Sources of spatial and temporal variation in...

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Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment Larval production Larval dispersal Settlement Post-settlement Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment Larval production Larval dispersal Settlement Post-settlement 1. How many propagules are produced (spores, eggs, larvae…) Determinants: 1. Reproduction by adults - relatively little work has been done on this - why?? - problem of tracking or identifying source of highly dispersive offspring - poor stock-recruitment relationships - presumed local decoupling (remember, only true if…?) Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment Poor stock-recruitment relationships from fisheries statistics:

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Page 1: Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitmentbio.classes.ucsc.edu/bio160/bioe_108_summer_10/lecture notes for... · Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Larval production

Larval dispersal

Settlement

Post-settlement

Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Larval production

Larval dispersal

Settlement

Post-settlement

1. How many propagules are produced (spores, eggs, larvae…)

Determinants:

1. Reproduction by adults - relatively little work has been done on this - why??

- problem of tracking or identifying source of highly dispersive offspring

- poor stock-recruitment relationships

- presumed local decoupling

(remember, only true if…?)

Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Poor stock-recruitment relationships from fisheries statistics:

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importance of local production

to local recruitment

dispersal distance

(=% settlers produced locally)

Importance of local production varies as a function of a species’ average dispersal distance

What determines the number of propagules (larvae) produced by a population?

Example: surfperch populations track benthic productivity

Perch recruitment

Population responses:4 surfperch

species

Benthic productivity

Surfperch production

(Holbrook et al. 1997 Ecological Applications)

Ocean climate change

Population/environmental effects on larval quality

Example 1: Spatial variation in environmental quality(productivity) and larval quality (MacFarlane and Norton 1998, Fishery Bulletin)

0

20

40

60

80

100

protein totallipids

esters triacyl-glycerol

s

cholesterol polarlipids

BodegaPioneerAscension

Larval condition of Sebastes jordani (shortbelly rockfish) among three submarine canyons:

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Example 2:

Larvae produced by older females grow faster and survive better

(Steve Berkeley 2004 Ecology; 2004 Fisheries)

black rockfish, Sebastes melanops

similar relationships between larval condition /performance and size of oil globule (=energy stores)

suggests age-based energy allocation by females

Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Larval dispersal

Larval production

Larval production

Larval dispersal

Settlement

Post-settlement

?????

Where do the larvae from a particular site go?

Where do the larvae that arrive at a particular site come from?

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Propagule Duration (hr)

Indirect estimate: pelagic duration as a proxy for dispersal potential?

Dis

pers

al D

ista

nce

(km

)

Shanks et al. 2003 Ecological Applications

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Predicted by passive dispersal

Propagule Duration (hr)

Dis

pers

al D

ista

nce

(km

)

Shanks et al. 2003 Ecological Applications

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Indirect estimate: pelagic duration as a proxy for dispersal potential?

Propagule Duration (hr)

Dis

pers

al D

ista

nce

(km

)

Shanks et al. 2003 Ecological Applications

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Indirect estimate: pelagic duration as a proxy for dispersal potential?

Propagule Duration (hr)

Dis

pers

al D

ista

nce

(km

)

Shanks et al. 2003 Ecological Applications

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Invertebrates, algaefish

Indirect estimate: pelagic duration as a proxy for dispersal potential?

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Western North American Coastal Fish Time in Larval Stagemidpoint (range)

Shanks et al. 2003AVERAGE = 94 days

Time in the larval stage (fish)

Propagule Duration (hr)

Dis

pers

al D

ista

nce

(km

)

Shanks et al. 2003 Ecological Applications

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Indirect estimate: pelagic duration as a proxy for dispersal potential?

Pacific Ocean Reef FishesLarval Duration Estimates

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

< 1 1-7 31-90 > 90Perc

ent

of S

peci

es

Tropical (n= 298 spp)

Temperate (n= 60 spp)

Larval Duration (days) 8-30

Carr and Syms 2006, CA Fishes book

Gen

etic

di

ffer

ence

Geographic distance (kilometers)

Slope tells you something about average dispersal

populations nearby one another

populations further apart

shortlow

long

high

Indirect estimate: genetic differentiation as indication of gene flow/dispersal?

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Gen

etic

dif

fere

nce

Dispersal and Genetic differentiation

8000 200 400 600

low

high

Geographic distance (kilometers)

Copper rockfish

CA snails

High dispersal

Rosethorn rockfish

Intermediate dispersal

CA corals

Low

dis

pers

al

Fish: 20-300 kilometers

Palumbi 2003Kinlan and Gaines 2003

Larval dispersalBased on geneticdifferences

Inverts: <1-100 kilometers

Num

ber o

f spe

cies

Different estimates, similar results

Dispersal distance of fish larvae = 20 - 300 km

Time in larval stage Genetic distance

Time as larvae (hr)

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000

Dis

pers

al d

ista

nce

Dispersal distance of invert larvae = 1 - 100 km

What influences how many of the propagulesproduced reach a given site?

2) Survivalthey can’t get there if they don’t survive

1) Dispersal (advection)what determines patterns of transport

(large and small-scale processes)

3) Depletion (by settlement)fewer available as they settle elsewhere

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currents —e.g., California Current

Dispersal (advection) of propagules --what determines patterns of transport?

1. Large-scale (biogeographic) processes

Example: Doyle 1984, Gaines 1997

Gen. Hypothesis: larval supply limits biogeographic ranges

Specific Hypothesis:

Test:

Result:

More evidence for importance of Large-scale (biogeographic) processes:

Example: Cowen 1985 Jour. Mar ResearchTemporal (episodic) variability in current patterns

Normal year (La Nada)

El Nino

General Hypothesis: Change in current patterns influences spatial patterns of sheepheadrecruitment

Normal year (La Nada)

El Nino

General Hypothesis: Change in current patterns influences spatial patterns of sheephead recruitment

Specific Hypothesis: More recruitment in the northern part of the range when there are el Nino currents.

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California sheepheadSemicossyphus pulcher

“Protogynous hermaphrodite”

Role of aggressive social interactions with dominant (alpha) male

Conservation story: Catalina versus other Channel Islands

Test: Use annual otolith increments and settlement mark to back-calculate what year individuals settled…

Use this to construct strength of year-class recruitment

Back to sources of variation in larval delivery…

Specific Hypothesis: More recruitment in the northern part of the range when there are el Nino currents.

Example: Cowen 1985 Jour. Mar ResearchTemporal (episodic) variability in current patterns

0 0 0

0ND

ND ND

0ND

10

20

10

20

20

20

10

10

30

40

75 77 79 81 83

Year

San Nicolas Is.

Is. Guadalupe

Cabo Thurloe

Is. San Benito

Result:

A. windward and leeward patterns around islands

Dispersal (advection)--- what determines patterns of transport?

2) Small-scale (localized) processes

- local retention? Implications for “openness” of marine populations

- two cool examples:Swearer et al. 1999 Nature -St. Croix, CaribbeanJones et al. 1999 Nature -Lizard Island, Australia

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Pattern: Spatial variation in recruitment of blue head wrasse, Thalassoma bifasciatum, around St. Croix Island

Caselle & Warner, 1996

Mon

thly

rec

ruit

dens

ity

(fis

h/m

2 )

Monthly recruit

density (fish/m2)

0

1.0

2.0

1.5

0.5

N

1.0

2.0

1.5

0.50

5 kmcurrent

windLarval dispersal with

patch depletion?

Larval retention within island wake?

General Hypothesis: Patterns of larval transport (delivery and retention) causes spatial pattern of recruitment

Swearer et al.1999; St. Croix, Caribbean

Sources of chemical signatures in St. Croix:

Christiansted

Cruzan Rum, Hess Oil, Vialco

Salt River Canyon

Groundwater

Specific hypothesis:

New tool in the toolbox: otolith microchemisty(“flight recorders”)

Monthly relative recruitment intensity

Mea

n ca

noni

cal f

acto

r 1

Dis

pers

al

R

eten

tion

Butler Bay (Leeward) Jack's Bay (Windward)

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.5 3.0

Northstar (Leeward)

1.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 2.00.5 1.51.52.25 3.25

Multivariate measure of relative abundance of elements in otoliths

Result:

Conclusion:

Page 10: Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitmentbio.classes.ucsc.edu/bio160/bioe_108_summer_10/lecture notes for... · Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

B) Internal waves

Dispersal (advection) what determines patterns of transport?

2. Small-scale (localized) processes

Alan Shanks 1983, MEPS

ONSHORE TRANSPORT

- onshore currents caused by tidal action

- form at interface of salinity, temperature (= density) strata

- occur on 14-day frequency- form surface slicks above trough with

warm water

Shanks sampled larvae as waves passed by and detected concentrations above troughs, identified internal waves as mechanism for onshore transport of larvae!

Example: Norris 1963, Ecological Monographs

Opal eye (Girella nigricans)

Pattern #1: recruitment related to tide pool temperature; warmer = more recruits

General hypothesis:

C) Interaction between larval behavior and physical/oceanographic processes

2. Small-scale (localized) processes

Specific hypothesis:

Opal eye settles in response to warm water cues

Pattern #2: coast-wide, recruitment inversely related to upwelling

General Hypothesis: mechanism of larval delivery: interaction among…

- internal waves- thermal / structural cues- upwelling http://oceanexplorer.noaa.gov

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“Structure - schooling”Long larval duration(3 - 4 months)

“Benthic - solitary”Shorter larval duration(1-2 months)

Black-&-yellow rockfish

Gopher rockfish

Kelp rockfish

Black rockfish

Yellowtail rockfish

Olive rockfish

(1998) (1999) (2000)El Nino La Nina La Nada

Mid-water complexLong larval duration(3 - 4 months)

Benthic complexShort larval duration(1-2 months)

Kelp, Black-&-yellow, and Gopher rockfish

Olive, Yellowtail and Black rockfish

1007550250

255075

100

Rel

ativ

e A

bund

ance

1986 1992

1.0

0.5

0.5

1.0

0

Prop

ortio

n

Lenarz et al. 1995 CalCOFI

Carr and Syms 2006

Benthic complexShort larval duration(1-2 months)

Relaxation

(1998) (1999) (2000)

El NiñoLa Niña

La Nada

Fish

per

240

m3

0

4

8

12

16

20 Kelp, Black-&-yellow, and Gopher rockfish

Black-&-yellow rockfish

Gopher rockfish

Kelp rockfish

Mid-water complexLong larval duration(3 - 4 months)

Upwelling

10

30

50

70

(1998) (1999) (2000)

El NiñoLa Niña

La Nada

Fish

per

240

m3

Olive, Yellowtail and Black rockfish

Black rockfish

Olive rockfish

Yellowtail rockfish

Page 12: Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitmentbio.classes.ucsc.edu/bio160/bioe_108_summer_10/lecture notes for... · Sources of spatial and temporal variation in recruitment

Pattern: Interannual variation in rockfish recruitment - midwater vs. benthic species

Num

ber

of f

ish

per

tran

sect Midwater complex

Benthic Complex

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Year

-1

0

1

2

3

Cumulativeupwelling

indexanomaly

(thru June)

Pattern also hold for smaller-scale, more frequent events

Arnold Ammann, thesis research at UCSC

SMURFs = “Standardized Monitoring Units for the Recruitment of Fishes”

May June July August

Num

ber o

f fis

hpe

r sam

plin

g un

it Benthic complexn = 363

0.5

0.30.4

0.20.10.0

Mid-water complexn = 227

Num

ber o

f fis

hpe

r sam

plin

g un

it

0.5

0.30.4

0.20.10.0

Tem

pera

ture

(°C

)

May June July AugustYear 2000

9

10

11

12

13

14

Pattern also hold for smaller-scale, more frequent events Pattern: Interannual variation in rockfish recruitment - midwater vs. benthic species

Num

ber

of f

ish

per

tran

sect Midwater complex

Benthic Complex

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Year

-1

0

1

2

3

Cumulativeupwelling

indexanomaly

(thru June)

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Pattern: following storms there is catastrophic loss of kelpbed area, followed by quick, widespread recruitment and recovery

3 Hypotheses…

HA1– whole plants carried to reef, then release spores

Determinants of larval delivery, continued…

3. Episodic eventse.g. storms (Reed 1988 Ecology)

(but broad-scale, uniform pattern of recruitment inconsistent with pattern predicted by plant swept across reef)

Macrocystis sporophylls at base of plant

Pterygophora

HA3– storms cause propagule transport to distant locations (for kelps)

(but previous work indicated that dispersal was on the order of 1 meter)

b) 3 Hypotheses:

HA2– “seed bank” of dormant spores(but out-plant studies by Reed suggests very short longevity -rapid loss to grazers)

Test:

Current SandKelp 10 m 100 m 1000 m

Results:

calm conditions storms

Settlementof sporeson slides

10 m 100 m 1000 m 10 m 100 m 1000 m

Conclusion: During storms, long range dispersal can occur, spores get mixed, advected up into the water column, transported away

What influences how many of the propagulesproduced reach a given site?

2) Survivalthey can’t get there if they don’t survive

1) Dispersal (advection)what determines patterns of transport

(large and small-scale processes)

3) Depletion (by settlement)fewer available as they settle elsewhere

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Determinants of larval delivery, continued…

Larval depletion - ecological filtersPredation Gaines and Roughgarden 1987 Science

Pattern: from year-to-year, recruitment of B. glandula was negatively correlated with kelp abundance offshore

barnaclerecruitment

(no. / cm2 / wk)

kelp canopy area (m2)

General Hypothesis:

Presence of kelp decreases larval supply.

Specific Hypothesis:

Larval abundance should be lower on inside edge of kelp bed thanoutside it

CurrentShore inshore

Kelp offshore

X X

Cyprid larvae - the settlement stage for Barnacles

Results:

No.competent

larvaeper hr

inshore offshore

Confirmed: 70 times greater concentration offshore than inshore!

Nauplius larvae - pre-settlement stage - released by adults

No.competent

larvaeper hr

inshore offshore

Opposite pattern!

Shore nauplii

Kelp

cyprids

Test: sample larval concentrations with plankton pump inshore and offshore of kelp bed

Possible general hypotheses for pattern:

1) simple hydrodynamic effects (of kelp)

water slows down – particles sinkLarvae get entrained in kelp

2) predation by kelp-associated planktivores

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Test: looked at distribution of particles that were same size and shape as barnacle larvae but that were not living or edible= molts of larval barnacles!

No.cypridmoltsPer

volume

inshore offshore

Results:

Larval depletion - ecological filtersPredation Gaines and Roughgarden 1987 Science

New general hypothesis: predation by juvenile rockfish filters cyprids

Specific hypothesis: If rockfish are reducing the number of cyprids, there should be a NEGATIVE relationship between abundance of juvenile rockfish (Sebastes) and Balanus glandula recruitment.

Year rockfish density# observed / min

Balanus recruitment #/cm2

kelp bed area

1983 0.7 3.7 8,500 m2

1984 7.2 1.4 33,000 m2

1985 236 0.05 46,500 m2

Larval depletion – ecological filters“recruitment shadow” Gaines et al. 1985 Oecologia

General Hypothesis: as a bath of larvae pass over a site, settlement causes there to be a decrease in the # of larvae available to settlement down current:

Predictions:

Tests:

III III

propagules

1) cyprid concentration should decrease with distance

2) settlement should decrease

2) followed settlement at Hopkins Marine Station at three sites along a unidirectional current

1) counted cyprid concentration (supply) in water column

Larval depletion – ecological filters“recruitment shadow” Gaines et al. 1985 Oecologia

Results:

cypridconcentration

I II III

site

settlementrates

#/cm2/day

I II III

site

Results were consistent with “larval depletion hypothesis”, but other hypotheses not rejected (assumption that change in cyprid # = depletion)

Particularly likely alternative:

hydrodynamic -- difference in cyprid # caused by hydrodynamic reasons(e.g., greater water movement/exchange at site 1 → more water → more cyprids → more settlement)

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SUMMARY: Processes affecting larval supply

4. Mortality and Depletioni) predation

ii) hydrodynamic influence of kelp/submerged macrophytes

iii) larval depletion

3. Episodic events - storms

2. Physical oceanographic processesi) large/biogeographic scale processes

ii) intermediate scale processesa) internal waves

b) upwelling

1. Variable productioni) species traitsii) environmental variation (in productivity)