SMD STATUS AND ISSUESSMD STATUS AND ISSUESMARCH 2008MARCH 2008

Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD

Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD

www.nasa.gov

SMD’s Science Program Leads The World

$4.441B/yr budget.

Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs.

53 flight missions in operation.

41 flight missions in development.

3000+ operating R&A grants.

These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.

SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months

PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

SMD Overview & ’08 EventsFY09 SMD Budget OverviewMars Next DecadeMSL IssuesQ&A

FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW

SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES

We will get more science done within our budget.

We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds.

We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines.

We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to, the public.

We will create a better workplace.

MAJOR FY09 BUDGET INITIATIVES

Increased commitment to Earth Science to accelerate the ES decadal survey.Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area:

Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches)Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015)Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015)Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014).

Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA.Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.

NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13

* FY2007 * FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

Total NASA $16,231.0 $17,300.5 $17,610.7 $18,022.9 $18,457.0 $18,901.6 $19,355.4

Science $4,609.9 $4,706.2 $4,441.5 $4,482.0 $4,534.9 $4,643.4 $4,761.6Earth Science $1,198.5 $1,280.3 $1,367.5 $1,350.7 $1,250.9 $1,264.4 $1,290.3Planetary Science $1,215.6 $1,247.5 $1,334.2 $1,410.1 $1,537.5 $1,570.0 $1,608.7Astrophysics $1,365.0 $1,337.5 $1,164.5 $1,122.4 $1,057.1 $1,067.7 $1,116.0Heliophysics $583.7 $590.9 $575.3 $598.9 $689.4 $741.2 $746.6 DSN / Ground Network $247.2 $250.0

Aeronautics Research $593.8 $511.7 $446.5 $447.5 $452.4 $456.7 $467.7Education $114.1 $137.9 $112.1 $122.7 $120.4 $120.4 $120.4

Exploration Systems $2,837.6 $3,143.0 $3,500.5 $3,737.7 $7,048.2 $7,116.8 $7,666.8Constellation Systems $2,114.7 $2,471.9 $3,048.2 $3,252.8 $6,479.5 $6,521.3 $7,080.5Advanced Capabilities $722.9 $671.1 $452.3 $484.9 $568.7 $595.5 $586.3

Space Operations $5,093.5 $5,526.2 $5,774.7 $5,872.7 $2,900.1 $3,089.9 $2,788.5Space Shuttle $3,295.3 $3,266.7 $2,981.7 $2,983.6 $95.7International Space Station $1,469.0 $1,813.2 $2,060.2 $2,277.0 $2,176.4 $2,448.2 $2,143.1Space and Flight Support (SFS) $329.2 $446.3 $732.8 $612.1 $628.0 $641.7 $645.4

Cross-Agency Support $2,949.9 $3,242.9 $3,299.9 $3,323.9 $3,363.7 $3,436.1 $3,511.2Agency Management and Operations $971.2 $830.2 $945.6 $945.5 $939.8 $950.5 $961.3Institutional Investments $223.8 $319.7 $308.7 $331.7 $335.9 $330.4 $338.3Congressionally Directed Items $80.0Center Management and Operations $1,754.9 $2,013.0 $2,045.6 $2,046.7 $2,088.0 $2,155.2 $2,211.6

Inspector General $32.2 $32.6 $35.5 $36.4 $37.3 $38.3 $39.2

* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.

SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME

Heliophysics

Planetary Science

Astrophysics

Earth Science

Ground Network / DSN

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000

FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007

Launches by Calendar Year

OSTM

OCO

Glory

CloudSat IBEX

CALIPSO CINDI

TWINS-A TWINS-B SDO GPM Core

ST-6 AIM * Planck * Aquarius MMS

* Hinode THEMIS * Herschel NPP LDCM MIDEX ESSP

ST-5 GLAST Kepler ST-7 RBSP JWST Einstein 1 Earth Syst

STEREO Daw n HST SM-4 WISE LWS SET-1 Mars Scout Discovery * GPM Const Sentinels New Frontiers MIDEX

New Horizons Phoenix * M3 MSL SOFIA Juno Discovery Mars 2013 Earth Syst Discovery Mars 2016 Discovery

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

EarthHelioAstro

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

Planetary

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008

Launches by Calendar Year

New Horizons

STEREO

ST-5

Hinode

ST-6

TWINS-A

CALIPSO

CloudSat

Phoenix

Daw n

THEMIS

AIM

* M3

HST SM-4

GLAST

* Herschel

* Planck

SDO

IBEX

LWS SET-1

CINDI

TWINS-B

Glory

OCO

OSTM

MSL

SOFIA

Kepler

WISE

ST-7

NPP

* Aquarius

Juno

GRAIL

LADEE

NuSTAR

LDCM

SMEX

RBSP

Mars Scout -Aeronomy

Lunar Mini-Lander 2

Lunar Mini-Lander 1

* ExoMars

JWST

SMEX

BARREL

BARREL

GPM Core

Discovery

MMS

* GPM Const

SMAP

JDEM

SMEX

Solar Probe

* Solar Orbiter

ICESat II

Mars 2016

New Frontiers

Venture 2

Venture 1

OPF

Discovery

ExoPlanet 1

ES Decadal 3

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

EarthHelioAstro

Planetary

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *

Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

NEWLY STARTED MISSIONS

M3 MoO

MMS

IBEX

ST-9

RBSP ExoMars MoO

LDCM

GRAIL

EPOXI MoO

NExT MoO

NuSTAR

Solar Orb MoO

BARREL MoO

OPF

LADEE

Scout 2013

New Frontiers

JDEM

SMEX 2012

SMEX 2013

SMEX 2015

SMEX MoO

Solar Probe

ICESat II

SMAP

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

Heliophysics

Planetary

Earth Science

Astrophysics

New Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year—Whichever is Later.

FLAGSHIP MISSION CANDIDATES

Europa Orbiter Jupiter System Observer (JSO)

Titan Explorer

LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

B C & D E

LADEE Launch Goal Mini Lander Launch Goal

Lunar Research and Analysis

ILN Operation Start Goal

Mission of OpportunityScience-Funding-Opportunity Driven

A

Node I & II OperationsScience Definition

Cruise

B EALaunch date to be set during Phase A

TBD during Phase A

LADEE

Mini Lander

LROE+

Possible Intl. Partner Early Operations

EC/D

ESMD SMD

B C & D E

SMD-Discovery Mission

Cruise

GRAIL

SDTB/C/D duration finalized during A

020308

SMD

-Ful

l Moo

n M

issi

ons

Science Definition SDT

Mars Program - Next DecadeLaunch Year

2020

TBD mission based on

budget and science feed-forward

TBD mission based on

budget and science feed-forward

MSR Element #1MSR Element #1

Sample Receiving Facility online by 2022

MSR Element #2MSR Element #2

MARS BUDGET HISTORY

Mars, as % of Total Planetary Funding, Since 1959

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12

Mariner

Viking

Mars Observer

MGS, Pathfinder, Mars 98, Odyssey, MER, MRO, Phoenix,

MSL, Scout…

1985-2013 average = 27.3%

PLANETARY DIVISION BUDGET SPLITS

FY09 President's Budget, $1330M

GRAIL9%

Juno18%

Lunar Science Program8%

PDS & Curation 1%

MSL17%

Future Discovery4%

Discovery Op Msn + M34%

Mars Op Msn8%

Scout 13, ExoMars & beyond2%

Cassini, Rosetta, Hayabusa

OPF 1%

NF Op Msn + Mgt1%

R&A

Technology5%

MSL

MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY

August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M.– Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve).

Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth:– TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude

performance.June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included:

– Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras.

– Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling

– Actuator Design– Thermal Protection System testing– Parts Procurements– Fabrication Services/Labor

Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include:– Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing– Parts, Subsystems, Testing– Fabrication Services/Labor

MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM

Largest contributors to growth

120000

100000

nds 80000

as 60000

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20000

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PPropu M e

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April EAC July EAC Nov EAC

NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4

Radar

ATLO

w/EMs

ATLO

ATLO KSCFlt. Avionics

Descent Stage

DrillR

adar

CDRJune 2007

LaunchSept. 2009July 2008March 2008

ShipMay 2009

Deliveries

As of Jan. 2008EAC increased > $200M

Since June 2007

KSCDeliveries

Jan. 2009

Flt. Heatshield

Flt. AvionicsDescent Stage

Drill

As of June 2007CDR

Possible delays but flexibility available

Flt. Heatshield

MSL Development Flow Compression

Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing

$-

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07

BCWSBCWPACWP

SV = -$32,084

CV = -$90,855

SPI = 0.914

SCI = 0.723

CPI = 0.791

}

CumulativePerformance

Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)

MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY

MSL Historical Direct LCC

$1,400

$1,450

$1,500

$1,550

$1,600

$1,650

$1,700

$1,750

$1,800

$1,850

PNAR(2/2006)

NAR(8/2006)

Confirmation(8/2006)

Current(12/2007)

Projectedw /PICA

JPL projectedEAC

$(M

)

12/07/07Current JPLProjected

Blue line $1699Mcorresponds tothe 70% onSRB’s S-curvedevelopment cost predicted at confirmation