Solar Powering Michigan: Michigan Solar Market Potential
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Transcript of Solar Powering Michigan: Michigan Solar Market Potential
Michigan Solar Market Potential
Abhilash “Abhi” Kantamneni| Michigan Technological University
Houghton Winters
Source: Mining Journal
Source: Mining Gazette
Source: Michigan Tech Alumni
Source: Mining Journal
Source: boniashburn.com
Source: MPSC Annual Net Metering Report 2014
Average Residential Electricity Retail Rates
by State (2013)State Average Price
[$/kWh]Hawaii $0.37
Houghton $0.21-$0.24New York $0.19
Alaska $0.19Connecticut $0.18
Vermont $0.18New Hampshire $0.17
California $0.16New England $0.16
Middle Atlantic $0.16Massachusetts $0.16
New Jersey $0.16Michigan $0.15
Source: www.eia.gov
Michigan Tech KRC Photovoltaic Research Center
Advantages of High Module Tilt: Albedo
Source: nsidc.org
1 16 31 46 61 76 91 1061211361511661811962112262412562712863013163313463610
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
Solar Irradiation and Albedo
S_Horizontal (W/m^2) Albedo (W/m^2)
Day of the Year
W/m
^2
Source: MTU KRC
Advantages of High Module Tilt: Snow Shedding
4 188 372 556 740 924 11081292147616601844202822122396258027642948313233163500368438680
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
PV System Output Under Snowy Conditions
45* 30* 15*
Hours since 12:00 Am Nov 1 2013
Ener
gy P
rodu
ced
(Wh)
Shedding from 45*
Source: www.nrel.gov
Simple ROI Calculation
Barriers to Solar
Solar Calculator
DIY Bulk Purchasing
MichiganSaves.org + Local Credit Union
‘Solarize Houghton’
Does it make $en$e?
High Installation Costs:
Financing
Solar Market Penetration in Houghton
2013 MPSC Net Metering report:- ~30kW Summer 2014: 60kW added (all residential)
Fall 2014: +200kW expected. (County Road Commission, City Center, Public Library, Golf Course, Ski Hill, Coffee Shop, State Park….) and Upper Peninsula’s first Community Solar with Ontonagon REA.
Benefits of Renewables Michigan Public Service Commission
Report on Renewable Energy Standards (RES) says phased integration of renewables cheaper than new coal generation facilities.
Michigan Department of Energy, Labor & Economic Growth Report on Green Jobs says renewable energy sector job creation = 3% of all private sector employment in state
International Energy Agency Report on Energy Security says renewable energy systems reduce supply disruptions and reliance on imported fuel.
Actual Quote: “The only green that matters, is the color of my $$”
(Obviously, not a philosopher)
Where is the Solar Market Potential in Michigan?
Spoiler: Not in RES Compliance.
MI PA 295 Renewable Energy Standard RES requires all Michigan electric providers to meet 10% of their retail sales using renewable energy*
Currently all MI utilities are on track to meet RES Compliance*
*Source: MPSC Report on RES Compliance
*Figure: MIRECS 2009-2013 Credits by Energy Source
Answer: Grid Tied Net Metered Systems
Large majority of installed net metered customer generation is Solar. Source: MPSC Annual Net Metering Report 2014
Figure: MPSC 2013 Net Metering Program - Installed CapacityFigure: MPSC 2013 Net Metering Program - Installations
Understanding Net Metering
Source: MPSC Annual Net Metering Report 2014
Category I: Systems < 20KW. Full Credit on excess generation. Limit: 0.5% of Utility’s peak load.
Category II: Systems > 20KW < 150kW. Partial Credit on excess generation.
Category III: Systems > 150kW.Methane Digester projects up to 550 kW
PV Market Opportunity by Utility Service Area
8 Investor-Owned Utility Companies
9 Rural Electric Cooperatives
41 Municipal Electric Utilities
PV Market Opportunity by Available Net Metering Capacity
Source: MPSC Annual Net Metering Report 2014
47079 43775
MI category i net metering capacity remaining [kW]
PV Market Opportunity by Utility Electric Rates
OCREA
UPPCO
WEPCO
DTE ELECTRIC
CONSUMERS
CHERRYLAND
THUMBXCEL
AEP
$0.24
$0.21$0.21
$0.16$0.16
$0.15$0.15$0.15$0.14
$0.14$0.14$0.13
$0.11$0.11$0.11
$0.10$0.10
MI Average Residential Electric Rates 2013[$/kWh]
MI Average: $0.14/kWhSource: MPSC Utility Company Annual Reports 2013
PV Market Opportunity by Utility Electric Rate Increases
OCREA
UPPCO
WEPCO
DTE ELECTRIC
CONSUMERS
CHERRYLAND
THUMBXCEL
AEP
116%
94%107%
48%
86%
49%73%72%79%
40%42%
76%
29%39%43%61%73%
MI Average Residential Electric Rate Increase 2001-2013
MI Average: 74%
Source: MPSC Utility Rates Summary
PV Market Opportunity by Average Annual Consumption
MI Average: 8MWh/Year
OCREA
UPPCO
WEPCO
DTE ELECTRIC
CONSUMERS
CHERRYLAND
THUMBXCEL
AEP
4.5 5.1 5.85.46.8 7
.2 7.9
6.48.110.0
8.4
11.611.8
8.0 7.38.3
11.1
MI Average Residential Electric Consumption 2013 [MWH/year]
Source: MPSC Utility Company Annual Reports 2013
UtilityRank by Available Capacity*
Rank by rates
Rank by rate Increase
Rank by Consumption Aggregate Rank
OCREA 12 1 1 1 1UPPCO 7 3 2 4 2
ALGER DELTA 12 2 3 2 3WEPCO 4 5 4 6 3
DTE ELECTRIC 1 7 8 9 5CONSUMERS 2 9 5 11 6
ALPENA POWER 8 8 9 5 7PRESQUE ISLE 12 4 12 3 8GREAT LAKES 12 6 11 7 9
MIDWEST ENERGY 5 12 6 16 10AEP 3 17 7 15 11
CLOVERLAND 6 14 16 10 12XCEL 10 15 13 8 12WPS 9 16 10 12 14
CHERRYLAND 12 11 14 13 15TRI-COUNTY 12 10 15 14 16
THUMB 11 13 17 17 17
PV Residential Solar Market Potential
UtilityRank by Available Capacity*
Rank by rates
Rank by rate
Increase
Rank by Average
ConsumptionAggregate Rank
ALGER DELTA 12 2 1 3 1OCREA 12 1 2 4 2
MIDWEST ENERGY 5 8 3 7 3WEPCO 5 4 4 14 4
ALPENA POWER 8 6 5 8 4UPPCO 7 3 8 12 6
TRI-COUNTY 12 5 11 2 6GREAT LAKES 12 7 12 1 8CLOVERLAND 6 12 9 6 9CONSUMERS 2 9 7 16 10
WPS 9 14 6 9 11PRESQUE ISLE 12 10 14 5 12DTE Electric 1 13 13 17 13
AEP 3 17 10 15 14CHERRYLAND 12 11 16 10 15
THUMB 11 15 17 11 16XCEL 10 16 15 13 16
PV Commercial Solar Market Potential
Summary: “Go West, Young Man”
Georgetown University Energy Prize Quarterfinalist: Houghton County
Contact Information
Abhilash Kantamneni
221 Rekhi HallMichigan Tech1400 Townsend DriveHoughton MI
www.SolarizeHoughton.org