Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted....

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Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts September 26, 2019

Transcript of Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted....

Page 1: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Small Off-Road Engines:2020 Rulemaking Concepts

September 26, 2019

Page 2: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Workshop Overview• Background and regulatory history• Population and activity survey• 2020 Rulemaking• Reducing fuel spills and drips• Transitioning to zero emissions• Rulemaking process

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Page 3: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Background andRegulatory History

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Page 4: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Small Off-Road Engines (SORE)

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Page 5: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

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Sources of Emissions

During operation:Exhaust and evaporative

During storage: Evaporative

Page 6: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

1990Exhaust

standards adopted

2003Tier 3 exhaust

standards and first evap standards adopted

2005-2013Tier 3 exhaust and

evap standards implemented

1995-1996Tier 1 exhaust

standards implemented

2000-2002Tier 2 exhaust

standards implemented

2008-2015 Evap validation

studies

SORE Regulatory History

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2016Evap

amendments adopted

Page 7: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

SORE Emissions Versus Cars(Statewide)

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• SORE emissions projected to increase

• Will surpass those from light-duty passenger cars in early 2020s

Page 8: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

ROG Majority of SORE Emissions

80.8

21.1

10.34.4

ROG (CA) ROG (Preempt) NOx (CA) NOx (Preempt)

Emissions (tons per day)

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Page 9: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

0%

50%

100%

Com

plia

nce

Rat

e

0%

50%

100%

Com

plia

nce

Rat

e

60%Failed

50%Failed

High Evaporative EmissionsPerformance Design

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Page 10: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

2015 2016 2017Model Year

Fail

Pass2018

24-h

r em

issi

ons/

stan

dard

CARB Evap Emissions Compliance Testing

• 42% have failed overall

• Fuel caps implicated

• Leaking fuel tanks

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Page 11: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Population and Activity Survey

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Page 12: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Survey to Update Lawn and Garden Equipment Population

• Updating equipment population to refine inventory

• Determine penetration of zero-emission equipment in California

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Page 13: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

CSUF Social Science Research Center

• Experience with statistically valid phone surveys• Team of student callers are trained in the survey-

managers are experienced callers• Household survey captured both landlines and

cell-only households

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Page 14: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Sample Frames

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Household Occupied households that do not run a landscaping business

12,944,178(US census)

Business Businesses, except home-based and landscaping

1,851,224 (Econ census)

Licensed landscapers

NAICS 541320 (Landscape and Architectural Services), 561730 (Landscaping Services)

59,385(Econ census)

Unlicensed landscapers

Calculated from remaining residential demand

23,666

Page 15: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Number of Surveys Conducted

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Survey Number attempted to contact

Number completed surveys

Household 13,638 1,152Business 8,079 1,350All landscapers 7,247 629

Page 16: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Popu

latio

n(m

illion

s)

Household L&G Equipment

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• Occupied households in California

• Weighted to account for residence type and household size

• 16 million pieces of residential lawn and garden equipment

Page 17: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

(thou

sand

s)Po

pula

tion

Business L&G Equipment

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• Home-based and landscaping businesses excluded

• Weighted to account for industry and number of employees

• 800,000 pieces of lawn and garden equipment

Page 18: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Popu

latio

n(th

ousa

nds)

Licensed Landscaping Business

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• NAICS codes 541320 (Landscape and Architectural Services), 561730 (Landscaping Services)

• Weighted to account for sole proprietorships

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Popu

latio

n(th

ousa

nds)

Unlicensed Landscaping Business

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• Calculated from remaining residential demand for landscapers

• No weighting applied

Page 20: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Estimating Unlicensed Landscapers

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24,000 unlicensed landscapers781,000 remaining demand ÷ 33 clients = 24,000

2.7M households reached by licensed landscapers53,000 landscapers × 96% service homes × 54 clients = 2.7M

3.5M single family homes in CA using a landscaper13M households × 58% single family × 47% use landscaper = 3.5M

Page 21: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Equipment Maintenance

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• Percent of equipment owners following maintenance schedules

• “Other” usually monthly or weekly for landscapers

Page 22: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Survey Summary• Residential equipment already

majority electric• Electric equipment has low

adoption rate among commercial users

• Equipment frequently does not receive recommended maintenance

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2020 Rulemaking

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Page 24: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Need for Further Reductions

Statewide Reductions (tons per day, expected)NOx ROG

Total 168 86SORE 4 36Additional Off-Road 18 20

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2016 State Implementation Plan (SIP) Strategy

Page 25: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Future Emission Standards• Factors for consideration

• Updated emission inventory• State Implementation Plan• Technological feasibility• Mobile Source Strategy

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Page 26: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Exhaust Emission Rates (Class 1-2)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Class 1 (80 cc < disp. < 225 cc) Class 2 (disp. ≥ 225 cc)

HC

+ N

Ox

(g/k

Wh)

Uncontrolled (lowest) Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Lowest Certified

Emission standards

Emission standards-30%

19%

76%

-33%21%

99%

-19%

1990 1995 2002 2007 2009 1990 1995 2002 2008 2019

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Class 3-4 (< 50 cc) Class 5 (50 ≤ disp. ≤ 80 cc)

HC

+ N

Ox

(g/k

Wh)

Uncontrolled (commercial) Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Lowest Certified

-3%Emission standards

73%

76%

18%

93%

65%

81%

1990 1995 2000 2005 2019 1990 1995 2000 2005 2019

Exhaust Emission Standards (Class 3-5)

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Emission standards

Page 28: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Future Exhaust Emission Standards• Reduce maximum emission rates (FEL caps)• Revisit emission durability periods• Continue use of ABT emission reduction credit

program• Amend ZEE emission reduction credit program

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Page 29: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Evaporative Emission Standards (> 80 cc)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Class 1 (80 cc < disp. < 225 cc) Class 2 (disp. ≥ 225 cc)

Diu

rnal

Em

issi

ons

(g H

C/d

ay)

Uncontrolled (Example) Emission Standards Lowest Certified

Up to 60%

73%

Up to 86%

97%

Standard

Standard

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Page 30: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Evaporative Emissions Research Testing2-Stroke Handheld (≤ 80 cc) Baseline – Hot Soak Emissions

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0

0.3

0.6

0.9

1.2

1.5

Hot

Soa

k Em

issi

ons

(g)

Equipment Type

Page 31: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Evaporative Emissions Research Testing2-Stroke Baseline – Diurnal Emissions

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0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

24-h

r Em

issi

ons

(g/d

ay)

Equipment Type

Page 32: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Future Evaporative Emission Standards• Hot soak + diurnal emissions

• No dependence on fuel tank volume• Standards for ≤ 80 cc (handheld) engines

• Revisit carbon canister working capacity determination• Design standards

• May be eliminated• No dependence on surface area

• Tests for fuel spillage

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Page 33: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Reducing Fuel Spills and Drips

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Page 34: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Tilt Test• Tilt equipment 90 degrees

• Forward• Backward• Left• Right

• No fuel leak in 5 minutes

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3

4 5

2

1

Page 35: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Canister Contamination• Weigh canister before and after

• Tilt test• Overfill test in ANSI/OPEI B71.10

• Increase in mass suggests exposure to liquid fuel• Installation requirement in section 2754(d)

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Page 36: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Fuel Cap and Tether Drips• Start with full fuel tank• Install and remove fuel cap• No fuel spillage

from fuel cap ortether

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Page 37: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Other Ideas?• Ways to reduce…

• Fuel spillage during refueling• Spills or leaks during use or transport• Problems due to improper filling or handling

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Page 38: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Transitioning to Zero Emissions

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Page 39: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Zero Emission Equipment Credits• Available since 2010• 8 equipment types• Used to offset emissions• First ZEE certified in 2018• 2 manufacturers participating

• 5 equipment types total

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Page 40: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Transitioning to Zero Emissions

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Zero emission standards

0 gꞏkWh-1 (exh)0 gꞏday-1 (evap)

End spark-ignition

engine sales

2020Adopt new emission standards

Reduced emission standards

2031Ozone SIP attainment deadline

Credit use allowed

Page 41: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Rulemaking Process

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Page 42: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Stakeholder Engagement• Stakeholders

• Participate in workshops and meetings• Share ideas to reduce emissions• Share test data and product information• Propose changes to ZEE credit program

• CARB staff• Public process

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Page 43: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

First workshop for 2016 evap amendments/

future concepts

2019Emission inventory

September 2019First workshop

2018-2019 Population and activity survey

2018-2019 Exhaust and evap testing

September 2020 Propose new

standards

2020 Emission inventory and proposed rule

workshops

20152020 SORE Rulemaking Timeline

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Page 44: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

Next Steps• Continue exhaust and evaporative testing• Emission inventory workshop (Q1 2020)• Develop regulatory proposal• Regulatory proposal workshop (Q2 2020)

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Page 45: Small Off-Road Engines: 2020 Rulemaking Concepts · 9/26/2019  · 1990 Exhaust standards adopted. 2003 Tier 3 exhaust standards and first evap standards adopted. 2005-2013 Tier 3

CARB Staff Contact InformationMonitoring and Laboratory Division

• Christopher Dilbeck, Ph.D. – SORE lead(916) 319-0106, [email protected]

• Dorothy Fibiger, Ph.D. – ZEE lead(916) 324-8426, [email protected]

• Angus MacPherson, P.E. – Manager(916) 445-4686, [email protected]

• Manisha Singh, Ph.D. – Chief, Quality Management Branch(916) 327-1501, [email protected]

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