Shale Gas Production: Infrastructure Design, Water ... · Few facts about Shale Gas in US. Price of...
Transcript of Shale Gas Production: Infrastructure Design, Water ... · Few facts about Shale Gas in US. Price of...
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Shale Gas Production: Infrastructure Design, Water Management, and Impact on Electric Power
Generation and New Chemical Processes
Ignacio E. GrossmannCenter for Advanced Process Decision-making
Department of Chemical EngineeringCarnegie Mellon UniversityPittsburgh, PA 15213, U.S.A.
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The Role of Process Integration for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation in IndustryIEA Workshop
Berlin, GermanyApril 4-5, 2017
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Shale Gas Reserves in WorldMotivation: Recent Energy Source
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Few facts about Shale Gas in US
Price of Natural Gas $12.69/MMBtu 6/2008 vs $1.97/MMBtu 4/2012Latest: $3.18/MMBtu 4/2017
CO2 emissions decreased by 12% in last decade, 3% in 2016
U.S. Energy self-sufficiency by 2020
Price Ethane $1.38/gal 6/2008 $0.85/gal 11/2012 $0.189/gal 4/2017
The Impact of Shale Gas in the Chemical IndustryAIChE Journal, Volume 60, pp 810–819 (2014)
Perspectives Article: Jeff Siirola
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Companies
Consol Energy
Shale gas not without controversy:- Water use and water contamination- Chemicals used in fracking- Methane emissions- Disruptions in local communities
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Shale Gas in USMarcellus Shale Gas
Horizontal drillingHydraulic fracking
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Large amount “wet gas”
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In 2035 close to 50% from Shale Gas Northeast: from 0.3 trillion scft 2009to 5.8 trillion scft 2035
Growth in Shale Gas
Goal: Develop Comprehensive Optimization Models for the Designof Supply Chain for Shale Gas Production and Water Management
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Strategic Planning of Supply Chainfor Shale Gas Production
• Given: Potential Sites for Well
Pads (i)
Water sources
Ethane
Methane
Structure Supply chain?
Multi-well pads
Cafaro, Grossmann (2013), Drouven, Grossmann (2015)
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Water Supply?
Potential Sites for Well
Pads (i)
Water sources
3 weeks 4-6 weeks 1-3 months
Site Preparation
Drilling Completion Production20- 40 years
Water acquisitionFracturing
One QuarterYang et al. (2013)
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Junction pipelines and compressors?
Potential Sites for Junction Nodes
(j)
Methane
Ethane
Water sources
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Where to install gas processing plants?
• Given are:
Potential Sites for Gas
Processing Plants
(p)
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General Problem Statement:To be Determined
Planning Decisions Design Decisions
Site construction: Where and when to construct a well site?
Development schedule:Where/when/how many wells to drill?
Rig allocation:Where to send available drilling rigs?
Gathering network:Where to lay out pipelines?
Compressor allocation:Where to install compressors?
Freshwater impoundsHow much water to acquire?
Objective is to use optimization models to identify cost-effective development strategies at a tactical level in a reasonable amount of time.
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0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
0 10 20 30 40 50
MMcf/day
days
i1, i4
i2, i5, i7
i3, i6, i8
i9
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Well Production Profiles i1 i2 i3
i4 i5 i6
i7 i8 i9
months
Rapid Decline
Location Dependent Productivity
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• Processing Plant
Optimal Supply Chain Structure
Well Pads
SeparationPlant
236 MMcf/day
MINLP: 2,343 binary variables, 14,252 constraints, 16,912 continuous variablesTotal CPU time= 8.5 hours (<3% optimality gap)
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• Pipeline Network and Compressors
Optimal Supply Chain Structure
11 ½” 11 ½”17 ½”
3255 HP
5 ¾”1608 HP
1096 HP
16 ½”
15” 976 HP
14 ½” 13” 12 ½”
12½”
12 ½” 18”
Methane
Ethane
NPV = $1664.48 million
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t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t10 t11
i9
i8
i7
i6
i5
i4
i3
i2
i1
0
10
20
30
Number of Wells Drilled at Every Pad per
Period
Total Numberof Wells Drilled
Per Period
WaterScarcity
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Optimal Drilling Strategy
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Optimal Drilling Strategy
t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t10 t11
i9
i8
i7
i6
i5
i4
i3
i2
i1
0
10
20
30
Number of Wells Drilled at Every Pad per
Period
Total Numberof Wells Drilled
Per Period
Phase 1: Intensive Drilling Phase 2: Flow Maintenance
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• Methane Sales Flow
Optimal Production Profile
17 ½”
3255 HP
5 ½”
12 ½” 11 ½” 11 ½”
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8 t9 t10 t11 t12 t13 t14 t15 t16
MMcf/day =Billon BTU/day
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Water management in hydraulic fracturing
1. fracfocus.org2. Water’s Journey through the shale gas drilling and production processes in the mid Atlantic region.
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3 weeks 4-6 weeks 1-3 months
Site Preparation
Drilling Completion Production20- 40 years
Water acquisitionFracturing
Produced waterFlowback water
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Water usage in hydraulic fracturing
1. DOE/Lawrence Livermore National Labs. 2011.2. Mielke, E. et al. “Water Consumption of Energy Resource Extraction, Processing, and Conversion, A review of the literature for estimates of water intensity of energy-
resource extraction, processing to fuels, and conversion to electricity,” Energy Technology Innovation Policy Discussion Paper . 2010.19
3-5 MM gallons water used to complete a well Accounts for 0.1% of all freshwater withdrawal in the US1
65-80% water used in fracturing for shale is consumed Accounts for 0.3% of all water consumption in the US1
Water use per unit energy generated is low in comparison to other energy sources
1.3 gal/MMBtu for shale gas
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Transportation is a significant factor in well completion cost
Water’s Journey through the shale gas drilling and production processes in the mid Atlantic region.
4,000 to 6,500 trucks required for a well pad (~90% associated with fracturing)
Road damage (bonding)
Flexible operation from well to well
Truck Pipeline
Lack of infrastructure
Permanent pipeline heavily regulated
Lower cost once in place
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Disadvantage
Advantage
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Problem 1: freshwater acquisition
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Two types of freshwater sources Uninterruptible (long distance; large river)
Supplies freshwater year-round Requires trucking
Interruptible (short distance; creek) Allows withdrawal if the river flowrate meets minimum requirement Connects to wellpads through pipelines
Objective: determine the frac schedule that minimizes water transportation cost.
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Problem 1: Optimal scheduling of fracturing wells and water acquisition
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Two-stage stochastic programming model Given
Water sources: historical river flowrate data (R years) (scenarios) Wellpads: total # of stages Date restrictions: drilling completion date, piping connection date, lease termination
date # of frac crews available
DetermineStage 1 Decisions Wellpad fracturing start date # of stages to frac per day (i.e. frac 2, 3, or 4 stages per day for each wellpad) Starting date of fracturing holidayStage 2 Decisions Volume pumped from interruptible water source
Objective Determine the fracturing schedule that minimizes expected
water transportation cost (trucks and pipeline).
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Transfer
Discrete-time scheduling model STN model (Kondili, Pantelides, Sargent, 1993)
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TransferFrac pad s’Frac crew 1
Frac crew 2
Frac pad s Transfer
d
Frac pad s”
TruckPipeline
Interruptible source 1
Interruptible source 2
Uninterruptible source
Pad A
Pad J
Pad L
Impoundment1
Impoundment 2
Fraccrew 1
Fraccrew 2
1=djscy
If crew j starts to frac pad s on day d
drtV Volume
1=drtyp
If pump from the source to impoundment
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Example 1: results
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Trucking cost is reduced by an order of magnitude. 14,010 1,350 truck trips. CO2 emissions from trucking reduced from 630 60 metric tons
SOLUTIONHeuristic schedule
MILP schedule‡
Frac holiday (days) 90 171
Trucking cost $5,886,743 $568,827
Pumping cost $9,905,219 $12,792,088
Tot expected cost ($) $15,791,963 $13,360,915
Problem solved with GAMS 24.0/cplex 12.5 on an Intel 2.93 GHz Core i7 CPU with 4GB memory.
COMPUTATIONAL RESULTS
# of binary var 36,745
# of continuous var 150,277
# of constraints 41,610
CPU time (s) 1722
Gap (%) 4.2
14 well pads540 time periods2 impoundments1 frac crew
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
-10-505
10152025
Average Daily Storage - Base Average Daily Storage - Optimized Percentage of Time Permitted Pumping Rate Met
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
1
2
3
4
Average daily impoundment storage comparison
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Impo
undm
ent S
tora
ge L
evel
(MG
)
Impo
undm
ent 1
Impo
undm
ent 2
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N
AB C DE M LFG HIJ KN
Heuristic schedule
MILP schedule
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Impaired Water Management: Reuse & Recycle
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Limited treatment and use of advanced friction reducerSavings freshwater: 328,000,000 liters
Drouven, Grossmann (2017)
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*EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2016
World net electricity generation by fuel, 2012-40 (trillion kWh)*
World net electricity generation from renewable power by fuel, 2012-40 (trillion kWh)*
0
10
20
30
40
2012 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040Petroleum Nuclear Natural gas Coal Renewables
28% 28% 29%30%
22%27%
0
5
10
15
2012 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Other Hydropower Geothermal Solar Wind
28% 30% 32% 32%
13%26%
Planning of electric power Infrastructures Motivation Cristiana Lara, Ignacio Grossmann (2017)Electricity mix gradually shifts to lower-carbon options
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High variability in the renewables capacity factor
• Increasing contribution of intermittent renewable power generation in the grid makes it important to include operational details at the hourly (or sub-hourly) level in long term planning models to capture their variability.
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A set of existing and potential generators with the respective• generation technology*
• location, if applicable• nameplate capacity• age and expected lifetime• CO2 emission • operating costs• investment cost, if applicable• operating data
• if thermal: ramping rates, operating limits, spinning and quick-start maximum reserve
• If renewable: capacity factor
if potential:nuclear: steam turbinecoal: IGCC w/ or w/o carbon capturenatural gas: gas-fired combustion turbine, combined cycle w/ or w/o carbon capturesolar: photo-voltaic concentrated solar panelwind turbines
Problem StatementGiven a region with:
* Assume no hydropower
if existing: nuclear: steam turbinecoal: steam turbinenatural gas: steam turbine, gas-fired combustion
turbine, and combined cyclesolar: photo-voltaicwind turbines
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Problem Statement
Given:• Projected load demand over the time-horizon at
each location• Distance between locations• Transmission loss per mile
Find:• When, where, which type and in how
many generators to invest• When to retire the generators• Whether or not to extend their lifetime • Power flow between locations • Detailed operating schedule
in order to minimize the overall operating, investment, and environmental costs
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Modeling Strategies To tackle the multi-scale aspect and reduce the size of the model
• Time scale approach:• 1 representative cycle per season
(e.g., a day or a week) with hourly level information
• Region and cluster representation
• Area represented by a few zones • Potential locations are the
midpoint in each zone• Clustering of generators*
• Transmission representation• Flow in each line is determined by
the energy balance between each region r.
• This approximation ignores Kirchhoff’s Circuit Law
*Palmintier, B.S., Webster, M.D., Heterogeneous unit clustering for efficient operational flexibility modeling, 2014 30
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MILP Model
Summary of constraints:
• Energy balance: ensures that the sum of instantaneous power generated at region r plus the net power flow being sent to this region equal the load demand plus a slack for curtailment.
• Capacity factor: limits the generation of renewable generators to be equal to a given fraction of the capacity in each hour.
• Unit commitment constraints: compute the startup and shutdown, operating limits and ramping rates for thermal generators.
• Operating reserve constraints : determine the maximum contribution per thermal generator for spinning and quick-start reserves, and the minimum total operating reserves.
• Investment constraints : ensure that the planning reserve and renewable energy contribution requirements are satisfied, and limit the yearly installation per generation type.
• Constraints of number of generators: define the number of generators that are operational, built, retired, and have their life extended at each time period t.
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Continuous variables: • Power output at sub-period s• Curtailment generation slack at s• Power flow between regions at s• Deficit from renewable quota at t • Spinning reserve at s• Quick-start reserve at s
Integer variables: • no. of generators installed at period t• no. of generators built at t• no. of generators retired at t• no. of generators with life extended at t• no. of generators ON at sub-period s• no. of generators starting up at s• no. of generators shutting down at s
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MILP Model
Objective function: Minimization of the net present cost over the planning horizon comprising:
• Variable operating cost
• Fixed operating cost
• Startup costs
• Cost of investments in new generators
• Cost to extend the life of generators that achieved their expected lifetime
• Fuel consumption
• Carbon tax for CO2 emission
• Penalty for not meeting the minimum renewable annual energy production requirement
Even with the approximations adopted, this is still a very large MILP model. In order to allow longer representative cycles per season, we propose a decomposition
algorithm based on Nested Benders Decomposition*.
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Continuous variables: • Power output at sub-period s• Curtailment generation slack at s• Power flow between regions at s• Deficit from renewable quota at t • Spinning reserve at s• Quick-start reserve at s
Integer variables: • no. of generators installed at period t• no. of generators built at t• no. of generators retired at t• no. of generators with life extended at t• no. of generators ON at sub-period s• no. of generators starting up at s• no. of generators shutting down at s
*Birge, J.R., Decomposition and Partitioning Methods for Multistage Stochastic Linear Programs, 1985Pereira, M.V.F., Pinto, L.M.V.G, Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning, 1991Sun & Ahmed, Nested Decomposition of Multistage Stochastic Integer Programs with Binary State Variables, 2016
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Case Study: ERCOT (Texas)• 30 year time horizon (1st year is 2015)
• Data from ERCOT database
• Cost information from NREL (Annual Technology Baseline (ATB) Spreadsheet 2016
• All costs in 2015 USD
• Regions:• Northeast (midpoint: Dallas)• West (midpoint : Glasscock County)• Coastal (midpoint: Houston)• South (midpoint : San Antonio)• Panhandle (midpoint : Amarillo)
• Fuel price data from EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2016 - Reference case
• No imposed carbon tax
• No renewable generation quota requirement
• Maximum transmission line capacity 33
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Results
• 1 representative week per season
Total cost: $198.0 billions
• 61-fold increase in PV-solar capacity
• 31% increase in natural gas combined-cycle capacity
• 6% decrease in windcapacity
• 30% decrease in natural gas steam turbine
34
18%10%
1%10%
1%
60%
Fixed operating cost
Variable operating cost
Startup cost
Investment cost
Life extension cost
Fuel cost (not including startup)
020406080
100120140160
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
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Gen
erat
ion
capa
city
(GW
)
Generation capacity - total ERCOT
pv
wind
ng-cc
ng-ct
ng-st
coal-st
nuc-st
Full-space MILP ModelInteger variables: 2,901,964Continuous variables: 4,136,547Equations: 8,476,641
Solver: CPLEX optcr: 1%CPU Time: Out of memory!Decomposition: 7 hrs
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06-421
Design Project
Design of Aromatics Plant from Shale Gas
Ignacio GrossmannJeffrey Siirola
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Pittsburgh
Marcellus deposit might contain more than 400 trillion cubic feet of natural gas!!
Mostly wet gas 10-15% condensates ⇒ ethane cracker in Pittsburgh by Shell!
241 trillion cubic feet recoverable gas ⇒ 10 years of total US consumption natural gas
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Preliminary design and cost estimation ofAromatics Plant from Shale Gas
06-421 Chemical Process Systems Design
Design Project:
Plant to produce aromatics 500 Mlbs/yr*
Aromatics: Benzene, Toluene, Xylenes (ortho, para, meta)
Plant location: Monaca (next to Shell’s projected cracker)
Feedstocks: methane (1 atm, 60F; 95% methane, 2.5% ethane)?Price methane: $3.50/MBtu
Price Benzene: $1,400/tonnePrice Toluene: $1,300/tonnePrice Xylenes: $1,200/tonne (higher price if separated into o, m, p)
* M=mega/million
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Which chemical route: methane, ethane or ethylene feedstocks?
Methane: Steam reforming → Water gas shift → Methanol → Methanol to Aromatics
There are 7 chemical routes (5 from methane): 3 examples
Ethane: Ethane to Aromatics (last year)
Methane Methane to Aromatics
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Synthesis of Process Flowsheet
Example: Methane to Aromatics
?Methane
HydrogenMethane
EthyleneBenzene
Toluene
Xylenes
?
What units for reaction, separations and heat integration?
Aromatics
Membrane/reactor (Iglesia et al./Berkeley) ?
Issue: Life catalyst
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Group 14Jochen Cremer, Lorenz Fleitmann, James Phua, Xiaobin Wei
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Air Separation
Syngas to Methanol
Aromatics Separation
Methane to Syngas
Hydrogen Purification
Methanol to Aromatics
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684
301
415
32
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Dut
y [M
W]
Before H.I.Cooling Duty Heating Duty
After H.I.
Savings: 70%
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Total Revenue = $447 million
Net Present Value = $469 million
Payout time = 2.3 years
Return on Investment =24%
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06-421
Design Project
Propylene from Shale Gas Methanevs. Propane Dehydrogenation
Ignacio GrossmannJeffrey Siirola
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Acknowledgments
NSF Grant CBET-1437668
NETL
Fulbright Program
EQT Corporation
Carrizo
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Preliminary design and cost estimation ofPropylene Plants from Shale Gas Methane
and Propane Dehydrogenation
06-421 Chemical Process Systems Design
Design Project:
Plant to produce propylene 500,000 tonnes per yearPlant location: U.S. Gulf Coast (built 2015)
Purity spec propylene: 99.5% (mole %)Price Propylene: $1,330/tonne
Feedstock 1: propane (liquid; 95% propane, 2.5% ethane, 2.5% butane)Price propane: $1.30/gal
Feedstock 2: methane (1 atm, 60F; 87-96% methane, 1.8-5.1% ethane, Price methane: $3.50/Mbtu* 0.1-1.5% propane)
* M=mega/million
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Conclusions1. Proposed Multiperiod MINLP Model for Shale Gas Production
2. Branch-Refine-Optimize Algorithm: Large-scale Nonconvex MINLP
3. MINLP model: systematic optimization Shale Gas Production Systems
a) Structure of supply chain: Plants Natural Gas, Pipelines and Compressorsb) Operation supply chain: Drilling strategy, Supply of water
5. MILP models can reduce transportation costs and freshwaterconsumption through recycle
4. Proposed MILP Scheduling Models for Water management
Future Worka) Expand scope and effective solution methods (Drouven, Grossmann, 2014)
b) Handling uncertainties in investment problem: stochastic programming
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Example 2: Results reuse/recycle/treatment
48
SOLUTION COMPARSIONHeuristicschedule
MILP schedule
Transportation Freshwaterpumping 9.91 10.79
Freshwatertrucking 9.19 7.22
Wastewater 0.27 0.37Treatment 0.64 0.70Disposal 4.93 4.23Storage 0.08 0.10Total cost (MM$) 25.02 23.41Revenue(MM$) Gas production 205.29 237.56Net Expected Profit (MM$) 180.27 214.15
COMPUTATIONAL RESULTS# of binary var 19,552
# of cont. var 220,321
# of constraints 90,750
CPU time (s) 3,006
Gap (%) 3.9
4.19 MG of freshwater saved. 15.7% increase in revenue achieved.
14 well pads540 time periods2 impoundments2 frac crews2 wastewater treatment facilities
85% Freshwater (fixed)
Freshwater (varies)
Wastewater (varies)