Simple Guide to the Resource Review and the Localisation of NNDR Kieran Timmins Deputy Chief...

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Simple Guide to the Resource Review and the Localisation of NNDR Kieran Timmins Deputy Chief Executive Merseyside FRA.

Transcript of Simple Guide to the Resource Review and the Localisation of NNDR Kieran Timmins Deputy Chief...

Simple Guide to the ResourceReview and the Localisation of NNDR

Kieran TimminsDeputy Chief

ExecutiveMerseyside FRA.

Plan For Today

• What do you really need to know ?• Remind you of the cash headlines• What is the current system?• What is the proposal?

Reduction £207m2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200 1,057996 989

899 850

National Fire Control Total

-5.8% -0.7% -9.1% -5.5%

Extra Cuts

• £5m for Chancellor Pay assumption• £7m for Safety Net & Capitalisation• Further 1.5% on baseline

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Population

• Coastline• Population density• Risk Index• COMAH Sites• Property & Societal Risk• Community Fire Safety

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Relative Resources

Central Allocation

Floor DampingMinisterial Discretion

New System

1. Get a share of Local Rates2. Compare that share to “Baseline” 3. Either Get a “Top Up” back to “baseline” or

pay a “Tariff”

Example - Merseyside

• Total Rates = £399m• 50% Local Share = £200m

Fire gets 2% Local Share

50% to GovernmentCentral Share

£4m

Example - Merseyside

• Compare to Baseline

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Top Up£38M

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Top Up£38M

RPI

Local Rates

But Sticking to Spending Control Totals for now

Critical Thing is Baseline Set!

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Top Up£38M

How do we set the Baseline?

• Rerun the formula!

With Some Potential Changes• Sparsity• Resource Equalisation• Update all Data - Population

How do we set the Baseline?

• Rerun the formula!

With Some Potential Changes• Sparsity• Resource Equalisation• Update all Data - Population

Ministerial Discretion

Summary

• Service to save £200m approx from Grant Cuts• Pressure on Pay Awards already• Flexibility on Council Tax restricted• Council Tax Benefit Localisation

Risk of the Perfect StormGrant

Cut £207m

Pay AwardsCouncil Tax benefit

Localisation

Pensions?

Years 5&6

Questions?