Some Remaining Issues in Satellite Altimetry
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Transcript of Some Remaining Issues in Satellite Altimetry
Some Remaining Issues in Satellite Altimetry
Lee-Lueng Fu
Jet Propulsion Laboratory
NASA Sea Level Workshop
November 2-4, 2009, Austin, Texas
Present-Day Sea Level ChangePresent-Day Sea Level Change
-30
-20
-10
0
10
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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
TOPEX
Jason-1
Jason-2
M
SL
(m
m)
YearNerem, 2009
Pow
er d
ensi
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mm
^2/
cyc/
day
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Global mean sea level spectrum
Frequency (cyc/day)
Period(days)
Pow
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ensi
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mm
^2/
cyc/
day
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60-day
Period Power
65.0745 85.1839 64.3895 76.6947 63.7187 179.475 63.0619 115.847 62.4184 171.108 61.7879 75.2514 61.1700 412.935 60.5644 192.179 59.9706 398.861 59.3883 4128.00 58.8173 2384.98 58.2571 3428.01 57.7075 974.379 57.1682 447.638 56.6389 1183.94 56.1193 154.271 55.6091 143.652
60-day
Spectral peak at 58.7 days
p
2
1
7.58 12//f
f
ffpdfp
Comparison to S2 tide error estimate
From R. Ray
58.7 day period
Iono correction at 58.7 day period
Global mean wet tropo correction
Period (days)
Pow
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mm
^2/
cyc/
day
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Wet tropo correction at 58.7 day period
Jason-1
GRACE +ARGO (Willis et al, 2008)
A slightly different analysisLeuliette and Miller (2009)
Systematic errors in sea level measurement
Sea level trend estimated from an ocean model constrained by 2.1 billions observations. The altimetry global mean was not used.
Global mean: 1.6 mm/yr
Estimated errors of the sea level trend.
(Wunsch et al, 2007)
Consistent with other measurements?
Source of error for the MSL calculation
MSL trend uncertainties from 1993 to 2009
Minima Maxima
Orbit : Cnes POE (GDR B) for Jason-1 and GSFC (ITRF2000) for T/P.
0.10 mm/yr 0.15 mm/yr
Radiometer Wet troposphere correction: JMR (GDR B) & TMR
(with drift correction). 0.20 mm/yr 0.30 mm/yr
Dynamical atmospheric and dry troposphere corrections using
ECMWF pressure fields. 0.05 mm/yr 0.10 mm/yr
Sigma0 drift impacting altimeter wind speed and sea state bias
correction 0.05 mm/yr 0.10 mm/yr
Bias uncertainty to link TP A / TP B, TOPEX and Jason-1, Jason-1 and
Jason-2 0.10 mm/yr 0.25 mm/yr
Finally the total error budget of GMSL is :
0.6 mm/yr in a confidence interval of 90%
Ablain et al, 2009
How realistic is the current uncertainty estimate ?
Measurement stability
• OSTM/Jason-2 Level One Requirements– Maintain the stability of the global mean
sea level measurement with a drift less than 1 mm/year over the life of the mission.
• This requirement was not strictly propagated to the subsystems
• The radiometer subsystem (AMR) took the entire 1 mm/year as its stability requirement and allocated it to the ground system.
Radiometer Long Term Calibration IssuesRadiometer Long Term Calibration Issues
• mm-level long term stability is a demanding requirement for the radiometer
– < 0.1 K brightness temperature stability
• Radiometers on Topex, Jason-1 and Jason-2 use internal calibration technique– Disadvantage: Do not view calibration sources through same path
as Earth scene
– Vulnerable to calibration instability from hardware changes requiring periodic post-launch re-calibration
Radiometer Receiver
Calibration Source
Emission from Earth
Front-end path loss correction required
TA
Not calibrated by on-board sources
S. Brown/JPL
Observed TMR and JMR PD InstabilityObserved TMR and JMR PD Instability
• TMR drifted at a rate of about 1 mm/year over the first 6 years of the mission
Brown et al. MicroRad08-10
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0 20 40 60 80 100 120
JMR-ECMWFJMR-SSMIJMR-TMIJMR-GPS
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JM
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s w
.r.t.
Inde
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Jason Repeat Cycle
Jaso
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JMR-ECMWFJMR-SSMIJMR-TMIJMR-GPS
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JM
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s w
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Inde
pend
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Jason Repeat Cycle
Jaso
n-1
-Gro
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(m
m)
• JMR exhibited two jumps of about 5 mm then an additional 8 mm• 6mm/year when treated
as driftJMR GDR-A
Observed instability significant compared to
sea level rise signal
S. Brown/JPL
Recalibrated JMRRecalibrated JMR
• JMR tuned to on-Earth brightness temperature references for GDR-B
• Eliminates large jumps in PD record
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15
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0 20 40 60 80 100 120
JMR-ECMWFJMR-SSMIJMR-TMIJMR-GPS
Re
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Jason Repeat Cycle
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JMR-ECMWFJMR-SSMIJMR-TMIJMR-GPS
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w.r
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(m
m)
Jason Repeat Cycle
GDR-A
GDR-B
S. Brown/JPL
Limitations of On-orbit RecalibrationLimitations of On-orbit Recalibration• On-orbit references sensitive to climate variability; require corrections; risk of aliasing
geophysical signals
• Need to acquire sufficient data to reach mm-level– 30+ days of data required to reach 2-4 mm level
• Validation of recalibrated product at mm/yr level against other models/sensors challenging– Uncertainty near + 1mm/yr level, decreasing with record length.
Observed TMR 18.0 GHz Amazon TBsTB Reference Regions in
Amazon
S. Brown/JPL
Radiometer Long Term CalibrationRadiometer Long Term Calibration
• Option for Jason-3: Eliminate reliance on periodic on-orbit recalibration by supplementing internal calibration system with external calibration system
– On-board blackbody and cold-sky reflector calibration targets can be
added to existing radiometer design– Periodic observations of on-board external calibration
targets used to maintain the long term stability
(e.g. once per pass or cycle over land)
• Calibration is traceable to known physical quantities that are independent of the climate system and other sensors or models
• External calibration approach is well established and used scanning Earth observing radiometers
– MSU, AMSU, SSM/I, TMI on TRMM, WindSat, AMSR-E, SSMIS
• Combination internal/external calibration approach has the potential to produce a long term calibration stability that exceeds that of each system individually
– expect sub-mm/year inherent stability from such as system– 0.01 K long term TB stability estimated for MSU (Spencer et al., 1990): ~0.1mm/yr
S. Brown/JPL
Harvest SSH Calibration Time Series
June 22, 2009 OSTST Meeting
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1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Bia
s (m
m)
B
-76.059998Minimum
108.62Maximum
2583.62Sum
154Points
16.776753Mean
15.495Median
35.644953RMS
31.552622Std Deviation
995.56793Variance
2.5425827Std Error
0.082236129Skewness
0.5277976Kurtosis
B
-47.509998Minimum
119.19Maximum
1249.46Sum
81Points
15.425432Mean
12.98Median
36.381962RMS
33.155309Std Deviation
1099.2745Variance
3.6839232Std Error
0.35396602Skewness
0.17171038Kurtosis
B
-46.73Minimum
85.43Maximum
100.45Sum
22Points
4.5659092Mean
3.85Median
29.56274RMS
29.895355Std Deviation
893.73225Variance
6.3737111Std Error
0.58295717Skewness
0.79963724Kurtosis
B
11.16Minimum
180.32001Maximum
20830.32Sum
209Points
99.666603Mean
99.790001Median
103.6355RMS
28.473941Std Deviation
810.7653Variance
1.9695837Std Error
-0.017166805Skewness
0.56008765Kurtosis
B
155.12Minimum
244.82001Maximum
3616.62Sum
19Points
190.34842Mean
190.92Median
191.50276RMS
21.570227Std Deviation
465.27468Variance
4.9485494Std Error
0.61435917Skewness
0.52827396Kurtosis
D
54.389999Minimum
107.29Maximum
1285.3Sum
16Points
80.33125Mean
76.469997Median
81.793538RMS
15.902141Std Deviation
252.8781Variance
3.9755354Std Error
0.28338511Skewness
-0.73005023Kurtosis
E
7.3579998Minimum
8.1990004Maximum
146.651Sum
19Points
7.7184737Mean
7.684Median
7.7217748RMS
0.2319529Std Deviation
0.053802148Variance
0.053213645Std Error
0.6405714Skewness
-0.38858046Kurtosis
SlopeMeanNAltimeter+5 ± 1+1 ± 332154TOPEX ALT-A+3 ± 3–10 ± 73122POSEIDON-1–1 ± 3+14 ± 43381TOPEX ALT-B–2 ± 1+94 ± 228208JASON-1 (GDR-C)
–5 ± 23+174 ± 52727OSTM/JASON-2
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-100
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100
200
300
400
500
2008.5 2008.8 2009.1
Bia
s (m
m)
B
-76.059998Minimum
108.62Maximum
2583.62Sum
154Points
16.776753Mean
15.495Median
35.644953RMS
31.552622Std Deviation
995.56793Variance
2.5425827Std Error
0.082236129Skewness
0.5277976Kurtosis
B
-47.509998Minimum
119.19Maximum
1249.46Sum
81Points
15.425432Mean
12.98Median
36.381962RMS
33.155309Std Deviation
1099.2745Variance
3.6839232Std Error
0.35396602Skewness
0.17171038Kurtosis
B
-46.73Minimum
85.43Maximum
100.45Sum
22Points
4.5659092Mean
3.85Median
29.56274RMS
29.895355Std Deviation
893.73225Variance
6.3737111Std Error
0.58295717Skewness
0.79963724Kurtosis
B
11.16Minimum
180.32001Maximum
20830.32Sum
209Points
99.666603Mean
99.790001Median
103.6355RMS
28.473941Std Deviation
810.7653Variance
1.9695837Std Error
-0.017166805Skewness
0.56008765Kurtosis
B
155.12Minimum
244.82001Maximum
3616.62Sum
19Points
190.34842Mean
190.92Median
191.50276RMS
21.570227Std Deviation
465.27468Variance
4.9485494Std Error
0.61435917Skewness
0.52827396Kurtosis
JASON-2 — JASON-1 SSH BIAS:
FROM COMMON OVERFLIGHTS:+80 ± 4 mm (N = 16, = 16 mm, R = .76)
FROM GLOBAL ANALYSIS:+77 ± 1 mm (N = 19, = 2 mm)
Harvest site, Haines et al.
Altimeter Bias
Assessment of Jason-1 and OSTM Global Verification Phase Sea Surface Height Collinear Residuals,
Beckley et al.
Relative biases from tide gauge calibration (Leuliette et al)
Tide gauge calibration has order 1 cm uncertainty?
• The cross-calibration between T/P and Jason-1 has been a moving target, changing from 144 mm to 100 mm depending on the SSB corrections.
• Has this issue been resolved?
Jason‑2 range bias per Cycle (with respect to Jason-1) during the cross-calibration phase
Dettmering et al.
• I was told that the Jason-2/Jason-1 cross-calibration was not a function of wave height, suggesting the original Jason-1 instrument algorithm problem had been solved.
Intermission Differences
Jason1 – T/P Jason2 –Jason1
Without SSB
With SSB
Beckley, 2009
Some Remarks
• 60 day error/signal• Measurement stability requirement and
allocation to subsystems• Radiometer calibration• Altimeter bias• Importance of a cross-calibration between
successive missions• Importance of maintaining a dedicated
science team
BackupBackup
Brown et al. OSTST Seattle
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Complementary Missions - Medium accuracy/Higher inclination
Broad-Coverage Mission
0908
GFO-FO USA
Reference Missions - Higher accuracy/Medium Inclination
Jason-CS/Jason-4 Europe/USA
LaunchDate
12/01
2/98 GFO USA
3/02
Jason -1 Fr./USA
ENVISAT Europe Sentinel -3C/D
Jason-3 Europe/USA
Altimetry Missions
Wilson et al.
External Calibration
Stow Calibrate
Hot Target
Cold sky reflector
AMR PD Stability AssessmentAMR PD Stability Assessment
• Comparisons between AMR and model and other radiometers
AMR-ECMWF AMR-AMSRE
AMR-TMI
1 mm
No conclusive evidence of long term PD instability or drift
Comparison to M2 tide error estimate