseph Charles Heim, 'Liberalism and the Establishment ofCollective Security in British Foreign Policy', Transactions of the Royal HistoricalSociety, 6th series, 5 (1995), pp.91-110.

12. Donald Lammers, 'Fascism, Communism, and the Foreign Office, 1937-39', Journalof Contemporary History, 6/3 (1971), pp.66-86. The point has been made before thatanti-Soviet attitudes existed well before 1945; see, for example, Geoffrey Warner,'From Ally to Enemy: Britain's Relations with the Soviet Union', in Michael Dockrilland Brian McKercher (eds.), Diplomacy and World Power. Studies in British Policy,1890-1950 (Cambridge, 1996), pp.221-43.

13. Halifax (then, Lord Irwin) to Robert Cecil, private and personal letter, 6 April 1927,Cecil Papers, Add MSS 51084, British Library.

14. Christopher Hill, Cabinet Decisions on Foreign Policy. The British Experience October1938-June 1941 (Cambridge, 1991), pp.48-84.

15. See the fascinating discussion in Edward Ingram, 'Great Britain and Russia', in WilliamR. Thompson (ed.), Great Power Rivalries (University of South Carolina Press, 1999),pp.269-305.

16. Stephen Merritt Miner, Between Churchill and Stalin: The Soviet Union, Great Britainand the Origins of the Grand Alliance (Chapel Hill, 1988), and Brock Millman,'Toward War with Russia: British Naval and Air Planning for Conflict int he Near East,1930-1940', Journal of Contemporary History, 29 (1994), pp.261-83; for the widercontext and an expanded version of this article, see idem, The Ill-Made Alliance. Anglo-Turkish Relations 1939-1940 (Montreal and Kingston, 1998), especially pp.340-60.

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17. The impact of the blockade in the First World War is disputed; see N.P. Howard, 'TheSocial and Political Consequences of the Allied Food Blockade of Germany, 1918-19',German History, 11/2 (1993), pp.161-88. However, what is not in doubt is the Britishbelief in its efficacy and the plans of the Royal Navy to institute a blockade upon theoutbreak of war.

18. For the pre-war thinking on this, see Patrick Salmon, 'British Plans for EconomicWarfare against Germany 1937-1939: The Problem of Swedish Iron Ort', Journal ofContemporary History, 16 (1981), pp.53-71.

19. Gabriel Gorodetsky, The Precarious Truce. Anglo-Soviet Relations 1924-27(Cambridge, 1977); idem, Stafford Cripps' Mission to Moscow, 1940-42 (Cambridge,1984).

20. V. Suvorov, Icebreaker: Who Started the Second World War (London, 1990).Gorodetsky has disposed of this argument most effectively in his Mif 'Ledokola':nakanune voiny (Moscow, 1995).

21. By doing so, Gorodetsky drives a stake into the heart of all arguments that attempts tolink post-1945 Soviet expansion into Eastern Europe with the events of 1938-41, foran example of which see R.C. Raack, Stalin's Drive to the West 1938-1945. TheOrigins of the Cold War (Stanford, 1995).

22. See, for example, Lars T. Lih, Oleg V. Naumov and Oleg V. Khlevniuk (eds.), Stalin'sLetters to Molotov (New Haven and London, 1995) and Christopher Andrew andVasili Mitrokhin, The Mitrokhin Archive. The KGB in Europe and the West (London,1999).

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