Shifting Power: A New Information Infrastructure Bonnie Lawlor ICSTI January 15, 2004.

Shifting Power: A New Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInformation Infrastructure

Bonnie LawlorBonnie Lawlor

ICSTIICSTI

January 15, 2004January 15, 2004

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructure

The Information EnvironmentThe Information Environment

Where we are nowWhere we are now

How we got hereHow we got here

Challenges/Opportunities for the Challenges/Opportunities for the FutureFuture

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureGoogle Statistics:Google Statistics:

Index 3.3 billion Web pagesIndex 3.3 billion Web pages 10,000 computers10,000 computers 200 million searches daily (75% of web 200 million searches daily (75% of web

searches)searches) 88 languages, 6 years old88 languages, 6 years old

1 billion estimated revenues in 2003*1 billion estimated revenues in 2003*4 billion dollars to be raised via IPO in 2004*4 billion dollars to be raised via IPO in 2004*

Objective:Objective: Organize the World’s Information Organize the World’s Information

U.S.A TodayU.S.A Today, August 26, 2003, page 1D, August 26, 2003, page 1D*Bloomberg.com, January 5, 2004.*Bloomberg.com, January 5, 2004.


““For the Next Generation of online users, For the Next Generation of online users, established firms may have lost mindshare”… established firms may have lost mindshare”…

Stephen Arnold, Stephen Arnold, President, President, Arnold Information Technology Arnold Information Technology

(12/2000)(12/2000)

““The enemy is Google, the lazy student and time The enemy is Google, the lazy student and time the constrained worker”…. the constrained worker”….

Derk Haank, CEO Derk Haank, CEO Elsevier Elsevier (2/2003)(2/2003)

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureTECHNOLOGY:TECHNOLOGY:

Online: <1M searches Online: <1M searches ~60M~60M19721972 19921992

PC’s:PC’s: 2.1M2.1M unitsunits 589M589M19811981 20012001

Web:Web: 130 hosts130 hosts 171.6M171.6M19931993 20032003

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureSocietal Acceptance of Information Societal Acceptance of Information

Technology:Technology:

U.S HouseholdsU.S Households 8 - 10%8 - 10% 70%70%With PC’s With PC’s 19841984 20032003

Today:Today: 22% have more than 1 PC22% have more than 1 PC7-10% are networked7-10% are networked>50% have Internet Access>50% have Internet Access68% children use it for school68% children use it for school

64% adults use it for Information64% adults use it for Information32% children (6-8yrs) have or 32% children (6-8yrs) have or plan to build a personal web plan to build a personal web

sitesite


Economic FactorsEconomic Factors::

Increase in Journal PricesIncrease in Journal Prices 11.3% annually 1963 – 1990; 9% currently11.3% annually 1963 – 1990; 9% currently

Increase in Number of JournalsIncrease in Number of Journals 140% increase since 1972140% increase since 1972

Decline in Library Purchasing PowerDecline in Library Purchasing Power

40% of ARL libraries will cancel “Big Deal” Contracts in 03/0440% of ARL libraries will cancel “Big Deal” Contracts in 03/04

UK investigating price/accessibility of scientific journalsUK investigating price/accessibility of scientific journals


Political/Policy Issues:Political/Policy Issues:

• Public Awareness/Acceptance of Public Awareness/Acceptance of Copyright Copyright

• Lack of Global Information PoliciesLack of Global Information Policies


Convergence of Factors:Convergence of Factors:

Technology Technology Society Society EconomicsEconomics PolicyPolicy

20032003

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureU. S. Student Behavior (2002):U. S. Student Behavior (2002):79%:79%: Use the web for all/most assignmentsUse the web for all/most assignments

50%:50%: Use the library portalUse the library portal

66%: Believe they are best able to judge the 66%: Believe they are best able to judge the quality of web informationquality of web information

4%: 4%: Believe the quality of web information is Believe the quality of web information is poorpoor

88%: Believe that they will not use a fee-88%: Believe that they will not use a fee- based web servicebased web service

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureU.K. Student Behavior (2001):U.K. Student Behavior (2001):

72%: Web is the information source of first 72%: Web is the information source of first choice choice

45%: Google is the search engine of choice45%: Google is the search engine of choice


Medical Student Behavior (2000):Medical Student Behavior (2000):

6%: Never used Medline6%: Never used Medline

29%: Never used MD Consult29%: Never used MD Consult

73%: Never used CINAHL or Current 73%: Never used CINAHL or Current ContentsContents

74%: Never used PsycInfo74%: Never used PsycInfo

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureWeb Information vs. Traditional Sources:Web Information vs. Traditional Sources:

. Discipline Dependent. Discipline Dependent

MEDLINE vs. InspecMEDLINE vs. Inspec

• Value determined by the User, not the Value determined by the User, not the Information ProviderInformation Provider


Open Access Publishing:Open Access Publishing:• BioMed CentralBioMed Central

• PubMed CentralPubMed Central

• Public Library of SciencePublic Library of Science

• arXive.org e-Print ArchivearXive.org e-Print Archive

• Institutional, Discipline-specific & Individual Institutional, Discipline-specific & Individual RepositoriesRepositories

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureElectronic JournalsElectronic Journals

1991:1991: 7 peer-reviewed journals7 peer-reviewed journals

2003:2003: 5,000 electronic journals with no print 5,000 electronic journals with no print counterpartcounterpart

34,27 journals in print & electronic 34,27 journals in print & electronic formform

(44% are “scholarly”)(44% are “scholarly”)

Ulrich’s, Private Communication, May 2003Ulrich’s, Private Communication, May 2003


Market PerspectiveMarket Perspective::

• Decline in use of Library and Traditional A&I servicesDecline in use of Library and Traditional A&I services

• Demand for more content – not more technologyDemand for more content – not more technology

• Request more collaboration among information providersRequest more collaboration among information providers

• Information Linking – media independentInformation Linking – media independent

• New business models based upon user needsNew business models based upon user needs


Ideal Information SystemIdeal Information System

• Easy to Access and UseEasy to Access and Use• Available 24 HoursAvailable 24 Hours• Offer Broad Spectrum of ResourcesOffer Broad Spectrum of Resources• ReliableReliable• PleasurablePleasurable• Reasonably PricedReasonably Priced

• User Perception:User Perception: The web fulfills the above The web fulfills the above criteria; A&I services do notcriteria; A&I services do not

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureChallenges:Challenges:

• VisibilityVisibility

• ContentContent

• Access & Retrieval MethodsAccess & Retrieval Methods

• Business ModelsBusiness Models


Visibility:Visibility:

• Collaboration with Librarians and Library Collaboration with Librarians and Library web sitesweb sites

• Emphasis on Services (free and fee-based)Emphasis on Services (free and fee-based)

• Presence on the WebPresence on the Web

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureContent:Content:

• MultimediaMultimedia

• Relevant Web-based informationRelevant Web-based information

• Open Access Scholarly JournalsOpen Access Scholarly Journals

• LinkingLinking

• Legacy data – new uses (micro-content/mining)Legacy data – new uses (micro-content/mining)

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureInformation Access & Delivery:Information Access & Delivery:

• Voice RecognitionVoice Recognition

• Data VisualizationData Visualization

• Tools for Data Mining/EvaluationTools for Data Mining/Evaluation

• Adaption to New Information “Appliances”Adaption to New Information “Appliances”

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureBusiness Models:Business Models:

• iTunesiTunes

• British LibraryBritish Library

• Open Access PublishingOpen Access Publishing

• ??????????


2004 NFAIS Annual Conference2004 NFAIS Annual Conference

The Battle for Mindshare: Information The Battle for Mindshare: Information Access & Retrieval in the Year 2010Access & Retrieval in the Year 2010

Date: Date: February 22 – 24, 2004February 22 – 24, 2004

Location:Location: Ritz Carlton, Philadelphia Ritz Carlton, Philadelphia

Information:Information: http://www.nfais.orghttp://www.nfais.org

Shifting Power: A New Information Shifting Power: A New Information InfrastructureInfrastructureNew PublicationNew Publication

The 2003 OCLC Environmental Scan*The 2003 OCLC Environmental Scan*100 Interviews100 Interviews29 countries29 countriesEnvironmental issuesEnvironmental issuesTechnology driversTechnology drivers

http://www.oclc.org/membership/escan/default.htmhttp://www.oclc.org/membership/escan/default.htm

Shifting Power: A New Information Infrastructure Bonnie Lawlor ICSTI January 15, 2004.

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