Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal §...

40
Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities Michel Ragot October 2017

Transcript of Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal §...

Page 1: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

SettingBreedingObjectivesandPrioritiesMichelRagot

October2017

Page 2: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

2

SettingBreedingObjectivesandPriorities– Why?

§ The« ultimate »goalofbreeding:valuecreation§ Breedingbeforebreeders§ Theriseofbreedersandthecallforobjectives§ Modernityandthecryforpriorities

Page 3: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

3

StudyApproach

§ Generalsurvey(SurveyMonkey)– 110responses§ Casestudies– Fewresponses,moderatedepth§ Othersources

Page 4: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

4

GeneralSurveyResponses

Page 5: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

5

GeneralSurveyResponses

Page 6: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

6

GeneralSurveyResponses

Page 7: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

7

GeneralSurveyResponses

Page 8: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

8

SurveyApproach

§ Agree/Disagree§ Testingoffacts’intensity§ Generalbiastowardsagreement

Page 9: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

9

Definitions– BreedingCustomers

§ Growers:individualsororganizationswhogrowplantsorraiseanimalswiththeaimofharvestingorcollectingoneormorespecificproducts(grain,wholeplant,tubers,milk,meat,wool,etc.).

§ Productchain:individualsororganizationswhotakeproductsharvestedorcollectedbygrowers,possiblytransformthem(althoughnotnecessarily),andprovidethemtoend-useconsumers.Insomecases,growerscanalsobeconsideredasproductchain.

§ End-useconsumers:individualsororganizationswhouseproductsforfood,feed,orenergy.Insomecases,growerscanalsobeconsideredasend-useconsumers.

Page 10: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

10

Definitions– Markets

§ Marketsegment:ageographicareaoragroupofpeoplehavingarelativelyhomogeneousdemandforacommodity(herecropvarietiesoranimalbreeds).Thepopulationofuserswhomakeupamarketsegmentmayallbelocatedinasingleagro-ecologyorthispopulationmaybedistributedacrossseveraldifferentagro-ecologies.Theextenttowhichanagro-ecologyandamarketsegmentcoincidewilldependontheextenttowhichuserdemand(preferences)forabreedingproductaredeterminedbyclimate,soilsandland-useconstraints.

Page 11: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

11

Definitions– Products

§ Productprofile:setoftargetedattributeswhichanewplantvarietyoranimalbreedisexpectedtomeettobereleasedontoamarketsegment.Attributesmustbeunderstoodastraitswithaspecificvalue,thisvaluebeingdefinedeitherinabsoluteorrelativeterms.Forinstance,aproductprofilemaylistgrainyield(11tons/hectareormore),ortolerancetodownymildew(sameasorbetterthanvarietyX),totaloilcontent(nolessthanvarietyY).

Page 12: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

12

ConnectingNeedsandActions

§ Processperceivedasbeingformal§ Absenceofmanyandessentialformalelements

Page 13: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

13

DefiningMarkets

Page 14: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

14

DefiningMarkets

§ Mostdataisqualitative

Page 15: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

15

DefiningMarkets

§ Heavyrelianceoninternalsources

Page 16: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

16

DefiningMarkets

§ Heavyrelianceoninternalsources

Page 17: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

17

DefiningMarkets

§ Precisemarketanalysesnotgeneralized.§ Nospecificmarketdatasources/exampleshave

beenprovided.§ Marketknowledgeoften“collected”directlyby

breedersthroughinteractionswithmarketactors(growers,chain,end-users),especiallyinsmallerorganizations.

§ Marketdefinitionchargedtomarketinggroupsinlargerorganizations.

Page 18: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

18

MarketSegmentsandSocio-EconomicClasses

§ Relativelyhomogeneousapproachacrossorganizationtypes

Page 19: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

19

MarketSegmentsandSocio-EconomicClasses

§ NorthAmerica,leastconcernedbysocio-economicsegmentation

Page 20: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

20

MarketSegmentsandGender

§ Tremendousdifferencebetweenpublicandprivateorganizations

§ Mostlyapublic“concern”

Page 21: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

21

MarketSegmentsandGender

§ Hugevariationacrossregions(headquarters)§ MostlyanAfrican“concern”§ Almostignoredinthedevelopedworld

Page 22: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

22

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfiles

§ Slightlystrongerinprivatethanpublicorganizations§ Perceptionmostlikelyaheadofreality

Page 23: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

23

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfiles

§ Slightlysimplerobjectivesinpublicthaninprivateorganizations

Page 24: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

24

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfilesTrait Reference Priority Selection Objective Desired Impact

Yield Check1+5% 1 Maximize 3

Lodging resistance <20% 2 Reach threshold 2

Plant height 90-110 2 Reach threshold 7

Maturity Early 3 Reach threshold 9

Protein content >7.5% 1 Maximize 1

Oil content Check2 3 Reach threshold 10

Fiber content >=Check3 2 Reach threshold 5

Mildew resistance Resistant 2 Maximize 8

Virus resistance >Check4 1 Reach threshold 4

Smut resistance Intermediate 3 Opportunistic 11

Drought tolerance Check5 2 Opportunistic 6

Al soil tolerance Moderate 3 Opportunistic 12

§ Marketdemands1. Must-have; 2. Important; 3. Nice to have

Page 25: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

25

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfilesTrait Reference Priority Selection Objective Desired Impact

Yield Check1+5% 1 Maximize 3

Lodging resistance <20% 2 Reach threshold 2

Plant height 90-110 2 Reach threshold 7

Maturity Early 3 Reach threshold 9

Protein content >7.5% 1 Maximize 1

Oil content Check2 3 Reach threshold 10

Fiber content >=Check3 2 Reach threshold 5

Mildew resistance Resistant 2 Maximize 8

Virus resistance >Check4 1 Reach threshold 4

Smut resistance Intermediate 3 Opportunistic 11

Drought tolerance Check5 2 Opportunistic 6

Al soil tolerance Moderate 3 Opportunistic 12

§ Breedingopportunities1. Must-have; 2. Important; 3. Nice to have

Page 26: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

26

BreedingandTraits

(1) Plant Breeding: Past, Present, and Future. TM Crosbie et al. (2006) Plant Breeding (1)

Page 27: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

27

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfilesTrait Reference Priority Selection Objective Desired Impact

Yield Check1+5% 1 Maximize 3

Lodging resistance <20% 2 Reach threshold 2

Plant height 90-110 2 Reach threshold 7

Maturity Early 3 Reach threshold 9

Protein content >7.5% 1 Maximize 1

Oil content Check2 3 Reach threshold 10

Fiber content >=Check3 2 Reach threshold 5

Mildew resistance Resistant 2 Maximize 8

Virus resistance >Check4 1 Reach threshold 4

Smut resistance Intermediate 3 Opportunistic 11

Drought tolerance Check5 2 Opportunistic 6

Al soil tolerance Moderate 3 Opportunistic 12

§ Strategy1. Must-have; 2. Important; 3. Nice to have

Page 28: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

28

FromMarkettoBreeding– ProductProfiles

§ Hugediversityinwhatisunderstoodbyproductprofile(andresultingdocuments)

§ Productprofilesarenotbreedingstrategieso Lackcurrentperformancecontexto Lacktermeddecisions

§ Strategiesoftenundeterminedordeterminedbynonvaluecreation-drivenelements

§ Bewareofchangingmarketdemands

Page 29: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

29

TraitPrioritization

§ Moredirectinvolvementofallstakeholdersinpublicthaninprivatebreedingprograms

Page 30: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

30

Decision-Making

§ Oftenbreeder,alone§ Cropteamswithrepresentativesfrommarketing,

development,breeding

Page 31: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

31

TraitPrioritization

§ Growersareastrongfocusforallregions

Page 32: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

32

TraitPrioritization

§ End-consumersaremostimportantforprogramsbasedinAfricaandLatinAmerica

Page 33: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

33

TraitPrioritization

§ Socio-economicfactorsmostlytakenintoaccountindevelopingcountries

Page 34: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

34

TraitPrioritization

§ Realityoftenquitedifferentfromintentions§ Tremendousimpactofoperationalconstraints

o Earlybreedingstageso Latebreedingstages

Page 35: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

35

TraitPrioritization

§ Unresolvedcomplexityoftenleadstolackofdemonstrablegainso Selectionindices

§ Prioritizationbasedonvaluecreationo Increasedgrowingarea(“marketshare”)o Increasedincome

Page 36: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

36

MarketsandTypesofVarieties

§ Significantdifferencesbetweenpublicandprivateorganizations

Page 37: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

37

BreedingTechnologiesandApproaches

§ Significantdifferencesbetweenpublicandprivateorganizations

Page 38: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

38

ConsiderationforGender

§ Ofallthefactorsthatwerepresented,genderistheleasttakenintoconsideration,overall

Page 39: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

39

Conclusions&Learnings

§ Settingbreedingobjectivesandprioritiesalmostunanimouslyrecognizedasdesirable/goodpractice

§ Factsoftenlaggingbehindintentions§ Numerous“parasitic”elements/constraints

o Changingmarket“pull”o Operationalconstraints

§ Mostsuccessfulbreedingprogramsgenerallyhad/haveclearandpersistentobjectivesandpriorities

Page 40: Setting Breeding Objectives and Priorities - RTB-CGIAR · § Process perceived as being formal § Absence of many and essential formal elements. 13 Defining Markets. 14 Defining Markets

40

Conclusions&Learnings

§ Notobvious/certainiftherearebestpractices

§ Marketknowledge§ Realisticambition§ Significantimprovements/deliveries