Shaping the Transportation System of the 21...
Transcript of Shaping the Transportation System of the 21...
NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.
Shaping the Transportation System of the 21st Century
GoGreen Seattle
Alex Schroeder National Renewable Energy Laboratory
April 30, 2015
2
• About 2,400 employees with world-class facilities
• Owned by the Department of Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy
NREL at a Glance
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
• Only U.S. National Laboratory dedicated to renewable energy and energy efficiency research
• Established in 1979 as Solar Energy Research Institute
Photo by Dennis Schroeder, NREL 17613
3
Transportation is Poised for Substantive Change
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
2012 2017 2022
Bill
ions
of D
olla
rs
0
50
100
150
200
Transportation Funding is Unsustainable Hybrid and Alternative Fuel Vehicle Availability is Increasing
The World in Increasingly Urbanizing
0%
25%
50%
75%
“Ubering” has become a verb
Source: U.S. Department of Energy Alternative Fuels Data Center Source: U.S. Congressional Budget Office
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2012); World Urbanization Prospects, the 2011 Revision, New York; Source: Business Insider (2015)
4
NREL’s Contribution: Petroleum and GHG Reduction
5
NREL’s Contribution: Petroleum and GHG Reduction
6
The Market for Fuels Cells is Growing
The Clean Energy Patent Growth Index shows that fuels cell patents lead in the clean energy field with over 950 fuel cell patents issued in 2011 • Second to fuels cells was solar technology with ~540 patents
Source: Cleantech Group- Heslin Rothenberg Farley & Mesiti P.C.
7
Fuel Cell Vehicles are Coming to the US
Manufacturer Launch
Ford >2017
GM >2017
Honda ~2016
Hyundai *2014*
Daimler ~2017
Nissan ~2017
Toyota *2015*
8
• 99 stations public/private/planned across the United States
• Smartphone app from AFDC tracks station status and locations
• http://www.afdc.energy.gov/locator/stations/
State of H2 Infrastructure in the U.S.
Source: U.S. Department of Energy Alternative Fuels Data Center
9
Key H2 Topics that We Need to Get Right
Infrastructure • Seamless consumer
experience • Continued cost
reductions • Coordinated roll out with
vehicles • Non ZEV state strategy
Fuel Cell and Vehicle Component Technology • Reduce cost, increase
durability • Continued increase in
component efficiency
Renewable Hydrogen Production • Continued cost reduction
in producing hydrogen to compete with natural gas
• Validation of business operations in commercial setting
• Possible engagement with utilities
10
Connected and Automated Mobility and Energy
Safety and Convenience Benefits
Appealing consumer amenities
commercially available now
! Collision aversion
! Park assist
! Limited drive-cycle smoothing
! GPS route mapping
! Dynamic ridesharing
Image courtesy of Ford Image Courtesy of GM
Today Near-Term Long-Term
System-Wide Benefits Dramatic innovations
Deployment challenges
! Fully automated hands-free driving
! Vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to infrastructure communication
! In-motion wireless power transfer
! Variety of business models to support mobility
Fuel Economy Benefits Additional amenities + savings
Low barriers to deployment
! Efficient driving route selection
! Improved drive-cycle smoothing
! Traffic signal timing coordination
! Vehicle“platooning”
! Parking space location
! Stationary wireless power transfer
! Automated vehicle“valet” parking and retrieval
Image by NREL
11
-‐1 -‐0.8 -‐0.6 -‐0.4 -‐0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Fuel Intensity Energy Intensity Use Intensity
Efficient driving
Efficient routing
Travel by underserved
Drive cycle smoothing
Faster travel
More travel
Lightweighting & vehicle powertrain optimization
Less hunting for parking
Enabling electrification
Positive Energy Outcomes Negative Energy Outcomes
Higher occupancy
Platooning
Connectivity and Automation – A Range of Energy Impacts
Source: Brown and Gonder (2014) Na<onal Renewable Energy Laboratory,
12
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Thank You
Alex Schroeder [email protected]
Learn more at www.nrel.gov/transportation