SP-645 - 2nd IAASS Conference July 2007 Proceedings of the 2nd IAASS Conference “Space Safety in a...
Transcript of SP-645 - 2nd IAASS Conference July 2007 Proceedings of the 2nd IAASS Conference “Space Safety in a...
SP-645
Proceedings of the
2nd IAASS Conference“Space Safety in a Global World”
14–16 May 2007Chicago, USA
SP-645 July 2007
Proceedings of the
2nd IAASS Conference “Space Safety in a Global World”
14–16 May 2007 Chicago, USA
Sponsored by ESA NASA JAXA ROSCOSMOS
Co-Chairs: T. Sgobba (IAASS President) J. Bosma (ESA) H. Hasegawa (JAXA) B. O’Connor (NASA) S. Sharigin (FSA) Members: F. Albi (F) W. Ailor (US) D. Bohle (D) N. Bahr (US) V. Chang (CA) R. Chrostowski (US) M. Ciancone (US) M. Ferrante (I) M. Frank (US) J. Frost (US) J. Fragola (US) T. Heller (D) J. Haber (US) J. Holsomback (US)
R. Jakhu (CA) R. Johnson (US) P. Kirkpatrick (US) N. Leveson (US) A. Larsen (US) T. Maniwa (JP) C. Moura (BR) A. Menzel (D) S. Newman (US) G. Ortega (SP) T. Pfitzer (US) J. Pelton (US) C. Preyssl (A) G. Reitz (D)
Y. Sato (JP) S. Simpson (US) M. Stametelatos (US) R. Stuart (US) L. Summerer (A) C. Shivers (US) A. Soons (NL) J-P. Trinchero (F) N. Takeuchi (JP) W. Vantine (US) P. Vorobiev (RU) P. Wilde (US) L. Winzer (D) J. Wade (US)
Co-Chair Special Sessions on Materials Safety: M. Pedley (NASA) Members: T. De Rooj (NL) D. Griffin (US) K. McGinnis (US) S. Tachihara (JP) Publication Proceedings of the 2nd IAASS Conference “Space Safety in a Global World”
Chicago, USA (ESA SP-645, July 2007)
Edited by D. Danesy
Published and distributed by ESA Communication Production Office ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands
Price EUR 70
ISBN ISSN
92-9291-209-5 1609-042X
Copyright 2007 European Space Agency
CONTENTS
Plenary Session
Session 1: Legal and Regulatory Issues – Part 1 Chairs: R. Jakhu & J. Pelton
DEVELOPING COMMERCIAL HUMAN SPACE FLIGHT REGULATIONS K. Wong
SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT, REGULATIONS NEEDS FOR SPACE SAFETY IN THE LIGHT OF THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS: EARTH, THE MOON AND MARS A. Schoenmaker
Session 2: Organisational Culture and Safety – Part 1 Chairs: J. Holsomback & J. Frost
ORGANISATIONAL AND CULTURAL ROLES IN SAFETY FAILURES IN HIGH CONSEQUENCE OPERATIONS M. Jones
RISK ANALYSIS USING MODELING AND SIMULATION OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE AND BEHAVIOR A. Silbovitz
SAFETY EXCELLENCE D.K.H. Bohle, P. Hampe & J. Lenic
Session 3: Microbiological Risk and Control Chairs: W. Wong & M. Pedley
MONITORING OF MICROBIAL CONTAMINATION DEVELOPMENT IN CLOSED SPACE CABINS BY ELECTRONIC NOSE TECHNOLOGY K. Hettwer, J. Warrelmann, J. Lenic & D. Bohle
BIOSAFETY ASSESSMENT OF PAYLOADS CONTAINING BIOLOGICAL MATERIALS D. Pierson & W. Wong
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Session 4: Designing Safety into Space Vehicles – Part 1 Chairs: A. Menzel & R. Chrostowski
STRUCTURAL DESIGN OF GLASS AND CERAMIC COMPONENTS FOR SPACE SYSTEM SAFETY K.S. Bernstein
ATV SAFETY CONCEPTS R. Chase, F. Festa, H. Wartenberg & J. Gary
SAFETY ANALYSIS FOR THE ATV PROPULSION AND RE-BOOST SUBSYSTEM T. Rieger, I. Ahrens, R. Reschke & J. Schwarzer
Session 5: Human Error Prevention – Part 1 Chairs: N. Bahr & J. Dollberg
WHY SMART PEOPLE DO DUMB THINGS AND HOW TO AVOID THE SAME MISTAKES J. Hopkins
INFORMATION ALIGNMENT AND DISTRIBUTED HUMAN COORDINATION OF SAFETY CRITICAL SYSTEMS B.S. Caldwell, R.C. Palmer III, C. Kokini, K.S. Byrd, L. Ignacio, J.C. Onken
Session 6: Legal and Regulatory Issues – Part 2 Chairs: T. Pfitzer & J. Bosma
SPACE PLANES AND SPACE TOURISM: DEVELOPING NEW SAFETY STANDARDS & REGULATIONS J.N. Pelton
ASTROREGS: THE “RULES OF THE ROAD” IN OUTER SPACE J.R. Zissu
ARE THE CURRENT INTERNATIONAL SPACE TREATIES SUFFICIENT TO REGULATE SPACE SAFETY, AND ESTABLISH RESPONSIBILITY AND LIABILITY? R.S. Jakhu & Y.O.M. Nyampong
INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION FOR ADVANCEMENT OF SPACE SAFETY (IAASS) INDEPENDENT SPACE SAFETY BOARD C. Grayson
Session 7: Organisational Culture and Safety – Part 2 Chairs: B. O’Connor & J. Frost
SUSTANING NASA’S SAFETY CULTURE THROUGH EFFECTIVE TEAM DEBRIEFINGS AND INDIVIDUAL TEAM MEMBER SELF-ASSESSMENTS D.G. Rogers
PANEL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT (PRM) IMPLEMENTATION AND EFFECTS WITHIN SAFETY REVIEW PANELS R.W. Taylor & S.K. Nash
DEVELOPING A SYSTEMATIC APPROACH FOR INDEPENDENT CONFORMITY ASSESSMENT: THE BRAZILIAN CASE M. Niwa & C.A.T. Moura
ENHANCING THE NASA EXPENDABLE LAUNCH VEHICLE PAYLOAD SAFETY REVIEW PROCESS THROUGH PROGRAM ACTIVITIES T.E. Palo
Session 8: Missions Operations Safety & Safety of Extravehicular Activity (EVA) Chairs: H. Hasegawa & M. Childress
ESA SAFETY SUPPORT TO MISSIONS OPERATIONS V. Favia & A. Herd
EVA HAZARDS DUE TO TPS INSPECTION AND REPAIR C. E. Stewart
COLUMBUS-CONTROL CENTRE (COL-CC) THE FOCUS FOR COLUMBUS SAFE OPERATIONS - AN OVERVIEW FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE FLIGHT DIRECTORS AND THE ESA MISSION PA & SAFETY MANAGEMENT G.C. Morzuch & A. Büchel
FLIGHT CONTROLLER INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY USE FOR TASK COORDINATION IN MISSION OPERATIONS B.S. Caldwell, K.S. Byrd & J.C. Onken
Session 9: Designing Safety into Space Vehicles – Part 2 Chairs: R. Chrostowski & F. Festa
RISK ASSESSMENT CHALLENGES IN THE ARES I UPPER STAGE J.E. Stott, R.W. Ring, H.A. Elrada & F. Hark
DESIGNING SAFETY INTO SPACE VEHICLES THROUGH GROUND CREW FACTORS T.S. Barth & B.G. Kanki
SPACECRAFT SURVIVABILITY ENGINEERING: A LOCKHEED MARTIN INNOVATION ENHANCING TRADITIONAL HAZARD CONTROL APPROACHES M.K. Saemisch & M.S. Buchanan
Session 10: Human Error Prevention – Part 2 Chairs: T. Heller & N. Bahr
TEAMWORK A KEY COMPONENT IN AEROSPACE FLIGHT SAFETY EFFORTS J.M. Livingston & J.C. Wetherholt
THE SYMBIOTIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ASTRONAUT PROGRAM AND SPACE TOURISM DEVELOPMENT – A THIRD WORLD PERSPECTIVE N.R. Zakaria, D.R. Zahari, A.A.A. Majid & J. Othman
Session 11: Space Debris Hazard – Part 1 Chairs: W. Ailor & F. Alby
THE DISPOSAL OF SPACECRAFT AND LAUNCH VEHICLE STAGES IN LOW EARTH ORBIT N.L. Johnson
LASER TIME-TAGGING OF SPACE OBJECTS IMAGES M. Nemec, I. Procházka, K. Hamal, G. Kirchner, F. Koidl & W.G. Voller
PROTECTION OF SPACE VEHICLES FROM MICROMETEOROID/ORBITAL DEBRIS (MMOD) DAMAGES S. Barr
RORSAT NAK COOLANT LOCATION AND DISTRIBUTION F. Muse
Session 12: Safety Risk Management – Part 1 Chairs: J. Frost & S. Newman
REDEFINING SAFETY L.B. Sirota
A CLASSIFICATION OF OPEN-LOOP AND CLOSED-LOOP RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIONS B.D. Owens, J.R. Laracy, M. Stringfellow Herring & N.G. Leveson
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY AND INCREASED NARRATIVE SYNTHESIS CAN ENHANCE CRITICAL DECISION MAKING FOR SPACE EXPLORATION J.S. Newman, D. Vecellio & J.D. Hawley
BEYOND SPREADSHEETS: DATABASE SHARING D.R. Baillie
Session 13: Safety on Long Duration Manned Missions – Part 1 Chairs: C. Shivers & J. Wade
COMPONENT AND SYSTEM PRESSURE INTEGRITY VERIFICATION FOR CREW SAFETY ON LONG DURATION MISSION MANNED SPACECRAFT O. Lvovsky, & S. Underwood
THE INCORPORATION OF MEDICAL EMERGENCY EVENT SEQUENCES INTO THE INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL R.J. Haines
Session 14: Designing Safety into Space Vehicles & Crew Escape Systems Chairs: J. Fragola & H. Taylor
“DESIGN FOR RELIABILITY AND SAFETY” APPROACH FOR THE NEW NASA LAUNCH VEHICLE F.M. Safie & D.M. Weldon
HAZARDS, SAFETY AND DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS FOR LITHIUM-ION CELLS AND BATTERIES J.A. Jeevarajan
CREW ESCAPE RISK ENVELOPE ASSESSMENTS FOR CANDIDATE CEV LAUNCH SYSTEMS DURING ASCENT C.J. Freitas, R.M. Keedy & L.J. Langston
Session 15: Materials Safety – Part 1 Chairs: M. Pedley & K. McGinnis
METAL COATED RAPID PROTOTYPE MATERIALS FOR SPACEFLIGHT APPLICATIONS: LOW COST, INTRICATE SLA PARTS WITH ‘A’ RATED FLAMMABILITY AND TOXIC OFFGASSING G. Funk
INTERRELATIONSHIP OF NONDESTRUCTIVE EVALUATION METHODOLOLOGIES APPLIED TO TESTING OF COMPOSITE OVERWRAPPED PRESSURE VESSELS M.R. Leifeste, N.J. Greene & T.B. Yoder
ELECTRICAL ARC IGNITION TESTING OF SPACESUIT MATERIALS S. Smith, T. Gallus, S. Harper, E. Ball & H. Beeson
Session 16: Space Debris Hazards – Part 2 Chairs: F. Alby & W. Ailor
PROTECTING SPACECRAFT AGAINST MMOD IMPACT DAMAGE: ARE SPHERES REALLY THE CORRECT SHAPE TO USE IN IMPACT PREDICTIONS? W.P. Schonberg & J.E. Williamsen
ANALYSING THE RISK INCREASE IN LEO DUE TO RECENT MAJOR FRAGMENTATION EVENTS H. Krag, H. Klinkrad, M. Oswald, S. Stabroth & C. Wiedemann
Session 17: Safety Risk Management – Part 2 Chairs: J. Frost & V. Chang
OPERATIONS PROCEDURE VALIDATION AS A RISK MITIGATION APPROACH AND ITS RELEVANCE TO SAFETY S. Challis, K.-U. Peters & A. Herd
MANAGING RISK WITHIN A DECISION ANALYSIS FRAMEWORK H. Dezfuli, R. Youngblood & J. Reinert
RAIL RISK BEST PRACTICE - CROSS SECTORAL LESSONS TO BE LEARNED? P. Bews, M. Gonzalez-Palacio, M. Davis & A. Herd
Session 18: Safety on Long Duration Manned Missions – Part 2 Chairs: M. Azeev & M. Schwartz
MERITS OF A SINGLE SYSTEM FOR UNITS OF MEASURE FOR COMPLEX SPACE SYSTEMS S. Barr
HUMAN-IN-THE-LOOP HAZARD APPROACH FOR LONG-DURATION SPACE EXPLORATION B.D. Krolczyk
Session 19: Safety Critical Software – Part 1 Chairs: N. Dulac & L. Winzer
HOW TO GUARANTEE AND IMPROVE THE SAFETY OF CRITICAL SOFTWARE P. Gast, D. Dalemagne, F. Dubuc & E. Zekri
Session 20: Launch Range Safety – Part 1 Chairs: J.-P. Trinchero & J. Haber
DETERMINATION OF MAXIMUM PROBABLE LOSS J.D. Collins, C.P. Brinkman & S.L. Carbon
SOYUZ LAUNCHER FROM FRENCH GUYANA: FLIGHT SAFETY ASPECTS FOR AN EXISTING RELIABLE LAUNCHER I. Rongier, M.-H. Arnal, J. Oswald & S. Louvel
Session 21: Space Debris Hazards – Part 3 Chairs: H. Krag & W. Ailor
ASSESSMENT OF ORBIT UNCERTAINTIES FOR COLLISION RISK PREDICTIONS AT ESA H. Krag, H. Klinkrad & J.R. Alarcón-Rodríguez
Session 22: Safety Risk Assessment & Management – Part 1 Chairs: W. Vantine & T. Heimann
A FORMAL MODELING APPROACH TO RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SPACE EXPLORATION SYSTEMS N. Dulac, B.D. Owens, N.G. Leveson & J.S. Carroll
PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT FOR JAPANESE EXPERIMENT MODULE S. Takada, T. Fukatsu, N. Takeuchi, M. Miki, S. Yoshikawa & Y. Sato
ENGINEERING AND SAFETY PARTNERSHIP ENHANCES SAFETY OF THE SPACE SHUTTLE PROGRAM (SSP) A. Duarte
Session 23: Radiation Hazard & Space Weather Forecast Chairs: G. Reitz & F. Cucinotta
SHIELDING FROM COSMIC RADIATION FOR INTERPLANETARY MISSIONS M. Durante
Session 24: Safety Critical Software – Part 2 Chairs: L. Winzer & B. Owens
DEVELOPING SAFETY-CRITICAL SOFTWARE REQUIREMENTS FOR COMMERCIAL REUSABLE LAUNCH VEHICLES D.P. Murray & T.L. Hardy
INTEGRATED TOTAL SYSTEM (ITS) FAULT TREE ANALYSIS (FTA) J.W. McIntee Jr.
FILLING THE ASSURANCE GAP ON COMPLEX ELECTRONICS R.A. Plastow
Session 25: Launch Range Safety – Part 2 Chairs: T. Pfitzer & P. Wilde
LONG RANGE SAFETY AROUND THE FIRST ISS REFUELING EUROPEAN LAUNCH MISSION A5ES-ATV J. Droz, C. Leveau & A. Dartigalongue
USE OF THE JULIER-ULHMANN TRANSFORM FOR RAPID COMPUTATION OF DEBRIS IMPACT DISPERSIONS J.B. Lyle
Session 26: Legal and Regulatory Issues – Part 3 Chairs: J. Pelton & R. Jakhu
AN ICAO FOR SPACE? T. Sgobba
UNIQUE PUBLIC SAFETY ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITH ROCKET SHOWS J.R. Repcheck
HUMAN VULNERABILITY J.M. Haber, T. Hasselman & G. Lloyd
Session 27: Safety Risk Assessment – Part 2 Chairs: D. Bohle & T. Heimann
A FISHBONE PROCESS FOR SPACE LAUNCH VEHICLE AND GROUND SUPPORT SYSTEMS HAZARD ANALYSIS V. Srinath & P.E. Iyengar
PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL DEVELOPMENT, PROGRAMMATIC IMPLEMENTATION & APPLICATIONS IN SYSTEM SAFETY R.J. Haines
THE MULTI AGENT STRESS-STRENGTH MODEL RESEARCH FOR COMPUTER BASED SPACECRAFT HAZARD IDENTIFICATION R. Sekita, H. Hasegawa & Y. Oyatsu
Session 28: Spacecraft Re-entry Chairs: W. Ailor & H. Krag
A COMPARISON OF THE RISKS CAUSED BY DEBRIS FROM SPACECRAFT RE-ENTRY AND METEORITE FALLS B. Lazare & F. Alby
SPACE CAPSULE RECOVERY BY ISRO V. Krishnamurty, N. Narasaiah & JVN Ravi Kumar
SAFE SPACECRAFT RE-ENTRY: OUTSTANDING THERMO-PHYSICAL PROBLEMS AND POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS E. Litovsky, V. Issoupov, J.I. Kleiman & N. Menn
CONTROLLED DEORBIT OF THE DELTA IV UPPER STAGE FOR THE DMSP-17 MISSION R.P. Patera, K.R. Bohman, M.A. Landa, C. Pao, R.T. Urbano, M.A. Weaver & D.C. White
Session 29: Space Material Safety – Part 2 Chairs: M. Pedley & S. Tachiara
SEPARATING PHYSICAL VARIABILITY FROM KNOWLEDGE UNCERTAINTY: APPROACHES AND CRITICAL IMPLICATIONS TO SPACECRAFT MATERIAL RELIABILITY B. Vesely
INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION MATERIALS – SELECTED LESSONS LEARNED J.L. Golden
POLYMERIC MATERIALS FOR SPACECRAFTS WITH NUCLEAR REACTOR. REQUIREMENTS FOR RADIATION TESTS. RUSSIAN NATIONAL STANDARD B.A. Briskman
Session 30: Future Launch Range Safety Chairs: P. Wilde & J.-P. Trinchero
AIR TRAFFIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR FUTURE SPACEPORTS D.P. Murray & R.E. Ellis
UNDERWATER OCEAN SONIC BOOM MODELING SUMMARY REPORT C.P. Griffice & J.C. Wang
PREDICTION OF EXPLOSIVE HAZARD POTENTIAL FOR REUSABLE LAUNCH VEHICLES C.J. Freitas & S. Chocron
Session 31: Payload Safety Chairs: A. Larson & M. Ciancone
PAYLOAD INTEGRATED SAFETY ASPECTS T. Heller
HUBBLE SPACE TELESCOPE SERVICING MISSION 4 SAFETY - NEW, OLD, AND IMPROVED R. Dedalis, B. Jones & P. Mitchell
CERTIFICATION PROCESS FOR COMMERCIAL BATTERIES FOR PAYLOADS J.A. Jeevarajan
ACTIVITIES OF SYSTEM SAFETY FOR SATELLITE DEVELOPMENTS IN MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORPORATION Y. Mori, T. Kiyokawa, T. Gonai & H. Yamazaki
Session 32: Safety Risk Assessment – Part 3 Chairs: J. Fragola & S. Takada
ON-GROUND RISK ESTIMATION FOR SCIENTIFIC BALLOON FLIGHTS IN FRANCE N. Fuentes Dargelos-Descoubez
VALUING AND AGGREGATING EVIDENCE IN ASSESSING MISSION ALTERNATIVES: AN APPLICATION OF EVIDENCE EVALUATION W. Vesely
Session 33: Ground Safety Chairs: P. Kirkpatrick & J.-P. Trinchero
ANALYTICAL MODELING OF LOX/LH2 AND LOX/RP1 EXPLOSIONS A. Bavandi
PROPELLANT ANALYSIS AND DISTILLATION UNIT DESIGN M.H. Barragan, C. Spangler & L.K. Barrera
TRAINING THE CREW FOR SAFETY / SAFETY OF CREW TRAINING, AN INTEGRATED PROCESS J.-B. Marciacq & L. Bessone
DEVELOPING STRATEGIES FOR IMPROVED INFORMATION ACCESS BY GROUND OPERATIONS TECHNICIANS B.S. Caldwell, K.S. Byrd & A. Savoy
Session 34: Space Material Safety – Part 3 Chairs: D. Griffin & A. de Rooij
NASA-STD-(I)-6016, STANDARD MATERIALS AND PROCESSES REQUIREMENTS FOR SPACECRAFT M.D. Pedley & D.E. Griffin
EVALUATION TEST RESULT OF THE FIRE CONTAINMENT CAPABILITY OF CONTAINERS S. Tachihara, N. Takeuchi & Y. Matsuo
MITIGATING AND PREVENTING THE GROWTH OF TIN AND OTHER METAL WHISKERS ON CRITICAL HARDWARE S. Barr
GUIDE FOR OXYGEN COMPATIBILITY ASSESSMENTS ON OXYGEN COMPONENTS AND SYSTEMS K.R. Rosales, M.S. Shoffstall & J.M. Stoltzfus
Session 35: Spacecraft Re-entry – Part 1 Chairs: T. Lips & F. Alby
ARIANE-5 EPC RE-ENTRY — A COMPARISON OF OBSERVATIONS AND SCARAB SIMULATION RESULTS T. Lips, B. Fritsche, G. Koppenwallner & C. Leveau
RE-ENTRY SURVIVABILITY OF REACTION WHEEL DESIGNS B. Bialke
A MODERATE RISK, LOW MASS CONCEPT TO DE-ORBIT THE HUBBLE SPACE TELESCOPE USING AN ELECTRO-DYNAMIC TETHER J. Abrams
Session 36: Nuclear Safety for Space Systems Chairs: V.Favia & J. Dollberg
INADVERTENT EARTH REENTRY BREAKUP ANALYSIS FOR THE NEW HORIZONS MISSION L. Ling, A. Salama, M. Ivanov & A. McRonald
Session 37: Safety Risk Assessment – Part 4 Chairs: J. Fragola & T. Heimann
RELATIVE RISK EVALUATIONS OF CONCEPTUAL SPACECRAFT DESIGNS W. Vesely
APPLYING THE CONCEPT OF RELIABILITY-ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS TO SPACE SYSTEM SAFETY AND RELIABILITY U.K. Rakowsky
Session 38: Launch Range Safety Chairs: J. Haber & F.Festa
RANGE SAFETY REQUIREMENTS AND METHODS FOR UNGUIDED SUBORBITAL ROCKET LAUNCHES P.D. Wilde
Session 39: Space Material Safety – Part 4 Chairs: S. Tachihara & K. McGinnis
OXYGEN CONCENTRATION FLAMMABILITY THRESHOLDS OF SELECTED AEROSPACE MATERIALS CONSIDERED FOR THE CONSTELLATION PROGRAM D.B. Hirsch, J.H. Williams, S.A. Harper, H. Beeson & M.D. Pedley
SAFELY CONTAINING FRANGIBLE MATERIALS USED IN SPACE FLIGHT EQUIPMENT K.S. Bernstein
Session 40: Spacecraft Re-entry – Part 2 Chairs: G. Ortega & T. Lips
VEHICLE BREAKUP/BURNUP ANALYSIS FOR AN ANOMALOUS STARDUST ENTRY IN THE EARTH RETURN PHASE M. Ivanov, L. Ling & A. Salama
RE-ENTRY RISK ASSESSMENT FOR LAUNCHERS – DEVELOPMENT OF THE NEW SCARAB 3.1L T. Lips, B. Fritsche, M. Homeister, G. Koppenwallner, H. Klinkrad & M. Toussaint
COMMON RISK CRITERIA FOR U.S. NATIONAL RANGES -- AN UPDATE C. Cather & J.M. Haber
Additional Material LIST OF PARTICIPANTS (PDF)