Southern Africa Drought - GDACS · 2020. 1. 24. · South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe), Divisions...

1
Mali ECHO 2014 activities Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – DG ECHO Daily Map | 24/01/2020 Southern Africa | Drought and potential impact on 2020 food security © European Union, 2020. Map produced by the JRC. The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union. Mozambique Channel SOUTH WEST INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN Precipitation condition during crop planting (SPI) 1 Oct-Dec 2019 Source: JRC GDO Extremely dry Severely dry Moderately dry Near normal Moderately wet Severely wet Extremely wet No data TANZANIA DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO Mozambique Channel SOUTH WEST INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN Cabinda (ANGOLA) 1 SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) is used to monitor the occurrence of meteorological drought. The lower (i.e. more negative) the SPI, the more intense is the drought. 2 fAPAR (fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation) anomaly represents the fraction of the solar energy absorbed by leaves. fAPAR anomalies (i.e. the negative deviations from the long term average over the same period) are a good indicator of drought impacts on vegetation. Current vegetation status (fAPAR anomaly) 2 1-10 Jan 2020 Source: JRC GDO Productivity lower than normal Productivity higher than normal Near normal No data < 100,000 100,000 – 500,000 500,000 – 1 million 1 – 3 million 5 – 10 million Estimated population in need of emergency food assistance* Jan-Dec 2020 Source: FEWS NET Disputed area State border Administrative division** border Main water reservoir *Population likely to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3 ) or worse acute food insecurity in the absence of emergency food assistance. **Regions (Namibia, Malawi), Provinces (Angola, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe), Divisions (Botswana). Not including Lesotho and Eswatini administrative divisions. Temperature anomaly forecast for crop growing season Feb-Apr 2020 Source: Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S ), ECMWF 0 to +0.5 °C +0.5 to +1 °C +1 to +2 °C Precipitation anomaly forecast for crop growing season Feb-Apr 2020 Source: Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S ), ECMWF 0 to -50 mm -50 to -100 mm -100 to -200 mm No anomaly Mozambique Channel SOUTH WEST INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN Mozambique Channel SOUTH WEST INDIAN OCEAN SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN

Transcript of Southern Africa Drought - GDACS · 2020. 1. 24. · South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe), Divisions...

Page 1: Southern Africa Drought - GDACS · 2020. 1. 24. · South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe), Divisions (Botswana). Not including Lesotho and Eswatini administrative divisions. Temperature

Mali ECHO 2014 activitiesEmergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – DG ECHO Daily Map | 24/01/2020

Southern Africa | Drought and potential impact on 2020 food security

© European Union, 2020. Map produced bythe JRC. The boundaries and the names shownon this map do not imply official endorsementor acceptance by the European Union.

Mozambique

Channel

S O U T H W E S T

I N D I A N

O C E A N

S O U T H

A T L A N T I C

O C E A N

Precipitation conditionduring crop planting (SPI)1

Oct-Dec 2019Source: JRC GDO

Extremely dry

Severely dry

Moderately dry

Near normal

Moderately wet

Severely wet

Extremely wet

No data

TANZANIA

DEMOCRATIC REPUBLICOF THE CONGO

MozambiqueChannel

SOUTH WESTINDIANOCEAN

SOUTHATLANTIC

OCEAN

Cabinda(ANGOLA)

1SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) is used to monitor the occurrence of meteorologicaldrought. The lower (i.e. more negative) the SPI, the more intense is the drought. 2fAPAR(fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation) anomaly represents the fraction ofthe solar energy absorbed by leaves. fAPAR anomalies (i.e. the negative deviations from thelong term average over the same period) are a good indicator of drought impacts onvegetation.

Currentvegetation status

(fAPAR anomaly)2

1-10 Jan 2020Source: JRC GDO

Productivity lower than

normal

Productivity higher than

normal

Near normal

No data

< 100,000

100,000 – 500,000

500,000 – 1 million

1 – 3 million

5 – 10 million

Estimated population in need of emergency food assistance*Jan-Dec 2020Source: FEWS NET

Disputed area

State border

Administrative division**border

Main water reservoir

*Population likely to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute

food insecurity in the absence of emergency food assistance.

**Regions (Namibia, Malawi), Provinces (Angola, Mozambique,

South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe), Divisions (Botswana). Not including Lesotho and Eswatini administrative divisions.

Temperatureanomaly forecast for crop growing seasonFeb-Apr 2020Source: CopernicusClimate ChangeService (C3S), ECMWF

0 to +0.5 °C

+0.5 to +1 °C

+1 to +2 °C

Precipitationanomaly forecast forcrop growing seasonFeb-Apr 2020Source: CopernicusClimate ChangeService (C3S), ECMWF

0 to -50 mm

-50 to -100 mm

-100 to -200 mm

No anomaly

MozambiqueChannel

SOUTH WESTINDIANOCEAN

SOUTHATLANTIC

OCEAN

MozambiqueChannel

SOUTH WESTINDIANOCEAN

SOUTHATLANTIC

OCEAN