SSMED for IFIP 20080811€¦ · © 2005 IBM Corporation 3 Service Research and Innovation | Service...
Transcript of SSMED for IFIP 20080811€¦ · © 2005 IBM Corporation 3 Service Research and Innovation | Service...
Service Research and Innovation | Almaden Research Center © 2007 IBM Corporation 1
Service Research Concepts: 1. resources, 2. service system entities, 3. access rights, 4. value-proposition-based interactions, 5. governance mechanisms, 6. service system networks, 7. service system ecology, 8. stakeholders, 9. measures, 10. outcomes
Jim Spohrer, Director, Service Research, IBM Almaden Research Center August 8th, 2008
Service Science,
Management, Engineering, and Design Emerging
SSMED Emerging
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 2
Research Vivian Ding (CRL) Kazuyoshi Hidaka (TRL) Paul Maglio (ARC) Doug Riecken (WRC) Liba Svobodova (ZRL) Segev Wasserkrug (HRL) and many others…
University Relations Dianne Fodell Wendy Murphy Kevin Wright and many, many others…
Cross IBM Paul Kontogiorgis (SWG) Steve Street (GTS) Moises Cases(Systems) Yuriko Sawatani (TRL) Jakita Thomas (ARC) Gerhard Satzger (Germany) Claudio Pinhanez (Brazil) and many others…
Executive Support Nicholas Donofrio Ginni Rometty John Kelly III Jai Menon Robert Morris Thomas Li Guru Banavar Jim Spohrer David Cohn Mahmoud Nagyshineh Greg Golden Jon Iwata and others…
Thanks to Global IBM SSMED Team
Hundreds of others w
orldwide…
thanks to all!
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 3
A Practical Place to Get Started…
Reaching the Goal: How Managers Improve a Services Business Using Goldratt’s Theory of Constraints
John Arthur Ricketts, IBM
“Theory of Constraints (TOC) gets its name from the fact that all enterprises are constrained by something. If they weren’t they could grow as large and as fast as they wanted… So the first step in applying TOC is to figure out precisely where the constraints are… The second step in apply TOC is to utilize the constraint to its fullest extent… The third step in applying TOC is to make sure that non-constraints keep the constraint busy – but otherwise stay out of its way… The fourth step in applying TOC is to improve the productivity of the constraint… The final step in applying TOC is to repeat the previous steps.”
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 4
IT in the Service Economy: Challenges and Possibilities for the 21st Century
1. Diversity of service worlds Barrett.,Davidson
4. Compliance-as-a-service Butler, Emerson, McGovern
5. Service system innovation Alter
8. Service behind the service Ramiller, Chiasson
9. Ambulant health service delivery Andersen, Aanestad
12. Open source service network Feller et al
14. Computerization of service Sawyer, Yi
16. Municipalities as service providers Tapia, Ortiz
25. Services to/from products Ramiller et al
27. Servitization of peer production Feller et al
30. Servitization of IBM Carter, Takeda, Truex
IFIP (The Intern. Fed. for Information Processing) “IT for the benefit of all people”
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 5
Outline
I. Grand Vision Achievable?
II. Some Basics III. Short History IV. Why Now? V. Ongoing Debates
service = value-cocreation B2B B2C B2G G2C G2B G2G C2C C2B C2G ***
provider resources Owned Outright Leased/Contract Shared Access
Privileged Access
customer resources Owned Outright Leased/Contract Shared Access
Privileged Access
OO
SA PA
LC OO LC
SA PA
S A P C Competitor Provider Customer Authority
value-proposition change-experience dynamic-configurations
(substitute)
time
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 6
I. Grand Vision (Part 1)
New science Classify all service systems
Vision: New science Service scientist study service systems Service systems are diverse & complex Biological systems are diverse & complex Linnaeus systematically classified biological
systems IBM systematically classifying service systems Component business model (CBM) Industry process models
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 7
I. Grand Vision (Part 2)
New Moore’s law Information insights to
investment discipline to continuous improvement of service system KPIs as service systems/networks scale via design and guided evolution, thereby generate more information and repeat…
Vision: New Moore’s law Service system/networks unlock the value of new
knowledge as they scale IBV CBM Report: From insight to investment BIW: From information analytics to insight IDG: A service system analysis Call centers as knowledge-intensive service
systems Service system design lab network Projects = covers all contracts between entities Global service system ecology simulator
8
Stakeholder Priorities
Education
Research
Business
Government
Service Systems
Customer-provider interactions that enable value cocreation
Dynamic configurations of resources: people, technologies, organisations and information
Increasing scale, complexity and connectedness of service systems
B2B, B2C, C2C, B2G, G2C, G2G service networks
Service Science
To discover the underlying principles of complex service systems
Systematically create, scale and improve systems
Foundations laid by existing disciplines
Progress in academic studies and practical tools
Gaps in knowledge and skills
Develop programmes & qualifications
Service Innovation
Growth in service GDP and jobs
Service quality & productivity
Environmental friendly & sustainable
Urbanisation & aging population
Globalisation & technology drivers
Opportunities for businesses, governments and individuals
Skills & Mindset Knowledge & Tools Employment & Collaboration Policies & Investment
Develop and improve service innovation roadmaps, leading to a doubling of investment in service education and research by 2015
Encourage an interdisciplinary approach
The white paper offers a starting point to -
“Succeeding through Service Innovation” Whitepaper: A Framework for Progress (http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ssme/)
Glossary of definitions, history and outlook of service research, global trends, and ongoing debate
1. Emerging demand 2. Define the domain 3. Vision and gaps 4. Bridge the gaps 5. Call for actions
Call to Create National Service Innovation Roadmaps (SIR) Reports
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 9
Service scientists understand service systems/networks/ecology (to discover and to innovate = create + scale + improve + …)
Service Systems Worldview
Population Entities: Service Systems
– People – Organizations – Open Source Communities – …
Interactions: Value Propositions
– Promise – Contract – …
Outcomes: Value-Cocreation or Disputes
– Markets & Competition – Governance Mechanisms – …
Service Scientists
Entrepreneur+ Designer/Architect+
Engineer
Manager/Leader+ Consultant+ Practitioner
CREATE SCALE IMPROVE
SERVICE SYSTEM ENTITIES SERVICE SYSTEM NETWORKS SERVICE SYSTEM ECOLOGY
MERGE, DIVEST, OUT/IN-SOURCE
TRANSFORM,ETC.
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 10
Service system entities are diverse and complex “The goal of science is to make the wonderful and complex understandable and simple – but not less wonderful.” – Herb Simon, The Sciences of the Artificial
A. Informal Service Systems B. Formal Service Systems
1. Social Systems Human Systems/Sociotechnical Systems Human Cultures
2. Political Systems Governed Systems Value Systems
3. Economics Systems Markets and Organizations Firms or Hierarchies Economic Institutions Gray Markets
4. Legal Systems Legislative, Judicial, Executive Separation
5. Organizational Systems Managed Systems Open Source Communities
6. Information Systems Linguistic Systems Mathematical Systems Physical Symbol Systems
7. Engineered Systems Technological Systems Designed Systems
8. Ecological Systems Evolved Systems Nature’s Services
A.
B.
1. 2.
3.
4. 5.
6.
7.
8.
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 11
Biological System Entities: Also diverse and complex
“…from so simple a beginning endless forms most beautiful and most wonderful have been, and are being, evolved.” – Charles Darwin
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 12
Early Stage: Collect and Classify (Biology Begins)
Mature Stage: Unify and Mathematize (Physics Matures; Electro-Magnetism)
Stages of scientific maturity
Carl Linnaeus, the father of modern taxonomy and ecology a pioneer of the science of biology
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 13
IBM has begun to systematically classify diverse service systems industry by industry, component by component, measure by measure…
CBM: Component Business Model
WBM and RUP: Work Practices & Processes
SOA: Technical Service-Oriented Architecture
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) IBM IBV: Component Business Models IEEE Computer, Jan 2007
14
Component Business Model to Help Decompose Your Business Experience and Know-how from Thousands of Client Engagements
70+ maps supporting 17 industries 23 enhanced with key performance
indicators (KPI) Over 2,000 trained CBM specialists
armed with the CBM tool 30 CBM patents filed CBM tool license available to clients
Component Business Modeling tool 2.0
Integrates with WebSphere Business Modeler
Presentation to Gartner in October 2007, by R. Leblanc
15
Integrating Component Business Models with Industry Process Models
+ =
IBM is bringing together its Business Process Management Center of Excellence (BPM CoE), IBM Research, and the Global Business Solution Center (GBSC) to map Component Business Models (CBM) to Industry
Process Models
Component Business Models (CBM) and Tool
Industry Process Models in WBM, built by BPM CoE,
leveraging APQC’s Process Classification Framework
Result: business transformation engagements delivered more quickly,
through more industry-specific insights and more powerful CBM Tool
Presentation to Forrester in November 2007, by T. Rosamilia
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 16
Service System/Network 1. People 2. Technology 3. Shared Information 4. Organizations
connected by value propositions Computational System More transistors, more powerful Requires investment roadmap
More win-win interactions, more value Requires investment roadmap
What would a service systems breakthrough look like? How about a CAD tool for service system/network design? And a new Moore’s Law for service system improvement?
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 17
Towards a Moore’s Law
Computational power doubles at a predictable rate.
Are there analogous capability-doubling laws that apply in services?
Suppose that traces of human activity in particular service systems double at some rate, and that these human activity data lead to specific opportunities for improved or increased service productivity or quality.
Consider Amazon.com: The quality of recommendations depends on accurate statistics – the more purchases made, the better the statistics for recommendations.
Three improvement “laws” that might be applicable in services:
The more an activity is performed (time period doubling, demand doubling), the more opportunities to improve.
The better an activity can be measured (sensor deployment doubling, sensor precision doubling, relevant measurement variables doubling) and modeled, the more opportunities to improve.
The more activities that depend on a common sub-step or process (doubling potential demand points), the more likely investment can be raised to improve the sub-step.
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 18
0 25 50 100 125 150
Automobile
75
Years
50
100 Telephone Electricity
Radio
Television
VCR
PC
Cellular % A
dopt
ion
More of the value from new knowledge is unlocked by service systems/networks, as they scale
Supply: Knowledge creation rate
Demand: Customer adoption rate
Service system/ network growth
How to invest?
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 19
IBM Institute for Business Value (IBV): How to invest Component Business Model: Making specialization real
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 20
From Information Analytics to Business Insight: BIW COBRA (Corporate Brand); SIMPLE (Intellectual Property) Better use of information, better decisions, continuous CBM KPI improvements
Valium (Trade Name)
Diazepam (Generic Name)
CAS # 439-14-5 (Chemical ID #) Valium>149 “names” Also New Book: Mining the Talk, Spangler & Kreulen
Courtesy of Jean Paul Jacob, IBM
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 21
Intelligent Document Gateway (IDG): Service System Analysis
Process
Digitization
Business Logic
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 22
Call Centers as knowledge-intensive service systems
Components
Analytics
Processes
Dashboard
Performance
CA
CM
July 2006
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 23
Service System Design Lab Network (ServSys DLN)
Real World Sensor augments Semantic augments
Virtual World Design servicescape Rehearsals
Simulated World Design exploration
CAD Tool
“We expect a production increase of 5–10 percent with Intelligent Oilfield," Jonathan Krome, IBM.
Jacob Hall
“IBM's Traffic Prediction Tool predicted traffic flows … …results were well above the target accuracy
of 85 percent,” Teresa Lim IBM
Courtesy of Jean Paul Jacob, IBM
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 24
Courtesy of Steve Kwan, SJSU
Design lab projects = Potential to cover all contracts that exist between service system entities
Examples: IBM contracts to improve oil field productivity; or traffic flows, etc.
Systematically exploring the space of all service systems:
nation by nation industry by industry component by component measure by measure
Government, Healthcare, Education Retail, Utility, Travel, Financial, Professional
Entertainment, Transportation, Communication
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 25
2000 2010 2020 2030
Log
Entities
6
9
12
15
existing projects
and projection Earth Simulator
Universe Simulation Brain Simulation
Heart Simulation
CBM-based Industry Simulations - 2013?
Every decade both HPC and PC platforms increase complex simulation capabilities by 1000x. - HPC: (2000 106), (2010 109), (2020 1012), (2030 1015) … - PC: (2000 103), (2010 106), (2020 109), (2030 1012) …
Global service system ecology simulator: By 2013? Fundamental to CAD tool development
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 26
II. Some Basics
We are all customers We are all providers We are all students of
service, more or less
More and more of us digitally connect to service networks
Modern service is quantitatively and qualitatively different
Knowledge-Intensive Service Economy Service science is different, it integrates What should a service scientist know? Resources are the building blocks of service
system entities Value propositions are the building blocks of
service system networks Access rights are the building blocks of
service system ecology Relationships are a type of resource too Service and non-service interactions (ISPAR)
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 27
Knowledge-Intensive Service Economy
Service is as old as the division of labor across life cycles
Modern service becomes possible when billions can connect digitally to service networks
The value of new knowledge is enhanced as the pace and frequency of knowledge access and use is accelerated by larger scale service networks
Percentile change in skill descriptions 1969-1999 Based on U.S. Department of Labor’s
Dictionary of Occupational Titles (DOT) From Levy and Marnane (2004),
Autor, Levy Marnane (2003)
Knowledge-Intensive Service Economies (KISE) create jobs that require expert thinking (specialization) and complex communication skills (integration)
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 28
Service science is different, because it integrates… Many say that “service science is just ___<see list of disciplines below>____” Most like general systems theory (abstract) and systems engineering (applied)
A Service System is Complex
Operations R
esearch …
Industrial Engineering
Systems Engineering
Organization Theory
Econom
ics & Law
Multi-agent S
ystems
Information M
anagement
Gam
e Theory
Managem
ent Science
Mngm
nt of Info Sys (M
IS)
General System
s Theory
Anthropology
CS
/Artificial Intelligences
Information S
cience
Social S
cience/ Poli-S
ci
Cognitive S
cience/Psych
Marketing
Operations M
ngmnt …
Most disciplines specialize… Service science integrates
Service system entities are dynamic configurations of resources… people, technology, organizations, shared information (e.g., language, laws, measures, models, processes, policies, relationships, rights, etc.) connected to other service system entities by value propositions for the purpose of value-cocreation relationships, with governance mechanisms for dispute resolution.
Queuing Theory
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 29
What should a service scientist know?
I. Theoretical & Practical Foundations 1. Concepts & Questions 2. Tools & Methods
II. Disciplines & Expert Thinking 3. History & Evolution: Economics & Law 4. Customer: Marketing & Quality Measure 5. Provider: Operations & Productivity Measure 6. Authority: Governance & Compliance Measure 7. Competitor: Design & Sustainable Innovation Measure 8. Privileged Access: Anthropology & People Resources 9. Owned Outright: Engineering & Technology Resources 10. Shared Access: Computing & Information Resources 11. Leased/Contract: Sourcing & Organization Resources 12. Future & Investment: Management & Strategy
III. Professions & Complex Communication 13. Mindset & Entrepreneurship 14. Science & Leadership For a service science outline and 200+ annotated references, refer to: http://www.cob.sjsu.edu/ssme/refmenu.asp
T-shaped professionals are aware and in high demand because they have both depth and breadth
They combine expert thinking (depth in one or more areas) and complex communications (breadth across many areas)
complex communication
expert thinking
Courtesy of Jean Paul Jacob
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 30
Resources are the building blocks of service systems entities
Formal service systems can contract Informal service systems can promise/commit
Trends & Countertrends (Evolve and Balance): Informal <> Formal Social <> Economic
Political <> Legal Routine Cognitive Labor <> Computation
Routine Physical Labor <> Technology Transportation (Atoms) <> Communication (Bits)
Qualitative (Tacit) <> Quantitative (Explicit)
First foundational premise of service science:
Service system entities dynamically configure
four types of resources
The named resource is Physical
or Not-Physical
(physicists resolve disputes)
The named resource has Rights
or No-Rights
(judges resolve disputes within their jurisdictions)
operant operand
Physical
Not-Physical
Rights No-Rights
2. Technology
4.. Shared Information
1. People
3. Organizations
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 31
Value propositions are the building blocks of service system networks
Second foundational premise of service science:
Service system entities calculate value from multiple
stakeholder perspectives
A value propositions can be viewed as a request from
one service system to another to run an algorithm
(the value proposition) from the perspectives of
multiple stakeholders according to culturally determined
value principles. The four primary stakeholder perspectives are: customer,
provider, authority, and competitor
Stakeholder Perspective (the players)
Measure Impacted
Pricing Decision
Basic Questions
Value Proposition Reasoning
1.Customer Quality (Revenue)
Value Based
Should we? (offer it)
Model of customer: Do customers want it? Is there a market? How large? Growth rate?
2.Provider Productivity (Profit)
Cost Plus
Can we? (deliver it)
Model of self: Does it play to our strengths? Can we deliver it profitably to customers? Can we continue to improve?
3.Authority Compliance (Taxes and Fines)
Regulated May we? (offer and deliver it)
Model of authority: Is it legal? Does it compromise our integrity in any way? Does it create a moral hazard?
4.Competitor (Substitute)
Sustainable Innovation (Market share)
Strategic Will we? (invest to make it so)
Model of competitor: Does it put us ahead? Can we stay ahead? Does it differentiate us from the competition?
Value propositions coordinate & motivate resource access
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 32
Access rights are the building blocks of service system ecology
Access rights Access to resources that are owned
outright (i.e., property)
Access to resource that are leased/contracted for (i.e., rental car, home ownership via mortgage, insurance policies, etc.)
Shared access (i.e., roads, web information, air, etc.)
Privileged access (i.e., personal thoughts, inalienable kinship relationships, etc.)
service = value-cocreation B2B B2C B2G G2C G2B G2G C2C C2B C2G ***
provider resources Owned Outright Leased/Contract Shared Access
Privileged Access
customer resources Owned Outright Leased/Contract Shared Access
Privileged Access
OO
SA PA
LC OO LC
SA PA
S A P C Competitor Provider Customer Authority
value-proposition change-experience dynamic-configurations
(substitute)
time
Third foundational premise of service science:
The access rights associated with customer and provider resources
are reconfigured by mutually agreed to value propositions
relationships
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 33
Relationships are a type of resource too…
A. Service Provider
• Individual • Organization • Public or Private
C. Service Target: The reality to be transformed or operated on by A, for the sake of B
• People, dimensions of • Business, dimensions of • Products, goods and material systems • Information, codified knowledge
B. Service Client
• Individual • Organization • Public or Private
Forms of Ownership Relationship
(B on C)
Forms of Service Relationship
(A & B co-create value)
Forms of Responsibility Relationship
(A on C)
Forms of Service Interventions
(A on C, B on C)
- Based on Gadrey (2002)
“… the important distinction is that the relationship has become a resource in itself… thus the returns have now more to do with extending the scope, content and process of the relationship.”
Bryson, Daniels and Warf “Service Worlds”
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 34
Service and non-service interactions (ISPAR)
Four possible outcomes from a two player game
ISPAR generalizes to ten possible outcomes
win-win: 1,2,3 lose-lose: 5,6, 7, maybe 4,8,10 lose-win: 9, maybe 8, 10 win-lose: maybe 4
1
3
2 5 6
4
10 9
8
ISPAR descriptive model
lose-win (coercion)
win-win (value-cocreation)
lose-lose (co-destruction)
win-lose (loss-lead)
Win Lose
Provider
Lose Win Customer
7
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 35
Culturally-based Value Principles
Efficiency (Conserve Resources)
Reducing costs of communication and transportation has a huge impact on value creation potential
Cost of storage, processing, and communication of information
Cost of storage, processing, and transportation of physical
Transaction costs in social system reduction (by firm or market) has a huge impact on value-cocreation potential (the amount of trust and compliance in the system, to reduce governance costs)
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 36
III. Short History
The last five years US News America COMPETES Act SSMED summary
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 37
Global Change and SSMED
In 2006 the service sector’s share of global employment overtook agric. for the first time, increasing from 39.5% to 40%. Agric.decreased from 39.7% to 38.7%. The industry sector accounted for 21.3% of total employment. - International Labour Organization
Germany $87M Innovation with Services EU $100M NESSI pending China 5 Yr Plan Modern Services Japan $30M Service Productivity US $4M+ NSF SEE HR 2272/1106 . . . And More! Related activities to date
- ACM, IEEE, INFORMS, SRII SIGs - 130 Programs, 44 Countries - Over 100 conference and journal papers - >100 Press, >10,000 Web site mentions - IBM – 400 Service Researchers WW
What is SSMED really? - Focus on service innovation - Proto-discipline & professions - Research area
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 38
US News – Smart Choices Graduate Engineering
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING It's a growing field, and engineers are
needed to clean up existing pollution problems and prevent future ones.
SERVICE SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT, AND ENGINEERING (SSME)
This emerging discipline is getting a big push from industry, including IBM and Hewlett-Packard. SSME combines engineering, computer science, economics, and management to improve the service sector.
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/edu/grad/articles/brief/gbeng_brief_2.php http://www3.brookings.edu/metro/pubs/20070904_gleiecosystem.pdf
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 39
The U.S. National Innovation Investment Act (America COMPETES)
US House and Senate voted to approve on August 2nd,, 2007; President has signed.
SEC. 1005. STUDY OF SERVICE SCIENCE.
(a) Sense of Congress- It is the sense of Congress that, in order to strengthen the competitiveness of United States enterprises and institutions and to prepare the people of the United States for high-wage, high-skill employment, the Federal Government should better understand and respond strategically to the emerging management and learning discipline known as service science.
(b) Study- Not later than 270 days after the date of enactment of this Act, the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, through the National Academy of Sciences, shall conduct a study and report to Congress regarding how the Federal Government should support, through research, education, and training, the emerging management and learning discipline known as service science.
(c) Outside Resources- In conducting the study under subsection (b), the National Academy of Sciences shall consult with leaders from 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education, as defined in section 101(a) of the Higher Education Act of 1965 (20 U.S.C. 1001(a)), leaders from corporations, and other relevant parties.
(d) Service Science Defined- In this section, the term `service science' means curricula, training, and research programs that are designed to teach individuals to apply scientific, engineering, and management disciplines that integrate elements of computer science, operations research, industrial engineering, business strategy, management sciences, and social and legal sciences, in order to encourage innovation in how organizations create value for customers and shareholders that could not be achieved through such disciplines working in isolation.
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/F?c110:5:./temp/~c110nPy6Rp:e19768:
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 40
IV. Why Now?
Modern service networks -digitally connected services for billions of people
Billions of people digitally connected Millions of organizations too Trillions of devices Quadrillions of concept-concept pairs
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 41
Nation Labor %
A %
G %
S %
Service Growth
China 21.0 50 15 35 191%
India 17.0 60 17 23 28%
U.S. 4.8 3 27 70 21%
Indonesia 3.9 45 16 39 35%
Brazil 3.0 23 24 53 20%
Russia 2.5 12 23 65 38%
Japan 2.4 5 25 70 40%
Nigeria 2.2 70 10 20 30%
Bangladesh 2.2 63 11 26 30%
Germany 1.4 3 33 64 44%
Ten Nations Total 50% of World Wide Labor
A = Agriculture, G = Goods, S = Services 1980-2005 PC Age
2005 United States
The largest labor force migration in human history is underway, driven by global
communications, business and technology growth, urbanization and low cost labor
(A) Agriculture: Value from
harvesting nature
(G) Goods: Value from
making products
(S) Services: Value from enhancing the
capabilities of things (customizing, distributing, etc.) and interactions between things
The economic change we all know… The small “other” category emerges as a dominant
International Labor Organization
US Employment History & Trends
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 42
In 2006 the service sector’s share of global employment overtook agric. for the first time in human history, increasing from 39.5% to 40%. agric.decreased from 39.7% to 38.7%. The industry sector accounted for 21.3% of total employment.
- International Labour Organization
Fact: 2006 was first year that service jobs overtake agriculture jobs world wide
Correlates with growth of More people, more large cities More technology, more global networks More organizations, more wealth More information, more knowledge
Increase in connectedness Billions of people Billions of devices (computers, phones,
TVs, security cameras, routers, etc.) Millions of organizations Quadrillions of symbol-concepts
Increase in interactions Productive (value +) Unproductive (value -)
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 43
Investment is lagging Cannot invest wisely until more systematic understanding
Businesses in the US service sector account for:
More than 2/3 of GDP and jobs
…And yet less than 1/3 of R&D investment
However, measuring R&D investment in service sector is still being refined
Includes and is more than technology innovation investment
Currently, does not lead to as many patents
Frequently depends on new business formation
http://www.nist.gov/director/prog-ofc/report05-1.pdf
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 44
From Saul Griffith, “Visualizing a thousand people”
Recap (1 of 6): Why now? Visualizing a thousand people
People connectedness: Hunter-gatherer clans living off the land, family roles and human life cycle division of labor
Technology connectedness: Simple tools carried with hunting bands/clans
Organization connectedness: Largely isolated bands, conflict typical of encounters
Information connectedness: No written language
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 45
The Company of Strangers : A Natural History of Economic Life by Paul Seabright
“Evolution of Trust: Human beings are the only species in nature to have developed an elaborate division of labor between strangers. Even something as simple as buying a shirt depends on an astonishing web of interaction and organization that spans the world. But unlike that other uniquely human attribute, language, our ability to cooperate with strangers did not evolve gradually through our prehistory. Only 10,000 years ago--a blink of an eye in evolutionary time--humans hunted in bands, were intensely suspicious of strangers, and fought those whom they could not flee. Yet since the dawn of agriculture we have refined the division of labor to the point where, today, we live and work amid strangers and depend upon millions more. Every time we travel by rail or air we entrust our lives to individuals we do not know. What institutions have made this possible?”
Recap (2 of 6): Why now? Evolution of trust
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 46
Recap (3 of 6): Why now? Visualizing a million people
From Saul Griffith, “Visualizing a million people”
People connectedness: Cities concentrate human interactions, and division of labor increases
Technology connectedness: Transportation and utility service infrastructures grow
Organization connectedness: States and businesses interconnect
Information connectedness: Written language
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 47
The Visible Hand: The Managerial Revolution in American Business by Alfred Dupont Chandler
Recap (4 of 6): Why now? Evolution of business organizations
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 48
“Recap (5 of 6): Why now? Visualizing a billion people
From Saul Griffith, “Visualizing a billion people”
People connectedness: Community and information-centric web sites, many large cities
Technology connectedness: Telecommunication, world wide web, global travel
Organization connectedness: Millions of businesses, elaborate state structure, NGOs, etc.
Information connectedness: Digital media, search, entity co-tables (s-webs)
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 49
Estimations based on Porat, M. (1977) Info Economy: Definitions and Measurement
Estimated world (pre-1800) and then U.S. Labor Percentages by Sector
The Pursuit of Organizational Intelligence, By James G. March
The Origin of Wealth by Eric D. Beinhocker
2M years as hunting clans/bands 10K years as farm families 200 years as factory workers 60 years (so far) as knowledge workers in organizations and now digital networks
Recap (6 of 6): Why now? Evolving knowledge-intensive service economy
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 50
IEEE Computer, Jan 2007
What is service science?
Service science is the study of service systems, entities (like people, businesses, government agencies, communities, on-line and off-line, etc.) that dynamically configure resources and interact to cocreate value, via mutually agreed to value propositions, with governance mechanisms to resolve disputes and learn from past experience.
Service networks are revealed patterns of service systems, given an analysis framework.
Service ecology is the study of the evolution of populations of types of service systems, that change over time, giving rise to new types of service systems, value propositions, governance mechanisms, resources, and types of value.
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 51
People
“All the information workers observed experienced a high level of fragmentation in the execution of their activities. People averaged about three minutes on a task and about two minutes on any electronic device or paper document before switching tasks.”
Gloria Mark and Victor M. Gonzalez, authors of “Research on Multi-tasking in the Workplace”
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 52
Families
"The family is the natural and fundamental group unit of society and is entitled to protection by society and the State".
Article 16(3) of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights
“Developing a Family Mission Statement” Stephen R. Covey, author of The 7 Habits of Highly Effective Families
“In the agricultural age, work-life-and-family blended seamlessly.”
IBM GIO 1.0
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 53
Cities
“Cities are the defining artifacts of civilisation. All the achievements and failings of humanity are here… We shape the city, and then it shapes us. Today, almost half the global population lives in cities.”
John Reader, author of Cities
IBM Releases ``IBM and the Future of our Cities'' Podcast
IBM Press Release 2005
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 54
Nations
“Understanding economic change including everything from the rise of the Western world to the demise of the Soviet Union requires that we cast a net much broader than purely economic change because it is a result of changes in (1) the quantity and quality of human beings; (2) in the stock of human knowledge particularly as applied to human command over nature; and (3) the institutional framework that defines the deliberate incentive structure of a society.”
Douglass C. North, author of Understanding the Process of Economic Change
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 55
Businesses
“…of the 100 entities with the largest Gross National Product (GNP), about half were multi-national corporations (MNCs)… The MNCs do not exist on traditional maps.”
Alfred Chandler and Bruce Mazlish, authors of Leviathans
“The corporation has evolved constantly during its long history. The MNC of the late twentieth century … were very different from the great trading enterprises of the 1700s. The type of business organization that is now emerging -- the globally integrated enterprise -- marks just as big a leap. “
Sam Palmisano, CEO IBM in Foreign Affairs
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 56
Universities
“The contemporary American university is in fact a knowledge conglomerate in its extensive activities, and this role is costly to sustain.”
Roger L. Geiger, author of Knowledge and Money: Research Universities and the Paradox of the Marketplace
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 57
Hospitals
“Modern medicine is one of those incredible works of reason: an elaborate system of specialized knowledge, technical procedures, and rules of behavior.”
Paul Starr, author of The Social Transformation of American Medicine
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 58
Call Centers
“Call Centers For Dummies helps put a value on customer relations efforts undertaken in call centers and helps managers implement new strategies for continual improvement of customer service.”
Réal Bergevin, author of Call Centers For Dummies
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 59
Data Centers
“All data centers are unique, but they all share the same mission: to protect your company’s valuable information.”
Douglas Alger, author of Build the Best Data Center Facility for Your Business
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 60
V. Ongoing Debate
What is service What is science What is best way to
proceed
Two dominant views of service Two dominant views of innovation Two dominant views of SSMED as science Customer versus engineering focus Marketing versus operations focus Education versus management focus SSME versus SSMED Integrating disciplines: pairs versus lists People are not resources What kind of systems are service
systems? Abstract versus pragmatic Doable versus too hard
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 61
Visit us in San Jose, CA USA
IBM Almaden Research Center
One of eight main IBM Research labs worldwide
Questions?
Email: [email protected] Blog: http://forums.thesrii.org/blog?blog.id=main_blog Service Research: http://www.almaden.ibm.com/asr/ Service Innovation: http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/ssme/
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 62
SSMED Emerging
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 63
“Half of the world’s languages will disappear by 2100”
Are the number of languages increasing or decreasing?
What about disciplinary and professional languages?
One symbol-concept pair about every 10 seconds
Language Evolution
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 64
The Mechanisms of Economic Evolution
Standard operating procedures are passed down from one generation to the next
Successful processes can be copied, though transfer is not costless
Learning curves Patent protection
Evolution of firms … best understood through an examination of history
“If the adaptation of both the business firm and biological species to their respective environments are instances of heuristic search… we will still have to account for the mechanisms that bring the adaptation about. In biology the mechanism is located in the genes and their success reproducing themselves. What is the gene’s counterpart in the business firm?
Nelson and Winter suggest that business firms accomplish most of their work through standard operating procedures – algorithms for making daily decisions that become routinized and are handed down from one generation of executives and employees to the next.”
- Herb Simon, Sciences of the Artificial, pg. 48
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 65
Test
© 2005 IBM Corporation Service Research and Innovation | Service Science Management Engineering and Design © 2008 IBM Corporation 66
Test