Shultz Sedaag 2008
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Transcript of Shultz Sedaag 2008
BENJAMIN SHULTZ AND CHARLYNN BURDUNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE
GEOGRAPHY
SEDAAG NOVEMBER 25, 2008
The Southern Gentry: Re-Examining Patterns of Growth and
Change in the New South
Introduction
Patterns of nonmetropolitan growth and change Interdisciplinary research for past 3 decades
Major research emphasis Traditional economic base rooted in primary and
secondary sectors
New economic shifts Services, real estate, retail, entertainment, tourism
Introduction
Economic restructuring and natural amenities Natural amenities population/economic growth
“Quality of Life” migration Growth in nontraditional sectors
Heavy focus on “New West”Research on nonmetropolitan South
Demise of rural industrial base Disproportionate resources concentrated in suburbs Suburban growth leaving vast nonmetropolitan areas
behind Divide between inner city/rural areas and suburbs
Introduction
Goal of research What are the spatial relationships between growth
and natural amenities in the South? To what extent do nonmetropolitan places suffer at
the expense of the suburbs?
Study area: States must be part of “census South” and Have at least one county in Appalachian Regional
Commission
Methods
County-level data 853 total counties (ten independent VA cities)
Examine economic and demographic changes Growth Prosperity Economic Shifts Amenities
Methods and Data
Growth: US Census Bureau (1990-2005)
Population Domestic Migration Median Household Income Total Employment Total Number of People in Poverty
Prosperity: Various data sources
Poverty Rate Housing Problem Index Unemployment Rate H.S. Dropout
Methods and Data
Economic Shifts: Bureau Economic Analysis 2005
Percent Retail Percent Manufacturing Percent Farming Percent Government Percent Farming Percent Arts, Recreation, and Entertainment
Natural Amenity Index: ERS
Rescaled for Southeast
Amenities
Methods
16 total variablesK-Means cluster analysis
Non-Hierarchical Clustering Calinski and Harabasz Stop Rule Four Group Solution
Cluster trends Sunbelt Service (70 Counties) Southern Gentry (239 Counties) Equilibrium (396 Counties) Chronic Poverty (148 Counties)
Sunbelt Service
Southern Gentry
Equilibrium
Chronic Poverty
Discussion
Divide between nonmetropolitan and suburban places exists, but is concentrated
Not all growth is good People in poverty in Sunbelt Suburban jumped 62% High costs in desirable places potentially displacing
low-income people Internal polarization between rich and poor may be
masked by data Suburbs are more diverse than traditionally discussed
(i.e. increased Latino population growth)
Discussion
Many places are neither booming nor declining Steady growth Severe poverty and depopulation are concentrated Old race and class divisions still intact
Rise of small towns and accessible rural areas Transcends suburban vs. inner city/rural area divide
Natural amenities and growth Not as clear as in New West
Thank You!
Questions?