Skills & Work November 2014 Locality Information.

Skills & Work

November 2014

Locality Information

Contents

Slides 3-9: Worklessness Data

Slide 10: Child Poverty

Slide 11: NEET

Slide 12: Methodology

Slides 13-14 Resident & Workplace Earnings

Jobseekers Allowance

JSA Claimants: Oct 2014

Ward No. % Ward No. %

Barton 223 2.7 Little Hulton 375 4.7 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 45 0.7 Ordsall 254 2.0 Broughton 519 5.8 Pendlebury 155 1.8 Cadishead 140 2.1 Swinton North 171 2.4 Claremont 86 1.3 Swinton South 126 1.7 Eccles 155 2.1 Walkden North 251 3.4 Irlam 107 1.8 Walkden South 78 1.2 Irwell Riverside 307 3.1 Weaste & Seedley 232 2.9 Kersal 184 2.5 Winton 219 2.8 Langworthy 418 4.5 Worsley 24 0.4

Data source: NOMIS Nov 2014% Proportion of working age population aged 16-64 estimate+/- compared with Oct 2013 JSA Claimants

JSA (Oct 2014)

Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 11,434 3.1 -1.7 Bolton 4,762 2.7 -1.6 Wigan 4,320 2.1 -1.6 Salford 4,069 2.6 -1.8 Stockport 3,711 2.1 -0.9 Rochdale 3,223 2.4 -1.8 Oldham 2,906 2.1 -2.0 Tameside 2,864 2.0 -1.9 Bury 2,373 2.0 -1.4 Trafford 2,147 1.5 -1.1

Greater Manchester 41,809 2.4 -1.5

North West 101,175 2.2 -1.3

Great Britain 836,373 2.1 -0.9

The number of JSA claimants in Salford continues to show a reduction, from 4.4% (6,985) of the working age population in October 2013 to 2.6% (4,069) in October 2014. The Salford average (2.6%) still remains higher than the Greater Manchester (2.4%), North West (2.2%) and GB (2.1%) averages.

The decline in claimants is replicated both regionally and nationally, with the Salford JSA population reducing by 1.8% (-2,916 claimants) over the last 12 months.

At ward level Broughton has the highest number of claimants, equivalent to 5.8% of the working age population.

Please note: due to the changes in the way JSA claimants are now reported there can be no yearly comparisons made at ward level, the data is now reported at 2013 electoral ward levels.

Extract from New Economy Aug 14 Monitor: The very large falls in claimant count should be treated with increasing caution due to the impact of Universal Credit, which has knocked a few thousand people off the JSA count.

Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA) is payable to people under pensionable age who are available for, and actively seeking work.

JSA: 18-24 year olds

Data source: NOMIS Nov 2014% Proportion of all JSA claimants +/- compared with Oct 2013 JSA Claimants

JSA Claimants (18-24 year olds): Oct 2014


Barton 30 13.9 Little Hulton 90 23.5 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 10 24.4 Ordsall 70 27.2 Broughton 85 16.0 Pendlebury 35 21.3 Cadishead 35 25.0 Swinton North 25 14.6

Claremont 20 23.3 Swinton South 30 24.6

Eccles 25 15.5 Walkden North 55 21.5 Irlam 25 25.2 Walkden South 15 16.7

Irwell Riverside 50 16.0 Weaste & Seedley 55 24.1

Kersal 40 22.3 Winton 55 26.0 Langworthy 90 21.3 Worsley 5 16.7

The number of 18-24 year olds claiming Jobseeker Allowance in Salford continues to fall, from 1,860 claimants in October 2013 to 840 claimants in October 2014, showing a reduction of 1,020 claimants within the last 12 months.

As a percentage of all Salford JSA claimants, 20.6% are aged 18-24, compared to 26.7% in October 2013.

The reduction in young claimants is reflected both regionally and nationally, the Salford is comparable to the GM average (21.3%), and lower than the GB average (24%).



JSA: 18-24 year olds (Oct 2014)

Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 2,615 22.9 -1.9 Bolton 950 19.9 -5.8 Stockport 920 24.8 -1.6 Wigan 890 20.6 -5.2 Salford 840 20.6 -6.1 Rochdale 815 25.2 -3.2 Bury 555 23.5 -4.3 Tameside 530 18.5 -7.8 Oldham 430 14.9 -7.3 Trafford 370 17.3 -8.7

Greater Manchester 8,915 21.3 -4.5 North West 23,020 22.8 -4.3 Great Britain 200,260 24.0 -2.2

JSA: 6 months +

Data source: NOMIS Nov 2014

% Proportion of all JSA claimants+/- compared with Oct 2013 JSA Claimants

JSA Claimants (6 months +): Oct 2014


Barton 100 45.7 Little Hulton 205 55.2

Boothstown and Ellenbrook 15 31.1 Ordsall 80 31.9 Broughton 220 42.2 Pendlebury 60 38.7

Cadishead 50 35.7 Swinton North 80 47.4

Claremont 20 24.4 Swinton South 60 49.2 Eccles 80 51.6 Walkden North 135 53.4 Irlam 45 40.2 Walkden South 35 47.4 Irwell Riverside 130 42.3 Weaste & Seedley 95 41.4

Kersal 60 32.1 Winton 100 46.6

Langworthy 160 38.8 Worsley 10 37.5

The number of long-term claimants in Salford continues to fall, from 46.2% of Salford’s JSA claimants (3,225 claimants) in October 2013 to 43% (1,750 claimants) in October 2014, equivalent to 1.1% of Salford’s working age population claiming JSA for more than 6 months.

The decline in long-term (6 months+) claimants is reflected both regionally and nationally, with the Salford average (43%) lower than the GM (45.9%), North West (45.7%) and GB(44.6%) averages.



JSA: 6 months + (Oct 2014)

Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 4,940 43.2 -4.0 Bolton 2,555 53.7 6.5 Wigan 2,070 47.9 -1.0 Salford 1,750 43.0 -3.2 Stockport 1,510 40.7 -2.3 Oldham 1,500 51.8 -3.6 Tameside 1,445 50.5 0.0 Rochdale 1,300 40.4 -5.7 Bury 1,110 46.8 6.7 Trafford 980 45.7 2.2


Universal CreditUniversal Credit has started to replace six existing benefits and tax credits with a single monthly payment. Universal Credit will eventually replace:Income-based Jobseeker’s Allowance Income-related Employment and Support AllowanceIncome SupportWorking Tax CreditChild Tax CreditHousing Benefit

The main differences between Universal Credit and the current welfare system are:UC is available to people who are in work, on a low income, as as well as to those who are out-of-work Most people will apply online and manage their claim via a a an online accountMost claimants on low incomes will still be paid UC when th they first start a new job or increase their part-time hours

Between April 2013 and September 2014, a total of 16,590 people have started Universal Credit.

The majority of starters to Universal Credit were males, nearly 70%, and most, over 60% were under 25 years old.

Over 80 per cent of the Universal Credit caseload were from Jobcentre Offices in the North West.

Currently the data is reported on a half yearly basis.

Local Authority UC Caseload Aug 2014

UC Caseload Sept 2014

Oldham 2,240 2,380

Wigan 1,560 1,680

Tameside 1,250 1,440

Bolton 360 630

Trafford 260 360

Bury 140 300

Salford 90 220

Manchester 20 20

Rochdale 10 10

Data source: DWP Oct 2014

Out of Work BenefitsIn May 2014, 14.8% of Salford’s working age population were claiming out of work benefits, this is significantly higher than the national average (10.2%), and slightly higher than the GM (13%) and North West average (12.6%).

The annual figure for Salford has decreased from 26,130 claimants in May 2013 to 23,340 in May 2014, this decrease is reflected across Greater Manchester (-1.5%).

All wards have seen decreases in the number of out of work benefit claimants, with Langworthy, Barton and Little Hulton seeing the largest decreases.

% Proportion of working age population aged 16-64 estimates+/- compared with May 2013 Data source: NOMIS Nov 2014

Out-of-work benefits is a DWP term which covers the following benefits: Jobseeker's Allowance, Income Support, Employment and Support Allowance, Incapacity Benefit, Severe Disablement Allowance and Carer's Allowance.

Out of Work Benefits: May 2014

Ward No. % +/- Ward No. % +/-

Barton 1,584 19.2 -2.9 Little Hulton 1,996 25.4 -3.1

Boothstown & Ellenbrook 321 5.1 -0.4 Ordsall 1,256 10.4 -1.5

Broughton 2,232 25.9 -1.7 Pendlebury 1,196 13.5 -1.5

Cadishead 755 11.4 -1.9 Swinton North 1,008 14.4 -2.0

Claremont 574 8.7 -1.2 Swinton South 881 12.1 -1.2

Eccles 1,026 13.7 -1.9 Walkden North 1,440 19.2 -2.7

Irlam 711 11.9 -1.9 Walkden South 618 9.4 -1.5

Irwell Riverside 1,464 14.4 -1.6 Weaste & Seedley 1,266 16.1 -1.5

Kersal 983 13.3 -1.7 Winton 1,488 19.0 -2.0

Langworthy 2,281 24.8 -2.6 Worsley 191 3.1 -0.9

Out of Work Benefits ( May 2014)

Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 54,520 15.0 -1.4 Wigan 24,630 12.1 -2.0 Bolton 24,020 13.6 -1.3 Salford 23,340 14.8 -1.8 Rochdale 20,300 15.1 -1.8 Tameside 19,070 13.6 -1.9 Oldham 18,540 13.1 -2.6 Stockport 17,190 9.7 -0.9 Bury 13,690 11.7 -1.0 Trafford 12,540 8.7 -0.9

Greater Manchester 227,840 13.0 -1.5 North West 567,050 12.6 -1.3 Great Britain 4,044,910 10.2 -1.0

Lone Parents

Lone Parents at Ward Level: May 2014


Barton 190 2.3 -0.4 Little Hulton 312 4.0 -

Boothstown & Ellenbrook 25 0.4 0.2 Ordsall 165 1.4 -

Broughton 237 2.7 - Pendlebury 187 2.1 0.2

Cadishead 107 1.6 -0.2 Swinton North 121 1.7 -0.3

Claremont 53 0.8 - Swinton South 111 1.5 -0.2

Eccles 57 0.8 - Walkden North 185 2.5 -0.2


Irwell Riverside 202 2.0 -0.1 Weaste & Seedley 146 1.9 -0.1

Kersal 120 1.6 -0.1 Winton 168 2.1 -0.2

Langworthy 242 2.6 -0.1 Worsley 15 0.2 -0.1

The number of Lone Parents claiming benefits in Salford continues to decrease, from 1.9% (2,990 claimants) in May 2013 to 1.8% (2,820 claimants) in May 2014.

The Salford average was higher than the GM (1.5%) and North West (1.4%) averages, and significantly higher than the GB average of 1.2%.

At ward level, the majority of wards have seen a reduction in claimants, and with five wards showing no change in the number of lone parent compared to May 2013.


% Proportion of working age population aged 16-64 estimates+/- compared with May 2013

Lone Parents (May 2014)

Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 7,000 1.9 -0.1 Salford 2,820 1.8 -0.1 Bolton 2,580 1.5 - Oldham 2,460 1.7 -0.1 Wigan 2,450 1.2 - Rochdale 2,330 1.7 -0.1 Tameside 2,190 1.6 - Stockport 2,010 1.1 -0.1 Bury 1,430 1.2 -0.1 Trafford 1,320 0.9 -0.1


IB / ESA is given to people who cannot work because of illness or disability.

IB / ESA


The welfare benefit reforms continue to impact on Incapacity Benefit / Employment and Support Allowance claimants.

The changes implemented mean that individuals in receipt of IB will have their benefit status assessed through the Work Capability Assessment, with the majority of claimants likely to be transferred on to Employment Support Allowance (Work Related Activity Group) or Jobseekers Allowance and be required to seek employment.

The Salford average (9.4%) still remains higher than the GM (8.1%), North West (8%) average and significantly higher than the UK average (6.2%).

IB / ESA Claimants (May 2014) Local Authority No. % +/- Manchester 32,510 8.9 0.1 Wigan 15,950 7.8 -0.3 Salford 14,840 9.4 0.2 Bolton 14,510 8.2 - Rochdale 13,110 9.8 0.3 Tameside 12,290 8.8 0.1 Oldham 11,580 8.2 0.0 Stockport 10,520 6.0 -0.1 Bury 8,760 7.5 - Trafford 8,040 5.6 0.1

Greater Manchester 142,120 8.1 0.1 North West 361,740 8.0 - Great Britain 2,462,730 6.2 -

IB / ESA at Ward Level: May 2014


Barton 1,014 12.3 0.3 Little Hulton 1,141 14.5 0.1

Boothstown & Ellenbrook 213 3.4 -0.1 Ordsall 771 6.4 0.2

Broughton 1,364 15.8 0.8 Pendlebury 775 8.8 -0.1

Cadishead 501 7.6 0.3 Swinton North 638 9.1 0.4

Claremont 394 6.0 -0.3 Swinton South 580 7.9 -0.1

Eccles 729 9.7 0.1 Walkden North 865 11.5 0.6

Irlam 450 7.5 0.3 Walkden South 433 6.6 0.2

Irwell Riverside 899 8.9 0.4 Weaste & Seedley 858 10.9 0.7

Kersal 606 8.2 0.1 Winton 964 12.3 0.5

Langworthy 1,503 16.3 0.5 Worsley 134 2.2 -0.3

% Proportion of working age population aged 16-64 estimates+/- compared with May 2013

Child Poverty

Children in Poverty 2011

Ward2012 2011

Ward2012 2011

No. % % No. % %

Irwell Riverside 980 45.7 49.9 Pendlebury 710 25.0 27.7

Langworthy 1,055 44.6 46.2 Swinton North 620 24.4 26.1

Little Hulton 1,650 43.3 43.8 Swinton South 535 21.2 21.7

Ordsall 735 42.2 42.3 Cadishead 460 18.5 19.1

Winton 1,035 33.9 37.1 Kersal 675 15.6 18.2

Walkden North 880 31.0 32.3 Eccles 320 15.1 16.5

Broughton 1,360 30.9 36.1 Walkden South 270 13.1 14.4

Weaste & Seedley 720 29.1 32.1 Claremont 180 9.1 8.4

Barton 810 28.1 28.0 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 125 5.8 6.1

Irlam 640 26.0 26.2 Worsley 55 2.9 3.0 Data Source: HMRC 2013

The 2012 Salford average for children living in poverty was 26.0%, a there had been a slight drop when comparing the 2011 average of 27.6%.

The 2012 average for England was 18.6%, with the Greater Manchester average of 22.7%.

The Children in Low-Income Families Local Measure shows the proportion of children living in families in receipt of out-of-work benefits or in receipt of tax credits where their reported income is less than 60 per cent median income.

IRLAM

CADISHEAD

WORSLEY

PENDLEBURY

WINTON

ORDSALL

KERSAL

ECCLES

BARTON

BOOTHSTOWN & ELLENBROOK

LITTLE HULTONWALKDEN NORTH

IRWELL RIVERSIDE

WALKDEN SOUTH

BROUGHTON

SWINTON NORTH

WEASTE & SEEDLEY

SWINTON SOUTH

CLAREMONT

LANGWORTHY

IRLAM

CADISHEAD

WORSLEY

PENDLEBURY

WINTON

ORDSALL

KERSAL

ECCLES

BARTON

BOOTHSTOWN & ELLENBROOK

LITTLE HULTONWALKDEN NORTH

IRWELL RIVERSIDE

WALKDEN SOUTH

BROUGHTON

SWINTON NORTH

WEASTE & SEEDLEY

SWINTON SOUTH

CLAREMONT

LANGWORTHY

NEET 16-18 year olds

Source: Salford Connexions – Nov 2014

October 2014: NEET

Ward No. % Monthly +/- Ward No. % Monthly

+/-

Barton 31 8.4 0.9 Little Hulton 51 10.2 0.9

Boothstown & Ellenbrook 8 2.9 -0.4 Ordsall 24 10.8 2.2

Broughton 35 9.3 2.1 Pendlebury 25 6.3 2.3

Cadishead 11 3.4 0.7 Swinton North 9 2.5 -0.4

Claremont 12 4.0 0.9 Swinton South 28 7.2 0.1

Eccles 13 4.0 -1.4 Walkden North 37 9.0 1.3


Irwell Riverside 30 11.6 0.6 Weaste & Seedley 28 8.1 1.2

Kersal 19 6.5 1.3 Winton 35 8.0 0.6

Langworthy 49 12.8 -0.4 Worsley 3 1.3 0.3

NEET data is subject to significant fluctuations during July, August and September due to learner destinations expiring at the end of their academic programmes.

The Connexions Service, on behalf of the local authority, undertakes an intensive programme of tracking to re-accredit learner destinations, which can result in a significant increase to the numbers of young people being categorised as NEET due to their destination being unknown during this period. Accurate performance data is usually returned by October.

The table compares the figures for October 2014 with last months figures for young people (16-18 year olds) not engaged in employment, education or training (NEET) at ward level.

NEET destinations include: Not yet ready for work / learning; Awaiting a training place (sub level 2 / level 2 place / level 3+); Start date agreed; Seeking employment / training; NEET; Young carers; Teenage parents; Illness; Pregnancy; Religious grounds; Unlikely to be economically active and Other reason.

Salford Cen-tral

Salford North Salford South Salford West0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

Jul-14Aug-14Sep-14Oct-14

METHODOLOGY

1. DWP Worklessness data is currently available for 2001(frozen) LSOAs and pre 2004 wards. This model uses data for 2001 LSOAs to simulate values for post 2004 (current) wards, on a weighted best fit basis.

2. For 2001 LSOAs where all of the residential addresses are located within a single ward, all of the data for those LSOAs are assigned to the wards in which they are located.

3. Data for LSOAs where the residential addresses fall into more than one ward are assigned to wards on the basis of weightings. The weightings are determined by the distribution of residential addresses within the LSOA that are in receipt of Council Tax Benefit March 2013.

LSOA = Lower Supper Output Areas CTB = Council Tax Benefit

For further information please contact either:Marion Wood: [email protected] / Jane Roberts [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

GM Resident Earnings 2013 GM Workplace Earnings 2013

1. Trafford £30,768 1. Stockport £27,986

2. Stockport £28,020 2. Manchester £27,862

3. Bury £25,855 3. Salford £26,7914. Wigan £25,707 4. Trafford £25,786

5. Manchester £24,600 5. Bury £23,685

6. Salford £23,903 6. Wigan £23,341

7. Rochdale £23,765 7. Bolton £22,824

8. Bolton £23,408 8. Rochdale £22,354

9. Tameside £22,446 9. Tameside £21,273

10. Oldham £22,101 10. Oldham £20,776

Resident & Workplace Earnings

2009 2010 2011 2012 201320,000

21,000

22,000

23,000

24,000

25,000

26,000

27,000

28,000

Salford Resident Salford Workplace Data source: Nomis October 2014

The table compares the annual gross pay of both workplace and resident earnings across the 10 Greater Manchester authorities.

On a city level, Salford resident earnings are 10.7% (£2,888) lower than the Salford workplace earnings.

When comparing the hourly pay (gross), the Salford resident average is £11.82 compared to Salford workplace average of £13.00 (+9%).

Full-time workers are defined as those who work more than 30 paid hours per week or those in teaching professions working 25 paid hours or more per week.

The chart compares the full time pay (gross) of Salford residents against the Salford workplace earnings over a 5 year period.

Salford residents have seen on average a 3.6% (£843) increase in income, compared with Salford workplace earnings increasing by 13.5% (£3,202) over the 5 years.

In comparison the UK average for resident full time pay (gross) has increased by 4.6% (£1,211) over the same time period.

Resident & Workplace Earnings (2013)

Salford GM NW UK

£23,903

£24,968£25,300

£27,017£26,791

£25,254£25,097

£27,017

Full Time Workers

Resident Workplace

Salford GM NW UK

£7,423£8,643 £8,750 £8,901£9,269 £8,850 £8,741 £8,901

Part Time Workers

Resident Workplace

Salford Resident Earnings Salford Workplace Earnings

Salford GM NW UK Salford GM NW UK

Full Time £23,903 £24,968 £25,300 £27,017 £26,791 £25,254 £25,097 £27,017

Full Time: Female £21,526 £22,221 £22,221 £23,589 £23,896 £22,855 £22,221 £23,589

Full Time: Male £24,854 £26,746 £27,410 £29,251 £28,349 £27,418 £27,330 £29,251

Part Time £7,423 £8,643 £8,750 £8,901 £9,269 £8,850 £8,741 £8,901

Part Time: Female £6,945 £8,898 £8,847 £9,004 £9,838 £9,118 £8,850 £9,004

Part time: Male £8,260 £8,286 £8,364 £8,480 £8,122 £8,357 £8,292 £8,480

Data source: Nomis October 2014 – Annual Gross Pay

Skills & Work November 2014 Locality Information.

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Transcript of Skills & Work November 2014 Locality Information.