SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts...

55
COASTAL FLOOD RESILIENCY SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES KEREN PRIZE BOLTER, PHD CLIMATE, POLICY & GEOSPATIAL ANALYST SOUTH FLORIDA REGIONAL COUNCIL CELA TEGA DECEMBER 12, 2016

Transcript of SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts...

Page 1: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COASTAL FLOOD

RESILIENCYSOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES

KEREN PRIZE BOLTER, PHDCLIMATE, POLICY & GEOSPATIAL ANALYST

SOUTH FLORIDA REGIONAL COUNCILCELA TEGA

DECEMBER 12, 2016

Page 2: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

• Tidal Flooding

• Saltwater Intrusion

• Failing Drainage

• Malfunctioning Canals

• Beach Erosion

• Habitat loss

• Reduced Groundwater Storage

NEED TO ADDRESS CURRENT & FUTURE IMPACTS

Page 3: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Florida’sRisk:New Zillow Report

Page 4: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 5: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 6: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 7: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

7

FUTURE PROJECTIONS

Page 8: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Florida’sRisk:New Zillow Report

Page 9: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

King Tide 2016 Sep - Nov

Page 10: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

HollywoodKing Tide 2016

September vs October

Page 11: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

• PARTNERSHIPS!• Compact Initiatives

• County/municipal Work

• Community organizations

• Academic

• SFRC Work• Adaptation Action Areas

• Train the Trainers

• Impacts of SLR on Public Health

• DEO TA for Infrastructure Resilience

COASTAL RESILIENCY PROJECTS

Page 12: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 13: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 14: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 15: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

WORKING GROUPS AND BUSINESS OUTREACHREDUCING CLIMATE RISK AND CREATING ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY

http://www.southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CompactResourceDocWksp9Final.pdf

Page 16: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

RAND

http://www.rand.org/topics/community-resilience.html

Page 17: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS

Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute

3-day design workshops Transferable models of resilience for South Florida

Page 18: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 19: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COUNTY/MUNICIPAL WORK

Page 20: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COMMUNITY ORGANIZATIONS

Page 21: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

The extreme tidal flooding is to many extents predictable, compared to other flooding events

Page 22: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

FIU SLR SOLUTION CENTERFAU CESCLIMATE.MIAMI.EDU/

Page 23: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Local Planning Tools –

Adaptation Action Areas

Strategies for

Adaptation Action

Areas may include

• Protection

• Accommodation

• Managed retreat

• Avoidance

• Other options

Page 24: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

• The South Florida Regional Council

compiled resources including:

• Podcasts and Video,

• Policy Options for Adaptive Planning for Rising Sea Levels,

• Case Study: Fort Lauderdale, Broward County, FL

• A Planning Guidebook for Florida’s Local Governments

Page 25: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Short Term (Episodic):

• Storm Surge• Tsunami• Inland Flooding• Shallow Coastal Flooding

Long Term (Chronic):

• Relative Sea Level Change

Types of Inundation – All inundation is not the same!

Page 26: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

GROUND-TRUTHING IN NORTH MIAMI

Varied impacts of predicted flooding

Page 27: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

PROJECT

BACKGROUND

TRAINERS AND TOOLS:

BUILDING COASTAL FLOOD HAZARD RESILIENCY IN FLORIDA’S REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL COMMUNITIES

Page 28: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

PROJECT GOALS AND OBJECTIVES

• For Florida’s coastal communities to be better prepared for the potential impacts of sea level rise.

Building Capacity through Technical Assistance Coupled with Outreach

• Introduce community planners, local officials and other interested parties to resiliency tools which help project potential impacts and identify vulnerable community assets.

Page 29: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 30: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

PUNTA GORDA TRAINING 11/17

Page 31: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

https://coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/

Page 32: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

HAZARD ASSESSMENT TOOLS

CANVISNOAA

SEA LEVEL RISE (SLR) VIEWER

NOAA

COASTAL FLOOD EXPOSURE

MAPPERNOAA

SKETCH PLANNING TOOL

UF GEOPLAN CENTER

Intended to elicit higher levels of

stakeholder engagement, CanVisutilizes no data and modifies imagery to

show potential inundation scenarios.

Can facilitate stakeholder

engagement, scoping and inventory, and

assessment and analysis, SLR Viewer

offers an online interactive platform in map format to display a variety of sea level

rise scenarios.

Helps start community discussions about

hazard impacts with maps of your area that show people, places, and natural resources

exposed to coastal flooding.

Offers a variety of sea-level rise analyses

related to transportation

;intended to promote stakeholder

engagement, scoping/ inventory,

assessment/analysis, and planning.

Page 33: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

CANVIS

coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/canvis

Developed by NOAA Office for Coastal Management

Page 34: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

MAPPING SLR: DATA INPUTS & METHODS

Local trend data and

water levels

Future scenarios of SLR.How fast will SLR and when?

Use local data forprojections

High resolution digital elevation model from

LIDAR

Page 35: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 36: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY
Page 37: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COASTAL

FLOOD

EXPOSURE MAPPER

www.coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/flood-exposure

Developed by NOAA Office for Coastal Management

The information in this product is based on the Roadmap for

Adapting to Coastal Risk

Page 38: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

www.coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/flood-exposure

Page 39: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COASTAL FLOOD

EXPOSURE

MAPPER

NOAA

Page 40: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

SKETCH PLANNING TOOL

sls.geoplan.ufl.edu

Developed by the University of Florida GeoPlan Center

Page 41: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

SKETCH PLANNING TOOLINTERACTIVE MAPS

Page 42: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Tampa Bay, 2080, High Projection

View transportation facilities potentially exposed to inundation various SLR scenarios.

Available transportation layers by scenario

VIEW AFFECTED TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES

Page 43: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

LESSONS LEARNED

High demand for resiliency data & tools but staff are busy

These tools provides a good foundation for many levels of analysis

Choose tools based on your community’s specific needs.

Don’t reinvent the wheel. Reach out to others for guidance. RPCs & Universities are great partners.

Assessing vulnerability is an iterative process. Need tools to facilitate iterative assessments

1. Define Objectives Determine Climate Stressors, Audience, Assets to Evaluate

2. Assess VulnerabilityCollect Data, Identify

Vulnerabilities, Assess Risk

3. Integrate into Decision Making

Policy, Long-Range Plans, Asset Mgmt, Emergency Mgmt

FHWA’s Climate Change & Extreme Weather Vulnerability Assessment Framework

Page 44: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

Important to understand the limitations and caveats

• Not to be used for site specific analyses or site design.

• Not specific to a year. Projections are by decade.

• Not intended to be used for stormwater or drainage design.

• Does not include assessment impacts of SLR on groundwater.

• Not to be used for property assessment/ evaluation.

TOOL DISCLAIMERS

Page 45: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

ASSESSMENT REPORT OF REGIONAL DIFFERENCES WITHIN FLORIDA

Page 46: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

NEW SUPERBASINFOR SLOSH

Page 47: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

IMPACTS OF SLR ON PUBLIC HEALTH

- Mapped zones most prone to environmental sea level rise impacts- Described associated public health risks and- Identified the region's socially, economically and medically vulnerable communities most susceptible to sea-level rise health effects.

Page 48: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

REGULATORY FRAMEWORK – COMMUNITY PLANNING

• On May 21, 2015, Governor Rick Scott signed into law CS/CS/CS Senate Bill 1094, available at http://laws.flrules.org/2015/69.

• include a “redevelopment component which outlines the principles which shall be used to eliminate inappropriate and unsafe development in the coastal areas when opportunities arise.” and now includes “sea-level rise” as one of the causes of flood risk that must be addressed in the “redevelopment principles, strategies, and engineering solutions” to reduce flood risk.

Page 49: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

NFIP COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM (CRS) CREDITS LOWER FLOOD INSURANCE RATES

NOAA’s Coastal Flood Exposure Mapper is particularly useful for Floodplain Management Planning (Activity 510), Element 512.a

Source: W. Thomas Hawkins, UF College of Law, 2016

http://www.tbrpc.org/onebay/obwg/060316/Hawkins_UF_

CRS_ClimateAdapt_06032016.pdf

Page 50: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

CRS

https://www.law.ufl.edu/_pdf/academics/centers-clinics/clinics/conservation/resources/final-deliverable-1B-crs-guidance-document.pdf

Page 51: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

SOLUTIONS?

Page 52: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

EFFECTIVE ADAPTATION

STRATEGIES

1) land-use regulations & building codes

2) limits on insurance subsidies

3) redesign and retrofitting of structures

4) updates for drainage, flood control, and water supply infrastructure

5) increased coastal protection

• CO-BENEFITS!

Page 53: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

COMMUNICATING ABOUT SEA LEVEL RISE

• Health Impacts

• Financial Impacts

• Habitat Loss

• Environmental Justice

• Sustainability for

future generations

• Catastrophic impacts of

creeping changes

Page 54: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

NATIONAL GEOGRAPHICYears of Living Dangerously

Page 55: SOUTH FLORIDA INITIATIVES.../community-resilience.html. RESILIENT REDESIGN WORKSHOPS Invited Experts Kingdom of Netherlands Florida Climate Institute 3-day design workshops ... REGULATORY

QUESTIONS?• Additional Resources can be found at:

https://coast.noaa.gov/data/digitalcoast/pdf/adaptationguide.pdf

https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-04/documents/cre_synthesis_1-09.pdf

http://www.climatestrategies.us/library/library/view/908

Contact Information:

Keren Bolter [email protected]

This publication was funded in part, through a grant agreement from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection, Florida Coastal Management Program, by a grant provided by the Office of Ocean and Coastal Resource Management under the Coastal Zone Management Act of 1972, as amended, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Award No. NA15NOS4190217. The views, statements, findings, conclusions and recommendations expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the State of Florida, NOAA or any of their sub-agencies.