Session 36 Gunnar Johansson
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Transcript of Session 36 Gunnar Johansson
© Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
Hypoteser om samhällsekonomiska effekter av att subventionera trafik
Gunnar JohanssonOffentlig sektorIBM
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |2 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Vi står inför stora utmaningar inom transportsektorn
Framkomligheten, lokal och global miljöpåverkan samt trafiksäkerhetAtt öka kapaciteten i infrastrukturen är dyrt och tar lång tidFå stora investeringsprojekt är samhällsekonomiskt lönsamma
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |3 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Försöket med Trängselskatter: Lärdom 1) Våra resvanor är överraskande anpassningsbara
Låga avgifter gav överraskande storaoch omedelbara effekter påvägtrafikvolymen (>20%)Mindre än hälften av minskningen blevnya kollektivresor (ökning med 5% avantalet kollektivresor)Inga negativa effekter på handel ocharbetsmarknad
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |4 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Försöket med Trängselskatter: Lärdom 2) Oväntad förändring från negativ till positiv attityd
Mycket negativ attityd före försöketSkiftet kom efter tre månader
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Sep05
Oct05
Nov05
Dec06
Jan06
Feb06
Mar06
Apr06
Maj06
Jun06
Good ideaBad idea
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |5 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Är dagens färdavgifter för kollektivtrafik effektivt utformade?
Regional kollektivtrafik subventionaras av Landstingen
> 15 mdr per år i Sverige> 5 000 kr per förvärvsarbetande i Stockholms län?? ??? kr per långpendlare under rusningstrafik i Stockholms län
Huvudargument: Framkomlighet i vägnätet, skaleffekter och regional enhetlighet.Förslag: Inför tidsdifferentierade avgifter
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |6 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Är dagens avdragsregler för arbetsresor välmotiverade?
Resor till och från arbetet subventioneras av Staten
?? Mdr per år i Sverige?? ??? kr per långpendlare i Stockholms län
Huvudargument: Effektivare arbetsmarknad, regionalpolitikMörkertal?Förslag: Slopa avgraget i stora delar av landet
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |7 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Har vi ett för stort fokus på ny infrastruktur på grund av ett föråldtar perspektiv och ineffektiv skatte- och avgiftspolitik?
Om subventioneringsgraden är för hög har vi troligen:En överkonumtion av mobilitet, troligen främst långa dagliga resor under rusningstid i de större regionernaFör stor miljöbelastningKrav på ny infrastruktur av kapacitetsskäl som inte är samhällsekonomiskt motiverad
Vad skulle hända med en mer insiktsfull skatte- och avgiftspolitikÖkad effektivitet i utnyttjandet av existerande infrastrukturMindre krav på ny infrastruktur och troligen bättre lönsamhet i de projekt som behövsIncitament för ökad flexibilitet i hur offentlig och privat verksamhet bedrivsÖkat incitament för en långsiktigt mer effektiv och uthållig stadsplanering
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |8 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Det behövs nya holistiska perspektiv, inte bara ny myndighetsstruktur, om vi skall lyckas
Efterfrågan av transporter och resor är mer dynamisk än vad beslutfattare trorMan bör involverar regionalpolitik, arbetsmarknadspolitik, IT-politik och energiförsörgningNy transport- och infrastrikturpolitik bör inriktas på att öka välfärden med befintlig infrastrukturMaturity Model - ett hjälpmedel att vidgaperspektivet och se mya möjligheter
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |9 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Maturity Model Template
strategicplanning
real-timeinformationcreation capability
real-timeinterventioncapability
Level 1Silo
Level 2Centralized
Level 3Partially Integrated
Level 4Multimodal Integrated
Level 5Multimodal Optimized
PlanningFunctional Area Planning (single mode)
Project-based Planning (single mode)
Integrated agency wide planning (single mode)
Integrated corridor-based multimodal planning
Integrated regional multimodal planning
Data Collection Limited or Manual Input
Near real-time for major routes
Real-time for major routes using multiple inputs
Real-time coverage for major corridors, all significant modes
System-wide real -time data collection across all modes
Data Integration Limited Networked Common user interface
2-way system integration Extended integration
Network Ops.Response Ad-Hoc, Single Mode Centralized, Single
ModeAutomated, Single Mode
Automated, Multimodal
Multimodal Real-time Optimized
Payment Methods
Manual Cash Collection
Automatic Cash Machines Electronic Payments Multimodal integrated
fare card
Multimodal, multi-media (fare cards, cell phones, etc)
Incident Management
Manual detection, response and recovery
Manual detection, coordinated response, manual recovery
Automatic detection, coordinated response and manual recovery
Automated pre-planned multimodal recovery plans
Dynamic multimodal recovery plans based on real-time data
Demand Management
Individual static measures
Individual measures, with long term variability
Coordinated measures, with short term variability
Dynamic pricing Multimodal dynamic pricing
Traveler Information
Static Information Static trip planning with limited real-time alerts
Multi-channel trip planning and account-based alert subscription
Location-based, on-journey multimodal information
Location-based, multimodal proactive re-routing
Performance Measurement
Minimal Defined metrics by mode
Limited integration across organizational silos
Shared multimodal system-wide metrics-
Continuous system-wide performance measurement
Analytics Ad-hoc analysis Periodic, Systematic analysis
High-level analysis in near real-time
Detailed analysis in real-time
Multi-modal analysis in real-time
Multimodal Network Management Maturity Model version 1.1 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2007
CustomerManagement
Minimal capability, no customer accounts
Multi-channel account interaction per mode
Unified customer account across multiple modes
Integrated multimodal incentives to optimize multimodal use
Customer accounts managed separately for each system/mode
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |10 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Maturity Model – London
strategicplanning
real-timeinformationcreation capability
real-timeinterventioncapability
Level 1Silo
Level 2Centralized
Level 3Partially Integrated
Level 4Multimodal Integrated
Level 5Multimodal Optimized
PlanningFunctional Area Planning (single mode)
Project-based Planning (single mode)
Integrated agency wide planning (single mode)
Integrated corridor-based multimodal planning
Integrated regional multimodal planning
Data Collection Limited or Manual Input
Near real-time for major routes
Real-time for major routes using multiple inputs
Real-time coverage for major corridors, all significant modes
System-wide real -time data collection across all modes
Data Integration Limited Networked Common user interface
2-way system integration Extended integration
Network Ops.Response Ad-Hoc, Single Mode Centralized, Single
ModeAutomated, Single Mode
Automated, Multimodal
Multimodal Real-time Optimized
Payment Methods
Manual Cash Collection
Automatic Cash Machines Electronic Payments Multimodal integrated
fare card
Multimodal, multi-media (fare cards, cell phones, etc)
Incident Management
Manual detection, response and recovery
Manual detection, coordinated response, manual recovery
Automatic detection, coordinated response and manual recovery
Automated pre-planned multimodal recovery plans
Dynamic multimodal recovery plans based on real-time data
Demand Management
Individual static measures
Individual measures, with long term variability
Coordinated measures, with short term variability
Dynamic pricing Multimodal dynamic pricing
Traveler Information
Static Information Static trip planning with limited real-time alerts
Multi-channel trip planning and account-based alert subscription
Location-based, on-journey multimodal information
Location-based, multimodal proactive re-routing
Performance Measurement
Minimal Defined metrics by mode
Limited integration across organizational silos
Shared multimodal system-wide metrics-
Continuous system-wide performance measurement
Analytics Ad-hoc analysis Periodic, Systematic analysis
High-level analysis in near real-time
Detailed analysis in real-time
Multi-modal analysis in real-time
Multimodal Network Management Maturity Model version 1.1 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2007
CustomerManagement
Minimal capability, no customer accounts
Multi-channel account interaction per mode
Unified customer account across multiple modes
Integrated multimodal incentives to optimize multimodal use
Customer accounts managed separately for each system/mode
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |11 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Maturity Model – Comparison of All Cities Studied
strategicplanning
real-timeinformationcreation capability
real-timeinterventioncapability
Level 1Silo
Level 2Centralized
Level 3Partially Integrated
Level 4Multimodal Integrated
Level 5Multimodal Optimized
PlanningFunctional Area Planning (single mode)
Project-based Planning (single mode)
Integrated agency wide planning (single mode)
Integrated corridor-based multimodal planning
Integrated regional multimodal planning
Data Collection Limited or Manual Input
Near real-time for major routes
Real-time for major routes using multiple inputs
Real-time coverage for major corridors, all significant modes
System-wide real -time data collection across all modes
Data Integration Limited Networked Common user interface
2-way system integration Extended integration
Network Ops.Response Ad-Hoc, Single Mode Centralized, Single
ModeAutomated, Single Mode
Automated, Multimodal
Multimodal Real-time Optimized
Payment Methods
Manual Cash Collection
Automatic Cash Machines Electronic Payments Multimodal integrated
fare card
Multimodal, multi-media (fare cards, cell phones, etc)
Incident Management
Manual detection, response and recovery
Manual detection, coordinated response, manual recovery
Automatic detection, coordinated response and manual recovery
Automated pre-planned multimodal recovery plans
Dynamic multimodal recovery plans based on real-time data
Demand Management
Individual static measures
Individual measures, with long term variability
Coordinated measures, with short term variability
Dynamic pricing Multimodal dynamic pricing
Traveler Information
Static Information Static trip planning with limited real-time alerts
Multi-channel trip planning and account-based alert subscription
Location-based, on-journey multimodal information
Location-based, multimodal proactive re-routing
Performance Measurement
Minimal Defined metrics by mode
Limited integration across organizational silos
Shared multimodal system-wide metrics-
Continuous system-wide performance measurement
Analytics Ad-hoc analysis Periodic, Systematic analysis
High-level analysis in near real-time
Detailed analysis in real-time
Multi-modal analysis in real-time
Multimodal Network Management Maturity Model version 1.1 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2007
CustomerManagement
Minimal capability, no customer accounts
Multi-channel account interaction per mode
Unified customer account across multiple modes
Integrated multimodal incentives to optimize multimodal use
Customer accounts managed separately for each system/mode
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |12 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
Illustration of Outputs and Process
strategicplanning
real-timeinformationcreation capability
real-timeinterventioncapability
Level 1Silo
Level 2Centralized
Level 3Partially Integrated
Level 4Multimodal Integrated
Level 5Multimodal Optimized
PlanningFunctional Area Planning (single mode)
Project-based Planning (single mode)
Integrated agency wide planning (single mode)
Integrated corridor-based multimodal planning
Integrated regional multimodal planning
Data Collection Limited or Manual Input
Near real-time for major routes
Real-time for major routes using multiple inputs
Real-time coverage for major corridors, all significant modes
System-wide real -time data collection across all modes
Data Integration Limited Networked Common user interface
2-way system integration Extended integration
Network Ops.Response Ad-Hoc, Single Mode Centralized, Single
ModeAutomated, Single Mode
Automated, Multimodal
Multimodal Real-time Optimized
Payment Methods
Manual Cash Collection
Automatic Cash Machines Electronic Payments Multimodal integrated
fare card
Multimodal, multi-media (fare cards, cell phones, etc)
Incident Management
Manual detection, response and recovery
Manual detection, coordinated response, manual recovery
Automatic detection, coordinated response and manual recovery
Automated pre-planned multimodal recovery plans
Dynamic multimodal recovery plans based on real-time data
Demand Management
Individual static measures
Individual measures, with long term variability
Coordinated measures, with short term variability
Dynamic pricing Multimodal dynamic pricing
Traveler Information
Static Information Static trip planning with limited real-time alerts
Multi-channel trip planning and account-based alert subscription
Location-based, on-journey multimodal information
Location-based, multimodal proactive re-routing
Performance Measurement
Minimal Defined metrics by mode
Limited integration across organizational silos
Shared multimodal system-wide metrics-
Continuous system-wide performance measurement
Analytics Ad-hoc analysis Periodic, Systematic analysis
High-level analysis in near real-time
Detailed analysis in real-time
Multi-modal analysis in real-time
Multimodal Network Management Maturity Model version 1.1 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2007
CustomerManagement
Minimal capability, no customer accounts
Multi-channel account interaction per mode
Unified customer account across multiple modes
Integrated multimodal incentives to optimize multimodal use
Customer accounts managed separately for each system/mode
Maturity Model Interviews Innovation Workshop
Scheme Complexity
Effect on Congestion reduction
strategicplanning
real-timeinformationcreation capability
real-timeinterventioncapability
Level 1Silo
Level 2Centralized
Level 3Partially Integrated
Level 4Multimodal Integrated
Level 5Multimodal Optimized
PlanningFunctional Area Planning (single mode)
Project-based Planning (single mode)
Integrated agency wide planning (single mode)
Integrated corridor-based multimodal planning
Integrated regional multimodal planning
Data Collection Limited or Manual Input
Near real-time for major routes
Real-time for major routes using multiple inputs
Real-time coverage for major corridors, all significant modes
System-wide real -time data collection across all modes
Data Integration Limited Networked Common user interface
2-way system integration Extended integration
Network Ops.Response Ad-Hoc, Single Mode Centralized, Single
ModeAutomated, Single Mode
Automated, Multimodal
Multimodal Real-time Optimized
Payment Methods
Manual Cash Collection
Automatic Cash Machines Electronic Payments Multimodal integrated
fare card
Multimodal, multi-media (fare cards, cell phones, etc)
Incident Management
Manual detection, response and recovery
Manual detection, coordinated response, manual recovery
Automatic detection, coordinated response and manual recovery
Automated pre-planned multimodal recovery plans
Dynamic multimodal recovery plans based on real-time data
Demand Management
Individual static measures
Individual measures, with long term variability
Coordinated measures, with short term variability
Dynamic pricing Multimodal dynamic pricing
Traveler Information Static Information Static trip planning with
limited real-time alerts
Multi-channel trip planning and account-based alert subscription
Location-based, on-journey multimodal information
Location-based, multimodal proactive re-routing
Performance Measurement Minimal Defined metrics by
mode
Limited integration across organizational silos
Shared multimodal system-wide metrics-
Continuous system-wide performance measurement
Analytics Ad-hoc analysis Periodic, Systematic analysis
High-level analysis in near real-time
Detailed analysis in real-time
Multi-modal analysis in real-time
Multimodal Network Management Maturity Model version 1.1 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2007
CustomerManagement
Minimal capability, no customer accounts
Multi-channel account interaction per mode
Unified customer account across multiple modes
Integrated multimodal incentives to optimize multimodal use
Customer accounts managed separately for each system/mode
Global Benchmarking
Categorise Initiatives
Long Term ContractingExtend CFAPrime Contracting
Outage ManagementOutage ManagementIntegrated Planning
Proactive Obsolescence
Cross Industry Collaboration & Global Sourcing
Supply Chain EffectivenessOutage ManagementIntegrated PlanningContract Management
Enabling Systems,
Processes and Data
Appropriate supplier
relationships
Integration and alignment of all functions that
deliver outages
Minimise risk and impact on
generation
Spares supplier rationalisation
Inventory availableupon demand
World-class supply base
Maximise global market
potential
Centralised procurement of goods, services and spares
Optimised Warehouse management
Reorganised Station Supply Chain
Deployment of World Class Contract Management
Efficient supply chain organisation
that underpins current and future..
business goals.…
Exploit existing systems
Additional functionality
Catalogue cleansing
An Oracle system that
supports business needs
Supply Chain
enabled to meet
changing business needs
Short term Medium term Long term
Sho
rt te
rmM
ediu
m te
rmLo
ng te
rm
2015 Vision
Optimised engagement strategies
Performance improvement at all stages of the business cycle
Mitigate supply chain risk
associated with skills shortages
Supplier relationship
management
Supply chain, suppliers and central outage team operating as one team
World class outage performance(Safety, Quality, Time & Cost)
No surprises
Free up resource
Investment in long term
continuous improvement
Defined obsolescence
process
Technology roadmaps
Support to end of life (inc. life extn)
Obsolete spares and equipment
sourcing partners
Obsolescence team
Ability to plan and respond alternative business / market
scenarios
Access knowledge and leading practice
Industry-wide collaborative relationships
Smoother workload, improving ability to plan
Enhanced communication
and training
Unified Passport
catalogue with centralised data
management
Long Term ContractingExtend CFAPrime Contracting
Outage ManagementOutage ManagementIntegrated Planning
Proactive Obsolescence
Cross Industry Collaboration & Global Sourcing
Supply Chain EffectivenessOutage ManagementIntegrated PlanningContract Management
Enabling Systems,
Processes and Data
Appropriate supplier
relationships
Integration and alignment of all functions that
deliver outages
Minimise risk and impact on
generation
Spares supplier rationalisation
Inventory availableupon demand
World-class supply base
Maximise global market
potential
Centralised procurement of goods, services and spares
Optimised Warehouse management
Reorganised Station Supply Chain
Deployment of World Class Contract Management
Efficient supply chain organisation
that underpins current and future..
business goals.…
Exploit existing systems
Additional functionality
Catalogue cleansing
An Oracle system that
supports business needs
Supply Chain
enabled to meet
changing business needs
Short term Medium term Long term
Sho
rt te
rmM
ediu
m te
rmLo
ng te
rm
2015 Vision
Optimised engagement strategies
Performance improvement at all stages of the business cycle
Mitigate supply chain risk
associated with skills shortages
Supplier relationship
management
Supply chain, suppliers and central outage team operating as one team
World class outage performance(Safety, Quality, Time & Cost)
No surprises
Free up resource
Investment in long term
continuous improvement
Defined obsolescence
process
Technology roadmaps
Support to end of life (inc. life extn)
Obsolete spares and equipment
sourcing partners
Obsolescence team
Ability to plan and respond alternative business / market
scenarios
Access knowledge and leading practice
Industry-wide collaborative relationships
Smoother workload, improving ability to plan
Enhanced communication
and training
Unified Passport
catalogue with centralised data
management
High Level Road MapPresentation onRecommendations
AS IS TO BE
2008 e-readiness rankings | Confidential | January 09 |13 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008
IBM Global Business Services
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